8=======>

2022-02-14 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2527
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.0%
in alpha space · 81.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094360.094468+0.11%0.09466+0.32%0.0411✓1.1551k2022-03-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08190.081703-0.24%0.0705-13.92%0.1058✓1.23195k2022-03-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.6906-0.55%1.51-11.18%0.0700✓1.261.3M2022-03-16
TRXTRONTron0.0644840.063855-0.98%0.061066-5.30%0.0147✓0.88327k2022-03-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,156.2041,686.82-1.11%41,103.10-2.50%0.0190✗0.9851k2022-03-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7590.750489-1.12%0.635-16.34%0.1300✓1.091.6M2022-03-16
ADACardanoCardano1.051.0354-1.39%0.8393-20.07%0.1717✓1.13115.7M2022-03-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.58036.4727-1.63%6.0075-8.71%0.0255✓1.45130k2022-03-16
XEMNEMnative0.10940.107471-1.76%0.099-9.51%0.0462✓1.0639k2022-03-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.042903-1.82%0.04049-7.35%0.0176✓1.1930k2022-03-16
GTGateEthereum6.65576.5292-1.90%6.5078-2.22%0.0267✗0.883.9M2022-03-16
ZENHorizenBase41.2740.4762-1.92%38.67-6.30%0.0074✓1.56400k2022-03-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54810.53705-2.02%0.7347+34.04%0.3595✗1.362.4M2022-03-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.66323.7051-2.10%299.84-9.32%0.0427✓1.008.9M2022-03-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.841.8011-2.12%1.08-41.30%0.4714✓1.181.4M2022-03-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074950.073338-2.15%0.07308-2.49%0.0218✗0.7484k2022-03-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0416.6723-2.16%14.44-15.26%0.0844✓1.753.7M2022-03-16
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6210.3897-2.17%9.09-14.41%0.0884✓1.3312.5M2022-03-16
XMRMoneroMonero176.38172.5532-2.17%189.66+7.53%0.1293✗1.021.2M2022-03-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.154-2.20%3.572+10.76%0.1523✗0.82218k2022-03-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44780.437658-2.26%0.3185-28.87%0.2669✓1.502.0M2022-03-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.0391.0149-2.32%1.174+12.99%0.1862✗1.202.3M2022-03-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9090.887477-2.37%0.819-9.90%0.0339✓1.362.4M2022-03-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.278197-2.39%0.228-20.00%0.1667✓0.9577k2022-03-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.915.5125-2.44%14.68-7.67%0.0145✓1.2070.2M2022-03-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.4211.1399-2.45%11.83+3.59%0.0844✗0.71706k2022-03-16
SOLSolanaSolana96.4394.0567-2.46%87.82-8.93%0.0255✓1.27179.7M2022-03-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029580.000028846-2.48%0.00002273-23.16%0.1903✓1.412.3M2022-03-16
HIVEHivenative1.04521.0184-2.56%0.8746-16.32%0.0960✓1.651.9M2022-03-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6314.512-2.57%4.679+1.04%0.0650✗0.84379k2022-03-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,548.7141,448.66-2.59%41,127.97-3.34%0.0262✓1.00642.7M2022-03-16
XTZTezosTezos3.94733.8451-2.59%3.1013-21.43%0.1707✓1.302.4M2022-03-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.3412.2797-2.62%2.135-8.80%0.0280✓1.1021k2022-03-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20460.199159-2.66%0.2037-0.44%0.0708✗1.423.7M2022-03-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.807090.785582-2.66%0.82098+1.72%0.0955✗1.51299k2022-03-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1458210.141879-2.70%0.116967-19.79%0.1583✓1.026.7M2022-03-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7932.7173-2.71%6.401+129.18%0.9029✗1.361.1M2022-03-16
QNTQuantEthereum121.35118.0182-2.75%117.28-3.35%0.0281✗1.017.8M2022-03-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.501-2.81%4.14-26.86%0.2481✓1.06590k2022-03-16
XECeCashnative0.000081780.000079468-2.83%0.00008028-1.83%0.0489✗1.145.1M2022-03-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,931.012,846.03-2.90%2,774.89-5.33%0.0128✓1.12572.6M2022-03-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40390.392127-2.91%0.455+12.65%0.1937✗1.338.7M2022-03-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2107090.204494-2.95%0.18936-10.13%0.0420✓1.0321.9M2022-03-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.27420.266049-2.97%0.2051-25.20%0.2070✓1.574.2M2022-03-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.4838-2.97%2.32-9.38%0.0334✓1.03406k2022-03-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.414.9304-3.05%13.23-14.09%0.0854✓1.05483k2022-03-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.584.44-3.06%4.216-7.95%0.0100✓1.232.6M2022-03-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2197-3.07%1.646-28.12%0.2660✓0.973.2M2022-03-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.5514-3.09%6.49-3.99%0.0211✓0.90426k2022-03-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.029760.028836-3.10%0.02106-29.23%0.2752✓1.1510.0M2022-03-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012190.01181-3.12%0.01117-8.37%0.0029✓1.551.7M2022-03-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.029450.028518-3.16%0.02522-14.36%0.0941✓0.856.2M2022-03-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.871554-3.17%0.7371-18.11%0.1298✓1.1126.7M2022-03-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052260.050602-3.17%0.04945-5.38%0.0247✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.62120.6339-3.20%111.35-10.65%0.0375✓1.2634.8M2022-03-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.718.0998-3.21%19.04+1.82%0.0969✗1.3634.9M2022-03-16
