CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
36.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0821
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0069
actual +0.0133
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.066335 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.068448 | -0.42% | 0.066581 | -3.13% | 0.0293 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066682 | -0.31% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0382 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.070173 | -0.43% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0492 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073586 | -0.47% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0386 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072413 | -0.46% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0199 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.078067 | -0.54% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0753 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073378 | -0.51% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0716 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087672 | -0.65% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1867 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.096046 | -1.04% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0728 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091732 | -0.68% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0363 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091552 | -0.92% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0172 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.086097 | -0.62% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0747 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.07274 | -0.55% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1842 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070748 | -0.75% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0152 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.086485 | -1.69% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2247 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073521 | -0.57% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1766 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.065013 | -0.41% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1189 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068641 | -0.57% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0275 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.073136 | -1.20% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0546 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.069181 | -0.95% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0634 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.06881 | -0.71% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0321 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059557 | -0.47% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1505 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.056195 | -0.38% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0654 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.053435 | -0.30% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0396 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051418 | -0.31% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0421 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051948 | -0.34% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0027 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049759 | -0.38% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0425 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052845 | -0.49% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0563 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046617 | -0.41% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1069 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045644 | -0.50% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0202 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044483 | -0.58% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1123 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047281 | -1.02% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0564 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.05547 | -0.61% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1439 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054648 | -0.61% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1017 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059427 | -0.99% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0740 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056393 | -1.62% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0728 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.061787 | -4.08% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1301 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046937 | -0.28% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3485 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044804 | -0.15% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0385 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044449 | -0.07% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0107 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045442 | -0.05% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0057 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047358 | -0.19% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0832 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046746 | -0.08% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0110 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046627 | +0.01% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0121 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043059 | +0.24% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0503 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044821 | +0.26% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0307 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045424 | +0.40% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0123 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048909 | +0.27% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1170 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.072333 | -0.50% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3251 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.070219 | -0.48% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0330 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.068066 | -0.47% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0153 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067853 | -0.46% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0237 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068891 | -0.47% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0209 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069607 | -0.46% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0014 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065805 | -0.36% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0172 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.070322 | -0.41% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0411 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06914 | -0.43% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0299 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.06857 | -0.37% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0045 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.069101 | -0.38% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0181 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069806 | -0.42% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0058 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066844 | -0.34% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0249 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064486 | -0.41% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1663 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.067312 | -0.72% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0602 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.068295 | -0.99% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1645 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069727 | -1.28% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.066341 | -1.18% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1328 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.061314 | -1.30% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0828 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.062995 | -3.56% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0121 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.056134 | -1.07% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1330 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054509 | -1.42% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0407 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053289 | -2.71% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0319 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.045509 | -1.36% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1703 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.039187 | -0.51% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1293 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036644 | -0.73% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0700 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.0356 | -1.02% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0368 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030316 | -1.61% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1947 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027587 | -0.87% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.0981 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025151 | -0.86% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1224 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027335 | -0.95% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0525 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.029193 | -1.16% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0575 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026964 | -1.17% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1208 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038143 | -2.76% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3377 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033654 | -2.53% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0788 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025813 | -0.97% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3282 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026978 | -1.17% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0322 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023917 | -0.68% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1393 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.02243 | -0.46% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0043 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.02091 | -0.37% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0586 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026744 | -1.24% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023462 | -0.53% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021116 | -0.28% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1265 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019948 | -0.25% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0662 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.02096 | -0.33% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0668 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018435 | -0.29% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018829 | -0.31% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018615 | -0.28% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018367 | -0.27% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018298 | -0.29% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.01641 | -0.25% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1160 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.019054 | -0.28% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1897 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016966 | -0.24% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1423 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.01592 | -0.15% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019556 | -0.30% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1986 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021685 | -0.29% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022507 | -0.29% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020885 | -0.28% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0950 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021164 | -0.36% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023165 | -0.43% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0933 | ✓ | 1.00 |