8=======>

2022-02-06 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4348
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+30.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.7%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0662560.067943+2.55%0.060594-8.55%0.0328✗0.90362k2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15380.155489+1.10%0.116967-23.95%0.1919✗1.037.1M2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59760.602165+0.76%0.6773+13.34%0.2357✓1.312.6M2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.271777+0.66%0.234-13.33%0.0636✗0.9567k2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08785.0806-0.14%5.6406+10.87%0.1300✗0.28376k2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.31940.318615-0.25%0.2596-18.72%0.1030✓1.13533k2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.24723.2324-0.46%2.9495-9.17%0.0071✓0.932.0M2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.8929.7452-0.48%26.77-10.44%0.0112✓1.043.5M2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8627.6668-0.69%28.1+0.86%0.1042✗0.98513k2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,902.9041,576.67-0.78%38,942.90-7.06%0.0213✗0.9636k2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.8620.6915-0.81%13.87-33.51%0.2435✓1.733.8M2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100203-0.86%0.08944-11.51%0.0186✓1.0547k2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.5832.5595-0.91%2.146-16.92%0.0796✓1.0722k2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7842.7514-1.17%3.365+20.87%0.3214✗1.33911k2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4712-1.20%1.132-23.98%0.1461✓1.283.4M2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08940.088321-1.21%0.0685-23.38%0.1441✓1.22244k2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.646.5413-1.49%5.92-10.84%0.0207✓0.88444k2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.00119.7022-1.49%18.038-9.81%0.0340✗1.3510.4M2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.465.3756-1.55%5.13-6.04%0.0227✗0.77356k2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.01160.011409-1.64%0.00889-23.36%0.1579✓1.01550k2022-03-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.68125.5492-1.67%100.75-21.09%0.1049✓1.2730.6M2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0160.998199-1.75%0.805-20.77%0.0902✓1.382.3M2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.011520.011313-1.80%0.01031-10.50%0.0253✗1.311.3M2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1540.151231-1.80%0.1485-3.57%0.0750✗1.03337k2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.85211.8187-1.80%1.8748+1.23%0.1306✗1.1172k2022-03-08
IMXImmutableEthereum2.822.7664-1.90%1.518-46.17%0.5161✓0.932.3M2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash324.8318.5056-1.94%284.53-12.40%0.0210✓1.026.8M2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.182.1364-2.00%1.69-22.48%0.1160✓1.312.2M2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.075201-2.08%0.07059-8.09%0.0360✗1.1021k2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.2610.0365-2.18%10.15-1.07%0.0746✗0.70627k2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.10731.0823-2.26%1.3396+20.98%0.3485✗1.50103k2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.257.0858-2.26%6.17-14.90%0.1093✓0.321.1M2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum135.95132.8322-2.29%111.08-18.29%0.0913✓0.977.5M2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04080.039863-2.30%0.01098-73.09%1.1893✓1.119.0M2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash124.6121.6262-2.39%138.68+11.30%0.2473✗1.286.6M2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8160.795564-2.50%0.641-21.45%0.1171✓1.091.6M2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.56.3337-2.56%7.88+21.23%0.2906✗0.80441k2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.221.1874-2.67%1.006-17.54%0.0439✓1.35490k2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum7.16246.9706-2.68%6.5581-8.44%0.0195✓0.894.0M2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.393.2966-2.76%2.035-39.97%0.3547✓1.4120.8M2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana115.32112.0716-2.82%82.35-28.59%0.1956✓1.25181.0M2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.6545.3313-2.83%40.57-13.03%0.0037✓1.1933.0M2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.1971.163-2.84%1.1917-0.44%0.1315✗1.192.3M2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002850.00002769-2.84%0.0000229-19.65%0.0676✓1.351.3M2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4730.459436-2.87%0.3352-29.13%0.1957✓1.329.3M2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV98.6595.784-2.91%78.77-20.15%0.1131✓0.911.5M2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26070.25309-2.92%0.2233-14.35%0.0322✓1.031.7M2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.50740.492244-2.99%0.3058-39.73%0.3464✓1.432.0M2022-03-08
