8=======>

2022-04-04 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2788
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.5%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum3.423.3295-2.65%3.16-7.60%0.0427✓0.40372k2022-04-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13690.133429-2.54%0.1185-13.44%0.0946✓1.02184k2022-04-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0544.9539-1.98%4.347-13.99%0.1038✓1.13417k2022-04-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2310.226772-1.83%0.218-5.63%0.0261✓0.5626k2022-04-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.30240.298667-1.23%0.3125+3.34%0.0755✗1.281.9M2022-04-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.96e-77.87e-7-1.13%7.72e-7-2.99%0.0279✓-0.381.1M2022-04-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8918710.882265-1.08%0.805768-9.65%0.0656✓1.061.9M2022-04-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.143.1068-1.06%3.25+3.50%0.0692✗1.02810k2022-04-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.26370.26092-1.05%0.2476-6.11%0.0257✓1.133.0M2022-04-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005510.005455-1.00%0.00506-8.17%0.0442✓1.306.0M2022-04-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.45946.3972-0.96%7.7193+19.50%0.2132✗1.0723.4M2022-04-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.7866.7218-0.95%6.173-9.03%0.0623✓0.97102k2022-04-05
API3Api3Ethereum5.5815.5304-0.91%5.631+0.90%0.0315✗0.573.9M2022-04-05
LUNATerraTerra 2116.42115.392-0.88%116.27-0.13%0.0387✗1.319.1M2022-04-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.2831.2717-0.88%1.2666-1.28%0.0252✗1.2314.9M2022-04-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.14371.1338-0.87%1.1027-3.58%0.0048✓1.38752k2022-04-05
NANOnanopayBase2.88352.8593-0.84%2.7111-5.98%0.0265✓1.13209k2022-04-05
AAVEAaveEthereum238.04236.0539-0.83%221.05-7.14%0.0362✓1.2414.4M2022-04-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.42125.3771-0.81%5.3802-0.76%0.0140✗0.575.2M2022-04-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47530.471558-0.79%0.4533-4.63%0.0095✓1.271.7M2022-04-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.28930.287074-0.77%0.2703-6.57%0.0365✓1.001.2M2022-04-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5720.567797-0.73%0.545-4.72%0.0151✓1.097.0M2022-04-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70330.698175-0.73%0.7228+2.77%0.0659✗1.32652k2022-04-05
SOLSolanaSolana132.16131.2032-0.72%126.9-3.98%0.0040✓1.2493.6M2022-04-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.7582.7382-0.72%2.6355-4.44%0.0204✓0.7512k2022-04-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.699.6213-0.71%9.46-2.37%0.0002✓0.722.4M2022-04-05
XECeCashnative0.00010880.000108035-0.70%0.00011097+1.99%0.0495✗0.968.5M2022-04-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.9526.9031-0.70%6.131-11.81%0.0894✓1.235.8M2022-04-05
MOVRMoonriverBase84.178683.5954-0.69%77.5258-7.90%0.0432✓1.36175k2022-04-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.13810.137144-0.69%0.134-2.97%0.0054✓1.21834k2022-04-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.8561.8432-0.69%1.81-2.48%0.0103✗1.203.6M2022-04-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.8363.3957-0.68%61.64-3.43%0.0026✓1.305.9M2022-04-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.747.6889-0.66%7.36-4.91%0.0085✓1.49638k2022-04-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.2517.1379-0.65%16.16-6.32%0.0479✓0.463.5M2022-04-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06780.06736-0.65%0.0619-8.70%0.0448✓1.6844.1M2022-04-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09010.089516-0.65%0.0875-2.89%0.0050✓1.17416k2022-04-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.81535.7779-0.64%5.4681-5.97%0.0338✓0.90269k2022-04-05
BORABORAKlay Token1.04281.0362-0.63%0.97928-6.09%0.0328✓1.00375k2022-04-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.6243-0.63%5.3-6.36%0.0267✓1.38824k2022-04-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.551.5403-0.63%1.45-6.45%0.0339✓1.12978k2022-04-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.9212.9035-0.60%2.806-3.94%0.0024✓1.349.3M2022-04-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.8219.7029-0.59%18.86-4.84%0.0123✓1.333.1M2022-04-05
DODODODOEthereum0.5290.52592-0.58%0.505-4.54%0.0141✓1.123.7M2022-04-05
IMXImmutableEthereum2.492.4756-0.58%2.334-6.27%0.0354✓0.9910.0M2022-04-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.3927.2333-0.57%26.52-3.18%0.0041✓1.30298k2022-04-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.57380.570521-0.57%0.5284-7.91%0.0334✓1.832.2M2022-04-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0304110.030238-0.57%0.029398-3.33%0.0083✓0.84187k2022-04-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.2023.1838-0.57%3.0093-6.02%0.0386✓0.753.6M2022-04-05
UNIUniswapEthereum11.5611.4951-0.56%11.12-3.81%0.0087✓1.037.7M2022-04-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.888530.883574-0.56%0.84089-5.36%0.0247✓1.05244k2022-04-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash376.11374.0195-0.56%365.33-2.87%0.0013✓0.948.5M2022-04-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.2425.1001-0.55%24.87-1.47%0.0162✗1.077.1M2022-04-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8430.6691-0.55%29.3-4.99%0.0195✓1.1037.8M2022-04-05
