2022-02-11 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1526

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.60%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

44.3%

in alpha space · 52.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.33%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05111	0.050604	-0.99%	0.04741	-7.24%	0.0619	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086127	-0.89%	0.0956	+10.01%	0.1090	✗	1.39	567k	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.551	2.5299	-0.83%	2.404	-5.76%	0.0477	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.149	0.147787	-0.81%	0.1393	-6.51%	0.0546	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2623	-0.78%	2.22	-2.63%	0.0155	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.98	16.85	-0.77%	18.05	+6.30%	0.0712	✗	0.71	919k	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015872	0.015757	-0.72%	0.015897	+0.16%	0.0127	✗	1.17	689k	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3129	4.2824	-0.71%	4.109	-4.73%	0.0370	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.9166	-0.67%	7.78	-2.38%	0.0162	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6358	0.631537	-0.67%	0.6015	-5.39%	0.0425	✓	1.87	1.8M	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,115.13	22,965.48	-0.65%	23,131.85	+0.07%	0.0104	✗	0.96	8.0M	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5941	3.5709	-0.65%	3.527	-1.87%	0.0094	✓	0.88	30k	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0319	0.031697	-0.64%	0.0322	+0.94%	0.0207	✗	1.49	490k	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9169	0.911202	-0.62%	0.9188	+0.21%	0.0120	✗	1.12	28.1M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9151	1.9032	-0.62%	1.8422	-3.81%	0.0305	✓	0.61	2.9M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.637	1.6271	-0.60%	1.618	-1.16%	0.0017	✓	1.16	1.6M	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.96	5.9244	-0.60%	6.32	+6.04%	0.0679	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.9467	-0.59%	4.07	+2.52%	0.0319	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03298	0.032787	-0.59%	0.03125	-5.25%	0.0451	✓	0.86	6.4M	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022611	0.022479	-0.58%	0.021888	-3.20%	0.0226	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.047719	0.04744	-0.58%	0.044288	-7.19%	0.0647	✓	1.21	8.7M	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002872	0.000028563	-0.55%	0.0000292	+1.67%	0.0268	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18907	0.188036	-0.55%	0.18496	-2.17%	0.0111	✓	1.62	40k	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.219	7.1798	-0.54%	6.939	-3.88%	0.0307	✓	1.02	407k	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2269	1.2203	-0.54%	1.2939	+5.46%	0.0615	✗	0.90	1.8M	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.301	0.299403	-0.53%	0.338	+12.29%	0.1244	✗	0.94	76k	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5603	6.5257	-0.53%	6.7389	+2.72%	0.0370	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.375	0.373025	-0.53%	0.37	-1.33%	0.0036	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9345	0.92959	-0.53%	0.9401	+0.60%	0.0165	✗	1.57	672k	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.8321	84.3911	-0.52%	85.8439	+1.19%	0.0219	✗	1.44	319k	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.81	81.3897	-0.51%	81.34	-0.57%	0.0039	✓	1.35	92.3M	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.25	4.2287	-0.50%	4.27	+0.47%	0.0139	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,347.70	42,144.23	-0.48%	42,568.00	+0.52%	0.0132	✗	0.97	41k	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07747	0.077109	-0.47%	0.07609	-1.78%	0.0107	✓	0.77	89k	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.54	115.9979	-0.47%	117.83	+1.11%	0.0199	✗	1.27	7.3M	2022-02-12
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.11	3.0956	-0.46%	3.03	-2.57%	0.0181	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.157	5.1334	-0.46%	4.904	-4.91%	0.0426	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1868	6.1587	-0.45%	5.9446	-3.91%	0.0343	✓	0.32	447k	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.96	29.8239	-0.45%	28.49	-4.91%	0.0407	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.54	2.5285	-0.45%	2.5	-1.57%	0.0070	✓	1.29	401k	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.99	5.963	-0.45%	5.98	-0.17%	0.0066	✗	1.12	689k	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.92	0.915856	-0.45%	0.94	+2.17%	0.0326	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01244	0.012384	-0.45%	0.01276	+2.57%	0.0350	✗	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.52	0.517706	-0.44%	0.514	-1.15%	0.0023	✓	1.45	4.9M	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01359	0.01353	-0.44%	0.01362	+0.22%	0.0092	✗	0.78	13k	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8786	-0.44%	4.89	-0.20%	0.0065	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5956	0.593017	-0.43%	0.5785	-2.87%	0.0213	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.074	1.0694	-0.43%	1.052	-2.05%	0.0115	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0062	