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2022-01-03 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2166
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.3%
in alpha space · 72.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1701030.170421+0.19%0.168474-0.96%0.0039✓1.104.7M2022-01-04
TRXTRONTron0.0769880.077061+0.10%0.075989-1.30%0.0009✓0.94552k2022-01-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.217.2033-0.09%7.16-0.69%0.0029✗0.64861k2022-01-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11773.1146-0.10%3.0903-0.88%0.0089✗1.203.1M2022-01-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6821.6803-0.10%1.678-0.24%0.0177✗1.366.0M2022-01-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.62794.6229-0.11%4.507-2.61%0.0073✓1.295.0M2022-01-04
QNTQuantEthereum178.99178.7686-0.12%179.48+0.27%0.0174✗0.968.7M2022-01-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79143.7862-0.14%3.7795-0.31%0.0033✓-0.11374k2022-01-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.898.8754-0.16%8.76-1.46%0.0046✓0.60869k2022-01-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,459.5646,382.06-0.17%45,814.61-1.39%0.0017✗1.00727.0M2022-01-04
SOLSolanaSolana170.13169.8173-0.18%167.72-1.42%0.0025✗1.07217.0M2022-01-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.50621.5032-0.20%1.4484-3.84%0.0257✓0.824.5M2022-01-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.174.1614-0.21%3.89-6.71%0.0535✓1.003.4M2022-01-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70480.703264-0.22%0.6945-1.46%0.0052✗1.275.3M2022-01-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1524.1427-0.22%4.112-0.96%0.0018✓0.66483k2022-01-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.0834.9994-0.23%36.13+2.99%0.0463✗1.0422.7M2022-01-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.68.5799-0.23%8.5-1.16%0.0013✓0.76773k2022-01-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5611.533-0.23%11.51-0.43%0.0043✓-0.172.3M2022-01-04
NANOnanopayBase3.57923.5706-0.24%3.7143+3.77%0.0544✗1.07754k2022-01-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,766.043,755.90-0.27%3,785.00+0.50%0.0222✗1.04654.8M2022-01-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37210.371094-0.27%0.3673-1.29%0.0075✗1.273.4M2022-01-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.6431.5516-0.28%31.27-1.17%0.0005✓0.68385k2022-01-04
DASHDashDash139.05138.6554-0.28%134.69-3.14%0.0113✓1.271.9M2022-01-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.7234.6213-0.28%34.11-1.76%0.0003✓1.043.9M2022-01-04
FTTFTXEthereum40.2240.1053-0.29%41.35+2.81%0.0453✗1.0519.4M2022-01-04
GTGateEthereum6.43926.4199-0.30%6.4901+0.79%0.0226✗0.843.9M2022-01-04
XVGVergenative0.017310.017258-0.30%0.01721-0.58%0.0139✗1.192.2M2022-01-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.197784-0.31%0.1957-1.36%0.0021✓0.91527k2022-01-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5110.4771-0.31%10.56+0.48%0.0183✗0.751.3M2022-01-04
ADACardanoCardano1.31861.3145-0.31%1.3092-0.71%0.0113✗1.1098.5M2022-01-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.65820.65605-0.33%0.6784+3.07%0.0516✗1.2911.4M2022-01-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.141.1362-0.33%1.15+0.88%0.0260✗1.001.9M2022-01-04
COMPCompoundEthereum222.2221.4532-0.34%223.02+0.37%0.0231✗1.15210k2022-01-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.562.5513-0.34%2.48-3.13%0.0136✓1.064.0M2022-01-04
XMRMoneroMonero231.81231.0247-0.34%222.22-4.14%0.0248✓1.003.2M2022-01-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.18121.7554-0.35%120.8-1.13%0.0055✗0.953.2M2022-01-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1525.1341-0.35%5.107-0.87%0.0031✓0.60598k2022-01-04
XEMNEMnative0.1270.126552-0.35%0.1252-1.42%0.0046✗1.10115k2022-01-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033070.000032949-0.37%0.00003245-1.87%0.0022✓1.251.7M2022-01-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum94.3894.0328-0.37%92.88-1.59%0.0011✓0.966.3M2022-01-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.893.8753-0.38%3.92+0.77%0.0300✗1.3211.2M2022-01-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0220530.02197-0.38%0.022317+1.20%0.0325✗1.202.4M2022-01-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.241.2353-0.38%1.223-1.37%0.0032✓0.942.5M2022-01-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin148.43147.8472-0.39%146.44-1.34%0.0093✗1.3538.3M2022-01-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash434.61432.8941-0.39%427.38-1.66%0.0013✓1.019.1M2022-01-04
