2022-02-14 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.4432

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.37%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.0%

in alpha space · 79.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.34%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	1.9918	-10.68%	1.46	-34.53%	0.2430	✓	1.99	923k	2022-03-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,089.90	20,664.95	-10.50%	19,215.35	-16.78%	0.0407	✓	0.94	7.6M	2022-03-16
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04361	0.039172	-10.18%	0.03622	-16.95%	0.0538	✓	0.72	2.6M	2022-03-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016621	0.015054	-9.43%	0.011683	-29.71%	0.2140	✓	1.16	535k	2022-03-16
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.226	1.1225	-8.44%	0.7108	-42.02%	0.4271	✓	0.88	1.6M	2022-03-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9224	1.7635	-8.26%	3.0607	+59.21%	0.5713	✗	0.59	2.8M	2022-03-16
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.666	4.2825	-8.22%	2.572	-44.88%	0.4786	✓	0.92	709k	2022-03-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.826775	-8.15%	0.7371	-18.11%	0.0770	✓	1.11	26.7M	2022-03-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9473	3.6299	-8.04%	3.1013	-21.43%	0.1131	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-03-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00566	0.005215	-7.86%	0.00348	-38.52%	0.3360	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0338	0.031205	-7.68%	0.02474	-26.80%	0.1815	✓	1.49	490k	2022-03-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9283	0.862432	-7.10%	0.7151	-22.97%	0.1352	✓	1.54	588k	2022-03-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1432	1.994	-6.96%	2.3037	+7.49%	0.1868	✗	1.25	436k	2022-03-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.17	6.6862	-6.75%	5.8	-19.11%	0.1316	✓	0.31	1.7M	2022-03-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6155	4.3051	-6.73%	4.1763	-9.52%	0.0112	✓	1.22	349k	2022-03-16
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.84	2.6504	-6.67%	2.28	-19.72%	0.1166	✓	1.00	693k	2022-03-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.68	78.103	-6.66%	51.8123	-38.08%	0.3606	✓	1.47	315k	2022-03-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.82	53.1134	-6.52%	50.45	-11.21%	0.0091	✓	1.25	8.8M	2022-03-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.74	19.3874	-6.52%	16.49	-20.49%	0.1224	✓	1.16	24.7M	2022-03-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.502	0.469349	-6.50%	0.399	-20.52%	0.1136	✓	1.44	4.5M	2022-03-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4806	3.2605	-6.32%	2.1072	-39.46%	0.4069	✓	0.87	30k	2022-03-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5644	0.529408	-6.20%	0.5055	-10.44%	0.0105	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.58	9.0296	-5.75%	8.55	-10.75%	0.0088	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-16
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.107472	-5.73%	0.105	-7.89%	0.0107	✓	1.00	71k	2022-03-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6	5.6594	-5.68%	7.808	+30.13%	0.3571	✗	1.04	1.9M	2022-03-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.81	1.7081	-5.63%	1.322	-26.96%	0.2093	✓	1.38	2.9M	2022-03-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8459	0.798526	-5.60%	0.7237	-14.45%	0.0604	✓	1.12	12.4M	2022-03-16
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.09	2.9172	-5.59%	2.1	-32.04%	0.2947	✓	1.00	914k	2022-03-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.017	5.6828	-5.55%	5.005	-16.82%	0.0976	✓	0.87	72k	2022-03-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.16	25.6557	-5.54%	28.97	+6.66%	0.1596	✗	1.12	71.8M	2022-03-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0452	0.98792	-5.48%	0.8746	-16.32%	0.0657	✓	1.65	1.9M	2022-03-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2742	0.25919	-5.47%	0.2051	-25.20%	0.1809	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-03-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.84	77.3711	-5.46%	74.12	-9.43%	0.0056	✓	1.43	98.9M	2022-03-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1748	0.165273	-5.45%	0.1357	-22.37%	0.1728	✓	0.72	388k	2022-03-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07495	0.070911	-5.39%	0.07308	-2.49%	0.0554	✗	0.74	84k	2022-03-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.889522	-5.37%	0.62	