DASHDashDash108.83105.5286-3.03%96.39-11.43%0.0117✓1.132.5M2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3670.355792-3.05%0.27-26.43%0.1559✓1.331.7M2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5334.394-3.07%4.219-6.93%0.0350✗0.84351k2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0397480.038482-3.19%0.040538+1.99%0.1564✗1.158.4M2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000086130.000083374-3.20%0.00006915-19.71%0.0838✓1.145.4M2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2927.0549-3.25%4.763-34.68%0.3012✓1.01341k2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7781.72-3.26%1.529-14.00%0.0129✓1.161.5M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6599060.637087-3.46%0.497835-24.56%0.1417✓1.163.3M2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045030.043468-3.47%0.03904-13.30%0.0056✓1.1329k2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.11210.10817-3.51%0.0953-14.99%0.0319✓1.0535k2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013480.013007-3.51%0.01218-9.64%0.0087✓0.8213k2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4621.6651-3.54%18.04-19.68%0.0773✓1.1710.4M2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77520.747279-3.60%0.4195-45.88%0.4371✓1.551.1M2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.942620.908612-3.61%0.65836-30.16%0.1858✓1.51334k2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum140.8135.6984-3.62%103-26.85%0.1592✓1.2959k2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088120.084922-3.63%0.07699-12.63%0.0272✓0.7886k2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum11.711.2723-3.66%8.83-24.53%0.1255✓1.3112.2M2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.6298-3.67%2.16-20.88%0.1054✓1.01542k2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase47.4945.7436-3.68%39.86-16.07%0.0040✓1.57531k2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.830.799446-3.68%0.6-27.71%0.1170✓1.88996k2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano1.14361.1008-3.74%0.8021-29.86%0.2159✓1.11108.7M2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.068512-3.78%0.0696-2.25%0.1337✗1.30540k2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.34791.2967-3.80%0.93442-30.67%0.2330✓1.05326k2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.4921-3.80%5.243+44.44%0.4331✗0.301.5M2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022030.021179-3.86%0.01691-23.24%0.1158✓1.212.5M2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2239260.215258-3.87%0.173136-22.68%0.1257✓1.0224.4M2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9121.0558-3.90%16.97-22.55%0.0916✓1.3741.9M2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero173.8166.9961-3.91%203.38+17.02%0.2910✗1.041.6M2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.2320.222865-3.94%0.1948-16.03%0.0090✓1.393.6M2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 256.1353.9059-3.96%85.48+52.29%0.5880✗1.408.4M2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5614.9419-3.97%12.75-18.06%0.0657✓1.03616k2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN8.4668.1268-4.01%5.667-33.06%0.3306✓0.3339k2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53050.5092-4.02%0.3413-35.66%0.2386✓1.7942.5M2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum173.57166.5391-4.05%121.68-29.90%0.1873✓1.4010.2M2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,415.1640,682.27-4.09%38,749.38-8.64%0.0417✓1.00638.9M2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.7833-4.12%1.298-30.22%0.2032✓1.271.8M2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,058.222,931.82-4.13%2,576.72-15.74%0.0288✓1.11544.5M2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1259-4.14%2.668-18.18%0.0853✓0.81206k2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.795.5494-4.16%4.34-25.04%0.1511✓1.05802k2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.332.233-4.16%1.17-49.79%0.5387✓1.192.3M2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2412.1455-4.26%1.824-18.61%0.0719✓1.0066k2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1310.125388-4.28%0.1137-13.21%0.0266✓1.383.2M2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6373.4806-4.30%2.83-22.19%0.1295✓0.86649k2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration195.98187.5111-4.32%122.46-37.51%0.3152✓1.231.0M2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase2.23812.1412-4.33%1.6748-25.17%0.1399✓1.17845k2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2796.0059-4.35%4.714-24.92%0.1624✓0.8881k2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.12576.8153-4.36%5.7399-19.45%0.0399✓1.46156k2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01260.01205-4.37%0.01185-5.95%0.1113✗1.421.7M2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059740.057105-4.41%0.04783-19.94%0.0480✓1.431.5M2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.1290.123079-4.59%0.0836-35.19%0.2423✓1.601.6M2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