2022-02-01 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3051

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+20.38%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.8%

in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.081713	-0.59%	0.072	-12.41%	0.2408	✓	1.24	299k	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.08817	-0.95%	0.09337	+4.89%	0.0436	✓	1.09	46k	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.059209	-1.04%	0.060032	+0.34%	0.0723	✓	0.93	411k	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021524	-1.08%	0.00002507	+15.21%	0.0219	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,269.66	-1.09%	42,572.60	+10.03%	0.0127	✗	1.02	51k	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6782	-1.28%	1.437	-15.47%	0.2751	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.745346	-1.41%	0.714	-5.56%	0.1420	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	283.6087	-1.51%	315.29	+9.49%	0.0092	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0754	-1.93%	0.9021	-17.73%	0.2818	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.524	-2.02%	10.07	+3.60%	0.0140	✓	0.76	744k	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	6.0542	-2.03%	6.3922	+3.44%	0.0808	✓	1.46	174k	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.039426	-2.27%	0.03967	-1.66%	0.0972	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.101642	-2.27%	0.1029	-1.06%	0.0819	✓	1.02	43k	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	37,836.99	-2.27%	42,464.41	+9.68%	0.0230	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	142.9511	-2.30%	172.04	+17.58%	0.0911	✗	1.02	1.8M	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.249078	-2.32%	0.273	+7.06%	0.0032	✓	0.96	67k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	10.8513	-2.33%	9.55	-14.04%	0.2531	✓	1.36	12.9M	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	38.2184	-2.53%	38.18	-2.63%	0.1508	✓	1.62	626k	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.550479	-2.57%	0.8058	+42.62%	0.2574	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009324	-2.57%	0.01199	+25.29%	0.1316	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0459	-2.57%	1.24	-40.95%	0.6441	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.183613	-2.59%	0.1971	+4.56%	0.0532	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	102.1199	-2.70%	127.04	+21.05%	0.1203	✗	1.06	7.5M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.076242	-2.70%	0.06983	-10.89%	0.1553	✓	0.73	80k	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	3.0397	-2.73%	2.882	-7.78%	0.1286	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	111.9235	-2.77%	111.69	-2.97%	0.1272	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	14.0583	-2.78%	16.42	+13.55%	0.0905	✗	0.70	841k	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.138482	-2.81%	0.129579	-9.06%	0.1649	✓	1.07	7.1M	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.460221	-2.85%	0.381	-19.57%	0.3183	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000074997	-2.88%	0.00007449	-3.54%	0.1110	✓	1.13	5.7M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.1058	-2.89%	4.418	+4.49%	0.0016	✓	0.81	351k	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.904988	-2.90%	0.852	-8.58%	0.1878	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,708.52	-2.91%	2,833.66	+1.58%	0.0573	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.5054	-2.91%	14.89	-12.41%	0.2153	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	96.0556	-2.94%	129.17	+30.51%	0.1709	✗	1.36	6.6M	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.195974	-3.00%	0.187901	-6.99%	0.1381	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	159.0929	-3.02%	129.96	-20.78%	0.3316	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	94.2755	-3.04%	96.75	-0.49%	0.0833	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.1785	-3.05%	2.212	-1.56%	0.0853	✓	1.09	22k	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	50.5785	-3.12%	90.56	+73.45%	0.4264	✗	1.69	8.8M	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.0801	-3.18%	6.33	+0.80%	0.0401	✓	0.87	529k	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.037115	-3.20%	0.046937	+22.42%	0.1195	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	18.7548	-3.23%	14.3	-26.21%	0.4414	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.4463	-3.31%	2.38	-5.93%	0.1214	✓	1.02	697k	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.811188	-3.33%	0.7596	-9.47%	0.1699	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.5936	-3.33%	2.873	+7.08%	0.0389	✓	1.53	986k	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	106.3656	