8=======>

2022-05-02 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0980
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.3%
in alpha space · 74.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.3921.396+0.29%1.351-2.95%0.0106✗1.0770k2022-05-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum30.2130.2875+0.26%29.08-3.74%0.0146✗1.264.2M2022-05-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22080.221357+0.25%0.2186-1.00%0.0231✓1.721.4M2022-05-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64230.643832+0.24%0.6963+8.41%0.1039✓1.23121k2022-05-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00760.007611+0.14%0.00751-1.18%0.0005✓0.6228k2022-05-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.40310.403577+0.12%0.3925-2.63%0.0053✗1.09512k2022-05-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.4227.4403+0.07%26.82-2.19%0.0002✓1.115.0M2022-05-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.255.2537+0.07%5.07-3.43%0.0217✗0.671.1M2022-05-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.2173.2189+0.06%3.401+5.72%0.0757✓1.003.1M2022-05-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.9214.9287+0.06%14.57-2.35%0.0039✓1.36148k2022-05-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0240350.024048+0.05%0.023305-3.04%0.0100✗1.034.3M2022-05-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.017360.017367+0.04%0.01708-1.61%0.0041✓1.00288k2022-05-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14790.147945+0.03%0.1437-2.84%0.0156✓2.15276k2022-05-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2270.227067+0.03%0.225-0.88%0.0208✓1.447.1M2022-05-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.430.430104+0.02%0.41-4.65%0.0174✗1.47311k2022-05-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8582.8584+0.01%2.804-1.89%0.0047✗0.701.1M2022-05-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4413.4409-0.00%3.394-1.37%0.0137✗1.3279k2022-05-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0530.052998-0.00%0.057+7.55%0.0967✗1.15179k2022-05-03
MINAMina Protocolnative1.821.8199-0.00%1.77-2.75%0.0052✓1.091.1M2022-05-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025850.025849-0.00%0.0316+22.24%0.2131✗0.59416k2022-05-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.17963.1793-0.01%3.0843-3.00%0.0177✓0.614.1M2022-05-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.936.9288-0.02%6.85-1.15%0.0103✗1.054.4M2022-05-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6580.657864-0.02%0.657-0.15%0.0278✗1.401.7M2022-05-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.727010.726847-0.02%0.71298-1.93%0.0065✗1.241.4M2022-05-03
SUSHISushiEthereum2.362.3594-0.02%2.32-1.69%0.0091✗1.254.1M2022-05-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.339-0.02%4.26-1.84%0.0032✓0.73798k2022-05-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.740.739814-0.03%0.75+1.35%0.0364✗1.09463k2022-05-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19270.192646-0.03%0.2042+5.97%0.0758✗0.851.2M2022-05-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.1711.1668-0.03%11.12-0.45%0.0191✗1.1218.9M2022-05-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14460.144558-0.03%0.1406-2.77%0.0019✓1.255.8M2022-05-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.124250.124211-0.03%0.12171-2.04%0.0055✓0.7218k2022-05-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4972.4962-0.03%2.449-1.92%0.0133✗1.56722k2022-05-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.27460.274508-0.03%0.2716-1.09%0.0166✗1.31800k2022-05-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.078980.078949-0.04%0.07951+0.67%0.0236✗0.7930k2022-05-03
ZECZcashZcash124.63124.5701-0.05%119.63-4.01%0.0181✓1.086.3M2022-05-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0695-0.05%1.063-0.65%0.0197✗1.24366k2022-05-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.36270.362521-0.05%0.3351-7.61%0.0700✓0.423,8542022-05-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin14.6114.6023-0.05%14.62+0.07%0.0232✗1.068.5M2022-05-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,566.4038,545.90-0.05%37,647.20-2.38%0.0044✓0.9225k2022-05-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.8431.842-0.05%1.826-0.92%0.0066✗0.7424k2022-05-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.003068-0.06%0.003-2.28%0.0001✓1.084.5M2022-05-03
