2022-02-25 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3340

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+26.55%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.7%

in alpha space · 6.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068491	-0.59%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0315	✗	1.05	168k	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.64926	-0.72%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0679	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.058907	-0.96%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0139	✗	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	38,931.85	-1.15%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0123	✗	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4358	-1.18%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0144	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.883738	-1.77%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0866	✗	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.0223	-1.80%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.0893	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.6801	-1.87%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2773	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.096635	-1.89%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0108	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.472963	-1.90%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.8195	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	34.0612	-1.93%	50.08	+44.20%	0.1208	✗	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.1762	-2.07%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3279	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024314	-2.08%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.1895	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	3.9981	-2.27%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2607	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.2829	-2.27%	6.324	+170.72%	0.7973	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5091	-2.41%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2622	✗	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	301.5443	-2.43%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0450	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	106.6695	-2.43%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0157	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.1582	-2.46%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0712	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.223188	-2.54%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0426	✗	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.5062	-2.54%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0163	✓	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.4898	-2.56%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0276	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	8.9985	-2.72%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0009	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	38,167.98	-2.73%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0277	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.169126	-2.86%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.2144	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	13.9764	-2.87%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0315	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.009867	-2.88%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.0967	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.1459	-2.91%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0740	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.124004	-2.96%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0223	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.1181	-2.96%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0262	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.4714	-3.01%	7.01	+52.06%	0.3116	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.874651	-3.02%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0440	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.083364	-3.03%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0807	✗	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.350046	-3.06%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0440	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.12	-3.07%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0132	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.216376	-3.10%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0620	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,682.31	-3.15%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0145	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.854143	-3.16%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0292	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.360881	-3.17%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.0979	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.185023	-3.20%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0196	✓	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000072806	-3.22%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0902	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1078	-3.24%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0339	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	108.8604	-3.25%	148.67	+32.13%	0.1292	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.679362	-3.27%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0302	✓	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.4683	-3.28%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0706	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.1246	-3.31%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3417	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008507	-3.33%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1480	✗	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	81.9314	-3.38%	95	+12.03%	0.0090	✓	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	120.3731	-3.39%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1548	✗	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.3914	-3.42%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0808	✗	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.062664	-3.45%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.1193	✗	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0176	-3.46%	2.79	+33.49%	0.1066	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	89.6509	-3.50%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1945	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.044461	-3.53%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0244	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.037518	-3.55%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0873	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.5991	-3.67%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1191	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.4795	-3.68%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2555	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.3966	-3.68%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0194	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.01157	-3.74%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0437	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	108.4019	-3.78%	126.01	+11.85%	0.0793	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	89.3072	-3.81%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0472	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.445732	-3.81%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.2142	✗	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.017486	-3.87%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.4558	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	134.2361	-3.91%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0265	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.19	-3.95%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0409	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	16.5967	-3.95%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0673	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.2955	-3.96%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0280	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.798119	-3.98%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0425	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.7839	-4.00%	4.074	+40.48%	0.2150	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.7353	-4.01%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1578	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.8545	-4.04%	5.413	+34.75%	0.1079	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.3253	-4.10%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0471	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.3853	-4.13%	1.952	+35.09%	0.1306	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	102.2729	-4.17%	210.67	+97.40%	0.5229	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.140756	-4.18%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0511	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009126	-4.24%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0877	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.1143	-4.25%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1727	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	18.6244	-4.32%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1561	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	8.7995	-4.35%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0150	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.739595	-4.36%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1349	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.284038	-4.36%	0.617	+107.74%	0.5300	✗	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.705962	-4.42%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0191	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.427118	-4.45%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1067	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.061724	-4.45%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1426	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	26.758	-4.47%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3871	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.202337	-4.60%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0266	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.027873	-4.61%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1409	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6098	-4.64%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.1826	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5377	-4.65%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2973	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.6028	-4.66%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.3193	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.189	-4.68%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2191	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.5042	-4.75%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0356	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.513615	-4.80%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1417	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0179	-4.82%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.1137	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.021605	-4.87%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.4337	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.078002	-4.88%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.2259	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.0127	-4.90%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0513	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	145.9154	-5.09%	216.11	+40.57%	0.2150	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1118	-5.30%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0125	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.122341	-5.31%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0848	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.01716	-5.35%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0069	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	23.9107	-5.38%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0650	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.7264	-5.40%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1636	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.7574	-5.49%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4768	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.902862	-5.55%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.1382	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	40.6459	-5.67%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0423	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.1397	-5.81%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0743	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	48.1666	-5.85%	68.29	+33.48%	0.1106	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001788	-5.89%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0567	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.6438	-5.96%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3709	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.138034	-5.97%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0072	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	5.9068	-5.97%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0250	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	63.0612	-6.05%	67.174	+0.07%	0.2004	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.675293	-6.21%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2632	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	16.5662	-6.30%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0747	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.0858	-6.49%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0170	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.0727	-6.72%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0704	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.2504	-6.82%	5.701	+1.17%	0.0927	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	19.6988	-6.91%	24.3	+14.84%	0.0717	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.389697	-6.99%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.0896	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.2212	-7.13%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0233	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004017	-7.44%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.2453	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.025626	-7.49%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0095	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.5496	-7.62%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1780	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.0785	-7.67%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2739	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.067714	-7.75%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0297	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.940263	-7.82%	1.07	+4.90%	0.1247	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	5.8255	-7.82%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0097	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.5133	-7.96%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2495	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.044767	-8.01%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2446	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	74.5354	-8.04%	89.91	+10.93%	0.0775	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.241322	-8.31%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.1033	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.4253	-8.31%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0490	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.7203	-8.36%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.1759	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.6797	-8.41%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0053	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.321673	-8.43%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1051	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	27.6529	-8.62%	31.17	+3.01%	0.0619	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.4899	-8.80%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2437	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.125839	-8.81%	0.114	-17.39%	0.2680	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.144335	-9.05%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.0956	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.482348	-9.50%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0287	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.032078	-9.54%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.1316	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7715	-9.62%	1.74	-11.22%	0.3072	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	18,218.51	-9.68%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0235	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.010573	-9.74%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1556	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.1235	-10.21%	2.621	+10.82%	0.0601	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.791098	-10.44%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0499	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	65.2631	-10.84%	94.25	+28.76%	0.1217	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	24.2143	-11.30%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0144	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.061413	-11.76%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.0719	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.03e-7	-13.86%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.5320	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.