2021-12-28 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3618

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+38.65%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.9%

in alpha space · 94.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-21.78%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.018687	-14.55%	0.00534	-75.58%	1.0070	✓	1.00	39.8M	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.3833	-14.16%	0.8838	-45.16%	0.1078	✓	1.38	7.1M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	10.1604	-12.86%	5.07	-56.52%	0.4861	✓	0.85	1.3M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	12.7857	-12.67%	6.75	-53.89%	0.6529	✓	-0.06	4.8M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	8.9157	-11.97%	5.722	-43.50%	0.1368	✓	1.25	411k	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.626678	-11.81%	0.4474	-37.04%	0.0113	✓	1.33	3.4M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	12.9445	-11.28%	6.745	-53.77%	0.6797	✓	-0.11	129k	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	3.8902	-11.18%	1.95	-55.48%	0.4450	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.501	-10.79%	0.99692	-40.75%	0.1700	✓	0.97	5.3M	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	10.3338	-10.68%	5.62	-51.43%	0.4664	✓	0.58	1.5M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	34.3782	-10.59%	24.3	-36.80%	0.0780	✓	1.73	3.0M	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.3118	-10.56%	0.9364	-36.16%	0.0610	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	2.9944	-10.34%	2.2527	-32.55%	0.0523	✓	0.95	8.0M	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.045414	-10.30%	0.02909	-42.54%	0.2204	✓	0.92	10.4M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.273861	-9.71%	0.1754	-42.17%	0.1252	✓	1.30	5.8M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	1.8825	-9.29%	0.9645	-53.52%	0.1940	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.1417	-9.17%	0.5781	-54.01%	0.3280	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	97.3754	-9.04%	64.73	-39.53%	0.1306	✓	1.13	136.0M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.3022	-8.88%	0.8032	-43.80%	0.2470	✓	0.96	23.6M	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.014243	-8.88%	0.00962	-38.45%	0.1563	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	23.1894	-8.77%	13.95	-45.12%	0.2501	✓	1.05	1.6M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.517	-8.61%	1.58	-42.63%	0.2149	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.722078	-8.55%	0.6525	-17.36%	0.3356	✗	1.78	28.3M	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.393572	-8.49%	0.5303	+23.30%	0.6434	✗	1.41	1.0M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	174.0486	-8.48%	73.6045	-61.30%	0.5745	✓	1.16	674k	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.834834	-8.36%	0.482	-47.09%	0.1849	✓	1.48	9.2M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.58707	-8.27%	0.314	-50.94%	0.3130	✓	1.27	2.9M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.191284	-8.26%	0.17087	-18.05%	0.2817	✗	1.61	13k	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	78.2849	-8.08%	54.08	-36.50%	0.1242	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.1938	-8.03%	3.97	-12.94%	0.1908	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.4218	-7.97%	2.7225	-43.34%	0.3060	✓	0.73	26k	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	8.3458	-7.88%	4.05	-55.30%	0.3989	✓	1.32	15.8M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.096436	-7.72%	0.065	-37.80%	0.0555	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	92.1308	-7.63%	47.47	-52.41%	0.4264	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.060879	-7.62%	0.0357	-45.83%	0.2074	✓	1.33	1.9M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.502	-7.56%	2.65	-45.59%	0.2843	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.350136	-7.40%	0.2772	-26.69%	0.1317	✗	1.49	4.7M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	5.8075	-7.35%	4.2126	-32.79%	0.0278	✓	1.19	724k	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	14.4011	-7.33%	8.39	-46.01%	0.2605	✓	1.14	4.8M	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.2079	-7.16%	1.8043	+38.67%	0.6675	✗	1.08	1.1M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	4.971	-7.07%	3.107	-41.91%	0.3021	✓	0.68	734k	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.1849	-7.00%	2.23	-50.44%	0.3838	✓	1.00	4.4M	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	15.0401	-6.99%	12.75	-21.15%	0.0021	✓	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.01854	-6.98%	0.01439	-27.80%	0.1002	✓	0.62	45k	