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2021-12-22 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3552
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.1%
in alpha space · 93.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.019435-18.61%0.0092-61.47%0.4602✓1.0034.3M2022-01-21
HIVEHivenative1.50551.2675-15.81%0.906-39.82%0.0412✓1.3111.9M2022-01-21
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19981.8819-14.45%0.8678-60.55%0.1978✓2.002.3M2022-01-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.3937-13.32%0.91734-42.95%0.1291✓1.017.8M2022-01-21
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28952.8891-12.17%2.2219-32.45%0.0180✓0.859.3M2022-01-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66102.8295-11.86%66.07-43.37%0.1102✓1.15158.3M2022-01-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4936.6772-11.60%24.86-40.08%0.1096✓1.735.2M2022-01-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.629.4453-11.06%7.97-24.95%0.2040✓-0.124.2M2022-01-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.1686-10.79%0.8913-31.96%0.0168✓1.00196k2022-01-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.616743-10.53%0.4811-30.20%0.1063✓1.236.5M2022-01-21
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.806057-10.24%0.561-37.53%0.0606✓1.479.7M2022-01-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.089.958-10.13%6.49-41.43%0.2815✓0.513.4M2022-01-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.454.9013-10.07%2.29-57.98%0.4733✓1.006.8M2022-01-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.2287-9.93%1.0303-24.47%0.1258✗1.0535.5M2022-01-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.7716-9.86%1.1848-39.72%0.2029✓0.691.3M2022-01-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.406924-9.79%0.5351+18.62%0.6821✗1.421.6M2022-01-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.045484-9.56%0.0303-39.75%0.1339✓0.9516.3M2022-01-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.3332-9.53%1.738-32.61%0.0305✓0.922.8M2022-01-21
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.014525-9.28%0.01044-34.79%0.0646✓0.921.5M2022-01-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.259357-9.19%0.198-30.67%0.0925✓1.266.6M2022-01-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.6115-8.68%3.31-34.46%0.0575✓1.3528.7M2022-01-21
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.1452-8.49%2.71-40.18%0.1373✓1.002.8M2022-01-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54025.9938-8.35%4.7186-27.85%0.1020✗1.19833k2022-01-21
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.1841-8.34%5.68-43.31%0.2077✓0.951.9M2022-01-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.065294-8.29%0.0363-49.02%0.1943✓1.372.7M2022-01-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.582036-8.20%0.352-44.48%0.1509✓1.223.2M2022-01-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.186865-8.18%0.16704-17.92%0.3566✗1.6334k2022-01-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.6279-8.18%4.65-7.74%0.2924✗1.001.8M2022-01-21
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072167.0583-8.16%95-47.78%0.2364✓1.14748k2022-01-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.617553-8.12%0.6365-5.30%0.5591✗1.8412.6M2022-01-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.1686-8.05%0.857-32.57%0.0037✓1.0723.6M2022-01-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.3031-7.99%2.45-31.75%0.0111✓1.0011.9M2022-01-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5693.5192-7.92%58.39-42.51%0.1960✓0.969.8M2022-01-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0341.4941-7.85%17.88-60.29%0.3089✓1.8510.6M2022-01-21
XVSVenusEthereum15.5614.3625-7.70%9.94-36.12%0.0395✓1.145.7M2022-01-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5122.7047-7.37%15.55-36.56%0.0723✓1.062.7M2022-01-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.2627-7.34%1.4321+5.09%0.4348✗1.071.5M2022-01-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.126524-7.31%0.0834-38.90%0.1057✓1.08508k2022-01-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.764332-7.26%0.55846-32.24%0.0069✓1.074.7M2022-01-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.09516-7.25%0.0619-39.67%0.0417✓1.353.3M2022-01-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.196614-7.21%0.0939-55.69%0.4089✓1.154.2M2022-01-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000032478-7.21%0.00002226-36.40%0.0901✓1.001.9M2022-01-21
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.23-6.86%3.3417-26.42%0.1380✗1.305.1M2022-01-21
