8=======>

2022-02-05 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4152
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.4%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,186.7722,483.80-10.73%18,376.27-27.04%0.1235✓0.9112.4M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10890.097415-10.55%0.0544-50.05%0.4215✓1.8726.7M2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050510.045461-10.00%0.03434-32.01%0.1946✓1.005.3M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.28631.1614-9.71%0.73-43.25%0.3784✓1.002.7M2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0541.8558-9.65%2.469+20.20%0.3418✗0.663.5M2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7695.228-9.38%2.56-55.62%0.6280✓1.001.2M2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum2.222.0204-8.99%1.59-28.38%0.1536✓1.002.3M2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61860.565891-8.52%0.4925-20.38%0.0451✓1.091.5M2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03680.033697-8.43%0.0248-32.61%0.1731✓1.55490k2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.94233.6203-8.17%2.9274-25.74%0.1021✓1.282.4M2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0395270.036375-7.97%0.017437-55.89%0.6252✓1.28120k2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.00210.925815-7.61%0.7277-27.38%0.1455✓1.1129.4M2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000002260.000002088-7.61%0.00000177-21.68%0.0793✓1.0015.3M2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.157.5373-7.52%5.62-31.04%0.2639✓0.341.6M2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0164330.01523-7.32%0.011201-31.84%0.2085✓1.152.6M2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.118801-7.19%0.1-21.87%0.0863✓1.00102k2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum6.45.9696-6.73%7.8+21.88%0.3526✗0.991.9M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase85.820580.0598-6.71%52.8584-38.41%0.2995✓1.35320k2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.765.3771-6.65%3.62-37.15%0.2925✓1.203.0M2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.581.4809-6.27%1.04-34.18%0.2675✓1.001.3M2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006740.006318-6.26%0.00392-41.84%0.3032✓2.0320.1M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2620.8741-6.23%16.42-26.24%0.1430✓1.1326.9M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.010.95044-5.90%0.93-7.92%0.0642✗1.00333k2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.8714.9578-5.75%17.31+9.07%0.2001✗0.63908k2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative1.1661.0997-5.69%0.8412-27.86%0.1468✓1.411.9M2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.93.6787-5.68%3.496-10.36%0.0576✓1.262.1M2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.94910.895443-5.65%0.694-26.88%0.1662✓1.0314.2M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.18550.175023-5.65%0.1333-28.14%0.2130✓0.69423k2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96820.913757-5.62%0.7051-27.17%0.1182✓1.64725k2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.205310.19388-5.57%0.14835-27.74%0.1382✓1.5132k2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.31020.292986-5.55%0.1993-35.75%0.2524✓1.554.1M2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.01452.8487-5.50%2.3622-21.64%0.1107✓0.892.8M2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.212.0886-5.49%1.243-43.76%0.4006✓1.383.5M2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum8.678.1995-5.43%8.37-3.46%0.1271✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.7449-5.35%1.84-36.55%0.2992✓1.17441k2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.8128.2276-5.31%22.43-24.76%0.0918✓1.612.1M2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.7629.1401-5.27%28.29-8.03%0.0663✗1.12109.3M2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.12034.8515-5.25%3.6598-28.52%0.1761✓1.23406k2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.5330.505368-5.18%0.381-28.52%0.1646✓1.374.6M2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.853.8925-5.12%46.15-18.75%0.0597✓1.117.8M2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.0973.1728-5.08%71.75-6.93%0.0930✗1.3187.1M2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48813.3129-5.02%1.9115-45.20%0.4777✓0.8426k2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7716.8781-5.02%12.7-28.53%0.1837✓1.1777.2M2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum4.684.4503-4.91%2.88-38.46%0.3202✓1.348.4M2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.031040.029522-4.89%0.02497-19.56%0.0971✓0.827.6M2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34043.1772-4.89%2.8397-14.99%0.0230✓1.042.6M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.676.3449-4.87%3.97-40.48%0.3845✓0.98818k2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9211.8294-4.77%1.307-31.96%0.2333✓1.201.2M2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