-34.04%	0.2942	✓	1.96	1.0M	2022-03-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.21	3.9857	-5.33%	3.642	-13.49%	0.0481	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-03-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2046	0.193699	-5.33%	0.2037	-0.44%	0.0986	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.62	10.0632	-5.24%	9.09	-14.41%	0.0564	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-03-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.66	5.3663	-5.19%	4.14	-26.86%	0.2233	✓	1.06	590k	2022-03-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.9	15.0762	-5.18%	14.68	-7.67%	0.0140	✓	1.20	70.2M	2022-03-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5803	6.2468	-5.07%	6.0075	-8.71%	0.0100	✓	1.45	130k	2022-03-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1573	0.149414	-5.01%	0.128	-18.63%	0.1087	✓	1.36	3.2M	2022-03-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02945	0.027976	-5.00%	0.02522	-14.36%	0.0749	✓	0.85	6.2M	2022-03-16
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000213	0.000002024	-4.99%	0.00000185	-13.15%	0.0557	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028657	0.02724	-4.94%	0.017177	-40.06%	0.4166	✓	1.31	102k	2022-03-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.753	1.6669	-4.91%	1.428	-18.54%	0.1098	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-03-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1301	1.0747	-4.91%	1.053	-6.82%	0.0146	✓	1.03	211k	2022-03-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	53.94	51.3257	-4.85%	89.17	+65.31%	0.6010	✗	1.43	6.9M	2022-03-16
STX	Stacks	native	1.47	1.399	-4.83%	1.28	-12.93%	0.0550	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.44	25.1672	-4.81%	24.32	-8.02%	0.0183	✓	1.55	2.0M	2022-03-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.545	0.518766	-4.81%	0.3835	-29.63%	0.2371	✓	1.91	1.8M	2022-03-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.58	4.3597	-4.81%	4.216	-7.95%	0.0083	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-03-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.92	17.0587	-4.81%	13.13	-26.73%	0.2375	✓	0.72	1.1M	2022-03-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.15	117.2897	-4.76%	110	-10.68%	0.0200	✓	1.30	59k	2022-03-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4399	0.418996	-4.75%	0.3368	-23.44%	0.1577	✓	1.79	26.1M	2022-03-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1719	0.163745	-4.74%	0.1473	-14.31%	0.0506	✓	1.63	34k	2022-03-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6376	0.607951	-4.65%	0.4194	-34.22%	0.3190	✓	1.54	718k	2022-03-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4478	0.426981	-4.65%	0.3185	-28.87%	0.2422	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-03-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.84	1.7551	-4.61%	1.08	-41.30%	0.4455	✓	1.18	1.4M	2022-03-16
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.355	2.2465	-4.61%	1.611	-31.59%	0.2986	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.402	7.0618	-4.60%	4.733	-36.06%	0.3663	✓	1.00	407k	2022-03-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.593972	0.566995	-4.54%	0.511443	-13.89%	0.0639	✓	1.16	3.5M	2022-03-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.4	14.7025	-4.53%	13.23	-14.09%	0.0700	✓	1.05	483k	2022-03-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	167.33	159.767	-4.52%	130.7	-21.89%	0.1602	✓	1.20	930k	2022-03-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5401	3.3808	-4.50%	4.461	+26.01%	0.3139	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-03-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.4456	-4.47%	2.32	-9.38%	0.0179	✓	1.03	406k	2022-03-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.39	5.1509	-4.44%	4.47	-17.07%	0.1049	✓	1.09	682k	2022-03-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.75	19.8375	-4.40%	17.42	-16.05%	0.0888	✓	1.21	10.5M	2022-03-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,931.01	2,802.61	-4.38%	2,774.89	-5.33%	0.0282	✓	1.12	572.6M	2022-03-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0868	0.083034	-4.34%	0.0703	-19.01%	0.1197	✓	1.38	674k	2022-03-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01219	0.011661	-4.34%	0.01117	-8.37%	0.0097	✓	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0688	0.065818	-4.33%	0.0619	-10.03%	0.0011	✓	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1626	0.155574	