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	26,717.31	-6.88%	23,910.78	-16.66%	0.0317	✓	0.58	9.0M	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.1821	-6.88%	2.9095	-35.21%	0.0350	✓	1.33	5.4M	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.126513	-6.84%	0.0794	-41.53%	0.2058	✓	1.06	344k	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.205036	-6.76%	0.1127	-48.75%	0.2971	✓	1.23	6.1M	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.745161	-6.70%	0.530399	-33.59%	0.0694	✓	1.10	3.0M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.179889	-6.45%	0.0947	-50.75%	0.3609	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.2943	-6.41%	2.26	-35.80%	0.1194	✓	1.05	787k	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.0104	-6.17%	3.38	-36.70%	0.0974	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	9.2023	-6.08%	5.873	-40.06%	0.3038	✓	0.59	455k	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	59.6085	-5.86%	36.7	-42.04%	0.1116	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.708	-5.82%	1.0754	-40.70%	0.2719	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.097224	-5.75%	0.07195	-30.25%	0.1453	✓	0.63	92k	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.322382	-5.74%	0.2367	-30.79%	0.0778	✓	0.94	328k	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.2077	-5.65%	0.725	-43.36%	0.2794	✓	0.94	3.1M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.6734	-5.59%	2.637	-32.23%	0.0858	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	11.378	-5.58%	6.37	-47.14%	0.6292	✓	-0.20	4.3M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.055997	-5.46%	0.038232	-35.45%	0.0264	✓	1.45	8.2M	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.6738	-5.43%	0.81	-54.24%	0.3018	✓	1.73	1.5M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.5338	-5.41%	4.57	-21.88%	0.0880	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	8.6015	-5.40%	5.5654	-38.79%	0.0817	✓	1.44	285k	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	20.3454	-5.40%	16.064	-25.30%	0.1698	✗	1.65	18.6M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.1163	-5.40%	0.65	-44.92%	0.2952	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.6191	-5.31%	0.4535	-73.48%	1.0749	✓	0.80	5.9M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	9.0844	-5.27%	5.67	-40.88%	0.1952	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.032181	-5.26%	0.020242	-40.41%	0.2064	✓	1.05	9.3M	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	0.974585	-5.10%	0.8569	-16.56%	0.1169	✗	1.00	151k	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	23.5	-4.90%	19.61	-20.64%	0.1710	✗	1.43	22.9M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.260699	-4.89%	0.194019	-29.22%	0.0435	✓	1.03	32.3M	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.3632	-4.88%	1.5616	-37.15%	0.1350	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.085394	-4.87%	0.04978	-44.55%	0.1811	✓	1.46	4.1M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.016744	-4.87%	0.00965	-45.17%	0.2577	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000033232	-4.83%	0.00002125	-39.15%	0.2015	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	17.5112	-4.83%	10.32	-43.91%	0.2147	✓	1.28	15.5M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.015731	-4.72%	0.01041	-36.95%	0.0985	✓	1.28	2.7M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.4997	-4.67%	2.79	-40.89%	0.1499	✓	1.34	26.8M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.1841	-4.67%	2.3	-31.14%	0.0802	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,616.77	-4.66%	2,425.82	-36.06%	0.1438	✓	1.04	766.3M	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.1638	-4.63%	0.83214	-31.81%	0.1019	✗	1.78	1.5M	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.000104486	-4.59%	0.00007022	-35.88%	0.1521	✓	1.00	9.9M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	19.432	-4.56%	15.23	-25.20%	0.0860	✗	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	4.801	-4.54%	3.0464	-39.43%	0.1334	✓	1.31	5.2M	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.3376	-4.45%	1.0428	-25.50%	0.0144	✓	1.07	120.2M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.367165	-4.43%	0.2343	-39.02%	0.1338	✓	1.28	4.4M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	37.9418	-4.43%	16.82	-57.63%	0.3629	✓	1.83	7.2M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	241.4927	-4.41%	144.54	-42.79%	0.2443	✓	1.09	11.4M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	25.4394	-4.26%	30	+12.91%	0.3883	✗	0.91	40.2M	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.191468	-4.17%	0.1146	-42.64%	