2022-01-22 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1748

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+20.34%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

81.1%

in alpha space · 67.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.58%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.0571	+0.54%	1.9047	-6.91%	0.1451	✗	1.25	714k	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	34,827.74	+0.06%	37,080.10	+6.53%	0.0081	✓	1.01	26k	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.5921	-0.26%	5.8395	+62.14%	0.4852	✗	0.01	371k	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9545	-0.33%	2.2241	-24.97%	0.3314	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.543004	-0.95%	0.3401	-37.96%	0.5677	✓	1.84	48.9M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	23.976	-1.05%	25	+3.18%	0.0177	✓	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.5876	-1.47%	6.0829	+7.27%	0.0344	✗	0.93	4.5M	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	106.7295	-1.55%	102.78	-5.19%	0.1100	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	149.798	-1.67%	148	-2.85%	0.0670	✓	1.01	2.6M	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	34,470.20	-1.70%	37,023.00	+5.58%	0.0171	✓	1.00	648.0M	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	286.5418	-1.83%	283.16	-2.99%	0.0690	✓	1.05	7.0M	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.078418	-1.86%	0.0877	+9.76%	0.0368	✗	1.38	2.0M	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	5.9445	-1.91%	6.72	+10.89%	0.1110	✗	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0509	-1.91%	0.8572	-19.99%	0.2652	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	7.4315	-2.09%	8.64	+13.83%	0.0832	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.058111	-2.17%	0.0613	+3.20%	0.0077	✓	1.13	21k	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,355.04	-2.36%	2,569.00	+6.51%	0.0260	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.035883	-2.40%	0.050288	+36.78%	0.2664	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.172093	-2.44%	0.1686	-4.42%	0.0970	✓	1.41	4.3M	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.3077	-2.47%	13.77	+9.11%	0.0742	✗	0.70	813k	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5003	-2.60%	2.321	-9.58%	0.1580	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.568049	-2.63%	0.4442	-23.86%	0.3302	✓	1.55	1.4M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000019974	-2.71%	0.00002404	+17.10%	0.1087	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	23.1736	-2.80%	21.87	-8.26%	0.1507	✓	1.71	2.7M	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	91.9263	-2.82%	100.47	+6.22%	0.0163	✓	1.34	8.4M	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	2.9726	-2.82%	2.889	-5.56%	0.0758	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.256963	-2.85%	0.2042	-22.80%	0.3173	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	18.2228	-2.86%	17.63	-6.02%	0.1174	✓	1.55	944k	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.055121	-2.87%	0.059472	+4.80%	0.0236	✓	0.96	486k	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	142.8935	-2.91%	128.58	-12.64%	0.1742	✓	1.26	17.6M	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	15.3953	-2.93%	13.51	-14.82%	0.1980	✓	1.24	75.4M	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	34.237	-2.96%	32.14	-8.90%	0.1481	✓	1.56	613k	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.211405	-2.98%	0.2293	+5.23%	0.0203	✓	1.12	440k	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	95.8228	-2.99%	106.88	+8.20%	0.0538	✗	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.126	-3.02%	1.003	-13.61%	0.1849	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	1.9185	-3.06%	1.933	-2.32%	0.0516	✓	1.09	24k	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.076286	-3.10%	0.0791	+0.47%	0.0281	✓	1.19	41k	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.091346	-3.24%	0.0927	-1.80%	0.0432	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.036382	-3.24%	0.0474	+26.06%	0.1551	✗	2.02	24.3M	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.028882	-3.24%	0.0257	-13.90%	0.1701	✓	0.98	8.3M	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3212	-3.28%	1.34	-1.90%	0.0507	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.2092	-3.34%	5.32	-17.19%	0.2133	✓	1.08	301k	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	93.8226	-3.35%	87.04	-10.33%	0.1415	✓	1.22	2.8M	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	17.6473	-3.36%	16.19	-11.34%	0.1613	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.686907	-3.39%	0.64	-9.99%	0.1305	✓	1.10	2.0M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.7098	-3.40%	1.57	-11.30%	0.1599	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.070637	