DIADIAEthereum0.770.769567-0.06%0.76-1.30%0.0029✓0.4673k2022-05-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.30793.306-0.06%3.2092-2.98%0.0182✓0.555.8M2022-05-03
XTZTezosTezos2.49422.4927-0.06%2.4872-0.28%0.0191✗1.02873k2022-05-03
XVGVergenative0.008160.008155-0.06%0.00812-0.49%0.0180✗1.081.0M2022-05-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008350.008345-0.06%0.00822-1.56%0.0090✗1.16403k2022-05-03
STXStacksnative0.940.939362-0.07%0.92-2.13%0.0010✓0.96338k2022-05-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9852.9828-0.07%2.942-1.44%0.0011✓0.611.5M2022-05-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.018560.018546-0.08%0.01808-2.59%0.0107✓0.713.7M2022-05-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0491.0482-0.08%1.031-1.72%0.0057✗1.073.6M2022-05-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.35050.35022-0.08%0.3424-2.31%0.0046✗1.31195k2022-05-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.991.9884-0.08%1.97-1.01%0.0114✗0.99135k2022-05-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.817.7857-0.08%17.56-1.35%0.0093✗1.0619.8M2022-05-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.9514.9378-0.08%14.73-1.47%0.0072✗1.0211.7M2022-05-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03690.03687-0.08%0.0348-5.69%0.0251✓1.5824.3M2022-05-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.735.7251-0.09%5.37-6.28%0.0527✓0.55889k2022-05-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040430.040395-0.09%0.03846-4.87%0.0327✓0.79249k2022-05-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.9314.9268-0.09%4.92-0.22%0.0233✗1.19190k2022-05-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0461.0451-0.09%1.036-0.96%0.0152✗1.152.2M2022-05-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.8353.8315-0.09%3.778-1.49%0.0223✗1.751.6M2022-05-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.17870.178539-0.09%0.178-0.39%0.0207✗1.141.8M2022-05-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.01818.0017-0.09%17.812-1.14%0.0056✗0.784.8M2022-05-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.521.5186-0.09%1.48-2.63%0.0015✗1.311.1M2022-05-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020660.000020641-0.09%0.00002035-1.50%0.0079✗1.061.4M2022-05-03
XECeCashnative0.000072020.000071952-0.09%0.00007188-0.19%0.0191✗0.978.1M2022-05-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587140.586584-0.09%0.57993-1.23%0.0101✗1.03133k2022-05-03
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6414.6366-0.09%4.698+1.23%0.0434✗1.4619k2022-05-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0941.0929-0.10%1.056-3.47%0.0147✓0.9554k2022-05-03
ZENHorizenBase30.3530.3187-0.10%30.26-0.30%0.0254✗1.32189k2022-05-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.579.5601-0.10%9.16-4.28%0.0342✓0.411.7M2022-05-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1734930.173309-0.11%0.171962-0.88%0.0123✗0.9713.8M2022-05-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20380.203581-0.11%0.2002-1.77%0.0112✗1.35119k2022-05-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.628450.627771-0.11%0.62172-1.07%0.0137✗1.1394k2022-05-03
ADACardanoCardano0.78060.77971-0.11%0.7711-1.22%0.0106✗1.0542.0M2022-05-03
HIVEHivenative0.80160.800682-0.11%0.7743-3.41%0.0131✓0.981.5M2022-05-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.9512.9344-0.12%12.8-1.16%0.0122✗1.098.9M2022-05-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,510.8938,464.11-0.12%37,719.59-2.05%0.0012✗1.00542.5M2022-05-03
DODODODOEthereum0.2910.290644-0.12%0.285-2.06%0.0044✗1.156.2M2022-05-03
AAVEAaveEthereum144.21144.0302-0.12%141.02-2.21%0.0049✗1.2610.3M2022-05-03
COMPCompoundEthereum105.5105.3678-0.13%102.6-2.75%0.0029✓1.1439k2022-05-03
