2022-01-08 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1438

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.16%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.9%

in alpha space · 70.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+5.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.1003	0.090414	-9.86%	0.06292	-37.27%	0.4370	✓	1.46	2.5M	2022-02-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4941	0.445864	-9.76%	0.6257	+26.63%	0.2666	✗	1.41	650k	2022-02-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.933	2.6584	-9.36%	3.2878	+12.10%	0.1611	✗	1.01	5.5M	2022-02-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059866	0.054287	-9.32%	0.042745	-28.60%	0.3055	✓	1.30	7.3M	2022-02-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35	31.7633	-9.25%	32.06	-8.40%	0.0738	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-02-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3125	0.283647	-9.23%	0.3267	+4.54%	0.0904	✓	1.00	293k	2022-02-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.946	17.2043	-9.19%	20.309	+7.19%	0.0829	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-02-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.1925	-9.06%	3.56	-22.78%	0.2354	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6022	1.466	-8.50%	1.9987	+24.75%	0.2646	✗	0.89	922k	2022-02-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.9	30.1399	-8.39%	24.04	-26.93%	0.2974	✓	1.40	24.8M	2022-02-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	35.87	32.884	-8.32%	31.63	-11.82%	0.0858	✓	0.92	45.6M	2022-02-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3854	1.2701	-8.32%	1.0706	-22.72%	0.2291	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-02-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.708399	0.649624	-8.30%	0.67955	-4.07%	0.0130	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-02-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01326	0.012176	-8.18%	0.01211	-8.67%	0.0553	✓	0.98	764k	2022-02-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.76	9.9003	-7.99%	9.06	-15.80%	0.0943	✓	0.11	2.8M	2022-02-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,111.98	30,538.39	-7.77%	26,559.72	-19.79%	0.1723	✓	0.64	23.0M	2022-02-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04346	0.04013	-7.66%	0.03323	-23.54%	0.2356	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-02-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	2.9934	-7.61%	3.09	-4.63%	0.0211	✓	1.04	715k	2022-02-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17662	0.163233	-7.58%	0.22724	+28.66%	0.2506	✗	1.57	5,957	2022-02-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8854	0.818704	-7.53%	1.2268	+38.56%	0.3534	✗	1.00	137k	2022-02-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6336	0.586206	-7.48%	0.602	-4.99%	0.0637	✓	1.77	40.0M	2022-02-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.839	10.0333	-7.43%	8.971	-17.23%	0.1145	✓	0.05	68k	2022-02-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.95	19.4996	-6.92%	16.8	-19.81%	0.2022	✓	1.04	1.2M	2022-02-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.515	1.4119	-6.81%	1.3981	-7.72%	0.0533	✓	0.85	663k	2022-02-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.31	23.5938	-6.78%	18.88	-25.40%	0.2844	✓	1.20	69.2M	2022-02-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3208	1.2319	-6.73%	1.2317	-6.75%	0.0714	✓	1.39	4.8M	2022-02-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.86	8.2725	-6.63%	6.61	-25.40%	0.2730	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-02-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5755	0.537466	-6.61%	0.535	-7.04%	0.0735	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2557	0.239292	-6.42%	0.2345	-8.29%	0.0875	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.81	3.5663	-6.40%	3.79	-0.52%	0.0251	✓	0.70	848k	2022-02-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.47	8.8779	-6.25%	7.41	-21.75%	0.1771	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.257	2.1168	-6.21%	2.094	-7.22%	0.0659	✓	1.08	1.8M	2022-02-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0944	0.088782	-5.95%	0.0901	-4.56%	0.0363	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.79	133.3794	-5.93%	115.9	-18.26%	0.2038	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	54.36	51.1642	-5.88%	48.2	-11.33%	0.1357	✓	1.49	802k	2022-02-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	1.9305	-5.87%	1.9231	-6.23%	0.0603	✓	1.11	90k	2022-02-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.52	3.3203	-5.67%	2.26	-35.80%	0.4474	✓	1.23	10.4M	2022-02-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01469	0.013866	-5.61%	0.00701	-52.28%	0.8039	✓	2.38	27.8M	2022-02-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.44	8.9149	-5.56%	7.38	-21.82%	0.2229	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-02-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	27.7413	-5.55%	32.66	+11.20%	0.1101	✗	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.2026	-5.45%	4.96	-24.39%	0.2895	✓	1.29	18.2M	2022-02-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7251	3.5229	-5.43%	3.7993	+1.99%	0.0374	✓	0.75	4,332	2022-02-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01392	0.013168	-5.40%	0.01222	-12.21%	0.1364	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3573	