-3.50%	0.0692	-5.46%	0.0871	✓	1.23	299k	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.00906	-3.62%	0.00847	-9.89%	0.1264	✓	1.09	641k	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.769635	-3.64%	0.8148	+2.02%	0.0236	✓	1.48	3.8M	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.3535	-3.65%	5.7431	+3.36%	0.0081	✓	1.44	263k	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	91.3101	-3.66%	82.97	-12.46%	0.1613	✓	1.21	142.2M	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.3695	-3.68%	1.58	-35.77%	0.4932	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.128176	-3.74%	0.128094	-3.80%	0.0593	✓	1.08	6.7M	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	5.8758	-3.83%	4.92	-19.48%	0.2348	✓	1.05	3.9M	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.498611	-3.90%	0.519067	+0.04%	0.0255	✓	1.21	2.3M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.143897	-3.94%	0.1488	-0.67%	0.0048	✓	0.70	536k	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.420992	-3.99%	0.3661	-16.51%	0.2167	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.7745	-4.00%	2.34	-19.03%	0.2525	✓	1.51	32.4M	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.6908	-4.04%	2.583	-7.88%	0.0838	✓	0.79	523k	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	14.5168	-4.05%	18.137	+19.88%	0.1352	✗	1.61	10.7M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.6266	-4.06%	3.73	-1.32%	0.0383	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.048456	-4.07%	0.01937	-61.65%	0.9902	✓	1.35	12.0M	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	2.8822	-4.14%	2.8682	-4.61%	0.0718	✓	1.23	3.8M	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.5566	-4.20%	5.241	-9.64%	0.1012	✓	0.79	163k	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.426615	-4.22%	0.4311	-3.21%	0.0580	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	15.4287	-4.23%	13.9	-13.72%	0.2035	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.74683	-4.25%	0.7113	-8.81%	0.1087	✓	1.10	22.7M	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.684145	-4.27%	0.64579	-9.64%	0.1525	✓	1.75	848k	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.014316	-4.31%	0.012214	-18.36%	0.2248	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.149559	-4.36%	0.15154	-3.10%	0.0701	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.4118	-4.38%	5.83	+3.00%	0.0286	✓	0.84	616k	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	60.1049	-4.43%	50.13	-20.29%	0.2793	✓	1.80	7.8M	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.679066	-4.44%	1.646	+131.64%	0.8111	✗	1.37	108k	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.859257	-4.53%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0202	✓	1.63	569k	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	18.1326	-4.62%	18.64	-1.95%	0.0378	✓	1.20	14.5M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.046672	-4.67%	0.04508	-7.92%	0.1167	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.5949	-4.69%	2.8775	+5.69%	0.0473	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.5728	-4.73%	4.83	+0.63%	0.0157	✓	0.72	491k	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.828293	-4.79%	0.739	-15.06%	0.1903	✓	1.40	2.3M	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	0.987845	-4.84%	0.88573	-14.68%	0.1646	✓	1.02	402k	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.905146	-4.84%	0.7852	-17.45%	0.2078	✓	1.21	34.7M	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.13258	-4.89%	0.1283	-7.96%	0.0842	✓	0.95	362k	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	4.8121	-4.90%	5.07	+0.20%	0.0034	✓	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.034528	-4.91%	0.03591	-1.10%	0.0222	✓	1.13	25k	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4296	-4.94%	1.7569	+16.82%	0.1615	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	180.5461	-5.02%	125.92	-33.75%	0.4259	✓	1.21	1.3M	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.470754	-5.09%	0.444	-10.48%	0.1435	✓	1.57	8.0M	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.607374	-5.10%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0659	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.1903	-5.20%	3.28	-25.79%	0.3175	✓	1.34	16.1M	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000064832	-5.20%	0.00006783	-0.82%	0.0132	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.4733	-5.23%	4.021	+9.71%	0.1043	✗	0.78	445k	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	1.9899	-5.24%	1.25	-40.48%	0.5430	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	20.3685	-5.31%	26.51	+23.25%	0.2230	✗	0.75	353k	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	6.574	-5.33%	6.04	-13.02%	0.1040	✓	0.36	38k	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.480483	