-3.39%	95.61	-13.16%	0.2172	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	7.8527	-3.41%	9.34	+14.88%	0.0508	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.6198	-3.42%	3.3937	-9.45%	0.1944	✓	1.41	2.5M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.0066	-3.51%	0.00456	-33.33%	0.5848	✓	2.33	23.2M	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.4235	-3.55%	6.42	-3.60%	0.0218	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.932549	-3.56%	0.7967	-17.61%	0.2663	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.028985	-3.64%	0.02753	-8.48%	0.1350	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.4693	-3.65%	1.523	-0.13%	0.0756	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.42318	-3.67%	0.3647	-16.98%	0.2704	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.1053	-3.68%	1.4091	+22.80%	0.1292	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.117	-3.70%	13.32	-9.14%	0.1494	✓	0.99	795k	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.0085	-3.71%	7.63	+22.28%	0.1654	✗	0.80	504k	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.919402	-3.72%	0.9796	+2.59%	0.0781	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.469682	-3.75%	0.448	-8.20%	0.1891	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	2.9796	-3.76%	2.95	-4.71%	0.1068	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.236369	-3.76%	0.249	+1.38%	0.0563	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.042917	-3.77%	0.01525	-65.81%	1.1372	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	88.2136	-3.79%	83.45	-8.99%	0.1430	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.296956	-3.80%	0.2283	-26.04%	0.4123	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	164.1766	-3.82%	131.9	-22.73%	0.3285	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.6673	-3.88%	6.7949	-2.04%	0.0687	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.848963	-3.90%	1.6497	+86.74%	0.5240	✗	1.52	103k	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	18.8137	-3.91%	18.03	-7.92%	0.1718	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.009714	-3.92%	0.00902	-10.78%	0.1703	✓	1.04	565k	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.810259	-3.96%	0.7113	-15.69%	0.2903	✓	1.73	458k	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.314921	-3.99%	0.295	-10.06%	0.1916	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.1508	-4.08%	5.38	+0.19%	0.0246	✓	0.74	429k	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	25.7009	-4.10%	30.25	+12.87%	0.0619	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.7613	-4.12%	1.46	-49.31%	0.7822	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.8983	-4.13%	1.85	-6.57%	0.1464	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.0105	-4.14%	4.42	-29.51%	0.3947	✓	0.95	835k	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.557853	-4.17%	0.534619	-8.16%	0.1555	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.924817	-4.18%	0.7864	-18.52%	0.3310	✓	1.83	852k	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.063001	-4.25%	0.0725	+10.18%	0.0381	✓	1.11	21k	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.7238	-4.27%	5.584	-6.61%	0.1212	✓	1.04	341k	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.3396	-4.31%	3.962	+13.52%	0.0536	✗	1.27	2.5M	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.110988	-4.40%	0.1221	+5.17%	0.0275	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.5338	-4.42%	2.1075	+31.33%	0.2145	✗	1.12	82k	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.5321	-4.45%	2.04	-23.02%	0.3286	✓	1.22	577k	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	24.3283	-4.48%	30.05	+17.98%	0.1390	✗	0.78	462k	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.0548	-4.51%	1.868	-13.19%	0.2099	✓	1.24	888k	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	25.4662	-4.51%	25.18	-5.59%	0.1644	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.7084	-4.54%	9.598	+60.50%	0.4193	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.7519	-4.63%	1.479	-19.49%	0.2839	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	50.9728	-4.67%	53.31	-0.30%	0.0627	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	17.6316	-4.67%	19.526	+5.57%	0.0388	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	19.2071	-4.68%	19.97	-0.89%	0.0791	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.009703	-4.68%	0.01001	-1.67%	0.0923	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.014447	-4.78%	0.011953	-21.22%	0.2981	✓	1.18	2.7M	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.173564	-4.90%	0.146	-20.00%	0.2355	✓	0.68	472k	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.665713	