BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s9
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
65.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1080
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0076
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.012012 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011673 | -0.40% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012224 | -0.41% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012859 | -0.55% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012707 | -0.46% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.01291 | -0.50% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012837 | -0.49% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012565 | -0.32% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013479 | -0.64% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013119 | -0.42% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016336 | -2.64% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1544 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012957 | -0.25% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2358 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011358 | +0.29% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1234 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.0115 | +0.35% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0408 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012949 | -0.01% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011782 | +0.19% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1673 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012886 | -0.11% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0848 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012996 | -0.34% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013352 | -0.09% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011142 | +0.56% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1741 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011953 | +0.45% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012345 | +0.49% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0798 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013749 | +0.25% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1098 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014689 | +0.10% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0747 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015876 | -0.28% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016105 | -0.31% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.01678 | -0.42% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0486 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018364 | -0.84% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0765 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018579 | -0.91% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017182 | -0.68% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1087 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019261 | -1.25% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017436 | -0.14% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018875 | -0.37% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0770 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022093 | -1.06% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1582 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.016972 | +0.25% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016362 | +0.04% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020314 | +0.09% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2241 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021272 | -0.32% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021518 | -0.59% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022484 | -1.41% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.02047 | -3.99% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.1073 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.03141 | -0.77% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.3962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031661 | -1.09% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038572 | -1.10% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1844 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.04239 | -1.32% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054198 | -2.52% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.074211 | -4.64% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.2951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.054676 | -4.08% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3510 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.044677 | -3.92% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2633 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.02866 | +0.04% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4340 | ✓ | 1.00 |