UMAUMAEthereum9.468.8234-6.73%6.6-30.23%0.0227✓1.094.1M2022-01-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.018102-6.69%0.01394-28.14%0.1028✓0.5561k2022-01-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.307361-6.66%0.2921-11.30%0.3669✗1.454.4M2022-01-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0169-6.62%0.6747-38.04%0.0263✓1.523.0M2022-01-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7129,541.58-6.60%25,741.64-18.62%0.0170✓0.546.8M2022-01-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1303-6.59%0.73-39.67%0.1495✓1.002.3M2022-01-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.099039-6.58%0.07197-32.12%0.1627✓0.54143k2022-01-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.194062-6.57%0.1206-41.94%0.1323✓1.197.6M2022-01-21
BANDBandEthereum5.365.0102-6.53%3.96-26.12%0.1050✗1.182.8M2022-01-21
ZENHorizenBase6863.5757-6.51%38.94-42.74%0.0535✓1.521.7M2022-01-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7914.7636-6.50%13.42-15.01%0.0955✗0.661.5M2022-01-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.6518-6.44%0.5186-70.62%1.0081✓0.528.5M2022-01-21
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.1031-6.25%2.9-12.39%0.2113✗0.97807k2022-01-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.1853-6.23%4.17-24.59%0.0930✗1.085.3M2022-01-21
GITCOINGITCOIN10.589.9268-6.17%7.826-26.03%0.2883✓-0.18129k2022-01-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.034624-6.13%0.022082-40.14%0.1565✓1.0213.9M2022-01-21
QTUMQtumQtum9.42998.8632-6.01%6.1225-35.07%0.0464✓1.45349k2022-01-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.016827-5.99%0.01111-37.93%0.0539✓1.263.6M2022-01-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.1956-5.93%0.764-39.89%0.1661✓0.984.4M2022-01-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.320814-5.89%0.2396-29.72%0.0366✓0.89401k2022-01-21
KCSKuCoinnative21.43520.1846-5.83%16.808-21.59%0.3028✗1.6922.7M2022-01-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.057385-5.83%0.041641-31.67%0.1088✗1.4911.0M2022-01-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5097-5.64%0.97-39.38%0.0457✓1.701.6M2022-01-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.089082-5.43%0.05388-42.80%0.0687✓1.516.4M2022-01-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3925.9066-5.42%34.64+26.47%0.5398✗0.8741.0M2022-01-21
XVGVergenative0.017240.016316-5.36%0.01002-41.88%0.1488✓1.182.9M2022-01-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2587.8205-5.30%8.351+1.13%0.4455✗1.32635k2022-01-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.5456-5.21%6.72-44.83%0.6313✓-0.315.4M2022-01-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.6138-5.19%5.957-41.25%0.2936✓0.64455k2022-01-21
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2115.3913-5.05%12.63-22.09%0.1674✗1.2714.1M2022-01-21
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000104986-5.03%0.00007968-27.92%0.0097✓0.9912.0M2022-01-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.3337-5.01%1.6672-32.14%0.0100✓1.20147k2022-01-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9218.931-4.96%17.44-12.45%0.2840✗1.2767.0M2022-01-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.5728-4.95%2.795-25.65%0.0421✓1.003.6M2022-01-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3422.1872-4.94%24.19+3.64%0.4705✗1.3421.2M2022-01-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.1291-4.84%0.81011-31.72%0.1699✗1.741.6M2022-01-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.2263-4.83%2.46-27.43%0.0115✓0.981.3M2022-01-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,794.88-4.68%2,569.01-35.47%0.0849✓1.06768.5M2022-01-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.25524-4.66%0.202862-24.23%0.0543✗0.9939.0M2022-01-21
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.231348-4.56%0.1639-32.38%0.2133✓0.46428k2022-01-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.78-4.55%3.2277-35.55%0.1740✓0.7631k2022-01-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7632.237-4.51%21.23-37.11%0.0146✓1.501.6M2022-01-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.360387-4.51%0.2523-33.15%0.0165✓1.306.6M2022-01-21
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.2693-4.42%1.1211-15.57%0.1712✗1.03128.9M2022-01-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.8418-4.42%3.555-29.82%0.0841✗1.375.0M2022-01-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.664322-4.33%0.4366-37.13%0.0499✓1.2914.9M2022-01-21