2313.0847-4.53%2.706-16.25%0.0649✓0.77212k2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration185.88177.5871-4.46%120.6-35.12%0.2903✓1.121.0M2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.12358-4.42%0.1105-14.54%0.0016✓1.283.3M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77270.738804-4.39%0.4144-46.37%0.4555✓1.431.1M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.63.4427-4.37%2.878-20.06%0.1116✓0.79678k2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana2.242.1423-4.36%1.725-22.99%0.1307✓1.0067k2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.92816.6264-4.36%5.712-17.55%0.0265✓1.42174k2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.11290.108069-4.28%0.0935-17.18%0.0607✓0.9837k2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.312.2113-4.27%1.13-51.08%0.5686✓1.202.3M2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase2.19332.0996-4.27%1.6162-26.31%0.1626✓1.15845k2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058880.056375-4.25%0.04852-17.60%0.0379✓1.301.5M2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero168.71161.589-4.22%157.95-6.38%0.0642✗1.011.7M2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 255.3953.0834-4.16%77.85+40.55%0.5047✗1.428.8M2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011130.010669-4.15%0.01182+6.20%0.2136✗1.291.7M2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0595.8095-4.12%4.618-23.78%0.1586✓0.8391k2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.791.7163-4.12%1.274-28.83%0.1934✓1.221.8M2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.11810.11332-4.05%0.0802-32.09%0.2194✓1.471.6M2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.4521.5542-3.99%18.4-18.04%0.0249✓1.55411k2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2159.6093-3.97%116.88-29.68%0.1947✓1.3610.9M2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022060.021186-3.96%0.01691-23.35%0.1349✓1.052.7M2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2132220.204816-3.94%0.169685-20.42%0.1029✓0.9924.9M2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum5.485.2653-3.92%4.4-19.71%0.0944✓0.99875k2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.20880.200673-3.89%0.1942-6.99%0.0784✗1.293.6M2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44210.424895-3.89%0.4075-7.83%0.0984✗1.631.8M2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52020.49996-3.89%0.3173-39.00%0.3031✓1.7642.5M2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013530.013004-3.89%0.012-11.31%0.0039✓0.8913k2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum136.68131.3939-3.87%98.5-27.93%0.1823✓1.2354k2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN8.1667.8507-3.86%5.615-31.24%0.3070✓0.3340k2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0690.066345-3.85%0.0672-2.61%0.1184✗1.23540k2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,404.8539,813.06-3.84%37,994.00-8.24%0.0392✗1.00648.0M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,014.502,899.03-3.83%2,491.58-17.35%0.0576✓1.09557.7M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3520.5397-3.80%16.4-23.19%0.1108✓1.3343.5M2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.314.7322-3.71%12.47-18.50%0.0839✓0.96663k2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9721.158-3.70%17.82-18.89%0.0737✓1.1410.4M2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.3455-3.65%4.234-6.12%0.0422✗0.79351k2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano1.12551.0845-3.65%0.7932-29.52%0.2180✓1.10110.9M2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.043028-3.63%0.03834-14.13%0.0226✓1.0828k2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.662.5642-3.60%2.11-20.68%0.1099✓0.99579k2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4417-3.59%5.302+48.52%0.4570✗0.291.5M2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2710.8713-3.54%8.31-26.26%0.1588✓1.2812.5M2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403820.038968-3.50%0.041733+3.35%0.1761✗1.258.4M2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.925290.893166-3.47%0.63315-31.57%0.2048✓1.62350k2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase45.6144.0377-3.45%33.73-26.05%0.1338✓1.55568k2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.32211.2769-3.42%0.89059-32.64%0.2755✓0.99333k2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.770.743759-3.41%0.6-22.08%0.0544✓1.87996k2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0850.082157-3.35%0.06777-20.27%0.1278✓0.7584k2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49320.477275-3.23%0.3195-35.22%0.2838✓1.372.0M2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.00008390.000081195-3.22%0.0000689-17.88%0.0693✓1.105.5M2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.343053-3.09%0.268-24.29%0.1366✓1.281.7M2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6526750.632818-3.04%0.472233-27.65%0.1948✓1.143.5M2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.5146.3173-3.02%4.783-26.57%0.1949✓0.97341k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.709-2.95%1.435-18.51%0.0794✓1.111.6M2022-03-07
