2022-01-22 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2418

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+33.38%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

61.5%

in alpha space · 62.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.25467	+4.37%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0770	✗	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	36,224.83	+4.07%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0313	✓	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	3.0767	+3.80%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3720	✗	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.160884	+2.88%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.1431	✗	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	111.3935	+2.75%	102.78	-5.19%	0.1528	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0988	+2.57%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1651	✗	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.116268	+2.44%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0175	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.074937	+2.37%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.1462	✗	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	298.733	+2.35%	283.16	-2.99%	0.1107	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.6766	+2.16%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0667	✗	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.529283	+2.01%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.0852	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.057828	+1.90%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0243	✗	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.135569	+1.81%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.1154	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.6655	+1.80%	25	+3.18%	0.0460	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.723011	+1.75%	1.646	+131.64%	0.7484	✓	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.081143	+1.56%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0027	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3761	+1.54%	2.16	-7.69%	0.1598	✗	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010134	+1.54%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0782	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	96.0375	+1.33%	82.97	-12.46%	0.2118	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000020801	+1.32%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.0681	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.5255	+1.30%	1.384	-8.10%	0.1664	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.923	+1.14%	2.34	-19.03%	0.3047	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.060069	+1.13%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0409	✗	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.220213	+1.06%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0205	✗	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,436.32	+1.01%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0079	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	99.7443	+0.98%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0137	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009491	+0.97%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.1729	✗	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.03665	+0.94%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0818	✗	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.420061	+0.90%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.2331	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.442352	+0.88%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2662	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.4807	+0.84%	1.58	-35.77%	0.5391	✗	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.23492	+0.78%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.1316	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.499792	+0.76%	0.444	-10.48%	0.2034	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8249	+0.74%	2.583	-7.88%	0.1324	✗	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.07924	+0.65%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0661	✗	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.713964	+0.42%	0.64	-9.99%	0.1691	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.029969	+0.40%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.2070	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.873453	+0.40%	0.739	-15.06%	0.2434	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.062598	+0.37%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.0886	✗	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	23.9115	+0.30%	21.87	-8.26%	0.1820	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.81	+0.21%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0348	✗	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4968	+0.19%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0103	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	22,938.07	+0.18%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.2017	✗	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012769	+0.15%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0423	✗	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.5392	+0.14%	26.51	+23.25%	0.1672	✓	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.869	+0.06%	13.51	-14.82%	0.2283	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.054319	+0.03%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.1464	✓	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	18.7664	+0.03%	17.63	-6.02%	0.1468	✗	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	2.9502	-0.06%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0664	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.565	-0.08%	2.321	-9.58%	0.1835	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.05046	-0.10%	0.01937	-61.65%	1.0307	✓	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	96.9669	-0.11%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1745	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.264064	-0.16%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3446	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.5733	-0.22%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0643	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.0473	-0.25%	5.07	+0.20%	0.0511	✓	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.09412	-0.30%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0731	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.1918	-0.37%	16.19	-11.34%	0.1917	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009311	-0.41%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.0751	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	94.1992	-0.41%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0082	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.5816	-0.55%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.4881	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.036562	-0.55%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.2476	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.007883	-0.59%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.6918	✓	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	2.9891	-0.59%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.1082	✓	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.175282	-0.63%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.1154	✓	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.1534	-0.65%	1.003	-13.61%	0.2090	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	151.3325	-0.66%	148	-2.85%	0.0772	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.504176	-0.67%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.1358	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.7042	-0.68%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0061	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9651	-0.70%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0755	✓	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.0193	-0.72%	18.137	+19.88%	0.1011	✗	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	35.0084	-0.77%	32.14	-8.90%	0.1704	✓	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.0122	-0.79%	6.72	+10.89%	0.0997	✗	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	145.9167	-0.86%	128.58	-12.64%	0.1952	✓	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	34,754.89	-0.89%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0089	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.5042	-0.92%	13.77	+9.11%	0.0584	✗	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3534	-0.92%	1.34	-1.90%	0.0749	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.3613	-0.98%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2375	✓	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.790614	-1.01%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.0505	✓	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.1952	-1.04%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.1766	✓	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0592	-1.13%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2731	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.014765	-1.31%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.2556	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.575241	-1.40%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3428	✓	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.7452	-1.40%	1.57	-11.30%	0.1804	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	18.736	-1.44%	18.64	-1.95%	0.0706	✓	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	15.8775	-1.44%	13.9	-13.72%	0.2322	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6259	-1.46%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.0689	✓	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0685	-1.50%	1.25	-40.48%	0.5818	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0224	-1.51%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.1990	✓	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	82.706	-1.53%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.2539	✓	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000067323	-1.56%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.0509	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	32.8887	-1.65%	39.81	+19.05%	0.1259	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.5331	-1.72%	5.27	-6.39%	0.0900	✓	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0073	-1.77%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1497	✗	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.341	-1.79%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3529	✓	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	20.1718	-1.79%	17.77	-13.49%	0.1995	✓	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.188896	-1.81%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.1168	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	58.6376	-1.94%	70.08	+17.19%	0.1072	✗	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	10.9408	-1.96%	8.52	-23.66%	0.3225	✓	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	61.6501	-1.97%	50.13	-20.29%	0.3047	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	12.9228	-2.03%	12.48	-5.38%	0.0956	✓	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.5868	-2.05%	1.37	-15.43%	0.2055	✓	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.930984	-2.13%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2360	✓	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.5498	-2.13%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0412	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.019675	-2.16%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.1478	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.626026	-2.18%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0357	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4708	-2.20%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1331	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.5834	-2.23%	4.021	+9.71%	0.0731	✗	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	117.5221	-2.31%	106.4	-11.55%	0.1672	✓	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.4767	-2.34%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0258	✗	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	6.7787	-2.38%	6.04	-13.02%	0.1347	✓	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.136026	-2.42%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.1099	✓	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.6591	-2.43%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1195	✓	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	2.9824	-2.50%	2.889	-5.56%	0.0791	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.036643	-2.54%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.1480	✗	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.785642	-2.64%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.3042	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	86.8774	-2.65%	80.87	-9.38%	0.1234	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.4578	-2.71%	4.2	-25.13%	0.3121	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.2665	-2.72%	2.17	-6.87%	0.0992	✓	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.5016	-2.80%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0121	✓	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.757301	-2.91%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.1226	✓	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.031648	-2.92%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.2652	✓	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.047514	-2.95%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.1346	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.707783	-3.26%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.0613	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.144918	-3.26%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0118	✓	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	28.3053	-3.30%	23.83	-18.59%	0.2275	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	48.2975	-3.73%	47.35	-5.62%	0.0854	✓	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.865926	-3.79%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0279	✓	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.686663	-3.92%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.1562	✓	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	5.8687	-3.95%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2336	✓	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	181.5209	-4.50%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4313	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.304285	-4.61%	0.279	-12.54%	0.1633	✓	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	1.9821	-4.71%	1.3	-37.50%	0.5014	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.5991	-4.79%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0307	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	6.6015	-5.15%	5.95	-14.51%	0.1259	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.416333	-6.53%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.0336	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.049854	-7.99%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8271	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.3688	-9.36%	5.72	+18.67%	0.2484	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.6668	-9.81%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1047	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.509362	-9.97%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1234	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.064309	-10.71%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.7029	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.485492	-11.44%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.4557	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.2709	-12.00%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.4125	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	1.884	-12.37%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0004	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.