2022-01-29 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3269

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.23%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.1%

in alpha space · 52.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.10%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0907	0.078196	-13.79%	0.0703	-22.49%	0.4143	✓	2.50	23.2M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.12	0.10462	-12.82%	0.132	+10.00%	0.1094	✓	1.00	155k	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2936	1.1307	-12.59%	0.7584	-41.37%	0.5225	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.36	2.1287	-9.80%	1.352	-42.71%	0.6430	✓	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0362	0.032666	-9.76%	0.029	-19.89%	0.3003	✓	1.47	836k	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05525	0.049857	-9.76%	0.03503	-36.60%	0.4760	✓	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5693	0.517797	-9.05%	0.5607	-1.51%	0.0648	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.173	5.6737	-8.09%	2.664	-56.84%	0.8791	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.73	38.4334	-7.90%	45.95	+10.11%	0.0288	✓	1.22	35.1M	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7284	1.5926	-7.85%	2.4391	+41.12%	0.3321	✗	0.76	2.8M	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4988	0.45969	-7.84%	0.504	+1.04%	0.0891	✓	1.47	2.1M	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.19	3.8702	-7.63%	3.54	-15.51%	0.2546	✓	1.34	10.7M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.35	6.7931	-7.58%	6.79	-7.62%	0.0367	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.31	2.1394	-7.39%	1.84	-20.35%	0.2738	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,297.65	22,506.53	-7.37%	21,589.29	-11.15%	0.1551	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.4	5.0084	-7.25%	4.154	-23.07%	0.3435	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022029	0.020455	-7.14%	0.0214	-2.86%	0.0942	✓	1.13	3.2M	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0636	0.059077	-7.11%	0.078	+22.64%	0.1023	✗	1.43	577k	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18677	0.17356	-7.07%	0.16639	-10.91%	0.2359	✓	1.57	23k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.69	3.4331	-6.96%	7.529	+104.04%	0.7588	✗	0.22	837k	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.4082	-6.74%	1.25	-17.22%	0.2422	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.364	1.2722	-6.73%	1.164	-14.66%	0.2460	✓	1.28	3.6M	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.99	2.7999	-6.36%	2.442	-18.33%	0.3094	✓	1.40	25.0M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06396	0.059914	-6.33%	0.04871	-23.84%	0.3864	✓	1.46	1.7M	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.103093	-6.28%	0.0857	-22.09%	0.3702	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6022	0.565192	-6.15%	0.3657	-39.27%	0.6658	✓	1.87	48.9M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.154	1.0839	-6.07%	1.0426	-9.65%	0.1631	✓	1.01	376k	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.324	6.8842	-6.01%	6.75	-7.84%	0.0507	✓	0.25	38k	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01347	0.012717	-5.59%	0.01231	-8.61%	0.1445	✓	0.91	21k	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	71.95	67.9485	-5.56%	84.59	+17.57%	0.0549	✓	1.33	85.3M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.29	19.1636	-5.55%	21.72	+7.05%	0.0211	✓	1.19	13.0M	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.001	5.6737	-5.45%	5.63	-6.18%	0.1105	✓	0.83	125k	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.258	3.0813	-5.42%	3.233	-0.77%	0.0586	✓	0.87	884k	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0631	2.8987	-5.37%	2.1929	-28.41%	0.3865	✓	0.87	21k	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	27.5572	-5.30%	31.38	+7.84%	0.0083	✓	1.12	130.3M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.851	4.5984	-5.21%	4.2345	-12.71%	0.2340	✓	1.23	430k	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.73	19.6689	-5.12%	21.16	+2.07%	0.1198	✓	1.57	775k	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1573	2.9963	-5.10%	3.1104	-1.49%	0.0979	✓	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.0736	-4.99%	4.85	-9.18%	0.1670	✓	0.99	978k	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.372	2.2567	-4.86%	2.8507	+20.18%	0.1176	✗	0.94	2.8M	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2671	0.254172	-4.84%	0.2945	+10.26%	0.0074	✓	1.14	604k	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.758	1.6758	-4.68%	1.566	-10.92%	0.2278	✓	1.30	1.5M	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.009552	-4.67%	0.01037	+3.49%	0.0820	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.24	25.0169	-4.66%	30.9	+17.76%	0.1150	✗	0.78	430k	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.09	25.8276	-4.66%	26.36	-2.69%	0.1867	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05052	0.048184	-4.62%	0.01796	-64.45%	1.1516	✓	1.34	9.2M	