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2022-01-09 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2512
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.9%
in alpha space · 77.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.152.1357-0.66%1.86-13.49%0.1936✓1.083.5M2022-02-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,503.1042,032.76-1.11%42,914.50+0.97%0.0298✓0.9810k2022-02-08
TRXTRONTron0.0661210.065377-1.12%0.068059+2.93%0.0086✓0.95552k2022-02-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0651.0498-1.42%0.809-24.04%0.3098✓0.962.2M2022-02-08
XMRMoneroMonero191188.056-1.54%179-6.28%0.1021✓1.032.9M2022-02-08
ADACardanoCardano1.17071.1515-1.64%1.1764+0.49%0.0349✓1.1095.6M2022-02-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.101744-1.66%0.10219-1.23%0.0534✓1.1223k2022-02-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028280.000027784-1.75%0.00003097+9.51%0.0446✗1.241.7M2022-02-08
QTUMQtumQtum7.66517.5285-1.78%7.0785-7.65%0.1348✓1.42263k2022-02-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.773.7016-1.81%3.261-13.50%0.1617✓0.68514k2022-02-08
XTZTezosTezos4.21644.1325-1.99%4.3927+4.18%0.0084✓1.354.6M2022-02-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.04741.0254-2.10%0.8556-18.31%0.2277✓0.913.4M2022-02-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,876.5240,968.07-2.17%44,085.59+5.28%0.0219✓1.00696.0M2022-02-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash376.94368.1248-2.34%335.57-10.98%0.1448✓1.028.5M2022-02-08
AAVEAaveEthereum209.53204.388-2.45%184.15-12.11%0.1638✓1.1617.6M2022-02-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0189730.018507-2.45%0.016889-10.98%0.1541✓1.222.5M2022-02-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.859.6055-2.48%10.47+6.29%0.0483✗0.741.0M2022-02-08
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7915.3926-2.52%11.95-24.32%0.3196✓1.2913.1M2022-02-08
GTGateEthereum6.28546.1138-2.73%6.8111+8.36%0.0647✗0.843.5M2022-02-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1504830.14635-2.75%0.1583+5.19%0.0223✓1.094.7M2022-02-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6174.49-2.75%4.578-0.84%0.0132✓0.64481k2022-02-08
ETHEthereumEthereum3,151.663,064.92-2.75%3,119.57-1.02%0.0366✓1.06591.9M2022-02-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2713.8698-2.80%17.23+20.74%0.1830✗0.661.1M2022-02-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.9827.1873-2.83%20.1-28.16%0.3965✓1.845.4M2022-02-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2611.2244-2.91%1.045-17.13%0.2268✓1.333.1M2022-02-08
SOLSolanaSolana140.83136.6544-2.96%113.58-19.35%0.2421✓1.11198.8M2022-02-08
XEMNEMnative0.11520.111755-2.99%0.1163+0.95%0.0140✓1.0567k2022-02-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.361.3188-3.03%1.422+4.56%0.0060✓1.355.2M2022-02-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3590.347554-3.19%0.283-21.17%0.2426✓0.7238k2022-02-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.5556-3.26%6.83-12.55%0.1399✓0.76741k2022-02-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.5776-3.35%6.95-11.35%0.1178✓0.61760k2022-02-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.93262.8344-3.35%3.5194+20.01%0.1568✗1.162.6M2022-02-08
DODODODOEthereum0.7490.723898-3.35%0.557-25.63%0.3359✓1.447.6M2022-02-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.6323.8029-3.36%21.68-11.98%0.1603✓1.3071.0M2022-02-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.1829.1657-3.36%24.6-18.49%0.2242✓1.0520.1M2022-02-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.3225-3.47%5.63-14.05%0.1487✓0.64674k2022-02-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0292960.028266-3.52%0.022305-23.86%0.2894✓1.026.3M2022-02-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08320.08024-3.56%0.0865+3.97%0.0044✓1.381.1M2022-02-08
QNTQuantEthereum170.38164.2216-3.61%147.49-13.43%0.1563✓0.957.6M2022-02-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.891.8208-3.66%1.791-5.24%0.0755✓1.152.4M2022-02-08
LRCLoopringEthereum1.57571.5176-3.69%1.0791-31.52%0.4401✓1.931.3M2022-02-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.872.7638-3.70%2.19-23.69%0.3008✓1.323.2M2022-02-08
XLMStellarStellar0.2611850.251444-3.73%0.242394-7.19%0.0890✓1.0224.0M2022-02-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58410.562169-3.75%0.4741-18.83%0.2371✓1.3012.2M2022-02-08