DASHDashDash89.289.0879-0.13%88.09-1.24%0.0099✗1.021.2M2022-05-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.062680.062601-0.13%0.06107-2.57%0.0028✓1.06100k2022-05-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.684.6741-0.13%4.72+0.85%0.0236✗0.67648k2022-05-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,856.212,852.58-0.13%2,780.34-2.66%0.0049✓1.00438.2M2022-05-03
XYMSymbolnative0.09330.09318-0.13%0.0911-2.36%0.0088✓0.66770k2022-05-03
NANOnanopayBase1.73821.7359-0.13%1.6862-2.99%0.0074✓1.04161k2022-05-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9520.950742-0.13%0.925-2.84%0.0057✓1.051.2M2022-05-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.53290.532194-0.13%0.502-5.80%0.0380✓0.987.9M2022-05-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.50391.5019-0.14%1.4756-1.88%0.0053✗1.111.1M2022-05-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.52445.5168-0.14%5.3906-2.42%0.0005✓1.14120k2022-05-03
KSMKusamaHydration130.9130.7156-0.14%127.65-2.48%0.0014✓1.08954k2022-05-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.230.229675-0.14%0.227-1.30%0.0025✗0.6825k2022-05-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.311.2839-0.14%11.39+0.80%0.0307✗1.03985k2022-05-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74420.743129-0.14%0.7228-2.88%0.0013✓1.28328k2022-05-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.0221.9883-0.14%21.82-0.91%0.0182✗1.25586k2022-05-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche60.3460.2507-0.15%59.63-1.18%0.0140✗1.1745.0M2022-05-03
QNTQuantEthereum95.2395.0886-0.15%93.03-2.31%0.0051✓0.813.4M2022-05-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.811.8073-0.15%1.82+0.55%0.0220✗0.72171k2022-05-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.032.0269-0.15%2-1.48%0.0015✓0.57279k2022-05-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12810.127903-0.15%0.1266-1.17%0.0090✗0.92163k2022-05-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.140.139779-0.16%0.151+7.86%0.0864✗0.44132k2022-05-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42860.427923-0.16%0.419-2.24%0.0029✓0.88343k2022-05-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018040.018011-0.16%0.01782-1.22%0.0192✗1.4447.4M2022-05-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.9711.95-0.17%11.89-0.67%0.0048✗0.472.7M2022-05-03
FTTFTXEthereum39.1139.0445-0.17%37.79-3.38%0.0143✓0.8813.5M2022-05-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin100.65100.4612-0.19%99.35-1.29%0.0099✗1.0117.5M2022-05-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.77151.7682-0.19%1.7373-1.93%0.0003✓0.8689k2022-05-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008240.008224-0.19%0.00855+3.76%0.0623✗1.132.7M2022-05-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001707-0.19%0.00000171+0.00%0.0166✗0.717.7M2022-05-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.85013.8428-0.19%3.7386-2.90%0.0071✓0.98188k2022-05-03
XMRMoneroMonero199.47199.087-0.19%206.93+3.74%0.0575✗0.913.3M2022-05-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5421.539-0.19%1.578+2.33%0.0465✗1.037.5M2022-05-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039020.038944-0.20%0.0381-2.36%0.0048✓0.8243k2022-05-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.77245.7605-0.21%5.6044-2.91%0.0177✓0.47249k2022-05-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014760.014729-0.21%0.01436-2.71%0.0069✓0.891.3M2022-05-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.1761.1735-0.21%1.172-0.34%0.0201✗1.03501k2022-05-03
XVSVenusEthereum7.857.8333-0.21%7.78-0.89%0.0148✗1.043.3M2022-05-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6010.599717-0.21%0.584-2.83%0.0106✓0.771.7M2022-05-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.4423.3897-0.21%22.8-2.73%0.0068✓0.90468k2022-05-03
MOVRMoonriverBase41.004340.9162-0.21%39.5666-3.51%0.0037✓1.44195k2022-05-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.664.65-0.22%4.75+1.93%0.0520✗1.48339k2022-05-03
GTGateEthereum6.24096.2273-0.22%6.3042+1.01%0.0215✗0.454.6M2022-05-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.01284.3895-0.22%279.33-1.99%0.0023✗0.975.4M2022-05-03