GTGateEthereum6.1255.8597-4.33%6.243+1.93%0.2976✗0.814.7M2022-01-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.054506-4.12%0.03977-30.04%0.0081✓1.1220k2022-01-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6246,688.73-3.95%36,456.94-25.00%0.0403✗1.00750.8M2022-01-21
ZECZcashZcash165.84159.3154-3.93%102.35-38.28%0.0507✓1.3613.6M2022-01-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.1396-3.92%1.445-35.11%0.0729✓1.113.4M2022-01-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1514.9524-3.86%4.12-20.02%0.0020✓0.63936k2022-01-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.199951-3.78%0.1474-29.07%0.0534✓0.87776k2022-01-21
KSMKusamaHydration273.22263.2034-3.67%213.87-21.72%0.1032✗1.081.5M2022-01-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2426.2475-3.64%19.67-27.79%0.0684✗1.2475.5M2022-01-21
DASHDashDash135.16130.2361-3.64%105.73-21.77%0.1504✗1.252.2M2022-01-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.38-3.64%1.84-25.51%0.0151✓0.954.7M2022-01-21
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.3495-3.62%2.3265-33.06%0.0648✓1.04819k2022-01-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6334.3477-3.60%21.98-38.31%0.1552✓1.0122.5M2022-01-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5143-3.48%0.984-37.28%0.0528✓1.325.4M2022-01-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3423.5942-3.36%315.04-28.12%0.0007✓1.0314.2M2022-01-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44150.2537-3.34%114.51-26.33%0.1307✗1.4060.2M2022-01-21
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65199.8755-3.28%139.37-32.56%0.0580✓1.05236k2022-01-21
SOLSolanaSolana178.45172.6274-3.26%112.32-37.06%0.1395✓1.01265.5M2022-01-21
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.1637-3.09%4.96-22.01%0.1607✗1.3113.8M2022-01-21
QNTQuantEthereum182.5176.8733-3.08%114.44-37.29%0.1722✓0.9112.1M2022-01-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.7451-3.03%3.168-17.97%0.0283✓0.68487k2022-01-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0243.9022-3.03%3.392-15.71%0.0910✗0.80714k2022-01-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0832.0848-3.01%23.31-29.53%0.1275✓0.67711k2022-01-21
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48200.2767-3.00%171.09-17.14%0.1203✗0.9711.4M2022-01-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.3340.097-2.98%38.52-6.80%0.2654✗1.0623.4M2022-01-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6734.6639-2.82%25.95-27.25%0.0108✓1.046.2M2022-01-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.084062-2.82%0.0634-26.71%0.0345✗1.1022k2022-01-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022353-2.77%0.016171-29.66%0.0243✓1.212.0M2022-01-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.0973-2.63%9.4-9.35%0.1425✗0.741.6M2022-01-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.08549-2.52%0.05552-36.69%0.0747✓1.2422.6M2022-01-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.720155-2.25%0.5619-23.73%0.1021✗1.227.7M2022-01-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.5981-2.18%6.31-28.21%0.1207✓0.661.1M2022-01-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67120.9837-2.17%95.68-22.63%0.0486✗0.982.8M2022-01-21
XEMNEMnative0.13050.127669-2.17%0.097-25.67%0.0376✗1.09202k2022-01-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.9093-2.14%2.197-26.10%0.0386✓0.84103k2022-01-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7636-2.08%1.209-32.87%0.0067✓1.296.8M2022-01-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.073.0092-1.98%2-34.85%0.0387✓1.293.2M2022-01-21
XMRMoneroMonero190.53187.58-1.55%172.82-9.30%0.1917✗0.952.8M2022-01-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.7056-1.41%6.56-25.71%0.0610✓0.77934k2022-01-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.113666-1.22%0.08324-27.66%0.0052✓1.1030k2022-01-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2048,295.77-1.04%36,607.80-24.99%0.0061✓0.9812k2022-01-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.355049-0.55%0.271-24.09%0.0563✓0.7449k2022-01-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.2197-0.54%3.11-3.93%0.3120✗1.214.0M2022-01-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.913-0.21%5.64-28.88%0.1567✓0.631.1M2022-01-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.6276+0.78%3.5345-1.81%0.0517✗-0.09372k2022-01-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.175773+1.49%0.142057-17.98%0.1030✓1.105.5M2022-01-21
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.081165+2.68%0.061109-22.69%0.0066✓0.96787k2022-01-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.