KSMKusamaHydration246.6237.2779-3.78%192.41-21.97%0.2688✓1.151.3M2022-02-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049470.047598-3.78%0.04533-8.37%0.1068✓1.1316k2022-02-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31610.30411-3.79%0.2815-10.95%0.1421✓1.262.2M2022-02-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0720.069263-3.80%0.04001-44.43%0.6120✓1.2318.4M2022-02-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.94104.7068-3.89%101.44-6.88%0.0804✓0.952.6M2022-02-08
COMPCompoundEthereum193.57185.9758-3.92%147.97-23.56%0.2885✓1.16195k2022-02-08
XECeCashnative0.000096170.000092379-3.94%0.00009444-1.80%0.0292✓1.006.7M2022-02-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17590.168813-4.03%0.1638-6.88%0.0771✓0.91484k2022-02-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092820.089034-4.08%0.08606-7.28%0.0693✓0.6948k2022-02-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76523.6115-4.08%7.5798+101.31%0.7454✗-0.08364k2022-02-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.163.0304-4.10%2.78-12.03%0.1369✓0.99949k2022-02-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0726.897-4.18%27.08-3.53%0.0289✓0.69370k2022-02-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016430.015742-4.19%0.01315-19.96%0.2150✓0.6829k2022-02-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0750.071844-4.21%0.0786+4.80%0.0350✓1.0716k2022-02-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2824.1004-4.24%3.641-14.97%0.1591✓0.781.1M2022-02-08
XYMSymbolnative0.18380.175978-4.26%0.1858+1.09%0.0210✓0.65428k2022-02-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.33330.319078-4.27%0.3065-8.04%0.1171✓1.493.8M2022-02-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015420.014756-4.31%0.01536-0.39%0.0268✓1.302.2M2022-02-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.03470.989813-4.34%0.92382-10.72%0.1605✓1.781.0M2022-02-08
XVSVenusEthereum14.0913.4699-4.40%9.72-31.01%0.3848✓1.143.4M2022-02-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07121.0239-4.41%0.9872-7.84%0.0868✓0.9821.2M2022-02-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8968.6705-4.48%66.79-7.09%0.0809✓1.036.3M2022-02-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin130.91125.0446-4.48%133.82+2.22%0.0013✓1.3535.1M2022-02-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.094.8594-4.53%5.53+8.64%0.0701✗1.153.3M2022-02-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.010.963606-4.59%1.05+3.96%0.0044✓1.761.6M2022-02-08
ZECZcashZcash144.28137.615-4.62%133.12-7.73%0.1017✓1.3310.6M2022-02-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.8136.4881-4.77%7.632+12.02%0.0976✗1.26271k2022-02-08
NANOnanopayBase3.00732.8632-4.79%2.3589-21.56%0.2501✓1.10699k2022-02-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.9428.4858-4.86%25.99-13.19%0.1699✓1.521.0M2022-02-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16980.16154-4.86%0.1335-21.38%0.2544✓1.244.3M2022-02-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11260.107077-4.90%0.0919-18.38%0.2098✓1.11280k2022-02-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.461.3884-4.91%1.19-18.49%0.2408✓1.68790k2022-02-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.872.7267-4.99%2.561-10.77%0.1092✓0.9132k2022-02-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5260.499628-5.01%0.371-29.47%0.3640✓1.292.1M2022-02-08
IMXImmutableEthereum3.763.5715-5.01%2.78-26.06%0.3243✓1.432.4M2022-02-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06180.058669-5.07%0.0344-44.34%0.6031✓1.351.5M2022-02-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7597.3617-5.12%6.692-13.75%0.1282✓0.64231k2022-02-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0183.8113-5.15%3.5159-12.50%0.1456✓1.264.2M2022-02-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64730.613722-5.19%0.6264-3.23%0.0440✓1.254.4M2022-02-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.16760.15863-5.35%0.1243-25.84%0.3079✓1.252.1M2022-02-08
MOVRMoonriverBase160.3372151.6979-5.39%101.7616-36.53%0.4565✓1.11540k2022-02-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8232.6696-5.43%2.847+0.85%0.0160✓1.561.2M2022-02-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35375.0613-5.46%5.215-2.59%0.0314✓1.19446k2022-02-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche89.3484.3668-5.57%86.45-3.23%0.0349✓1.15115.7M2022-02-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.98060.925393-5.63%0.7515-23.36%0.2801✓1.401.5M2022-02-08
RADRadworksEthereum8.568.0733-5.69%6.13-28.39%0.3215✓0.901.1M2022-02-08
XVGVergenative0.014030.013227-5.72%0.01184-15.61%0.1729✓1.212.1M2022-02-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.08970.084523-5.77%0.0799-10.93%0.1077✓1.0030.6M2022-02-08
