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2021-12-21 · +1d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0460
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.0%
in alpha space · 28.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.171169+0.15%0.173188+1.34%0.0186✓1.105.5M2021-12-22
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078928+0.10%0.079046+0.25%0.0075✓0.96787k2021-12-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4607-0.11%8.79+3.78%0.0423✗0.661.2M2021-12-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6845-0.12%1.7654+4.67%0.0502✗0.528.7M2021-12-22
QNTQuantEthereum186.26186.0327-0.12%182.5-2.02%0.0134✓0.9112.3M2021-12-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2412.2246-0.13%12.18-0.49%0.0056✓-0.315.7M2021-12-22
XMRMoneroMonero188.96188.7176-0.13%190.53+0.83%0.0155✗0.952.9M2021-12-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.2824-0.13%35.67+0.96%0.0175✗1.046.5M2021-12-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.1862-0.14%3.2372+1.46%0.0234✗1.214.7M2021-12-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5961-0.14%3.5995-0.04%0.0004✓-0.09372k2021-12-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.356477-0.15%0.357+0.00%0.0061✗0.7454k2021-12-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7929-0.16%3.862+1.66%0.0223✗0.68544k2021-12-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01095.0021-0.18%5.0655+1.09%0.0212✗1.375.2M2021-12-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.2445-0.19%35.63+0.91%0.0172✗1.0121.2M2021-12-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.0646-0.20%23.34+1.00%0.0203✗1.3420.8M2021-12-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.332112-0.21%0.3409+2.43%0.0317✗0.89544k2021-12-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.718507-0.21%0.7367+2.32%0.0327✗1.227.7M2021-12-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.963-0.21%33.76+5.40%0.0641✗1.501.5M2021-12-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.1172-0.21%27.24+8.22%0.0889✗1.2475.1M2021-12-22
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4236-0.21%3.4753+1.30%0.0215✗1.04819k2021-12-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.772-0.22%1.801+1.41%0.0243✗1.296.8M2021-12-22
DASHDashDash133.6133.2959-0.23%135.16+1.17%0.0217✗1.252.2M2021-12-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.429-0.24%2.4567+0.90%0.0189✗1.20169k2021-12-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,796.45-0.24%48,608.62-0.63%0.0024✓1.00754.4M2021-12-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.6013-0.24%3.59-0.55%0.0031✗1.0012.1M2021-12-22
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4193.9169-0.25%206.65+6.30%0.0702✗1.05228k2021-12-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1633.0773-0.25%33.08-0.24%0.0043✗0.67744k2021-12-22
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000109002-0.25%0.00011055+1.16%0.0203✗0.9912.6M2021-12-22
GTGateEthereum6.04466.0289-0.26%6.125+1.33%0.0209✗0.814.9M2021-12-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9356-0.26%4.024+1.98%0.0273✗0.80734k2021-12-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.478-0.27%1.569+5.87%0.0680✗1.325.6M2021-12-22
SOLSolanaSolana179.75179.2561-0.27%178.45-0.72%0.0018✓1.01275.4M2021-12-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.11153-0.28%0.11507+2.89%0.0382✗1.1030k2021-12-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4332-0.28%2.47+1.23%0.0210✗0.954.8M2021-12-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.6657-0.28%8.83+1.61%0.0236✗0.77934k2021-12-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8988-0.28%2.973+2.27%0.0306✗0.84104k2021-12-22
XVGVergenative0.017350.0173-0.29%0.01724-0.63%0.0039✗1.183.1M2021-12-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0624-0.29%5.151+1.46%0.0213✗0.631.0M2021-12-22
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8328-0.29%6.36+8.72%0.0948✗1.3213.8M2021-12-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.068597-0.29%0.0712+3.49%0.0458✗1.362.7M2021-12-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.3817-0.30%19.92+2.47%0.0354✗1.2769.7M2021-12-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94436.625-0.30%438.3+0.08%0.0103✗1.0314.2M2021-12-22
XEMNEMnative0.1280.127608-0.31%0.1305+1.95%0.0292✗1.09202k2021-12-22
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.2329-0.31%15.56+1.83%0.0284✗1.146.2M2021-12-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.114,004.71-0.31%3,981.12-0.90%0.0008✓1.06768.5M2021-12-22
