2022-02-12 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2924

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.18%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

78.0%

in alpha space · 86.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.09%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09377	0.093888	+0.13%	0.09014	-3.87%	0.0263	✓	1.07	50k	2022-03-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0857	0.085532	-0.20%	0.0683	-20.30%	0.1473	✓	1.24	201k	2022-03-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.69	1.6826	-0.44%	1.336	-20.95%	0.1514	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-03-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063473	0.062986	-0.77%	0.060064	-5.37%	0.0089	✗	0.90	351k	2022-03-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.745	0.738248	-0.91%	0.622	-16.51%	0.1022	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0596	1.0462	-1.26%	0.8028	-24.24%	0.1942	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-03-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,568.00	41,990.55	-1.36%	39,373.20	-7.51%	0.0035	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04235	0.041679	-1.58%	0.03912	-7.63%	0.0075	✓	1.13	30k	2022-03-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7389	6.6296	-1.62%	5.7568	-14.57%	0.0504	✓	1.45	145k	2022-03-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.89	40.2021	-1.68%	38.54	-5.75%	0.0561	✗	1.57	420k	2022-03-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07609	0.074799	-1.70%	0.0694	-8.79%	0.0276	✓	0.75	86k	2022-03-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.106644	-1.80%	0.0947	-12.80%	0.0523	✓	1.06	36k	2022-03-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.162	3.1003	-1.95%	3.453	+9.20%	0.1588	✗	0.81	212k	2022-03-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.64	10.4321	-1.95%	8.48	-20.30%	0.1232	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-03-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.758	6.6235	-1.99%	6.346	-6.10%	0.0140	✓	0.90	4.0M	2022-03-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.562	0.550492	-2.05%	0.6427	+14.36%	0.2380	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-03-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.03	10.8023	-2.06%	11.32	+2.63%	0.0918	✗	0.72	660k	2022-03-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	16.6868	-2.07%	13.52	-20.66%	0.1007	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-03-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.92	1.8797	-2.10%	1.04	-45.83%	0.5174	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-03-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.64	323.6898	-2.10%	289.43	-12.46%	0.0476	✓	1.02	8.9M	2022-03-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.82	170.1516	-2.11%	185.79	+6.89%	0.1537	✗	1.05	1.3M	2022-03-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000292	0.000028551	-2.22%	0.00002203	-24.55%	0.1702	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-03-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4604	0.450085	-2.24%	0.3223	-30.00%	0.2392	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0443	1.0207	-2.27%	1.1348	+8.66%	0.1822	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-03-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.95	93.7689	-2.27%	81.24	-15.33%	0.0644	✓	1.26	179.7M	2022-03-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.97	15.6011	-2.31%	13.41	-16.03%	0.0752	✓	1.21	72.0M	2022-03-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,244.97	41,208.22	-2.45%	39,674.17	-6.09%	0.0248	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.942	0.918664	-2.48%	0.768	-18.47%	0.0924	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-03-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8744	0.852543	-2.50%	0.7121	-18.56%	0.1130	✓	1.07	12.7M	2022-03-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2064	0.20122	-2.51%	0.1955	-5.28%	0.0603	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.2923	-2.62%	2.098	-10.88%	0.0214	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.786	4.6597	-2.64%	4.541	-5.12%	0.0270	✗	0.84	348k	2022-03-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.052	1.0242	-2.64%	0.8427	-19.90%	0.1031	✓	1.47	1.9M	2022-03-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.76	2.6862	-2.67%	5.312	+92.46%	0.7668	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.4914	-2.68%	2.18	-14.84%	0.0687	✓	1.03	431k	2022-03-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.144281	0.140311	-2.75%	0.113913	-21.05%	0.1433	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-03-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.109	3.9956	-2.76%	3.0001	-26.99%	0.2044	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.67	6.4858	-2.76%	6.85	+2.70%	0.1109	✗	0.90	406k	2022-03-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80694	0.784651	-2.76%	0.72186	-10.54%	0.0110	✓	1.50	311k	2022-03-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000823	0.000079992	-2.80%	0.00007592	-7.75%	0.0207	✓	1.16	5.6M	2022-03-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,919.99	2,837.96	-2.81%	2,590.23	-11.29%	0.0207	✓	1.13	572.6M	2022-03-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2838	0.275733	-2.84%	0.1945	-31.47%	0.2509	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-03-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03381	0.032837	-2.88%	0.01958	-42.09%	0.4463	✓	1.13	9.7M	2022-03-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4191	0.406899	-2.91%	0.3655	-12.79%	0.0231	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-03-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.98	5.8039	-2.94%	3.73	-37.63%	0.3721	✓	1.12	645k	2022-03-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.16	14.7116	-2.96%	12.66	-16.49%	0.0833	✓	1.06	535k	2022-03-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.83	114.3247	-2.97%	149.64	+27.00%	0.3488	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-03-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.96	