-4.32%	0.1519	-6.58%	0.0113	✓	1.04	470k	2022-03-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0983	0.09406	-4.31%	0.0882	-10.27%	0.0121	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-03-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8438	2.7213	-4.31%	2.4922	-12.36%	0.0525	✓	1.04	2.8M	2022-03-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046133	0.044172	-4.25%	0.040705	-11.77%	0.0401	✓	1.22	6.5M	2022-03-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,548.71	40,741.91	-4.25%	41,127.97	-3.34%	0.0434	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.05	1.0056	-4.23%	0.8393	-20.07%	0.1426	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-03-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6282	-4.22%	1.51	-11.18%	0.0324	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-03-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	161.11	154.3743	-4.18%	141.71	-12.04%	0.0377	✓	1.41	8.1M	2022-03-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.1699	-4.14%	4.743	+9.03%	0.1397	✗	0.32	2.0M	2022-03-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	6.8342	-4.12%	5.736	-19.53%	0.1652	✓	0.29	38k	2022-03-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210709	0.202039	-4.11%	0.18936	-10.13%	0.0300	✓	1.03	21.9M	2022-03-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.7	17.9347	-4.09%	19.04	+1.82%	0.1061	✗	1.36	34.9M	2022-03-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	176.38	169.1774	-4.08%	189.66	+7.53%	0.1490	✗	1.02	1.2M	2022-03-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.1978	-4.03%	1.646	-28.12%	0.2561	✓	0.97	3.2M	2022-03-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01366	0.013117	-3.97%	0.01185	-13.25%	0.0755	✓	0.77	13k	2022-03-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.61	1.5474	-3.89%	1.529	-5.03%	0.0278	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.379	-3.87%	19.73	-6.93%	0.0196	✓	1.53	375k	2022-03-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.68	2.5772	-3.84%	1.86	-30.60%	0.2823	✓	1.29	390k	2022-03-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.07	3.9153	-3.80%	3.12	-23.34%	0.1799	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.27	39.7062	-3.79%	38.67	-6.30%	0.0266	✓	1.56	400k	2022-03-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.84	100.0046	-3.69%	98.4	-5.24%	0.0217	✓	1.12	2.0M	2022-03-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008178	0.000078771	-3.68%	0.00008028	-1.83%	0.0577	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021238	0.020459	-3.67%	0.01695	-20.19%	0.1466	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-03-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0437	0.042103	-3.65%	0.04049	-7.35%	0.0012	✓	1.19	30k	2022-03-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05226	0.050377	-3.60%	0.04945	-5.38%	0.0291	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.43	92.9659	-3.59%	87.82	-8.93%	0.0139	✓	1.27	179.7M	2022-03-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		93.76	90.4127	-3.57%	78.23	-16.56%	0.1140	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.759	0.732887	-3.44%	0.635	-16.34%	0.1063	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.91	2.8101	-3.43%	2.091	-28.14%	0.2468	✓	1.44	18.3M	2022-03-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4039	0.390167	-3.40%	0.455	+12.65%	0.1987	✗	1.33	8.7M	2022-03-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2512	1.2098	-3.31%	1.413	+12.93%	0.2087	✗	1.57	123k	2022-03-16
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.90895	-3.30%	0.92	-2.13%	0.0460	✗	1.00	271k	2022-03-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6557	6.438	-3.27%	6.5078	-2.22%	0.0407	✗	0.88	3.9M	2022-03-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.225	3.1198	-3.26%	3.572	+10.76%	0.1632	✗	0.82	218k	2022-03-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7556	1.7	-3.17%	2.0762	+18.26%	0.2385	✗	1.14	67k	2022-03-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.039	1.0068	-3.10%	1.174	+12.99%	0.1943	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-03-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.364	0.353182	-2.97%	0.447	+22.80%	0.2811	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	120.62	117.15	-2.88%	154.1	+27.76%	0.3156	✗	1.22	7.2M	2022-03-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.0879	-2.86%	1.186	+5.89%	0.1330	✗	1.38	694k	2022-03-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8399	