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5968	0.569221	-4.62%	0.5007	-16.10%	0.3172	✓	1.54	1.3M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.04515	0.04307	-4.61%	0.022655	-49.82%	0.8113	✓	1.37	266k	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1739	0.165905	-4.60%	0.1531	-11.96%	0.1633	✓	0.67	536k	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3362	2.2307	-4.51%	1.9381	-17.04%	0.2934	✓	1.24	888k	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.121	0.115619	-4.45%	0.1303	+7.69%	0.0421	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6081	1.5366	-4.45%	1.7163	+6.72%	0.0265	✓	1.11	82k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.630659	-4.45%	0.75	+13.64%	0.0564	✓	1.87	1.2M	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9684	0.925591	-4.42%	0.823	-15.01%	0.3585	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.58	47.3909	-4.42%	54.42	+9.76%	0.0051	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.128	5.8585	-4.40%	5.875	-4.13%	0.1191	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9037	0.864029	-4.39%	1.6754	+85.39%	0.4754	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.18	19.3043	-4.34%	20.13	-0.25%	0.1123	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	79.3124	75.8712	-4.34%	67.763	-14.56%	0.2644	✓	1.23	410k	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.51	3.3596	-4.28%	3.934	+12.08%	0.0044	✓	1.25	2.5M	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.08	5.8224	-4.24%	7.228	+18.88%	0.0842	✗	1.07	2.3M	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.06	117.8936	-4.20%	120.75	-1.88%	0.1331	✓	1.28	68k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.565434	0.542014	-4.14%	0.575051	+1.70%	0.0914	✓	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.542	16.8163	-4.14%	20.677	+17.87%	0.0202	✓	1.52	10.7M	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.31	0.297221	-4.12%	0.2321	-25.13%	0.4401	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84787	0.813046	-4.11%	0.74117	-12.58%	0.3028	✓	1.71	610k	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.92	1.8416	-4.08%	1.86	-3.12%	0.1593	✓	1.37	2.8M	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.83	2.7153	-4.05%	1.564	-44.73%	0.7406	✓	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0653	0.062662	-4.04%	0.0695	+6.43%	0.0348	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7736	6.503	-4.00%	6.71	-0.94%	0.0832	✓	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.333	0.319739	-3.98%	0.308	-7.51%	0.2080	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01015	0.009746	-3.98%	0.00968	-4.63%	0.1368	✓	1.06	593k	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014518	0.013961	-3.84%	0.012148	-16.32%	0.2854	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.16	4.9631	-3.82%	5.51	+6.78%	0.0150	✓	0.73	413k	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.493	1.4361	-3.81%	1.571	+5.22%	0.0563	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.952	0.916122	-3.77%	0.9803	+2.97%	0.1188	✓	1.52	2.1M	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.0443	-3.76%	18.95	+1.07%	0.1206	✓	1.38	50.2M	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2425	0.23343	-3.74%	0.2454	+1.20%	0.1029	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.07	19.3206	-3.73%	15.37	-23.42%	0.4554	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.93	5.7087	-3.73%	7.55	+27.32%	0.1831	✗	0.78	470k	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.1	5.8733	-3.72%	4.86	-20.33%	0.3081	✓	0.96	953k	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.7	89.2617	-3.71%	88.67	-4.35%	0.1234	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	171.16	164.8258	-3.70%	130.28	-23.88%	0.3831	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.34	24.4042	-3.69%	30.53	+20.48%	0.0911	✗	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.2248	-3.69%	2.21	-4.33%	0.1525	✓	1.18	602k	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03035	0.029255	-3.61%	0.02937	-3.23%	0.1110	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9693	0.935356	-3.50%	0.8684	-10.41%	0.2178	✓	1.17	36.8M	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.667	2.5741	-3.48%	3.317	+24.37%	0.0648	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.65	6.4198	-3.46%	6.6	-0.75%	0.0003	✓	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.508	0.490509	-3.44%	0.461	-9.25%	0.2514	✓	1.54	5.2M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.12	13.6342	-3.44%	14.2	+0.57%	0.0814	✓	0.99	886k	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1205	0.11639	-3.41%	0.1612	+33.78%	0.2079	✗	0.96	312k	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4104	0.396475	-3.39%	0.3772	-8.09%	0.2081	✓	1.29	10.2M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.08	5.8862	-3.19%	6.6	+8.55%	0.0100	✓	0.85	503k	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00723	0.007	-3.18%	0.00439	-39.28%	0.7579	✓	2.37	22.6M	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.22	7.9584	-3.18%	9.33	+13.50%	