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015711-0.31%0.01601+1.59%0.0246✗0.921.6M2021-12-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.056019-0.32%0.05685+1.16%0.0218✗1.1222k2021-12-22
ZENHorizenBase64.3764.1613-0.32%68+5.64%0.0677✗1.521.9M2021-12-22
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.5533-0.33%206.48+10.92%0.1129✗0.9711.0M2021-12-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.6588-0.33%24.51-0.93%0.0006✓1.062.8M2021-12-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2799-0.33%1.3628+6.12%0.0695✗1.081.6M2021-12-22
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2758-0.34%1.3279+3.73%0.0465✗1.03131.8M2021-12-22
KSMKusamaHydration267.01266.0904-0.34%273.22+2.33%0.0332✗1.081.5M2021-12-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.098856-0.35%0.1026+3.43%0.0457✗1.353.3M2021-12-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64124.2062-0.35%123.67-0.78%0.0019✓0.982.5M2021-12-22
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.242222-0.36%0.2424-0.29%0.0036✓0.46428k2021-12-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9293-0.36%3.07+4.42%0.0550✗1.293.1M2021-12-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2166-0.36%1.271+4.10%0.0499✗0.984.4M2021-12-22
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.0047-0.37%16.21+7.64%0.0853✗1.2714.2M2021-12-22
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.4279-0.37%10.58+11.80%0.1142✗-0.17119k2021-12-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2796.9078-0.37%101.56+4.41%0.0529✗0.969.8M2021-12-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8154.2167-0.38%155.44+0.41%0.0167✗1.4060.7M2021-12-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.209108-0.38%0.2078-1.00%0.0008✓0.87756k2021-12-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.3174-0.38%3.39+1.80%0.0278✗0.981.3M2021-12-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.5605-0.38%27.39+15.81%0.1561✗0.8741.0M2021-12-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.368283-0.38%0.3774+2.08%0.0326✗1.306.6M2021-12-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,259.52-0.39%48,803.20+0.73%0.0174✗0.9915k2021-12-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.085762-0.39%0.0865+0.46%0.0155✗1.1024k2021-12-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9240.7584-0.39%45.03+10.04%0.1113✗1.8513.1M2021-12-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.266912-0.40%0.267724-0.09%0.0092✗0.9940.4M2021-12-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.9579-0.40%5.0079+0.60%0.0148✗0.7631k2021-12-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022658-0.40%0.022989+1.05%0.0221✗1.211.9M2021-12-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1615-0.42%1.1865+1.72%0.0322✗1.751.5M2021-12-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.311876-0.42%0.3293+5.14%0.0635✗1.454.9M2021-12-22
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.7825-0.42%41.33-1.50%0.0042✓1.0625.2M2021-12-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.203037-0.42%0.2077+1.86%0.0302✗1.198.6M2021-12-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.779724-0.43%0.824208+5.25%0.0622✗1.074.8M2021-12-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.6668-0.43%7.93+2.99%0.0377✗0.631.1M2021-12-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1188-0.43%2.227+4.65%0.0568✗1.113.3M2021-12-22
BANDBandEthereum5.325.2967-0.44%5.36+0.75%0.0193✗1.182.8M2021-12-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4788-0.44%8.258+9.93%0.1074✗1.32635k2021-12-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6228-0.44%1.6-1.84%0.0035✓1.701.8M2021-12-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13546.1072-0.46%6.5402+6.60%0.0760✗1.19833k2021-12-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.8153-0.46%3.759-1.93%0.0086✓1.003.6M2021-12-22
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.2159-0.47%4.5418+7.23%0.0826✗1.304.7M2021-12-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.25810.2097-0.47%10.14-1.15%0.0028✓0.64388k2021-12-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.667956-0.48%0.6893+2.70%0.0392✗1.237.1M2021-12-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.44631-0.49%0.4511+0.58%0.0196✗1.421.8M2021-12-22