5.0736	-5.30%	5.4029	+0.85%	0.0020	✓	1.19	457k	2022-02-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.6691	-5.29%	4.06	-17.65%	0.1962	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.4	7.9566	-5.28%	6	-28.57%	0.3279	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.088	7.6667	-5.21%	6.962	-13.92%	0.1293	✓	0.64	231k	2022-02-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9606	0.911109	-5.15%	0.7902	-17.74%	0.2137	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9971	3.7986	-4.97%	3.5646	-10.82%	0.1279	✓	1.26	4.4M	2022-02-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	156.3963	148.8264	-4.84%	105.8832	-32.30%	0.3971	✓	1.11	560k	2022-02-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.815	2.6795	-4.81%	2.945	+4.62%	0.0150	✓	1.56	1.3M	2022-02-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0541	2.9085	-4.77%	2.3627	-22.64%	0.2639	✓	1.10	710k	2022-02-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.22	33.5461	-4.75%	47.22	+34.07%	0.2867	✗	1.08	20.0M	2022-02-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1998	1.143	-4.73%	1.3002	+8.37%	0.0775	✗	1.01	3.4M	2022-02-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0756	1.0258	-4.63%	0.9985	-7.17%	0.0770	✓	0.98	21.4M	2022-02-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.84	6.5268	-4.58%	7.753	+13.35%	0.1078	✗	1.26	291k	2022-02-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.604	2.4857	-4.54%	2.656	+2.00%	0.0206	✓	0.89	33k	2022-02-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	0.964143	-4.54%	0.95	-5.94%	0.1046	✓	1.76	1.7M	2022-02-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.63	137.1204	-4.53%	128.86	-10.28%	0.1302	✓	1.33	10.6M	2022-02-07
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.0767	0.073234	-4.52%	0.038389	-49.95%	0.6969	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0592	0.056532	-4.51%	0.0369	-37.67%	0.4949	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6366	0.607977	-4.50%	0.6374	+0.13%	0.0167	✓	1.25	4.5M	2022-02-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.515	0.491968	-4.47%	0.384	-25.44%	0.3136	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.44	1.3757	-4.47%	1.24	-13.89%	0.1898	✓	1.68	831k	2022-02-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.02	4.7959	-4.46%	5.9	+17.53%	0.1485	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.91	80.2365	-4.38%	83.23	-0.81%	0.0220	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-02-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.303	4.116	-4.34%	3.76	-12.62%	0.1305	✓	0.78	942k	2022-02-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1115	0.106666	-4.34%	0.0948	-14.98%	0.1745	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.51	123.918	-4.32%	137.43	+6.12%	0.0349	✓	1.34	36.2M	2022-02-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.92	13.3222	-4.29%	10.33	-25.79%	0.3125	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-02-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	66.84	63.9769	-4.28%	59.48	-11.01%	0.1239	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.185	0.177213	-4.21%	0.1916	+3.57%	0.0450	✗	0.65	441k	2022-02-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7737	3.6155	-4.19%	4.8233	+27.81%	0.2923	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.164	0.157137	-4.18%	0.1382	-15.73%	0.1915	✓	1.24	4.5M	2022-02-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.84	27.641	-4.16%	25.54	-11.44%	0.1565	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.94	26.7892	-4.12%	28.02	+0.29%	0.0095	✓	0.69	385k	2022-02-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0197	0.977812	-4.11%	0.96686	-5.18%	0.1022	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.015567	-4.09%	0.01354	-16.57%	0.1743	✓	0.68	30k	2022-02-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	70.29	67.4215	-4.08%	68.32	-2.80%	0.0394	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	2.9458	-4.05%	2.82	-8.14%	0.0938	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09231	0.088607	-4.01%	0.08985	-2.66%	0.0211	✓	0.69	52k	2022-02-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0739	0.070988	-3.94%	0.079	+6.90%	0.0525	✗	1.07	16k	2022-02-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3151	0.302746	-3.92%	0.3247	+3.05%	0.0060	✓	1.49	3.8M	2022-02-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009632	0.000092579	-3.88%	0.00009007	-6.49%	0.0784	✓	1.00	6.8M	2022-02-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	189.37	182.0576	-3.86%	145.96	-22.92%	0.2803	✓	1.16	195k	2022-02-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07317	0.070396	-3.79%	0.04107	-43.87%	0.6018	✓	1.23	19.5M	2022-02-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1747	0.168118	-3.77%	0.1593	-8.82%	0.1005	✓	0.91	490k	2022-02-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.06	2.9454	-3.74%	2.38	-22.22%	0.2760	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-02-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01495	0.014392	-3.73%	0.01584	+5.95%	0.0296	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		107.28	103.2837	-3.73%	101.78	-5.13%	0.0630	✓	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04885	0.047033	-3.72%	0.04657	-4.67%	0.0674	✓	1.13	16k	2022-02-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	172.86	166.4807	-3.69%	154.1	-10.85%	