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2022-05-10 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.4777
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-31.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.4%
in alpha space · 48.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.7205+1.78%1.06-93.91%2.6966✗1.777.5M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0158+1.33%1.4486-27.18%0.2589✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.842568+1.03%0.54-35.25%0.3604✗1.2531k2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.477625+0.93%0.37834-20.05%0.1354✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0332+0.87%1.177-41.61%0.4930✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0968+0.74%5.715-36.71%0.3109✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.3908+0.71%1.001-27.52%0.2469✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.3868+0.69%3.68-31.21%0.2947✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005397+0.69%0.00367-31.53%0.3344✗0.7620k2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8108+0.60%1.317-26.83%0.2507✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011317+0.59%0.00973-13.51%0.0996✗0.76238k2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.16837+0.58%0.1257-24.91%0.1910✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.301684+0.56%0.19-36.67%0.3651✗1.44250k2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062544+0.55%0.0412-33.76%0.3519✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.177946+0.53%0.1056-40.34%0.4115✗1.63902k2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.2965+0.53%2.497-23.85%0.1697✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7551+0.52%4.61-31.40%0.3397✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3597+0.52%1.8219-45.49%0.5268✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.297483+0.50%0.197-33.45%0.3246✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.501286+0.48%0.3939-21.05%0.1586✗1.2297k2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9019+0.46%4.27-37.85%0.4383✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1188+0.46%1.1829-43.91%0.5297✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.509068+0.44%0.3862-23.80%0.1937✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.423537+0.42%0.30717-27.17%0.2322✗1.3244k2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4652+0.41%1.587-35.36%0.4069✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.522117+0.41%0.31-40.38%0.4268✗1.40383k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107425+0.40%0.057-46.73%0.5845✗0.73117k2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.778948+0.38%0.574-26.03%0.2309✗1.1050k2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3769+0.38%1.637-30.87%0.2882✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019187+0.37%0.014156-25.95%0.2362✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002288+0.36%0.00125-45.18%0.5214✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.6101+0.35%140.01-14.13%0.0894✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1171+0.34%0.76561-31.23%0.2902✗1.29805k2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.238792+0.33%0.166-30.25%0.2747✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.293866+0.33%0.1956-33.22%0.3393✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.411+0.32%2.339-31.21%0.2710✗1.5720k2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006039+0.32%0.00457-24.09%0.2050✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7265+0.32%1.223-28.94%0.2385✗1.57582k2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.4346+0.29%21.4392-24.38%0.1889✗1.38195k2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9244+0.28%13.85-12.78%0.0817✗0.86473k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.751056+0.27%0.486-35.11%0.3461✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3945+0.25%1.068-23.22%0.2081✗0.8725k2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9085+0.23%4.83-38.78%0.4166✗1.13666k2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1386+0.23%2.623-36.47%0.4021✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7363+0.23%1.84-32.60%0.3399✗0.84443k2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.111755+0.23%0.0782-29.87%0.2425✗1.69232k2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6048+0.22%1.653-36.40%0.3414✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1525+0.22%0.82-28.70%0.2458✗1.40892k2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.336807+0.21%0.3065-8.81%0.0631✗0.46514k2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.2141+0.20%72.92-21.62%0.1680✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.655663+0.19%0.49716-24.03%0.1872✗1.3293k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.3821+0.19%8.58-24.47%0.2043✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.681316+0.19%0.58-14.71%0.0893✗1.06260k2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.324+0.18%19.2-20.92%0.1454✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013464+0.18%0.01058-21.28%0.1777✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027045+0.17%0.014-48.15%0.5240✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7929+0.16%1.32-26.26%0.2134✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1374+0.16%1.365-36.04%0.3935✗0.81748k2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.505764+0.15%0.299-40.79%0.4242✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.39168+0.15%0.2974-23.96%0.1982✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4149+0.14%2.35-31.09%0.2649✗1.61357k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.2006+0.13%83.09-10.73%0.0319✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.510618+0.12%0.35-31.37%0.3377✗0.5970k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9647+0.12%3.46-12.63%0.0910✗0.67804k2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006307+0.11%0.00436-30.79%0.2890✗1.18885k2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.303631+0.11%0.2258-25.55%0.2196✗1.13486k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.476496+0.10%0.318-33.19%0.3484✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.18839+0.10%0.143-24.02%0.1890✗1.28372k2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.304502+0.10%0.2219-27.05%0.2439✗1.07316k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046322+0.09%0.03319-28.28%0.2514✗1.2187k2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128189+0.07%0.078-39.11%0.4291✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114066+0.06%0.0833-26.93%0.2204✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029436+0.06%0.0209-28.96%0.2818✗0.90227k2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014776+0.05%0.012056-18.36%0.1569✗0.69198k2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6215+0.04%2.25-37.85%0.4260✗0.74429k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.273506+0.04%0.2133-21.98%0.1675✗1.20186k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.7924+0.04%2.496-34.16%0.3298✗1.31190k2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.060822+0.04%0.049-19.41%0.1388✗1.1469k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0613+0.03%2.86-29.56%0.2980✗0.78829k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014713+0.02%0.00948-35.55%0.3397✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.8262+0.02%70.97-20.09%0.1366✗1.3037k2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.815104+0.01%0.62-23.93%0.1806✗1.37344k2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5402+0.01%1.05-31.82%0.3447✗0.57221k2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4603+0.01%2.28-34.10%0.3592✗0.86557k2