2022-02-09 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3941

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+29.19%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.4%

in alpha space · 89.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-12.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.072408	+3.52%	0.060203	-13.93%	0.0617	✗	0.90	362k	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.163153	+2.58%	0.11539	-27.45%	0.2058	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.295192	+2.50%	0.226	-21.53%	0.1363	✗	0.95	70k	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.631487	+1.31%	0.6706	+7.59%	0.2396	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	44,653.96	+0.36%	38,852.80	-12.68%	0.0068	✗	0.97	41k	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.319478	+0.31%	0.2585	-18.84%	0.0598	✗	1.11	518k	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.8147	+0.14%	5.8362	-14.24%	0.1148	✗	0.29	407k	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.081	-0.07%	5.761	+86.86%	0.8108	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.2375	-0.15%	13.72	-35.50%	0.2008	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.9858	-0.24%	5.49	-8.50%	0.0207	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.4259	-0.28%	1.113	-22.17%	0.0784	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.6016	-0.28%	2.114	-18.97%	0.0632	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.8724	-0.33%	3.4608	-10.92%	0.0196	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	33.714	-0.37%	26.5	-21.69%	0.0954	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.1362	-0.61%	6.28	-12.53%	0.0073	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.5733	-0.64%	18.17	-12.24%	0.0594	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.093646	-0.69%	0.0696	-26.19%	0.1281	✓	1.23	219k	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	28.2773	-0.71%	27.91	-2.00%	0.1193	✗	0.97	566k	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.107039	-0.75%	0.09115	-15.48%	0.0156	✓	1.06	49k	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2572	-1.00%	1.64	-28.07%	0.1414	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.7976	-1.03%	10.59	-2.93%	0.0772	✗	0.71	660k	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.9771	-1.06%	2.1155	+5.87%	0.2184	✗	1.10	79k	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	7.0632	-1.08%	7.84	+9.80%	0.2150	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.011916	-1.11%	0.00879	-27.05%	0.1664	✓	1.01	572k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012389	-1.12%	0.00939	-25.06%	0.0908	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	138.4854	-1.23%	104.55	-25.43%	0.1027	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.119665	-1.27%	0.0935	-22.85%	0.1034	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.072	-1.29%	0.807	-25.69%	0.0964	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078222	-1.48%	0.06831	-13.97%	0.0132	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	340.9374	-1.52%	287.73	-16.89%	0.0302	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.926633	-1.54%	0.65584	-30.32%	0.1433	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	123.801	-1.78%	153.51	+21.79%	0.3876	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.9161	-1.79%	6.328	-10.14%	0.0332	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.7591	-1.81%	1.705	-39.32%	0.3547	✓	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	182.2602	-1.92%	170.68	-8.15%	0.0769	✗	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	47.0421	-1.93%	40.81	-14.93%	0.0178	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7068	-1.96%	4.326	-9.89%	0.0298	✗	0.83	346k	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000032324	-1.99%	0.00002206	-33.11%	0.1904	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.477957	-2.00%	0.3189	-34.61%	0.2245	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040179	-2.00%	0.0143	-65.12%	0.8799	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.279	-2.03%	2.741	-18.11%	0.0685	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.3245	-2.08%	5.85	-21.79%	0.1805	✓	0.32	1.0M	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	146.9765	-2.13%	113.22	-24.61%	0.1236	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.809325	-2.14%	0.636	-23.10%	0.0916	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.289779	-2.20%	0.2186	-26.22%	0.1335	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	99.2494	-2.22%	78.04	-23.11%	0.1167	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.4202	-2.28%	1.97	-43.71%	0.3614	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000094841	-2.44%	0.0000731	-24.80%	0.1039	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.7604	-2.46%	2.16	-23.67%	0.1061	✓	1.02	489k	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	112.0823	-2.49%	94.95	-17.40%	0.0107	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.527107	-2.50%	0.2924	-45.91%	0.3865	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	46.6168	-2.54%	37.86	-20.84%	0.0026	✓	1.54	461k	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.395677	-2.54%	0.262	-35.47%	0.2265	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2576	-2.56%	1.1514	-10.79%	0.0735	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.163495	-2.57%	0.1489	-11.26%	0.0494	✗	1.04	412k	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	111.0705	-2.60%	80.7	-29.24%	0.1501	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0417	-2.65%	0.93	-13.08%	0.0235	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.7829	-2.68%	1.464	-20.09%	0.0398	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.3156	-2.69%	0.96652	-28.51%	0.1675	✓	1.03	279k	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	140.3446	-2.69%	102.07	-29.23%	0.1442	✓	1.27	65k	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.232016	-2.86%	0.183591	-23.14%	0.0941	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.6857	-2.91%	2.869	-24.42%	0.1309	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.6945	-2.94%	4.778	-30.72%	0.2136	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.6001	-2.96%	17.37	-28.58%	0.1434	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.549667	-2.97%	0.3152	-44.36%	0.3103	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	182.5789	-2.99%	116.61	-38.04%	0.2574	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8718	-3.02%	1.321	-31.55%	0.1771	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.1582	-3.05%	0.7884	-34.01%	0.2326	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8502	-3.06%	1.75	-40.48%	0.3131	✓	1.28	401k	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.045367	-3.06%	0.03906	-16.54%	0.0031	✓	1.12	30k	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.2846	-3.12%	17.7	-19.44%	0.0003	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.012821	-3.17%	0.01186	-10.42%	0.0308	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.119773	-3.17%	0.0787	-36.38%	0.2072	