50.4008	-3.00%	94.79	+82.43%	0.7213	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-03-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.2439	-3.06%	17.69	-6.00%	0.0551	✗	1.37	36.1M	2022-03-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9188	0.890592	-3.07%	0.7063	-23.13%	0.1609	✓	1.13	27.1M	2022-03-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.19	100.9809	-3.08%	98.24	-5.71%	0.0441	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.4	6.202	-3.09%	8.06	+25.94%	0.3142	✗	0.83	428k	2022-03-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.218218	0.211439	-3.11%	0.180075	-17.48%	0.0954	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-03-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.3	2.2285	-3.11%	1.651	-28.22%	0.2388	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-03-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9401	0.910072	-3.19%	0.6963	-25.93%	0.1709	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03125	0.030227	-3.27%	0.02467	-21.06%	0.1486	✓	0.87	6.4M	2022-03-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.5	2.4182	-3.27%	1.67	-33.20%	0.2884	✓	1.30	390k	2022-03-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01276	0.01234	-3.29%	0.01143	-10.42%	0.0205	✓	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.09	160.604	-3.30%	120.47	-27.47%	0.2109	✓	1.22	930k	2022-03-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.02	1.9531	-3.31%	1.69	-16.34%	0.0625	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.11	90.9897	-3.32%	75.63	-19.64%	0.1281	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-03-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.89	4.7274	-3.32%	3.965	-18.92%	0.0982	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05601	0.054134	-3.35%	0.04611	-17.68%	0.0713	✓	1.42	1.2M	2022-03-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00616	0.005946	-3.47%	0.00363	-41.07%	0.3665	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	133.7	128.9608	-3.54%	113.5	-15.11%	0.0640	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-03-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044288	0.042712	-3.56%	0.039855	-10.01%	0.0074	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.6596	-3.57%	8.49	-5.46%	0.0625	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-03-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.812	1.7473	-3.57%	1.327	-26.77%	0.1928	✓	1.31	1.1M	2022-03-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01068	0.010295	-3.61%	0.00877	-17.88%	0.0958	✓	1.03	514k	2022-03-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.78	122.1899	-3.62%	105.58	-16.72%	0.0648	✓	1.30	35.7M	2022-03-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	162.52	156.6341	-3.62%	118.38	-27.16%	0.1914	✓	1.41	9.3M	2022-03-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.514	0.495076	-3.68%	0.369	-28.21%	0.2025	✓	1.46	4.9M	2022-03-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.111	18.3973	-3.73%	18.087	-5.36%	0.0671	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0717	0.069022	-3.73%	0.06877	-4.09%	0.0657	✗	1.10	17k	2022-03-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.338	0.325322	-3.75%	0.228	-32.54%	0.2961	✓	0.94	76k	2022-03-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.07	26.0446	-3.79%	26.83	-0.89%	0.1012	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-03-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.7	2.5975	-3.80%	2.3	-14.81%	0.0588	✓	1.00	779k	2022-03-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2514	0.241646	-3.88%	0.2384	-5.17%	0.0551	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.618	1.555	-3.89%	1.459	-9.83%	0.0091	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-03-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.617618	0.593152	-3.96%	0.490244	-20.62%	0.1167	✓	1.18	3.5M	2022-03-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.49	27.3594	-3.97%	23.42	-17.80%	0.0600	✓	1.52	2.0M	2022-03-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.37	0.354572	-4.17%	0.421	+13.78%	0.2576	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1736	0.166269	-4.22%	0.1322	-23.85%	0.1843	✓	0.72	406k	2022-03-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.54	21.5857	-4.23%	18.64	-17.30%	0.0477	✓	1.58	383k	2022-03-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7725	1.6968	-4.27%	2.0564	+16.02%	0.2624	✗	1.12	73k	2022-03-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.03	2.9001	-4.29%	2	-33.99%	0.3088	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5785	0.553601	-4.30%	0.4889	-15.49%	0.0580	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-03-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.52	1.4527	-4.43%	1.28	-15.79%	0.0638	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.93	7.5722	-4.51%	5.85	-26.23%	0.2390	✓	0.30	1.1M	2022-03-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01149	0.010971	-4.52%	0.00916	-20.28%	0.0925	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1393	0.133006	-4.52%	0.1186	-14.86%	0.0297	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-03-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1035	0.098807	-4.53%	0.0894	-13.62%	0.0009	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-03-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2852	0.272182	-4.56%	0.2584	-9.40%	0.0180	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7974	3.6225	-4.61%	3.6677	-3.42%	0.0731	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-03-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.18	42.1412	-4.61%	41.47	-6.13%	0.0582	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-03-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7989	4.5768	-4.63%	4.0362	-15.89%	0.0481	✓	1.24	399k	2022-03-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.32	6.0206	-4.74%	7.574	+19.84%	0.2909	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.0868	-4.74%	4.39	-17.79%	0.0814	✓	1.05	682k	2022-03-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.916	