DASHDashDash103.6100.5421-2.95%85.9-17.08%0.0597✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.3206-2.91%1.98-42.11%0.3984✓1.3821.3M2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26270.255151-2.87%0.2184-16.86%0.0611✓1.101.7M2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44810.435345-2.85%0.3298-26.40%0.1684✓1.279.4M2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum7.02346.8275-2.79%6.77-3.61%0.0635✗0.844.1M2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum46.1644.8754-2.78%39.76-13.86%0.0220✓1.1534.0M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.2816-2.76%7.76+20.12%0.2760✗0.75463k2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV96.7394.129-2.69%76.42-21.00%0.1301✓0.911.6M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.13811.1076-2.68%1.1872+4.32%0.1711✗1.182.3M2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07630.07427-2.66%0.0671-12.06%0.0102✓1.0621k2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7780.757345-2.65%0.649-16.58%0.0653✓1.041.6M2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana113.8111.0042-2.46%81.66-28.24%0.2046✓1.19187.6M2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.865-2.33%10.23+1.29%0.0966✗0.70660k2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.1821-2.30%0.976-19.34%0.0817✓1.28490k2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04050.039591-2.24%0.01158-71.41%1.1408✓1.039.0M2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.172.1226-2.18%1.7-21.66%0.1115✓1.292.2M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15510.15176-2.15%0.1422-8.32%0.0241✗1.04337k2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.0896-2.08%6.17-14.78%0.1123✓0.311.1M2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash116.08113.7123-2.04%109.5-5.67%0.0691✗1.246.6M2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5191.4881-2.03%1.085-28.57%0.2102✓1.233.4M2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.011220.010998-1.98%0.00883-21.30%0.1108✓1.261.4M2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.74314.5995-1.91%273.86-14.62%0.0514✓1.027.6M2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum132.93130.5247-1.81%110.5-16.87%0.0887✓0.917.6M2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.80141.7691-1.79%1.8793+4.32%0.1526✗1.0776k2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum2.892.839-1.76%1.585-45.16%0.5014✓0.952.2M2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9760.958814-1.76%0.762-21.93%0.1143✓1.342.3M2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.8119.7578-1.68%98.35-19.25%0.0853✓1.3031.3M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.382-1.61%5.01-8.41%0.0099✓0.72377k2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.011540.011355-1.61%0.00866-24.96%0.1837✓1.01572k2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.4233-1.48%5.93-9.05%0.0091✓0.82478k2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08690.085612-1.48%0.0657-24.40%0.1636✓1.18244k2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative19.68619.4038-1.43%17.761-9.78%0.0319✗1.4010.5M2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7282.6923-1.31%3.353+22.91%0.3336✗1.33911k2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3528.0099-1.20%28.16-0.67%0.0884✗0.97513k2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0419.8126-1.13%13.71-31.59%0.2194✓1.733.8M2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,460.8041,067.61-0.95%37,523.40-9.50%0.0066✓0.9740k2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.10019-0.87%0.08764-13.29%0.0482✓1.0047k2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.5622.5411-0.82%2.085-18.62%0.1117✓1.0022k2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95490.947358-0.79%1.3125+37.45%0.4497✗1.4499k2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022540.000022386-0.68%0.00002279+1.11%0.1272✗1.271.3M2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22663.2092-0.54%2.8817-10.69%0.0271✓0.942.0M2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4229.2968-0.42%26.15-11.11%0.0252✓1.033.8M2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.31480.314294-0.16%0.2527-19.73%0.1253✓1.08554k2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.265531+0.20%0.231-12.83%0.0608✗0.9163k2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79414.8102+0.34%5.3807+12.24%0.1337✓0.25376k2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59950.603436+0.66%0.6711+11.94%0.2153✓1.272.7M2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1470260.148284+0.86%0.116934-20.47%0.1503✗1.017.1M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0647620.066285+2.35%0.058556-9.58%0.0467✗0.90379k2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.