LUNATerraTerra 274.4870.1165-5.86%57.22-23.17%0.2547✓1.007.4M2022-02-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0150.014119-5.87%0.00724-51.73%0.7906✓2.3927.1M2022-02-08
LSKLiskEthereum2.0531.9322-5.89%1.8682-9.00%0.0906✓1.1190k2022-02-08
BANDBandEthereum5.325.0049-5.92%3.96-25.56%0.2914✓1.112.1M2022-02-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.7427.9469-6.03%32.06+7.80%0.0837✗1.043.2M2022-02-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.086150.080912-6.08%0.05908-31.42%0.3885✓1.442.5M2022-02-08
FTTFTXEthereum37.1534.885-6.10%46.39+24.87%0.2291✗1.0919.4M2022-02-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.25031.1738-6.12%1.2693+1.52%0.0263✓1.013.3M2022-02-08
SUSHISushiEthereum6.936.4934-6.30%4.65-32.90%0.4007✓1.3018.2M2022-02-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.598.979-6.37%6.81-28.99%0.3107✓0.671.1M2022-02-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.80393.5601-6.41%3.6711-3.49%0.0078✓0.753,8202022-02-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.653.4056-6.70%2.26-38.08%0.4742✓1.259.8M2022-02-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2982.1438-6.71%2.11-8.18%0.0714✓1.081.8M2022-02-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0986650.091898-6.86%0.034271-65.27%1.0378✓1.003.3M2022-02-08
UMAUMAEthereum8.988.3572-6.94%6.51-27.51%0.2988✓0.954.4M2022-02-08
API3Api3Ethereum3.823.5547-6.94%3.85+0.79%0.0436✓0.70646k2022-02-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48471.381-6.98%1.9181+29.19%0.2833✗0.88922k2022-02-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.2610.242726-7.00%0.2258-13.49%0.1400✓1.324.5M2022-02-08
DASHDashDash153.16142.2994-7.09%112.75-26.38%0.2970✓1.251.9M2022-02-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.919.4062-7.15%16.15-22.73%0.2372✓1.041.2M2022-02-08
ZENHorizenBase55.9351.9324-7.15%47.62-14.86%0.1634✓1.49772k2022-02-08
HIVEHivenative1.33311.2372-7.19%1.1789-11.57%0.1199✓1.394.5M2022-02-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.55811.4438-7.33%1.344-13.74%0.1156✓0.85647k2022-02-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.04280.039622-7.42%0.0314-26.64%0.2797✓0.928.0M2022-02-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.58560.541771-7.48%0.5288-9.70%0.0937✓1.352.7M2022-02-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum27.5425.4334-7.65%18.4-33.19%0.3861✓1.2169.2M2022-02-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,662.9230,140.75-7.72%25,530.13-21.84%0.1989✓0.6425.2M2022-02-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176350.162661-7.76%0.22456+27.34%0.2418✗1.574,9922022-02-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66070.609124-7.81%0.5442-17.63%0.2037✓1.7740.0M2022-02-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.683.3915-7.84%2.25-38.86%0.4770✓1.303.2M2022-02-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88480.815253-7.86%1.319+49.07%0.4297✗1.00133k2022-02-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.019.2111-7.98%7.29-27.17%0.2307✓-0.061.8M2022-02-08
MINAMina Protocolnative3.353.0782-8.11%3-10.45%0.0792✓1.04715k2022-02-08
GITCOINGITCOIN11.30110.3754-8.19%8.653-23.43%0.1844✓0.0661k2022-02-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.9932.1085-8.24%30.42-13.06%0.1011✓0.9149.1M2022-02-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.40091.2838-8.36%1.0239-26.91%0.2849✓1.1430.5M2022-02-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.494.1102-8.46%3.42-23.83%0.2559✓1.4030.4M2022-02-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3810.3892-8.71%8.65-23.99%0.1892✓0.122.8M2022-02-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7240630.660346-8.80%0.681804-5.84%0.0265✓1.142.6M2022-02-08
SCSiacoinnative0.013480.01228-8.90%0.01176-12.76%0.0935✓0.98756k2022-02-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum36.1432.8136-9.20%23.02-36.30%0.4268✓1.4125.8M2022-02-08
KCSKuCoinnative19.3217.4717-9.57%20.237+4.75%0.0634✓1.6313.0M2022-02-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.93692.6542-9.63%3.4688+18.11%0.2160✗1.005.5M2022-02-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.32240.290883-9.78%0.3139-2.64%0.0247✓1.00340k2022-02-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0233.3398-9.94%30.82-16.75%0.1625✓1.632.8M2022-02-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0647490.058178-10.15%0.04912-24.14%0.2366✓1.317.1M2022-02-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65390.577962-11.61%0.5993-8.35%0.0396✓1.48650k2022-02-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.