2022-01-01 · +30d

lstm_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3551

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.02%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.1%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-19.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0797	0.069015	-13.41%	0.0352	-55.83%	0.3744	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3671	0.319409	-12.99%	0.2718	-25.96%	0.0521	✓	0.99	293k	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.01775	0.015478	-12.80%	0.01022	-42.42%	0.1582	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.07	35.9131	-12.56%	27.02	-34.21%	0.0721	✓	1.66	2.8M	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.49	3.9412	-12.22%	2.16	-51.89%	0.3192	✓	1.31	11.9M	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.08	1.8267	-12.18%	0.9985	-52.00%	0.2009	✓	1.87	1.5M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.21	5.4621	-12.04%	3.27	-47.34%	0.2191	✓	1.37	29.2M	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.58	11.9495	-12.01%	7.35	-45.88%	0.4883	✓	-0.01	3.9M	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.69	12.0562	-11.93%	7.318	-46.54%	0.5140	✓	-0.07	111k	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	189.4715	167.1794	-11.77%	75.0775	-60.38%	0.5502	✓	1.16	600k	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064208	0.056667	-11.74%	0.039278	-38.83%	0.0672	✓	1.39	7.6M	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2912	1.1413	-11.61%	0.6166	-52.25%	0.3140	✓	1.40	2.1M	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.633	0.559789	-11.57%	0.318	-49.76%	0.2929	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3501	2.9655	-11.48%	2.8223	-15.76%	0.1514	✗	0.93	6.6M	2022-01-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	13.2	11.6881	-11.45%	6.25	-52.65%	0.4989	✓	0.59	1.3M	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01554	0.013807	-11.15%	0.00994	-36.04%	0.1229	✓	0.96	859k	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.14	8.1228	-11.13%	4.23	-53.72%	0.3723	✓	1.30	18.1M	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.715	0.637438	-10.85%	0.464	-35.10%	0.0327	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4264	0.380673	-10.72%	0.549	+28.75%	0.6678	✗	1.40	650k	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1001	0.089537	-10.55%	0.0619	-38.16%	0.0744	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.681	2.4065	-10.24%	1.888	-29.58%	0.0223	✓	1.02	2.0M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11	9.8799	-10.18%	5.8	-47.27%	0.3508	✓	0.85	1.2M	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.33	8.3895	-10.08%	5.95	-36.23%	0.1034	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2952	0.265676	-10.00%	0.1889	-36.01%	0.0600	✓	1.31	5.0M	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.73	3.3635	-9.82%	2.39	-35.92%	0.1101	✓	1.08	667k	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.33	32.8048	-9.70%	28.07	-22.74%	0.0437	✓	0.93	43.4M	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.17	36.2724	-9.70%	20.15	-49.84%	0.2014	✓	1.80	6.3M	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02333	0.021071	-9.68%	0.00728	-68.80%	0.8476	✓	1.00	31.2M	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20032	0.181202	-9.54%	0.19016	-5.07%	0.3862	✗	1.57	7,281	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.26	103.3771	-9.52%	69.92	-38.81%	0.1529	✓	1.11	123.8M	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5787	1.4291	-9.47%	1.0903	-30.94%	0.0668	✓	0.95	4.2M	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5238	1.3831	-9.24%	0.9619	-36.87%	0.0663	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.835	1.6668	-9.17%	1.1648	-36.52%	0.1862	✓	0.80	828k	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9793	0.889727	-9.15%	0.8388	-14.35%	0.1562	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.94	58.1068	-9.12%	41	-35.88%	0.0238	✓	1.51	924k	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	1.0026	0.911296	-9.11%	0.5403	-46.11%	0.1597	✓	1.69	31.1M	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.609	3.2804	-9.10%	2.683	-25.66%	0.1448	✗	1.61	2.3M	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.83	4.3933	-9.04%	2.69	-44.31%	0.2754	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3775	0.343456	-9.02%	0.2423	-35.81%	0.0747	✓	1.27	3.9M	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,545.69	33,270.30	-8.96%	24,852.85	-32.00%	0.1609	✓	0.61	15.4M	2022-01-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6281	1.4859	-8.73%	0.4369	-73.17%	1.0500	✓	0.81	4.6M	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7302	0.66761	-8.57%	0.5492	-24.79%	0.0777	✓	1.27	6.0M	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.37	3.9981	-8.51%	2.15	-50.80%	0.4052	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08625	0.078933	-8.48%	0.04586	-46.83%	0.2805	✓	1.22	21.1M	