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.1727-0.50%9.4299+2.29%0.0367✗1.45349k2021-12-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0988-0.50%1.0889-1.40%0.0004✓1.523.3M2021-12-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.333-0.50%5.53+3.17%0.0431✗1.085.5M2021-12-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.061353-0.50%0.060937-1.18%0.0026✓1.4913.0M2021-12-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.278865-0.51%0.2856+1.89%0.0318✗1.267.0M2021-12-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.4245-0.51%2.579+5.83%0.0676✗0.923.2M2021-12-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.9077-0.52%10.37+4.12%0.0503✗0.741.9M2021-12-22
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964182.9928-0.53%181.9072-1.12%0.0012✓1.14853k2021-12-22
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.860311-0.54%0.898+3.82%0.0521✗1.479.9M2021-12-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.103743-0.54%0.10602+1.64%0.0251✗0.54143k2021-12-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7992-0.56%1.9655+8.63%0.0928✗0.701.4M2021-12-22
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.7346-0.57%10.02+2.35%0.0349✗0.951.9M2021-12-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.2214-0.57%3.31+2.16%0.0332✗0.97807k2021-12-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.204806-0.58%0.20351-1.21%0.0039✓1.6334k2021-12-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.183-0.59%1.21+1.68%0.0288✗1.002.4M2021-12-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.705538-0.59%0.6944-2.16%0.0078✓1.2915.1M2021-12-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.620301-0.59%0.634+1.60%0.0295✗1.223.2M2021-12-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.134186-0.60%0.1365+1.11%0.0239✗1.08559k2021-12-22
ZECZcashZcash162.44161.4476-0.61%165.84+2.09%0.0354✗1.3613.6M2021-12-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.048081-0.62%0.05029+3.95%0.0509✗0.9515.8M2021-12-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.956-0.62%15.79+4.92%0.0584✗0.671.6M2021-12-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.101649-0.63%0.0942-7.91%0.0667✓1.516.8M2021-12-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017945-0.64%0.0179-0.89%0.0054✓1.263.6M2021-12-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5336.2957-0.64%41.49+13.58%0.1447✗1.745.5M2021-12-22
UMAUMAEthereum98.942-0.64%9.46+5.11%0.0632✗1.094.1M2021-12-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000032637-0.65%0.000035+6.54%0.0762✗1.001.8M2021-12-22
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.7251-0.69%21.435-2.01%0.0028✓1.6922.7M2021-12-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.8522-0.71%11.08+1.37%0.0240✗0.514.1M2021-12-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.348-0.71%1.3641+0.47%0.0184✗1.0535.7M2021-12-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.6169-0.76%5.45-3.71%0.0239✓1.007.1M2021-12-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019556-0.78%0.0194-1.57%0.0045✓0.5561k2021-12-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.4652-0.78%10.62+11.32%0.1144✗-0.123.7M2021-12-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.5729-0.80%4.53-1.74%0.0032✓1.002.5M2021-12-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.5812-0.84%5.05+9.31%0.1059✗1.3628.7M2021-12-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28693.2588-0.86%3.2895+0.08%0.0147✗0.8510.1M2021-12-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.1221-0.88%1.31+15.72%0.1611✗1.00215k2021-12-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.037893-1.05%0.036887-3.68%0.0205✓1.0215.0M2021-12-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.3008-1.06%1.2709-3.33%0.0166✓1.0623.6M2021-12-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.096729-1.07%0.0877-10.30%0.0902✓1.2422.6M2021-12-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.4838-1.12%1.6078+7.14%0.0866✗1.017.8M2021-12-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.8833-1.15%5.04+2.02%0.0379✗1.001.9M2021-12-22
HIVEHivenative1.47581.4578-1.22%1.5055+2.01%0.0404✗1.3111.9M2021-12-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.594202-1.30%0.6721+11.64%0.1347✗1.8412.4M2021-12-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9934,240.80-1.31%31,630.71-8.84%0.0759✓0.536.8M2021-12-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27121.5894-1.36%116.66-5.36%0.0342✓1.15164.3M2021-12-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.21843-1.79%0.2119-4.72%0.0231✓1.154.2M2021-12-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.3516-2.08%2.1998-8.40%0.0542✓2.002.4M2021-12-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.022358-2.53%0.02388+4.10%0.0721✗1.0033.0M2021-12-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.