BANDBandEthereum3.0413.0342-0.22%2.975-2.17%0.0059✗1.23572k2022-05-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.4454.4351-0.22%4.346-2.23%0.0007✓0.9567k2022-05-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4470.445966-0.23%0.441-1.34%0.0100✗1.024.3M2022-05-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1012.0961-0.23%2.154+2.52%0.0542✗1.305.1M2022-05-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119910.011963-0.23%0.012073+0.68%0.0267✗0.8546k2022-05-03
SGBSongbirdnative0.05440.054272-0.23%0.0551+1.29%0.0246✗0.46146k2022-05-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.888190.885995-0.25%0.8645-2.67%0.0006✓1.1599k2022-05-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.19460.194114-0.25%0.1921-1.28%0.0165✗1.302.2M2022-05-03
SOLSolanaSolana87.4587.2284-0.25%85.85-1.83%0.0091✗1.2187.4M2022-05-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06770.067528-0.25%0.0656-3.10%0.0129✓0.7719k2022-05-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.135453-0.26%0.1359+0.07%0.0288✗1.23192k2022-05-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30770.30691-0.26%0.3191+3.70%0.0639✗1.206.8M2022-05-03
LUNATerraTerra 284.3584.1331-0.26%82.57-2.11%0.0080✗1.297.8M2022-05-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.10410.103831-0.26%0.1073+3.07%0.0517✗0.91426k2022-05-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV74.0573.8548-0.26%72.68-1.85%0.0006✓0.802.1M2022-05-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.93444.9213-0.26%4.799-2.74%0.0012✓1.158.6M2022-05-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.61610.614431-0.27%0.6707+8.86%0.1074✗0.9510.9M2022-05-03
RADRadworksEthereum3.923.9092-0.27%3.81-2.81%0.0082✓0.84600k2022-05-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1307860.130423-0.28%0.129503-0.98%0.0122✗0.937.2M2022-05-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96720.964146-0.32%0.9651-0.22%0.0269✗1.257.6M2022-05-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.3195.302-0.32%5.339+0.38%0.0364✗1.421.8M2022-05-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,128.8117,071.79-0.33%17,468.60+1.98%0.0434✗0.992.8M2022-05-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.26550.264599-0.34%0.2587-2.56%0.0001✓1.08398k2022-05-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.763.7466-0.36%3.71-1.33%0.0190✗1.39385k2022-05-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.50182.4925-0.37%2.3791-4.90%0.0337✓0.6215k2022-05-03
XEMNEMnative0.0920.09165-0.38%0.0878-4.57%0.0238✓0.9252k2022-05-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.734.7106-0.41%4.642-1.86%0.0145✗1.407.7M2022-05-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.45610.454207-0.42%0.4012-12.04%0.1188✓0.26605k2022-05-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8063.7897-0.43%3.65-4.10%0.0308✓0.322.4M2022-05-03
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5823-0.49%1.57-1.26%0.0042✓0.58459k2022-05-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.01e-78.96e-7-0.51%9.43e-7+4.71%0.0500✗-0.06580k2022-05-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0191940.019097-0.51%0.019229+0.18%0.0170✗0.48193k2022-05-03
STEEMSteemnative0.38760.385609-0.51%0.3565-8.02%0.0577✓1.0010.2M2022-05-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7190980.715001-0.57%0.694683-3.40%0.0086✓0.985.3M2022-05-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7165.681-0.61%5.398-5.56%0.0387✓0.591.6M2022-05-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.09584.0704-0.62%3.4808-15.02%0.1411✓0.7410.0M2022-05-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.072.0556-0.69%1.92-7.25%0.0474✓1.0016.1M2022-05-03
APEApeCoinEthereum15.05714.948-0.72%14.152-6.01%0.0123✓2.0449.4M2022-05-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10040.099605-0.79%0.0942-6.18%0.0386✓0.833.1M2022-05-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689430.06831-0.92%0.072682+5.42%0.0750✗0.62273k2022-05-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.0425.1218-3.53%21.96-15.67%0.1075✓1.302.2M2022-05-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.