0.006173	-0.43%	0.00616	-0.65%	0.0046	✗	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	27.9477	-0.40%	30.19	+7.59%	0.0804	✗	0.96	679k	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1086	0.108166	-0.40%	0.1035	-4.70%	0.0389	✓	1.57	1.3M	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0868	0.086455	-0.40%	0.0857	-1.27%	0.0046	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.65	10.6084	-0.39%	10.64	-0.09%	0.0074	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.4	5.379	-0.39%	5.34	-1.11%	0.0038	✓	1.04	701k	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1735	0.172832	-0.38%	0.1736	+0.06%	0.0068	✗	0.72	406k	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1483	1.1439	-0.38%	1.2471	+8.60%	0.0917	✗	1.59	114k	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.072	0.071733	-0.37%	0.0717	-0.42%	0.0032	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.07	2.0624	-0.37%	2.02	-2.42%	0.0164	✓	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.1	1.096	-0.37%	1.12	+1.82%	0.0264	✗	1.39	655k	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03653	0.036396	-0.37%	0.03381	-7.45%	0.0699	✓	1.12	9.5M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1566	0.156025	-0.37%	0.1672	+6.77%	0.0727	✗	1.05	430k	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.1	164.4942	-0.37%	166.09	+0.60%	0.0137	✗	1.22	973k	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.616904	0.614644	-0.37%	0.617618	+0.12%	0.0087	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.453	4.4368	-0.36%	4.786	+7.48%	0.0786	✗	0.84	346k	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.3454	-0.36%	2.354	+0.00%	0.0072	✗	1.06	22k	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3017	-0.36%	2.3	-0.43%	0.0025	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2888	0.287767	-0.36%	0.2838	-1.73%	0.0087	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.92	8.8888	-0.35%	8.98	+0.67%	0.0146	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7445	-0.35%	2.76	+0.22%	0.0102	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2056	0.204894	-0.34%	0.2064	+0.39%	0.0121	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.215393	0.214654	-0.34%	0.218218	+1.31%	0.0199	✗	1.03	24.3M	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05622	0.056029	-0.34%	0.05601	-0.37%	0.0044	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.64	94.3208	-0.34%	94.11	-0.56%	0.0008	✓	0.91	1.3M	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.108235	-0.34%	0.1086	+0.00%	0.0069	✗	1.06	35k	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.36	22.2854	-0.33%	22.54	+0.81%	0.0166	✗	1.57	387k	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.117	0.116611	-0.33%	0.116	-0.85%	0.0019	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09752	0.097196	-0.33%	0.09377	-3.85%	0.0323	✓	1.07	50k	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	321.01	319.9459	-0.33%	330.64	+3.00%	0.0363	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7016	4.686	-0.33%	4.7989	+2.07%	0.0279	✗	1.23	442k	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.01	5.9901	-0.33%	5.916	-1.56%	0.0094	✓	0.92	72k	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.71	1.7043	-0.33%	1.69	-1.17%	0.0042	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065184	-0.33%	0.0682	+4.28%	0.0511	✗	1.75	42.7M	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	163.71	163.1705	-0.33%	162.52	-0.73%	0.0007	✓	1.41	9.5M	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.29	3.2792	-0.33%	3.312	+0.67%	0.0129	✗	0.89	525k	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	19.7553	-0.33%	20.07	+1.26%	0.0197	✗	1.16	25.3M	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.07	58.8779	-0.33%	59.18	+0.19%	0.0092	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.6	3.5884	-0.32%	3.7974	+5.48%	0.0598	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	10.0675	-0.32%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0937	✗	0.71	660k	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.4496	-0.32%	6.67	+3.09%	0.0366	✗	0.89	406k	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.58	2.5719	-0.31%	2.56	-0.78%	0.0012	✓	1.02	457k	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.833	1.8273	-0.31%	1.812	-1.15%	0.0040	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.957052	-0.31%	0.96	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	1.00	281k	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.96	0.957078	-0.30%	0.942	-1.88%	0.0113	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0942	-0.30%	1.0443	-4.85%	0.0427	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8754	0.872754	-0.30%	0.8744	-0.11%	0.0054	✗	1.06	13.0M	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	169.21	168.6995	-0.30%	173.82	+2.72%	0.0334	✗	1.05	1.4M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0803	1.0771	-0.30%	1.0596	-1.92%	0.0126	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000216	0.000002154	-0.30%	0.00000217	+0.46%	0.0110	✗	1.00	14.6M	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.69	125.3173	-0.30%	126.78	+0.87%	0.0160	✗	1.31	35.7M	