FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1389

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0192

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000360523	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000365353	-0.56%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0071	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000351777	-0.26%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0390	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.00040666	-0.74%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1417	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000430181	-1.14%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0511	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.00035676	-0.07%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.1991	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000383654	-0.26%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0692	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000407356	-0.44%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0597	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000327366	+0.23%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2387	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000352057	+0.20%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0884	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.00038485	-0.04%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0702	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000373655	+0.14%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0225	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000404501	+0.04%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0842	✗	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000369099	+0.29%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0847	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000504064	-0.38%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3082	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000387548	+0.03%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3029	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000354532	-0.43%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0923	✗	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000485397	-0.14%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2986	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000512272	-0.02%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0731	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000513579	-0.03%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.00053941	-0.17%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000623911	+0.08%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1591	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000587357	-0.46%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0605	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000745424	+0.01%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2359	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.00081425	-0.25%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000938244	-0.51%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1398	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001021	-0.76%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000967489	-1.05%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0654	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001128	-1.43%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001355	-2.43%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1473	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001194	-2.74%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1551	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001373	-2.01%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001694	-2.68%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1886	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001582	-2.88%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0911	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001666	-2.93%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000740273	-11.34%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.8380	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.00103	-10.47%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.2173	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001267	-11.44%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001301	-12.79%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0771	✓	1.00