DASHDashDash103.84100.4999-3.22%98.4-5.24%0.0168✓1.122.0M2022-03-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84590.818574-3.23%0.7237-14.45%0.0852✓1.1212.4M2022-03-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.476.2609-3.23%8.59+32.77%0.3447✗0.84463k2022-03-16
ZECZcashZcash120.62116.6707-3.27%154.1+27.76%0.3197✗1.227.2M2022-03-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.941.8757-3.31%1.81-6.70%0.0088✓1.312.2M2022-03-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7690.6367-3.33%78.23-16.56%0.1165✓0.901.2M2022-03-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010330.009985-3.34%0.00895-13.36%0.0745✓1.03483k2022-03-16
KSMKusamaHydration167.33161.5847-3.43%130.7-21.89%0.1715✓1.20930k2022-03-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005660.005464-3.47%0.00348-38.52%0.3826✓2.0218.8M2022-03-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07080.068327-3.49%0.0732+3.39%0.1067✗1.1119k2022-03-16
LUNATerraTerra 253.9452.0529-3.50%89.17+65.31%0.5870✗1.436.9M2022-03-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92830.895286-3.56%0.7151-22.97%0.1725✓1.54588k2022-03-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7531.6896-3.62%1.428-18.54%0.1233✓1.321.1M2022-03-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.226.9557-3.66%6.02-16.62%0.1346✓0.291.2M2022-03-16
STXStacksnative1.471.4153-3.72%1.28-12.93%0.0666✓1.001.0M2022-03-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.4425.4494-3.75%24.32-8.02%0.0072✓1.552.0M2022-03-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.682.5793-3.76%1.86-30.60%0.2831✓1.29390k2022-03-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461330.044396-3.76%0.040705-11.77%0.0452✓1.226.5M2022-03-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5939720.571482-3.79%0.511443-13.89%0.0717✓1.163.5M2022-03-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.611.5467-3.93%1.529-5.03%0.0283✓1.171.9M2022-03-16
KCSKuCoinnative19.60718.8314-3.96%18.299-6.67%0.0162✓1.3210.2M2022-03-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1626.0835-3.96%28.97+6.66%0.1430✗1.1271.8M2022-03-16
XVSVenusEthereum9.589.1906-4.06%8.55-10.75%0.0265✓1.352.9M2022-03-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56440.541392-4.08%0.5055-10.44%0.0328✓1.051.0M2022-03-16
AAVEAaveEthereum161.11154.4766-4.12%141.71-12.04%0.0383✓1.418.1M2022-03-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17480.167417-4.22%0.1357-22.37%0.1857✓0.72388k2022-03-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3640.348131-4.36%0.447+22.80%0.2955✗1.342.3M2022-03-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.75561.6773-4.46%2.0762+18.26%0.2520✗1.1467k2022-03-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5020.47932-4.52%0.399-20.52%0.1346✓1.444.5M2022-03-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2018-4.54%1.181-6.20%0.0245✓1.233.2M2022-03-16
XVGVergenative0.011320.010804-4.56%0.009-20.49%0.1351✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
FTTFTXEthereum44.8542.7988-4.57%42.72-4.75%0.0380✓1.1731.2M2022-03-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.09830.093737-4.64%0.0882-10.27%0.0087✓1.541.1M2022-03-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.28860.275057-4.69%0.2713-5.99%0.0246✓1.13538k2022-03-16
BANDBandEthereum4.214.0122-4.70%3.642-13.49%0.0547✓1.241.9M2022-03-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.8254.1438-4.71%50.45-11.21%0.0283✓1.258.8M2022-03-16
MOVRMoonriverBase83.6879.7368-4.71%51.8123-38.08%0.3813✓1.47315k2022-03-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.092.9438-4.73%2.1-32.04%0.3038✓1.00914k2022-03-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.61554.3944-4.79%4.1763-9.52%0.0093✓1.22349k2022-03-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2680.254864-4.90%0.2435-9.14%0.0096✓1.061.6M2022-03-16
DIADIAEthereum0.940.893635-4.93%0.92-2.13%0.0630✗1.00271k2022-03-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.395.1216-4.98%4.47-17.07%0.0992✓1.09682k2022-03-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.54013.3634-4.99%4.461+26.01%0.3190✗1.082.5M2022-03-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.9217.0167-5.04%13.13-26.73%0.2350✓0.721.1M2022-03-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0175.7137-5.04%5.005-16.82%0.1030✓0.8772k2022-03-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.220.1181-5.10%19.73-6.93%0.0325✓1.53375k2022-03-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1286.7637-5.11%5.736-19.53%0.1548✓0.2938k2022-03-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.84382.6966-5.17%2.4922-12.36%0.0434✓1.042.8M2022-03-16