-4.90%	0.72	+2.86%	0.0949	✓	1.88	1.1M	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.055238	-4.94%	0.05073	-12.70%	0.2170	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.135393	-4.99%	0.1559	+9.40%	0.0498	✓	0.99	337k	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	72.4102	-5.08%	66.5878	-12.71%	0.2016	✓	1.27	383k	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.6532	-5.11%	5.231	-12.20%	0.1563	✓	0.85	118k	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	121.5968	-5.12%	116.89	-8.79%	0.1611	✓	1.32	59k	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012166	-5.18%	0.01236	-3.66%	0.0664	✓	0.89	13k	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.6453	-5.18%	4.2636	-12.97%	0.2014	✓	1.25	406k	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.0203	-5.23%	2.9519	-7.37%	0.1272	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.040294	-5.45%	0.020258	-52.46%	0.8244	✓	1.48	163k	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	27.2754	-5.49%	34.01	+17.84%	0.1140	✗	1.15	120.6M	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	69.2904	-5.56%	78.49	+6.98%	0.0002	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.1513	-5.56%	2.941	-11.87%	0.1482	✓	0.86	819k	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.266753	-5.61%	0.2824	-0.07%	0.0493	✓	1.15	557k	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.2835	-5.65%	5.51	-1.61%	0.0552	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	19.7536	-5.67%	19.77	-5.59%	0.1459	✓	1.59	465k	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.0141	-5.75%	5.6206	+31.97%	0.3367	✗	-0.00	375k	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.0813	-6.07%	1.0476	-9.00%	0.1259	✓	1.02	346k	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.497135	-6.13%	0.3687	-30.38%	0.4727	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.0108	-6.18%	2.2899	-28.64%	0.3573	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.2346	-6.19%	1.174	-10.79%	0.1667	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.51	-6.35%	2.6368	-1.62%	0.0401	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	7.5294	-6.49%	6.363	-20.98%	0.1908	✓	0.24	41k	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.111108	-6.55%	0.095	-20.10%	0.2949	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.0135	-6.64%	3.808	-29.09%	0.3948	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	19.521	-6.69%	20.13	-3.78%	0.0814	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.3225	-6.93%	7.315	+104.90%	0.7707	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.057695	-6.94%	0.0725	+16.94%	0.1070	✗	1.31	556k	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.191554	-7.28%	0.16147	-21.84%	0.3209	✓	1.62	25k	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.401151	-7.29%	0.4722	+9.13%	0.0154	✓	1.60	2.0M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.3895	-7.37%	1.21	-19.33%	0.2307	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.667692	-7.66%	0.4943	-31.64%	0.4448	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.0787	-7.80%	1.176	+0.51%	0.0591	✓	1.57	490k	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.0532	-7.93%	1.92	-13.90%	0.1595	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.019286	-7.96%	0.01877	-10.42%	0.1214	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.1804	-8.08%	2.508	-27.51%	0.3723	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.7201	-8.22%	2.773	+47.96%	0.4105	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.511625	-8.23%	0.5501	-1.33%	0.0357	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	1.8561	-8.57%	1.545	-23.89%	0.3249	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	4.9014	-8.64%	3.084	-42.52%	0.5557	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	41.1483	-8.96%	44.86	-0.75%	0.0279	✓	1.24	39.5M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.043771	-9.36%	0.03435	-28.87%	0.3348	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	7.2946	-9.50%	6.34	-21.34%	0.1666	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	22,910.86	-10.06%	21,698.86	-14.81%	0.1417	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.077377	-10.13%	0.0637	-26.02%	0.4338	✓	2.59	25.7M	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	3.8708	-11.02%	3.3	-24.14%	0.2889	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.031705	-11.44%	0.0283	-20.95%	0.2495	✓	1.47	540k	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.0461	-13.14%	0.865	-28.18%	0.2825	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.115073	-13.48%	0.118	-11.28%	0.0673	✓	1.00	133k	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.