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	186.1138	-3.18%	124.19	-35.39%	0.2395	✓	1.20	1.0M	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.082999	-3.19%	0.07118	-16.97%	0.0500	✓	0.76	89k	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	55.6905	-3.25%	88.28	+53.37%	0.6531	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.6052	-3.25%	2.89	-39.29%	0.2789	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	6.9689	-3.27%	5.8755	-18.44%	0.0273	✓	1.45	156k	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.023433	-3.30%	0.01714	-29.27%	0.1466	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	11.9093	-3.41%	8.51	-30.98%	0.1554	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	42,900.93	-3.41%	38,732.04	-12.80%	0.0347	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.13799	-3.44%	0.1144	-19.94%	0.0009	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	15.9378	-3.47%	12.74	-22.83%	0.0805	✓	1.05	590k	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.057326	-3.51%	0.0472	-20.55%	0.0015	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.7561	-3.61%	3.707	-4.87%	0.1378	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,128.34	-3.63%	2,556.42	-21.25%	0.0499	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	24.8628	-3.63%	17.81	-30.97%	0.1191	✓	1.57	398k	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.232421	-3.64%	0.1931	-19.94%	0.0053	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.1496	-3.65%	1.662	-49.16%	0.5023	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.3119	-3.67%	1.6874	-29.69%	0.1525	✓	1.19	845k	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.1287	-3.68%	1.06	-52.04%	0.5359	✓	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	5.8508	-3.77%	4.44	-26.97%	0.1342	✓	1.04	773k	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.73194	-3.81%	0.4152	-45.43%	0.3572	✓	1.53	938k	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.0775	-3.82%	1.307	-39.49%	0.2876	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6539	-3.84%	1.36	-20.93%	0.0587	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.679464	-3.86%	0.48841	-30.89%	0.1729	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	8.9655	-3.90%	5.556	-40.44%	0.4338	✓	0.33	38k	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.8791	-3.98%	4.776	+18.22%	0.2528	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	7.9306	-4.02%	4.594	-44.40%	0.4076	✓	1.01	460k	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.029927	-4.08%	0.02468	-20.90%	0.0709	✓	0.89	6.6M	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.57702	-4.10%	0.5009	-16.75%	0.0050	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.7648	-4.18%	3.82	-45.89%	0.4206	✓	1.10	733k	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.178684	-4.34%	0.1335	-28.53%	0.1939	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	29.5896	-4.36%	27.47	-11.22%	0.0776	✗	1.11	96.8M	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.3615	-4.40%	13.84	-23.79%	0.1304	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	17.8775	-4.40%	13.05	-30.21%	0.1518	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.976547	-4.41%	0.7111	-30.39%	0.1744	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.082873	-4.41%	0.0661	-23.76%	0.0372	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	64.6302	-4.42%	45.9	-32.12%	0.1756	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014417	-4.46%	0.01151	-23.72%	0.0212	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	32.3816	-4.54%	22.89	-32.52%	0.1406	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.1897	-4.54%	2.3033	-31.07%	0.1929	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.307022	-4.59%	0.1962	-39.03%	0.2357	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3642	-4.60%	0.959	-32.94%	0.1680	✓	1.35	523k	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.1163	-4.60%	4.0628	-24.25%	0.0631	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	9.5966	-4.61%	8.54	-15.11%	0.0606	✗	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.563633	-4.63%	0.385	-34.86%	0.1846	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.122054	-4.65%	0.111	-13.28%	0.0420	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1173	-4.73%	0.8661	-26.15%	0.0551	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002209	-4.76%	0.00000178	-23.28%	0.0792	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.3186	-4.81%	1.4867	+7.33%	0.3317	✗	1.55	107k	2022-03-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.3309	-4.94%	7.075	+6.23%	0.2450	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.167	-4.96%	1.157	-49.25%	0.4389	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0418	-5.09%	0.6978	-36.42%	0.1895	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	85.5795	-5.10%	71.25	-20.99%	0.0013	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	3.9546	-5.17%	3.44	-17.51%	0.0338	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.5325	-5.27%	4.165	-28.68%	0.1169	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	21.8816	-5.27%	16.01	-30.69%	0.1550	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.081149	-5.64%	0.0576	-33.02%	0.1134	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0284	-5.65%	0.59	-45.87%	0.2902	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.6451	-5.80%	2.0529	-46.95%	0.4535	✓	0.88	28k	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.7484	-6.03%	5.57	-40.17%	0.4038	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.006984	-6.13%	0.00353	-52.55%	0.4084	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	100.1479	-6.46%	48.7591	-54.46%	0.5253	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.215383	-6.59%	0.15536	-32.62%	0.1092	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.054228	-6.81%	0.040059	-31.16%	0.1393	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.031403	-6.82%	0.02301	-31.72%	0.1055	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	0.966309	-6.83%	0.7014	-32.37%	0.1702	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.034817	-7.08%	0.01489	-60.26%	0.6741	✓	1.28	114k	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.2515	-7.36%	0.7156	-47.03%	0.4221	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.109	-7.52%	2.9889	-32.73%	0.1387	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.8185	-7.59%	2.5749	+30.85%	0.4322	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.015698	-7.69%	0.011862	-30.25%	0.1193	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	24,164.70	-8.10%	18,538.11	-29.50%	0.1357	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-03-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	5.4163	-8.32%	2.42	-59.04%	0.6687	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.042667	-9.20%	0.04078	-13.22%	0.0917	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.7428	-9.44%	0.3924	-52.16%	0.3868	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.2021	-10.49%	1.51	-38.62%	0.2403	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.