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006171+0.01%0.00435-29.50%0.2615✗1.30382k2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.192+0.00%0.856-28.19%0.2349✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.218-0.00%1.428-35.62%0.3908✓0.73903k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2699-0.00%0.91-28.35%0.2794✓0.80142k2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4299-0.01%0.99-30.77%0.2838✓1.24755k2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7326-0.01%1.785-34.69%0.3253✓1.4884k2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1278-0.02%9.48-32.91%0.3029✓1.423.5M2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2426-0.02%1.809-19.35%0.1237✓1.35537k2022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.062867-0.02%0.04918-21.79%0.1859✓0.8826k2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.107867-0.03%0.065-39.76%0.4116✓1.40204k2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153346-0.04%0.1157-24.58%0.2138✓1.001.1M2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.364-0.04%64.1-11.45%0.0520✓1.023.5M2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.04098-0.05%0.0314-23.41%0.1826✓1.24179k2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.191895-0.05%0.119-38.02%0.4325✓0.6719k2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3843-0.07%1.0802-22.01%0.1696✓1.16161k2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.154894-0.07%0.1188-23.35%0.1659✓1.47108k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.5737-0.07%6.93-19.23%0.1281✓1.2519.6M2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24105.1611-0.07%82.28-21.82%0.1496✓1.418.6M2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.279786-0.08%0.1885-32.68%0.3406✓0.802,9402022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053256-0.08%0.04295-19.42%0.1561✓0.879,7632022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.205226-0.08%0.175-14.80%0.0627✓1.43634k2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.5579-0.09%10.75-20.78%0.1464✓1.2619.8M2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.756242-0.10%0.471-37.78%0.3878✓1.26869k2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,006.19-0.11%28,313.90-8.78%0.0257✓0.9640k2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.4885-0.12%31.1-30.18%0.2700✓1.3045.0M2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.3367-0.12%9.05-20.26%0.1438✓1.2011.8M2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021344-0.12%0.01772-17.08%0.1459✓0.59405k2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.466579-0.14%0.37334-20.10%0.1425✓1.19144k2022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5008-0.15%2.897-17.37%0.1231✓0.9881k2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4079-0.15%1.07-24.11%0.2362✓0.56528k2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.1876-0.15%2.847-32.12%0.2836✓1.512.2M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.10775-0.15%0.084774-21.44%0.1707✓1.027.1M2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058325-0.16%0.0000364-37.69%0.3931✓1.166.7M2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.759051-0.16%0.5963-21.57%0.1520✓1.326.1M2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.3661-0.17%19.64-22.71%0.1576✓1.45173k2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9341-0.17%1.7025-12.13%0.0871✓0.6015k2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.565782-0.18%0.415-26.78%0.2180✓1.36299k2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3930,944.53-0.19%28,972.34-6.55%0.0019✗1.00634.5M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.8437-0.19%19.91-16.66%0.0994✓1.204.4M2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.59568-0.20%0.4772-20.05%0.1443✓1.141.5M2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.6434-0.21%14.26-19.34%0.1281✓1.25695k2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.141791-0.22%0.107-24.70%0.1967✓1.251.2M2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.8879-0.22%11.39-18.17%0.1408✓0.854.1M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031019-0.23%0.02413-22.39%0.1908✓0.8930k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.156-0.24%58.06-20.82%0.1568✓1.101.0M2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082104-0.24%0.056-31.96%0.3176✓0.96416k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3096-0.24%1.0189-22.39%0.1871✓0.9489k2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0554-0.24%4.89-19.44%0.1369✓1.144.1M2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.626675-0.26%0.5161-17.86%0.1113✓1.2242.0M2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8666.6851-0.26%50.82-23.99%0.1838✓1.3087.4M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6155-0.28%1.41-12.96%0.0649✓1.05134k2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1082-0.28%1.7776-15.92%0.0892✓1.20866k2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.5399-0.29%7.42-29.80%0.2649✓1.278.0M2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.245094-0.29%0.1517-38.28%0.3922✓1.296.8M2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1279.8865-0.29%66.31-17.24%0.1122✓1.0917.5M2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7329-0.29%1.406-19.10%0.1413✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,649.36-0.32%11,348.99-17.12%0.1088✓1.122.6M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.155307-0.32%0.1138-26.96%0.2126✓1.451.8M2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.01148-0.34%0.00936-18.75%0.1352✓1.021.0M2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.0861-0.35%2.5145-18.81%0.1254✓1.17188k2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7355-0.35%4.0098-15.62%0.0881✓1.16134k2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8297-0.36%1.74-38.73%0.3853✓1.49371k2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001445-0.38%0.00000121-16.55%0.1280✓0.737.7M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,331.00-0.41%2,075.93-11.30%0.0474✓1.01464.2M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.14e-7-0.42%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3157✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.147749-0.44%0.125737-15.27%0.0926✓1.0113.8M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.080899-0.49%0.0681-16.24%0.1266✓0.67619k2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.10169-0.50%0.0924-9.59%0.0397✓0.83169k2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016058-0.51%0.00001195-25.96%0.2138✓1.211.2M2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.097122-0.53%0.06818-30.17%0.2934✓0.8918k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0374-0.54%1.001-4.03%0.0408✗1.13574k2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.3946-0.55%5.25-3.22%0.0084✓0.28284k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.903974-0.55%0.8-11.99%0.0486✓1.093.3M2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2662.8901-0.58%52.8-16.53%0.1139✓0.902.0M2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010846-0.61%0.009172-15.95%0.1018✓0.9738k2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66230.2521-0.61%193.96-16.27%0.0989✓1.075.2M2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076577-0.62%0.074146-3.78%0.0241✗0.83463k2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.58113-0.63%0.4525-22.62%0.1759✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.794-0.70%4.9785-14.68%0.1197✓0.474.7M2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9621-0.75%1.502-24.03%0.1757✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0832.8213-0.78%29.94-9.49%0.0279✓0.9412.7M2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.2414-1.10%9.91-31.18%0.2732✓1.32134k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.