0.0026	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.245	2.174	-3.16%	2.477	+10.33%	0.0030	✓	1.08	23k	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.42	2.3446	-3.12%	2.44	+0.83%	0.0859	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.039999	0.038766	-3.08%	0.049264	+23.16%	0.0884	✗	1.23	10.1M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8302	0.804749	-3.07%	0.7967	-4.04%	0.1457	✓	1.10	18.7M	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.203491	0.197382	-3.00%	0.197675	-2.86%	0.1264	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9824	2.8935	-2.98%	3.1196	+4.60%	0.0532	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0479	1.0169	-2.96%	1.3278	+26.71%	0.1083	✗	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4878	3.386	-2.92%	5.9258	+69.90%	0.5622	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	96.55	93.7768	-2.87%	100.51	+4.10%	0.0765	✓	1.19	3.0M	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.64	40.4471	-2.86%	37.91	-8.96%	0.2608	✓	1.59	639k	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	96.39	93.6479	-2.84%	118.68	+23.12%	0.0731	✗	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007692	0.000074734	-2.84%	0.00007869	+2.30%	0.0862	✓	1.12	5.8M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.34	2.274	-2.82%	1.36	-41.88%	0.7055	✓	1.56	2.4M	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143169	0.139158	-2.80%	0.133451	-6.79%	0.1711	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.042	3.9289	-2.80%	4.565	+12.94%	0.0532	✗	0.79	367k	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.924	0.898202	-2.79%	0.877	-5.09%	0.1938	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0104	0.010114	-2.75%	0.01099	+5.67%	0.0743	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.826738	-2.74%	1.236	+45.41%	0.2162	✗	1.51	523k	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.24	15.7962	-2.73%	15.14	-6.77%	0.1925	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4637	0.451245	-2.69%	0.3943	-14.97%	0.3049	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,603.74	2,535.09	-2.64%	2,923.08	+12.26%	0.0056	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0915	3.0103	-2.63%	3.5483	+14.78%	0.0037	✓	1.37	2.5M	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.009	2.9301	-2.62%	3.115	+3.52%	0.0368	✓	0.80	397k	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.93	49.6029	-2.61%	91.38	+79.42%	0.4101	✗	1.63	8.8M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1844	0.179648	-2.58%	0.1925	+4.39%	0.0984	✓	1.36	3.9M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.25	93.7729	-2.57%	99.74	+3.63%	0.0850	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.251	0.244571	-2.56%	0.236	-5.98%	0.1544	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.10202	-2.56%	0.1081	+3.25%	0.0719	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	154.04	150.1774	-2.51%	145.83	-5.33%	0.1971	✓	1.36	12.7M	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04089	0.039885	-2.46%	0.04194	+2.57%	0.0892	✓	1.13	30k	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0727	0.070929	-2.44%	0.07201	-0.95%	0.0820	✓	0.79	67k	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.84	108.1968	-2.38%	113.82	+2.69%	0.1136	✓	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	10.9017	-2.31%	10.53	-5.65%	0.1990	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,191.10	37,310.32	-2.31%	43,192.66	+13.10%	0.0233	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.15	12.85	-2.28%	16.18	+23.04%	0.1463	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.51	95.2944	-2.27%	115.74	+18.70%	0.0665	✗	1.04	7.3M	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5251	0.513227	-2.26%	0.5696	+8.47%	0.0635	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.67	150.4789	-2.08%	170.31	+10.83%	0.0010	✓	1.01	2.1M	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.9616	5.8485	-1.90%	6.4925	+8.91%	0.0730	✓	1.44	221k	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.17	8.998	-1.88%	10.15	+10.69%	0.0284	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0603	1.0421	-1.72%	0.964	-9.08%	0.2169	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	299.03	293.9666	-1.69%	339.27	+13.46%	0.0148	✓	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.731	0.721433	-1.31%	0.697	-4.65%	0.1704	✓	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.72	1.6986	-1.24%	1.505	-12.50%	0.2788	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060341	0.059639	-1.16%	0.061786	+2.39%	0.0814	✓	0.95	460k	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08979	0.088774	-1.13%	0.09213	+2.61%	0.1103	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,181.60	37,760.82	-1.10%	43,136.20	+12.98%	0.0083	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002166	0.000021448	-0.98%	0.00002579	+19.07%	0.0106	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0817	0.081197	-0.62%	0.073	-10.65%	0.2585	✓	1.24	317k	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.