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7433	1.5955	-8.48%	0.9504	-45.48%	0.2759	✓	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.093	0.085194	-8.39%	0.058	-37.63%	0.0714	✓	1.45	3.5M	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.875736	0.802309	-8.38%	0.567335	-35.22%	0.1025	✓	1.13	2.8M	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1094	5.6082	-8.20%	5.0138	-17.93%	0.1477	✗	1.21	649k	2022-01-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1249	0.114899	-8.01%	0.0975	-21.94%	0.0510	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2128	0.196003	-7.89%	0.1136	-46.62%	0.2788	✓	1.24	5.1M	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.386	20.6236	-7.87%	18.065	-19.30%	0.2195	✗	1.64	15.7M	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033863	0.031197	-7.87%	0.021024	-37.91%	0.1742	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.66	84.4606	-7.85%	52.15	-43.10%	0.2670	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3965	2.2227	-7.25%	1.5526	-35.22%	0.1167	✓	1.12	111k	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.7	1.5776	-7.20%	0.82	-51.76%	0.2840	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3879	0.359965	-7.20%	0.3291	-15.16%	0.2324	✗	1.50	4.0M	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.2	37.3416	-7.11%	43.58	+8.41%	0.3825	✗	1.06	20.0M	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1885	0.175253	-7.03%	0.1215	-35.54%	0.1112	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01654	0.015417	-6.79%	0.00993	-39.96%	0.1589	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.0912	-6.74%	0.64	-45.30%	0.3183	✓	1.00	2.1M	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011077	0.000103653	-6.43%	0.00007633	-31.09%	0.0922	✓	0.99	7.6M	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.36	4.0823	-6.37%	3.41	-21.79%	0.0352	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.411	1.3221	-6.30%	0.8338	-40.91%	0.2590	✓	0.94	23.0M	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2582	1.1792	-6.29%	0.85261	-32.24%	0.0563	✓	1.77	1.3M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	266.48	249.8158	-6.25%	157.59	-40.86%	0.2162	✓	1.14	12.0M	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003416	0.000032031	-6.23%	0.00002142	-37.30%	0.1344	✓	1.25	1.8M	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.36	141.1401	-6.13%	94.57	-37.10%	0.1093	✓	1.35	11.0M	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.27	33.1284	-6.07%	20.51	-41.85%	0.1479	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.069	4.7624	-6.05%	3.227	-36.34%	0.2271	✓	0.75	1.0M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.1	88.6209	-5.82%	52.38	-44.34%	0.3186	✓	0.96	6.5M	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.39	7.9046	-5.79%	5.904	-29.63%	0.0196	✓	1.27	379k	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0202	0.01905	-5.69%	0.01331	-34.11%	0.2198	✓	0.64	41k	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.76	11.1056	-5.56%	6.54	-44.39%	0.5662	✓	-0.17	2.8M	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1339	0.126454	-5.56%	0.0812	-39.36%	0.2114	✓	1.08	315k	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04964	0.0469	-5.52%	0.02978	-40.01%	0.2582	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7558	4.5027	-5.32%	3.1164	-34.47%	0.0885	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.58	3.3928	-5.23%	2.1315	-40.46%	0.2344	✓	1.07	819k	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	250.04	237.1157	-5.17%	147.48	-41.02%	0.2600	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.43	0.408622	-4.97%	0.247	-42.56%	0.3458	✓	0.73	45k	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.18	4.9265	-4.89%	3.48	-32.82%	0.0876	✓	1.21	2.2M	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.52	23.325	-4.87%	14.36	-41.44%	0.2620	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.87	33.1739	-4.86%	25.67	-26.38%	0.0322	✓	1.04	4.3M	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.193	8.7462	-4.86%	6.119	-33.44%	0.2268	✓	0.61	324k	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.5517	4.3316	-4.84%	3.1775	-30.19%	0.1601	✓	0.70	19k	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	138.03	131.4345	-4.78%	94.18	-31.77%	0.0599	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.08	15.3319	-4.65%	7.94	-50.62%	0.4096	✓	1.15	3.8M	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.98	5.7037	-4.62%	5.73	-4.18%	0.2572	✗	1.17	3.8M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.875	0.834691	-4.61%	0.491	-43.89%	0.2125	✓	1.48	8.1M	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7989	3.6281	-4.50%	3.7199	-2.08%	0.0008	✓	-0.11	405k	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.04	276.1995	-4.44%	159.75	-44.73%	0.3069	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0839	0.080187	-4.43%	0.0658	-21.57%	0.0338	✓	1.08	20k	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2245	0.214569	