.916.585-4.70%3.99-42.26%0.4091✓1.02818k2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0631.9656-4.72%1.338-35.14%0.2670✓1.301.2M2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.032080.030544-4.79%0.02495-22.23%0.1214✓0.897.4M2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.010.961518-4.80%0.92-8.91%0.0463✓1.00298k2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.16364.9146-4.82%3.8173-26.07%0.1412✓1.23406k2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.46683.2985-4.86%2.0561-40.69%0.3946✓0.8626k2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40893.2418-4.90%2.9137-14.53%0.0069✓1.102.5M2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3264.9665-4.91%46.4-32.08%0.2246✓1.247.8M2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum4.814.5735-4.92%2.9-39.71%0.3305✓1.388.3M2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.6523.435-4.93%18.57-24.67%0.0904✓1.57411k2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.0617.1499-5.04%13.09-27.52%0.1638✓1.1876.9M2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3129.6798-5.21%27.87-10.99%0.0409✓1.15103.8M2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.5560.52695-5.22%0.391-29.68%0.1678✓1.454.6M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.172.0546-5.32%1.274-41.29%0.3546✓1.363.4M2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2815.4103-5.34%16.34+0.37%0.1219✗0.70908k2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche79.0574.8152-5.36%72.98-7.68%0.0966✗1.3485.1M2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum8.918.4268-5.42%8.61-3.37%0.1359✗1.272.3M2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.3110.294113-5.43%0.2009-35.40%0.2394✓1.574.1M2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum31.3329.6248-5.44%23.39-25.34%0.1038✓1.472.0M2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.8733-5.48%1.82-40.13%0.3447✓1.24407k2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95920.90497-5.65%0.7047-26.53%0.1548✓1.0513.5M2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum3.973.745-5.67%3.473-12.52%0.0400✓1.282.0M2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.179525-5.71%0.1326-30.36%0.2375✓0.72423k2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.119729-5.73%0.1-21.26%0.0897✓1.0096k2022-03-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58260.549228-5.73%0.4042-30.62%0.1422✓1.821.8M2022-03-08
UMAUMAEthereum6.446.0512-6.04%7.832+21.61%0.3486✗1.001.9M2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.681.5769-6.14%1.06-36.90%0.3068✓1.001.2M2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3621.9261-6.14%16.86-27.83%0.1569✓1.1726.9M2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.21771.1407-6.32%0.8637-29.07%0.1443✓1.481.9M2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.815.4382-6.40%3.912-32.67%0.2164✓1.252.7M2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0070.006544-6.51%0.00376-46.29%0.3712✓2.0220.0M2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.12221.0478-6.63%0.734-34.59%0.2188✓1.52672k2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.235560.219182-6.95%0.14701-37.59%0.2525✓1.6334k2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000002280.00000212-7.01%0.00000181-20.61%0.0678✓1.0014.9M2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61910.574209-7.25%0.5126-17.20%0.0155✓1.081.4M2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum3.30033.0581-7.34%2.3938-27.47%0.1552✓0.992.8M2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.587.9446-7.41%5.71-33.45%0.2986✓0.351.6M2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase91.457584.6527-7.44%52.05-43.09%0.3604✓1.39319k2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09290.085909-7.53%0.0566-39.07%0.2594✓1.7526.7M2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168350.015561-7.57%0.011366-32.49%0.2063✓1.192.3M2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02590.948081-7.59%0.7402-27.85%0.1487✓1.0929.2M2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03530.032548-7.80%0.0246-30.31%0.1416✓1.53490k2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383920.03528-8.10%0.016926-55.91%0.6199✓1.27117k2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.92563.6061-8.14%3.0102-23.32%0.0615✓1.322.3M2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum2.131.9492-8.49%1.54-27.70%0.1452✓1.001.8M2022-03-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1435.5629-9.44%2.467-59.84%0.7227✓1.001.4M2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32661.1999-9.55%0.7371-44.44%0.3969✓1.002.5M2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.048880.044168-9.64%0.03821-21.83%0.0545✓1.005.3M2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0761.8736-9.75%3.0589+47.35%0.5498✗0.663.2M2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,634.4122,183.69-9.95%19,352.13-21.44%0.0519✓0.9412.3M2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.