5.6342	-4.76%	4.77	-19.37%	0.1105	✓	0.89	72k	2022-03-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.939	6.6047	-4.82%	4.522	-34.83%	0.3143	✓	1.03	407k	2022-03-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1781	2.0731	-4.82%	1.7056	-21.69%	0.1197	✓	1.20	547k	2022-03-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.27	4.0631	-4.85%	3.366	-21.17%	0.1099	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.267	1.2054	-4.87%	1.144	-9.71%	0.0265	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-03-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.18	56.2993	-4.87%	47.89	-19.08%	0.0842	✓	1.24	8.8M	2022-03-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5079	3.3367	-4.88%	4.315	+23.01%	0.3275	✗	1.12	2.5M	2022-03-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8439	81.6499	-4.89%	46.9295	-45.33%	0.4634	✓	1.44	315k	2022-03-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.05	17.1414	-5.03%	13.26	-26.54%	0.2119	✓	0.71	984k	2022-03-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.48	5.1807	-5.46%	6.81	+24.27%	0.3233	✗	0.79	377k	2022-03-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.907237	-5.50%	0.89	-7.29%	0.0436	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.781	7.3521	-5.51%	5.436	-30.14%	0.2797	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.07	18.948	-5.59%	16.18	-19.38%	0.0846	✓	1.17	25.0M	2022-03-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.012858	-5.59%	0.01174	-13.80%	0.0418	✓	0.78	13k	2022-03-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.0896	-5.59%	0.9939	-13.88%	0.0263	✓	1.05	239k	2022-03-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028632	0.02702	-5.63%	0.021474	-25.00%	0.1487	✓	1.29	111k	2022-03-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9115	2.7446	-5.74%	2.3068	-20.77%	0.1104	✓	1.01	2.8M	2022-03-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.312	3.1178	-5.86%	4.071	+22.92%	0.3230	✗	0.90	502k	2022-03-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6501	0.611684	-5.91%	0.3858	-40.66%	0.3635	✓	1.55	743k	2022-03-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015897	0.014956	-5.92%	0.01177	-25.96%	0.1660	✓	1.17	630k	2022-03-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	29.7577	-6.04%	25.92	-18.16%	0.0714	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-03-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.882713	-6.09%	0.58	-38.30%	0.2968	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-03-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000217	0.000002037	-6.15%	0.00000175	-19.35%	0.0889	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.26	119.3814	-6.19%	99.59	-21.74%	0.1005	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8422	1.7268	-6.26%	2.9	+57.42%	0.5571	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-03-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.19	28.1859	-6.64%	27.37	-9.34%	0.0311	✓	0.96	830k	2022-03-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.07	3.7998	-6.64%	4.765	+17.08%	0.2474	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-03-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.6739	-6.83%	1.952	-31.99%	0.2254	✓	1.42	19.1M	2022-03-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2471	1.1618	-6.84%	1.4082	+12.92%	0.2921	✗	1.59	119k	2022-03-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.0429	-6.88%	0.942	-15.89%	0.0137	✓	1.40	655k	2022-03-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0956	0.088991	-6.91%	0.0663	-30.65%	0.2069	✓	1.39	585k	2022-03-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.86	19.3777	-7.11%	17.46	-16.30%	0.0281	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-03-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.107753	-7.11%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0273	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18496	0.171136	-7.47%	0.1444	-21.93%	0.0679	✓	1.62	40k	2022-03-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9446	5.4846	-7.74%	5.8951	-0.83%	0.0917	✗	0.31	447k	2022-03-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.34	74.9519	-7.85%	68.98	-15.20%	0.0022	✓	1.36	98.5M	2022-03-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.404	2.2148	-7.87%	1.61	-33.03%	0.2562	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4544	0.418439	-7.91%	0.3117	-31.40%	0.1820	✓	1.79	32.6M	2022-03-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.527	3.2476	-7.92%	2.033	-42.36%	0.4130	✓	0.88	30k	2022-03-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1672	0.153798	-8.02%	0.1527	-8.67%	0.0586	✓	1.05	470k	2022-03-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021888	0.020108	-8.13%	0.01619	-26.03%	0.1398	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0682	0.062055	-9.01%	0.0558	-18.18%	0.0035	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-03-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.7312	-9.36%	1.236	-35.29%	0.2498	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-03-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.0055	-9.66%	1.43	-35.59%	0.2131	✓	1.99	1.1M	2022-03-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.78	7.0076	-9.93%	5.44	-30.08%	0.2299	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,131.85	20,769.99	-10.21%	18,523.08	-19.92%	0.0545	✓	0.96	7.8M	2022-03-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04741	0.0422	-10.99%	0.03625	-23.54%	0.1065	✓	0.72	4.4M	2022-03-14
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.904	4.3613	-11.07%	2.368	-51.71%	0.5530	✓	0.92	909k	2022-03-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6015	0.534681	-11.11%	0.3874	-35.59%	0.2031	✓	1.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0322	0.028545	-11.35%	0.0228	-29.19%	0.1324	✓	1.47	490k	2022-03-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.15	3.6584	-11.85%	2.9	-30.12%	0.1453	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2939	1.0961	-15.29%	0.7046	-45.54%	0.3856	✓	0.90	1.8M	2022-03-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.