0.2924	✓	0.90	701k	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	33.5882	-4.09%	18.67	-46.69%	0.2119	✓	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	200.6683	-3.99%	121.94	-41.66%	0.2160	✓	1.15	236k	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	283.0805	-3.98%	164.64	-44.15%	0.2671	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.5993	-3.93%	2.3156	-38.19%	0.1827	✓	1.05	819k	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.4775	-3.87%	0.861	-43.98%	0.2180	✓	1.31	4.1M	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	181.5225	-3.84%	93.16	-50.65%	0.4311	✓	0.96	11.5M	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	45,723.22	-3.83%	37,188.37	-21.78%	0.0390	✓	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.3503	-3.81%	8.93	-17.01%	0.0379	✓	0.76	1.4M	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.2137	-3.80%	6.5312	+1.12%	0.2501	✗	0.82	4.3M	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.207677	-3.76%	0.1614	-25.21%	0.1227	✓	0.53	392k	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.0292	-3.74%	1.399	-33.63%	0.0943	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.052314	-3.60%	0.0403	-25.74%	0.0116	✓	1.11	16k	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	422.9774	-3.59%	289.64	-33.98%	0.1288	✓	1.02	10.8M	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.4912	-3.58%	3.89	-31.69%	0.2030	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	26.8769	-3.46%	18.13	-34.88%	0.0796	✓	1.28	77.1M	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	2.877	-3.45%	2.121	-28.83%	0.0907	✓	0.87	92k	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.643004	-3.44%	0.4054	-39.12%	0.1428	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.4527	-3.44%	1.59	-37.40%	0.1776	✓	1.04	4.4M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	171.3495	-3.34%	89.55	-49.48%	0.3906	✓	1.05	257.1M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	130.2533	-3.34%	91.73	-31.93%	0.0333	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.4122	-3.33%	2.955	-35.25%	0.2451	✓	0.63	502k	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	32.444	-3.18%	26.76	-20.14%	0.0311	✓	0.66	572k	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.124358	-3.15%	0.0984	-23.36%	0.0376	✗	1.11	175k	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	35.1279	-3.10%	19.21	-47.01%	0.3522	✓	1.02	22.1M	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.081379	-2.89%	0.0638	-23.87%	0.0236	✓	1.09	16k	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.021366	-2.78%	0.014097	-35.86%	0.1167	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	34.0171	-2.70%	24.33	-30.41%	0.0777	✓	1.05	5.1M	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	141.8922	-2.59%	106.92	-26.60%	0.0529	✗	1.37	53.2M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	118.6977	-2.52%	89.31	-26.66%	0.0462	✓	0.97	3.7M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.4579	-2.50%	5.84	-39.79%	0.3345	✓	0.60	1.1M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.073667	-2.27%	0.04646	-38.37%	0.1573	✓	1.24	21.1M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.702495	-1.95%	0.5092	-28.93%	0.0102	✓	1.27	6.6M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	146.5701	-1.93%	88.89	-40.52%	0.1676	✓	1.35	11.8M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	39.2695	-1.85%	38.35	-4.15%	0.2342	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	204.8448	-1.81%	144.6	-30.69%	0.1066	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	2.9778	-1.72%	1.76	-41.91%	0.2041	✓	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	8.9547	-1.38%	5.9	-35.02%	0.2326	✓	0.75	1.1M	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.3252	-1.22%	2.7628	-17.92%	0.1152	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.418713	-1.01%	0.243	-42.55%	0.3598	✓	0.75	46k	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.6479	-0.97%	1.42	-14.66%	0.1823	✗	1.35	8.3M	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.113508	-0.83%	0.08437	-26.29%	0.0232	✓	1.11	29k	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5163	-0.71%	5.12	-32.36%	0.2273	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	47,077.17	-0.65%	37,269.30	-21.35%	0.0105	✗	0.99	10k	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.6311	+0.86%	3.4851	-3.19%	0.0698	✗	-0.12	405k	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.175994	+1.29%	0.141443	-18.59%	0.0545	✓	1.11	6.0M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.078657	+1.86%	0.056453	-26.89%	0.0984	✗	0.95	648k	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.