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.54	124.1767	-0.29%	127.26	+2.18%	0.0288	✗	1.28	65k	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4181	0.416888	-0.29%	0.4191	+0.24%	0.0097	✗	1.33	8.9M	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6537	0.651837	-0.29%	0.6501	-0.55%	0.0025	✓	1.54	743k	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.74	32.6469	-0.28%	31.67	-3.27%	0.0268	✓	1.06	4.6M	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.032124	0.032034	-0.28%	0.028632	-10.87%	0.1080	✓	1.29	111k	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008391	0.000083685	-0.27%	0.0000823	-1.92%	0.0128	✓	1.17	5.6M	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.768945	-0.27%	0.745	-3.37%	0.0280	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.56	26.4893	-0.27%	27.07	+1.92%	0.0255	✗	1.13	76.9M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0792	-0.27%	4.15	+1.47%	0.0218	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.923	7.9025	-0.26%	7.781	-1.79%	0.0143	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4503	0.449148	-0.26%	0.4544	+0.91%	0.0177	✗	1.83	35.7M	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.09	21.0362	-0.26%	20.86	-1.09%	0.0044	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,929.08	2,921.70	-0.25%	2,919.99	-0.31%	0.0032	✗	1.12	572.6M	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.22	16.1794	-0.25%	15.97	-1.54%	0.0090	✓	1.21	73.6M	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2594	0.258752	-0.25%	0.2514	-3.08%	0.0252	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9222	2.9149	-0.25%	2.9115	-0.36%	0.0022	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.154	3.1461	-0.25%	3.162	+0.25%	0.0077	✗	0.81	206k	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1819	2.1765	-0.25%	2.1781	-0.18%	0.0047	✗	1.20	675k	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.8829	-0.25%	2.87	-0.69%	0.0002	✓	1.41	20.0M	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.36	40.2619	-0.24%	40.89	+1.31%	0.0207	✗	1.56	461k	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04188	0.041778	-0.24%	0.04235	+1.12%	0.0174	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.5064	-0.24%	1.52	+0.66%	0.0123	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.99	18.9448	-0.24%	18.82	-0.90%	0.0021	✓	1.36	36.1M	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.7	7.6817	-0.24%	7.93	+2.99%	0.0328	✗	0.30	1.0M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.82329	0.821351	-0.24%	0.80694	-1.99%	0.0127	✓	1.50	311k	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,386.47	42,286.72	-0.24%	42,244.97	-0.33%	0.0024	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.24	17.2011	-0.23%	17.04	-1.16%	0.0036	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9456	-0.23%	1.91	-2.05%	0.0138	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.46	43.3623	-0.22%	44.18	+1.66%	0.0226	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.96	14.9265	-0.22%	15.16	+1.34%	0.0190	✗	1.05	576k	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4051	3.3976	-0.22%	3.5079	+3.02%	0.0357	✗	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7756	1.7718	-0.22%	1.7725	-0.17%	0.0041	✗	1.11	78k	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.087	19.0472	-0.21%	19.111	+0.13%	0.0078	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.35	50.2499	-0.20%	51.96	+3.20%	0.0382	✗	1.43	7.8M	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.5	96.3218	-0.18%	95.95	-0.57%	0.0003	✓	1.25	179.7M	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7399	6.7275	-0.18%	6.758	+0.27%	0.0075	✗	0.90	4.0M	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2288	-0.18%	6.4	+2.56%	0.0299	✗	0.83	441k	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4607	-0.17%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0062	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.99	103.8141	-0.17%	104.19	+0.19%	0.0074	✗	1.14	2.2M	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1623	1.1604	-0.17%	1.1541	-0.70%	0.0019	✓	1.05	239k	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.99	1.9867	-0.16%	1.92	-3.52%	0.0302	✓	1.19	1.5M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01151	0.011492	-0.15%	0.01149	-0.17%	0.0044	✗	1.38	1.3M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4583	0.45767	-0.14%	0.4604	+0.46%	0.0110	✗	1.50	2.2M	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.568986	-0.11%	0.562	-1.33%	0.0080	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.257	1.2559	-0.08%	1.267	+0.80%	0.0130	✗	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	129.51	129.4416	-0.05%	133.7	+3.24%	0.0358	✗	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01056	0.010559	-0.01%	0.01068	+1.14%	0.0148	✗	1.02	550k	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2842	0.284277	+0.03%	0.2852	+0.35%	0.0070	✓	1.12	538k	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063958	0.064014	+0.09%	0.063473	-0.76%	0.0055	✗	0.90	357k	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.14485	0.145085	+0.16%	0.144281	-0.39%	0.0021	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.