NANOnanopayBase2.14322.0321-5.18%2.3037+7.49%0.1679✗1.25436k2022-03-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.63760.604419-5.20%0.4194-34.22%0.3131✓1.54718k2022-03-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.842.6907-5.26%2.28-19.72%0.1317✓1.00693k2022-03-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4027.0102-5.29%4.733-36.06%0.3589✓1.00407k2022-03-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95523.7402-5.44%4.0815+3.19%0.1204✗0.972.3M2022-03-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.4229.703-5.46%27.36-12.92%0.0465✓1.055.1M2022-03-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013660.012907-5.52%0.01185-13.25%0.0593✓0.7713k2022-03-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15730.14861-5.52%0.128-18.63%0.1033✓1.363.2M2022-03-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.1663-5.55%6.66+21.76%0.2808✗0.79404k2022-03-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4926.9074-5.56%28.13-1.26%0.0770✗0.961.2M2022-03-16
UMAUMAEthereum65.665-5.58%7.808+30.13%0.3561✗1.041.9M2022-03-16
COMPCompoundEthereum123.15116.2454-5.61%110-10.68%0.0111✓1.3059k2022-03-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002130.00000201-5.65%0.00000185-13.15%0.0488✓1.0014.3M2022-03-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.13011.0661-5.66%1.053-6.82%0.0226✓1.03211k2022-03-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.88374-5.99%0.62-34.04%0.2877✓1.961.0M2022-03-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286570.026858-6.28%0.017177-40.06%0.4025✓1.31102k2022-03-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92241.7991-6.41%3.0607+59.21%0.5514✗0.592.8M2022-03-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.1159-6.43%3.975+19.37%0.2728✗0.86502k2022-03-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08680.081188-6.47%0.0703-19.01%0.0972✓1.38674k2022-03-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.17190.160596-6.58%0.1473-14.31%0.0311✓1.6334k2022-03-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1140.106398-6.67%0.105-7.89%0.0207✓1.0071k2022-03-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0166210.015501-6.74%0.011683-29.71%0.2433✓1.16535k2022-03-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.25121.1657-6.84%1.413+12.93%0.2458✗1.57123k2022-03-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0515-6.86%4.743+9.03%0.1685✗0.322.0M2022-03-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.7419.2589-7.14%16.49-20.49%0.1158✓1.1624.7M2022-03-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0377-7.35%1.186+5.89%0.1803✗1.38694k2022-03-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7519.1582-7.67%17.42-16.05%0.0539✓1.2110.5M2022-03-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8475.5455-7.69%74.12-9.43%0.0295✓1.4398.9M2022-03-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43990.406033-7.70%0.3368-23.44%0.1263✓1.7926.1M2022-03-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16260.149722-7.92%0.1519-6.58%0.0496✓1.04470k2022-03-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3552.1684-7.92%1.611-31.59%0.2632✓1.0084k2022-03-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48063.2022-8.00%2.1072-39.46%0.3889✓0.8730k2022-03-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0212380.019504-8.17%0.01695-20.19%0.0988✓1.222.5M2022-03-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.3615-8.19%6.0499+3.60%0.1322✗0.33430k2022-03-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.6666-8.36%2.091-28.14%0.1944✓1.4418.3M2022-03-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.6572-8.44%1.322-26.96%0.1791✓1.382.9M2022-03-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06880.062634-8.96%0.0619-10.03%0.0485✓1.7864.3M2022-03-16
PROPropyEthereum2.232.0145-9.66%1.46-34.53%0.2544✓1.99923k2022-03-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,089.9020,748.69-10.14%19,215.35-16.78%0.0447✓0.947.6M2022-03-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.176.4379-10.21%5.8-19.11%0.0938✓0.311.7M2022-03-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043610.039096-10.35%0.03622-16.95%0.0518✓0.722.6M2022-03-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5450.488179-10.43%0.3835-29.63%0.1764✓1.911.8M2022-03-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.6664.1671-10.69%2.572-44.88%0.4512✓0.92709k2022-03-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.073.6041-11.45%3.12-23.34%0.0971✓1.398.0M2022-03-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03380.029846-11.70%0.02474-26.80%0.1369✓1.49490k2022-03-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2261.044-14.85%0.7108-42.02%0.3546✓0.881.6M2022-03-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.