CELLCellframeEthereum1.00250.998531-0.40%1.0351+3.25%0.0499✗1.00146k2022-01-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.121060.120576-0.40%0.11972-1.11%0.0083✗1.1026k2022-01-04
XYMSymbolnative0.20580.204973-0.40%0.2101+2.09%0.0330✗0.60428k2022-01-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.0929.9688-0.40%28.69-4.65%0.0256✓1.2972.5M2022-01-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.4369.3967-0.42%9.36-0.81%0.0046✗0.61302k2022-01-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4140.412271-0.42%0.409-1.21%0.0023✓0.7341k2022-01-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.35452.3446-0.42%2.3398-0.62%0.0137✗1.12100k2022-01-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0860.085636-0.42%0.0856-0.47%0.0146✗1.0720k2022-01-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10040.099968-0.43%0.0991-1.29%0.0103✗1.361.6M2022-01-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056590.056343-0.44%0.05513-2.58%0.0064✓1.1015k2022-01-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.18286.1559-0.44%6.0617-1.96%0.0014✓1.20577k2022-01-04
KSMKusamaHydration289.65288.3712-0.44%296.29+2.29%0.0427✗1.121.3M2022-01-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.090080.089673-0.45%0.08927-0.90%0.0158✗1.453.0M2022-01-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.253.2353-0.45%3.42+5.23%0.0738✗1.303.0M2022-01-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08550.085113-0.45%0.08388-1.89%0.0024✓1.2220.9M2022-01-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6161.6087-0.45%1.646+1.86%0.0410✗1.293.4M2022-01-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,018.2045,806.92-0.46%46,006.00-0.03%0.0180✗0.9810k2022-01-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20520.20423-0.47%0.1995-2.78%0.0061✓1.244.8M2022-01-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.2339.0441-0.47%38.67-1.43%0.0155✗1.805.7M2022-01-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.5215.4463-0.47%15.92+2.58%0.0463✗1.153.5M2022-01-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.4505-0.48%3.363-3.00%0.0034✓1.601.9M2022-01-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.4136.2349-0.48%35.83-1.59%0.0101✗1.531.1M2022-01-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.2829.1375-0.49%33.82+15.51%0.1687✗1.4124.2M2022-01-04
ZECZcashZcash150.55149.7947-0.50%147.34-2.13%0.0024✓1.3510.3M2022-01-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.574.5468-0.51%4.74+3.72%0.0556✗1.002.5M2022-01-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.85211.8426-0.51%1.7918-3.26%0.0167✓0.80689k2022-01-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338370.033661-0.52%0.033406-1.27%0.0067✗1.027.8M2022-01-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.433.4121-0.52%3.39-1.17%0.0075✗1.00995k2022-01-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.6054.5809-0.52%4.72+2.50%0.0396✗0.6918k2022-01-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.134.1081-0.53%4.1-0.73%0.0120✗1.001.0M2022-01-04
BANDBandEthereum5.565.5305-0.53%5.66+1.80%0.0398✗1.192.1M2022-01-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199410.198349-0.53%0.20404+2.32%0.0502✗1.576,5192022-01-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1815.099-0.53%15.04-0.92%0.0057✗0.691.2M2022-01-04
ZENHorizenBase63.4463.096-0.54%64.42+1.54%0.0418✗1.51837k2022-01-04
UNIUniswapEthereum18.4718.3698-0.54%18.21-1.41%0.0092✗1.2814.1M2022-01-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.53941.5309-0.55%1.4602-5.14%0.0340✓0.953.7M2022-01-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017360.017264-0.55%0.01947+12.15%0.1383✗1.292.2M2022-01-04
XTZTezosTezos4.81564.7889-0.55%5.039+4.64%0.0696✗1.334.9M2022-01-04
XLMStellarStellar0.2902880.288642-0.57%0.279308-3.78%0.0187✓1.0224.9M2022-01-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.7223.5837-0.57%23.43-1.22%0.0120✗1.3269.2M2022-01-04
XECeCashnative0.000116480.000115807-0.58%0.00011292-3.06%0.0115✓0.987.4M2022-01-04
SCSiacoinnative0.015730.015637-0.59%0.01547-1.65%0.0026✓0.96817k2022-01-04
SUSHISushiEthereum8.518.4593-0.60%8.07-5.17%0.0288✓1.3117.7M2022-01-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07310.072652-0.61%0.0695-4.92%0.0248✓1.401.7M2022-01-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.38421.3757-0.62%1.2788-7.61%0.0599✓0.9421.2M2022-01-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020230.020105-0.62%0.01973-2.47%0.0098✓0.6536k2022-01-04