0.1259	✓	0.95	7.7M	2022-02-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	240.09	231.351	-3.64%	198.23	-17.44%	0.2132	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.886	1.8176	-3.63%	1.868	-0.95%	0.0313	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.255091	0.245917	-3.60%	0.239623	-6.06%	0.0778	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5732	0.552658	-3.58%	0.5065	-11.64%	0.1534	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3129	0.30177	-3.56%	0.2714	-13.26%	0.1704	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.75	2.6539	-3.50%	2.27	-17.45%	0.2236	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.42	3.3011	-3.48%	2.86	-16.37%	0.2150	✓	1.40	2.5M	2022-02-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1327	0.128175	-3.41%	0.1248	-5.95%	0.0884	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029005	0.028034	-3.35%	0.023054	-20.52%	0.2477	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.3358	-3.27%	5.62	-14.20%	0.1523	✓	0.63	686k	2022-02-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.85	7.5983	-3.21%	6.65	-15.29%	0.1644	✓	0.61	788k	2022-02-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.5605	-3.19%	6.79	-13.06%	0.1461	✓	0.76	771k	2022-02-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24	23.2381	-3.17%	22.37	-6.79%	0.1044	✓	1.30	71.0M	2022-02-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.46	28.5333	-3.15%	24.52	-16.77%	0.2050	✓	1.05	21.2M	2022-02-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.875	2.7857	-3.11%	3.4602	+20.35%	0.1578	✗	1.16	2.6M	2022-02-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.742	0.718987	-3.10%	0.583	-21.43%	0.2830	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.354	0.343044	-3.09%	0.285	-19.49%	0.2221	✓	0.72	39k	2022-02-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5246	1.478	-3.06%	1.1664	-23.49%	0.3352	✓	1.93	1.3M	2022-02-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1141	0.11075	-2.94%	0.1175	+2.98%	0.0057	✓	1.05	69k	2022-02-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.377	1.3372	-2.89%	1.495	+8.57%	0.0425	✗	1.35	5.2M	2022-02-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0811	0.078774	-2.87%	0.0915	+12.82%	0.0796	✗	1.37	1.2M	2022-02-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	142.17	138.1728	-2.81%	117.62	-17.27%	0.2179	✓	1.11	203.4M	2022-02-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.24	13.8463	-2.77%	16.23	+13.97%	0.1252	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.613	4.4881	-2.71%	4.576	-0.80%	0.0130	✓	0.63	488k	2022-02-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.15079	0.146714	-2.70%	0.165291	+9.62%	0.0634	✗	1.09	4.6M	2022-02-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1789	6.0153	-2.65%	7.3085	+18.28%	0.1518	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-02-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	212.32	206.7805	-2.61%	182.29	-14.14%	0.1853	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-02-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,080.48	3,001.99	-2.55%	3,141.89	+1.99%	0.0083	✓	1.05	619.8M	2022-02-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.23	1.1989	-2.53%	1.073	-12.76%	0.1787	✓	1.33	3.3M	2022-02-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.71	27.0332	-2.44%	21.81	-21.29%	0.3085	✓	1.84	5.4M	2022-02-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018696	0.018257	-2.35%	0.01721	-7.95%	0.1212	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.5466	-2.29%	10.4	+6.45%	0.0481	✗	0.74	1.1M	2022-02-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.92	14.5853	-2.24%	12.38	-17.02%	0.2296	✓	1.29	13.4M	2022-02-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	372.84	364.4865	-2.24%	343.12	-7.97%	0.1123	✓	1.02	8.8M	2022-02-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,684.84	40,814.25	-2.09%	43,868.07	+5.24%	0.0211	✓	1.00	743.8M	2022-02-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.07	1.0508	-1.80%	0.6483	-39.41%	0.5295	✓	0.91	3.7M	2022-02-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0005	3.9319	-1.71%	4.1408	+3.51%	0.0169	✓	1.35	4.7M	2022-02-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.657	3.5959	-1.67%	3.306	-9.60%	0.1186	✓	0.68	483k	2022-02-07
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10244	0.100751	-1.65%	0.10441	+1.92%	0.0217	✓	1.12	23k	2022-02-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1827	1.1634	-1.63%	1.1991	+1.39%	0.0258	✓	1.10	97.2M	2022-02-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5972	7.4752	-1.61%	7.4703	-1.67%	0.0733	✓	1.42	263k	2022-02-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002775	0.000027365	-1.39%	0.00003255	+17.30%	0.1103	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.67	181.2176	-1.34%	185.08	+0.77%	0.0310	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.04	1.0284	-1.11%	0.854	-17.88%	0.2346	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.065402	0.064771	-0.96%	0.068517	+4.76%	0.0078	✓	0.95	556k	2022-02-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,892.20	41,523.71	-0.88%	43,893.50	+4.78%	0.0054	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-02-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.12	2.1098	-0.48%	1.93	-8.96%	0.1440	✓	1.08	3.6M	2022-02-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.