-4.42%	0.1836	-18.22%	0.0285	✓	0.59	428k	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	25.61	24.4788	-4.42%	19.82	-22.61%	0.0971	✗	1.43	24.2M	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.46	31.0398	-4.38%	25.21	-22.34%	0.0624	✓	0.68	463k	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6647	0.636107	-4.30%	0.409	-38.47%	0.1630	✓	1.30	11.8M	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05488	0.052571	-4.21%	0.04045	-26.29%	0.0244	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.61	27.4502	-4.05%	19.39	-32.23%	0.0681	✓	1.30	74.7M	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	150.83	144.7855	-4.01%	109.55	-27.37%	0.0114	✓	1.35	41.9M	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3805	1.3256	-3.98%	1.887	+36.69%	0.5903	✗	1.10	987k	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10295	0.098865	-3.97%	0.07979	-22.50%	0.0760	✓	0.64	55k	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.133	2.0489	-3.95%	1.547	-27.47%	0.0372	✓	1.13	2.9M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.1	2.98	-3.87%	1.95	-37.10%	0.1411	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2061	0.198148	-3.86%	0.1361	-33.96%	0.1812	✓	0.90	585k	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.651	1.5875	-3.85%	0.915	-44.58%	0.2730	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.914	2.803	-3.81%	2.247	-22.89%	0.0342	✓	0.87	44k	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.276802	0.266402	-3.76%	0.199723	-27.85%	0.0678	✓	1.02	26.4M	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	210.69	202.8847	-3.70%	121.39	-42.38%	0.2640	✓	1.16	210k	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.748	1.6844	-3.64%	1.359	-22.25%	0.0773	✗	1.36	6.8M	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.88	34.5956	-3.58%	21.3	-40.64%	0.2608	✓	1.04	23.7M	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.94	8.6252	-3.52%	6.26	-29.98%	0.1895	✓	0.61	998k	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.35	3.232	-3.52%	2.5	-25.37%	0.0406	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7635	6.5343	-3.39%	6.867	+1.53%	0.2297	✗	0.84	4.0M	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.03	118.9819	-3.29%	91.32	-25.77%	0.0590	✓	0.96	3.7M	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.65	8.3664	-3.28%	6.27	-27.51%	0.1234	✓	0.77	979k	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.21	173.3815	-3.25%	99.52	-44.47%	0.3266	✓	1.06	226.4M	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.87	174.0362	-3.24%	97.15	-45.99%	0.3770	✓	0.96	8.9M	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.0341	-3.24%	9.62	-7.23%	0.1196	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.47	16.9269	-3.11%	11.78	-32.57%	0.0843	✓	1.29	14.5M	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2078	3.1093	-3.07%	3.0665	-4.40%	0.2452	✗	1.20	3.3M	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.24	7.0198	-3.04%	5.25	-27.49%	0.1523	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.7494	4.605	-3.04%	3.4938	-26.44%	0.0131	✓	1.34	5.2M	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173118	0.167905	-3.01%	0.141646	-18.18%	0.0670	✗	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.75	20.126	-3.01%	17.16	-17.30%	0.1306	✗	1.35	69.7M	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.4	14.951	-2.92%	14.25	-7.47%	0.0998	✗	0.69	1.4M	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.211	5.0591	-2.92%	4.108	-21.17%	0.0780	✓	0.61	738k	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,765.72	3,658.07	-2.86%	2,689.72	-28.57%	0.0837	✓	1.04	685.0M	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.126	0.122506	-2.77%	0.1022	-18.89%	0.0559	✗	1.10	137k	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022463	0.021843	-2.76%	0.014268	-36.48%	0.1661	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9613	8.7214	-2.68%	6.0678	-32.29%	0.0566	✓	1.42	278k	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.221	4.1102	-2.63%	3.042	-27.93%	0.1578	✓	0.67	514k	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	445.07	433.8674	-2.52%	285.23	-35.91%	0.2019	✓	1.01	9.8M	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,733.43	46,603.04	-2.37%	38,491.93	-19.36%	0.0240	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3797	1.3486	-2.25%	1.0524	-23.72%	0.0128	✓	1.09	102.6M	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.276	1.2488	-2.13%	0.731	-42.71%	0.3330	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11476	0.112764	-1.74%	0.08784	-23.46%	0.0114	✓	1.11	26k	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076625	0.075406	-1.59%	0.059132	-22.83%	0.0402	✓	0.94	589k	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,429.60	46,933.53	-1.05%	38,589.30	-18.64%	0.0144	✗	0.98	10k	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.53	2.5105	-0.77%	1.68	-33.60%	0.1727	✓	1.06	4.1M	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.