UMAUMAEthereum9.279.2127-0.62%9.03-2.59%0.0044✓1.123.9M2022-01-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.30191.2938-0.62%1.2829-1.46%0.0162✗1.761.3M2022-01-04
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25063.2303-0.62%3.1744-2.34%0.0043✓0.945.9M2022-01-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2652.2509-0.62%2.228-1.63%0.0055✓1.122.7M2022-01-04
DODODODOEthereum0.9040.898323-0.63%0.873-3.43%0.0080✓1.478.1M2022-01-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.721.7089-0.64%1.64-4.65%0.0171✓1.721.0M2022-01-04
QTUMQtumQtum9.20529.1454-0.65%8.9939-2.30%0.0031✓1.42273k2022-01-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.1970.195702-0.66%0.1943-1.37%0.0094✗1.192.4M2022-01-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche108.09107.3686-0.67%103.3-4.43%0.0230✓1.11119.6M2022-01-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7774.7446-0.68%4.673-2.18%0.0046✓0.761.2M2022-01-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.38880.386071-0.70%0.3934+1.18%0.0396✗1.493.4M2022-01-04
LUNATerraTerra 288.9288.2807-0.72%84.56-4.90%0.0291✓1.005.3M2022-01-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06360.06314-0.72%0.0623-2.04%0.0060✓1.397.5M2022-01-04
AAVEAaveEthereum267.25265.3045-0.73%251.96-5.72%0.0358✓1.1312.6M2022-01-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.12350.1226-0.73%0.1192-3.48%0.0141✓1.0035.9M2022-01-04
KCSKuCoinnative22.36322.1971-0.74%22.046-1.42%0.0160✗1.6314.1M2022-01-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.573.5435-0.74%3.71+3.92%0.0611✗1.08626k2022-01-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.724.5164-0.74%24.02-2.75%0.0061✓1.031.3M2022-01-04
LRCLoopringEthereum2.04562.0298-0.77%2.0651+0.95%0.0435✗1.881.5M2022-01-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7962.7741-0.78%2.693-3.68%0.0154✓1.021.9M2022-01-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.640.634941-0.79%0.662+3.44%0.0594✗1.262.2M2022-01-04
MOVRMoonriverBase191.896190.372-0.79%185.4543-3.36%0.0099✓1.16574k2022-01-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39481.3836-0.80%1.3427-3.74%0.0147✓1.10926k2022-01-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.24371.2337-0.81%1.1872-4.54%0.0188✓1.401.9M2022-01-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3168.2488-0.81%8.239-0.93%0.0165✗1.26354k2022-01-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69420.688521-0.82%0.7133+2.75%0.0539✗1.322.9M2022-01-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.30050.298001-0.83%0.3025+0.67%0.0332✗1.304.6M2022-01-04
GITCOINGITCOIN13.61213.4939-0.87%15.672+15.13%0.1489✗-0.0698k2022-01-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.536.4711-0.90%6.08-6.89%0.0434✓1.3529.3M2022-01-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.3740.370579-0.91%0.3574-4.44%0.0223✓0.99293k2022-01-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84130.83343-0.94%0.8381-0.38%0.0296✗1.7131.9M2022-01-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13520.133851-1.00%0.1324-2.07%0.0041✓1.07310k2022-01-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.2938.8962-1.00%42.05+7.02%0.0906✗0.9143.4M2022-01-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110920.10976-1.05%0.11-0.83%0.0111✗0.6455k2022-01-04
RADRadworksEthereum11.2911.1713-1.05%11.27-0.18%0.0205✗0.841.2M2022-01-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8441.3605-1.15%42.83+2.37%0.0580✗1.652.8M2022-01-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.940260.929439-1.15%0.888431-5.51%0.0295✓1.122.8M2022-01-04
CBKCobakEthereum3.3813.3397-1.22%3.15-6.83%0.0467✓0.8541k2022-01-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.052480.051827-1.24%0.04929-6.08%0.0377✓0.908.2M2022-01-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum38,753.9338,263.06-1.27%36,282.47-6.38%0.0447✓0.6015.7M2022-01-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022160.021864-1.34%0.02111-4.74%0.0211✓1.0029.0M2022-01-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.7213.5346-1.35%15.7+14.43%0.1484✗-0.003.7M2022-01-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.8112.6366-1.35%12.29-4.06%0.0194✓0.601.3M2022-01-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.79491.7689-1.45%1.6714-6.88%0.0411✓1.1130.0M2022-01-04
HIVEHivenative1.63031.6065-1.46%1.5925-2.32%0.0105✓1.385.5M2022-01-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum7.197.0772-1.57%6.6-8.21%0.0539✓1.143.3M2022-01-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.640.617797-3.47%0.6206-3.03%0.0240✓1.39650k2022-01-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.