5.6814	-2.71%	6.0499	+3.60%	0.0742	✗	0.33	430k	2022-03-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.631	4.5064	-2.69%	4.679	+1.04%	0.0662	✗	0.84	379k	2022-03-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.909	0.884883	-2.65%	0.819	-9.90%	0.0310	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-03-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.35	118.279	-2.53%	117.28	-3.35%	0.0258	✗	1.01	7.8M	2022-03-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.66	322.4031	-2.50%	299.84	-9.32%	0.0386	✓	1.00	8.9M	2022-03-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.33	3.2485	-2.45%	3.975	+19.37%	0.2311	✗	0.86	502k	2022-03-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.85	43.7574	-2.44%	42.72	-4.75%	0.0158	✓	1.17	31.2M	2022-03-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01132	0.011045	-2.43%	0.009	-20.49%	0.1572	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02976	0.029046	-2.40%	0.02106	-29.23%	0.2825	✓	1.15	10.0M	2022-03-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.94	1.8939	-2.38%	1.81	-6.70%	0.0008	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.268	0.261666	-2.36%	0.2435	-9.14%	0.0359	✓	1.06	1.6M	2022-03-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0819	0.080075	-2.23%	0.0705	-13.92%	0.0857	✓	1.23	195k	2022-03-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.3303	-2.16%	8.59	+32.77%	0.3337	✗	0.84	463k	2022-03-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	16.6816	-2.10%	14.44	-15.26%	0.0849	✓	1.75	3.7M	2022-03-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	124.62	122.082	-2.04%	111.35	-10.65%	0.0494	✓	1.26	34.8M	2022-03-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01033	0.010123	-2.00%	0.00895	-13.36%	0.0882	✓	1.03	483k	2022-03-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1094	0.107337	-1.89%	0.099	-9.51%	0.0450	✓	1.06	39k	2022-03-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80709	0.791932	-1.88%	0.82098	+1.72%	0.0875	✗	1.51	299k	2022-03-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.22	7.0889	-1.82%	6.02	-16.62%	0.1535	✓	0.29	1.2M	2022-03-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.341	2.2992	-1.79%	2.135	-8.80%	0.0366	✓	1.10	21k	2022-03-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0708	0.069556	-1.76%	0.0732	+3.39%	0.0889	✗	1.11	19k	2022-03-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.607	19.28	-1.67%	18.299	-6.67%	0.0074	✓	1.32	10.2M	2022-03-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.49	28.037	-1.59%	28.13	-1.26%	0.0359	✗	0.96	1.2M	2022-03-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.42	11.2419	-1.56%	11.83	+3.59%	0.0753	✗	0.71	706k	2022-03-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.259	1.2406	-1.46%	1.181	-6.20%	0.0073	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-03-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.9552	3.9034	-1.31%	4.0815	+3.19%	0.0777	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09436	0.093296	-1.13%	0.09466	+0.32%	0.0536	✗	1.15	51k	2022-03-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.793	2.7619	-1.11%	6.401	+129.18%	0.8866	✗	1.36	1.1M	2022-03-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.76	6.6972	-0.93%	6.49	-3.99%	0.0009	✓	0.90	426k	2022-03-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002958	0.000029367	-0.72%	0.00002273	-23.16%	0.2082	✓	1.41	2.3M	2022-03-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,156.20	41,863.09	-0.70%	41,103.10	-2.50%	0.0148	✗	0.98	51k	2022-03-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4339	-0.66%	6.66	+21.76%	0.2303	✗	0.79	404k	2022-03-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.42	31.2586	-0.51%	27.36	-12.92%	0.0976	✓	1.05	5.1M	2022-03-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2886	0.288388	-0.07%	0.2713	-5.99%	0.0227	✓	1.13	538k	2022-03-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5481	0.548699	+0.11%	0.7347	+34.04%	0.3381	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-03-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.285	0.287551	+0.90%	0.228	-20.00%	0.1998	✗	0.95	77k	2022-03-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.145821	0.147739	+1.32%	0.116967	-19.79%	0.1988	✗	1.02	6.7M	2022-03-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064484	0.065683	+1.86%	0.061066	-5.30%	0.0429	✗	0.88	327k	2022-03-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.