-5.34%	0.4728	-6.86%	0.0877	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.2134	-5.41%	2.16	-7.69%	0.0889	✓	1.19	737k	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.2095	-5.42%	9.06	+4.38%	0.0579	✗	0.75	800k	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	10.5545	-5.43%	8.52	-23.66%	0.2865	✓	1.33	12.7M	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.009434	-5.47%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0066	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	113.6725	-5.51%	106.4	-11.55%	0.1339	✓	1.25	88k	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	21,632.75	-5.52%	19,642.84	-14.21%	0.1431	✓	0.86	21.5M	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.107229	-5.52%	0.1229	+8.28%	0.0635	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	6.5701	-5.60%	5.95	-14.51%	0.1211	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	19.3699	-5.70%	17.77	-13.49%	0.1589	✓	1.34	34.9M	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	31.5338	-5.70%	39.81	+19.05%	0.1680	✗	1.20	29.0M	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.2891	-5.72%	4.2	-25.13%	0.2807	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.230035	-5.72%	0.248	+1.64%	0.0247	✓	0.93	67k	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.2901	-5.73%	3.77	+8.02%	0.0712	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.5553	-5.74%	1.6127	-2.26%	0.0245	✓	1.12	95k	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.4185	-5.81%	1.384	-8.10%	0.0937	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.5388	-5.83%	5.72	+18.67%	0.2102	✗	0.39	471k	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.219431	-5.86%	0.2206	-5.36%	0.0634	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.007459	-5.94%	0.00451	-43.13%	0.6364	✓	2.46	23.2M	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.1907	-5.98%	2.17	-6.87%	0.0652	✓	1.03	819k	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.051043	-6.00%	0.0681	+25.41%	0.2086	✗	1.47	684k	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	27.4872	-6.09%	23.83	-18.59%	0.1982	✓	1.02	109.3M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	6.9385	-6.13%	2.332	-68.45%	1.1447	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.299417	-6.14%	0.279	-12.54%	0.1471	✓	1.41	1.8M	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.390643	-6.16%	0.3572	-14.20%	0.1605	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	12.3645	-6.26%	12.48	-5.38%	0.0514	✓	1.12	841k	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.011951	-6.26%	0.01284	+0.71%	0.0239	✓	0.88	21k	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.0142	-6.32%	1.99	-7.44%	0.0664	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	1.9133	-6.37%	2.4827	+21.50%	0.1977	✗	1.16	4.3M	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.058382	-6.39%	0.05994	-3.90%	0.0189	✓	0.83	60k	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.529547	-6.41%	0.481	-14.99%	0.1623	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	46.9519	-6.41%	47.35	-5.62%	0.0571	✓	1.21	6.3M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.008745	-6.47%	0.00929	-0.64%	0.0123	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.684074	-6.50%	0.7421	+1.44%	0.0272	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.0188	-6.50%	0.018035	-10.31%	0.1023	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.2624	-6.53%	5.27	-6.39%	0.0398	✓	0.76	645k	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	2.759	-6.54%	2.9731	+0.71%	0.0006	✓	1.37	3.1M	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.179551	-6.66%	0.17816	-7.39%	0.0660	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	1.9413	-6.67%	1.3	-37.50%	0.4806	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	55.7605	-6.76%	70.08	+17.19%	0.1575	✗	1.31	87.3M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.3463	-6.78%	0.8883	-38.49%	0.4701	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	83.1327	-6.84%	80.87	-9.38%	0.0793	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	3.9479	-6.88%	3.7534	-11.46%	0.1158	✓	1.20	443k	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.749526	-7.12%	1.1385	+41.09%	0.3512	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.030244	-7.23%	0.0263	-19.33%	0.2198	✓	1.48	1.1M	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.4979	-7.54%	1.37	-15.43%	0.1479	✓	1.08	2.6M	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	77.5224	-7.70%	68.7997	-18.09%	0.1891	✓	1.29	486k	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.066165	-8.13%	0.03362	-53.32%	0.7313	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.0492	-9.20%	0.023018	-57.52%	0.8139	✓	1.00	575k	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.