ADACardanoCardano1.21171.2051-0.54%1.1705-3.40%0.0060✓0.9863.5M2022-04-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.27060.269142-0.54%0.2591-4.25%0.0106✓1.163.2M2022-04-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.037770.037568-0.53%0.03424-9.35%0.0676✓1.06214k2022-04-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0162720.016186-0.53%0.016174-0.60%0.0201✗0.8818k2022-04-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45550.453095-0.53%0.4358-4.32%0.0042✓1.479.9M2022-04-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.34421.3371-0.53%1.2783-4.90%0.0189✓1.10150k2022-04-05
KSMKusamaHydration188.7187.7056-0.53%179.78-4.73%0.0172✓1.09974k2022-04-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9565.925-0.52%5.9-0.94%0.0053✗0.406.3M2022-04-05
FTTFTXEthereum50.0849.8213-0.52%48.55-3.06%0.0011✓1.0414.1M2022-04-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4981.4903-0.51%1.449-3.27%0.0069✓0.892.9M2022-04-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.021820.021708-0.51%0.02099-3.80%0.0101✓0.992.1M2022-04-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.170430.169578-0.50%0.16751-1.71%0.0077✗0.8416k2022-04-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6616.6277-0.50%6.602-0.89%0.0198✗1.002.6M2022-04-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.8821.7709-0.50%21.06-3.75%0.0092✓1.0218.5M2022-04-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative46.7646.527-0.50%44.4-5.05%0.0222✓1.0413.3M2022-04-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.91.8907-0.49%1.839-3.21%0.0050✓0.961.3M2022-04-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05260.052344-0.49%0.05121-2.64%0.0027✓0.8131k2022-04-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.442.4283-0.48%2.34-4.10%0.0061✓1.30906k2022-04-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.58910.586309-0.47%0.56-4.94%0.0444✓0.065,2242022-04-05
COMPCompoundEthereum162.85162.0787-0.47%153.42-5.79%0.0282✓1.1362k2022-04-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030110.029968-0.47%0.02894-3.89%0.0011✓1.5252.9M2022-04-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7781.7697-0.47%1.697-4.56%0.0104✓1.33463k2022-04-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49260.490333-0.46%0.4596-6.70%0.0379✓1.1312.3M2022-04-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.9122.8047-0.46%21.78-4.93%0.0208✓1.0622.8M2022-04-05
XTZTezosTezos3.8983.8801-0.46%3.6763-5.69%0.0288✓1.06977k2022-04-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1911.1856-0.45%1.133-4.87%0.0144✓1.312.8M2022-04-05
BANDBandEthereum5.1755.1515-0.45%5.046-2.49%0.0054✗1.10663k2022-04-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9641.9551-0.45%1.932-1.63%0.0107✗0.963.4M2022-04-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.9497.4998-0.45%95.41-2.58%0.0033✓0.772.7M2022-04-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.295.7677-0.45%91.07-5.33%0.0201✓1.27103.7M2022-04-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5761.569-0.44%1.501-4.76%0.0231✓0.901.4M2022-04-05
UMAUMAEthereum8.1338.0975-0.44%7.841-3.59%0.0021✓1.275.0M2022-04-05
APEApeCoinEthereum11.93511.8831-0.43%11.631-2.55%0.0022✓1.0064.9M2022-04-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.9037.8687-0.43%7.591-3.95%0.0117✓1.02441k2022-04-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.3043-0.43%1.2849-1.92%0.0163✗1.321.4M2022-04-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.7037.6701-0.43%7.208-6.43%0.0469✓0.651.8M2022-04-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.54472.5341-0.42%2.4335-4.37%0.0212✓0.81183k2022-04-05
STXStacksnative1.451.444-0.41%1.4-3.45%0.0084✓0.95610k2022-04-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0774.0602-0.41%4.075-0.05%0.0221✗0.782.4M2022-04-05
HIVEHivenative1.11421.1097-0.41%1.0699-3.98%0.0116✓1.052.1M2022-04-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.02015.9959-0.40%5.7502-4.48%0.0307✓0.47163k2022-04-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.715.6872-0.40%5.61-1.75%0.0090✗0.96466k2022-04-05
DASHDashDash133.3132.7735-0.39%126.99-4.73%0.0224✓0.932.7M2022-04-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.117940.117477-0.39%0.11273-4.42%0.0217✓0.8227k2022-04-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65642.646-0.39%2.5632-3.51%0.0050✓1.131.3M2022-04-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092020.091662-0.39%0.09085-1.27%0.0147✗1.00121k2022-04-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3030.301832-0.39%0.318+4.95%0.0716✗0.8228k2022-04-05
ZENHorizenBase49.0448.855-0.38%46.09-6.02%0.0275✓1.30508k2022-04-05
QNTQuantEthereum139.1138.5821-0.37%133.48-4.04%0.0159✓0.914.2M2022-04-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.0183.0068-0.37%2.835-6.06%0.0389✓0.8475k2022-04-05
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.334-0.37%4.09-5.98%0.0301✓1.187.6M2022-04-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16730.166688-0.37%0.1668-0.30%0.0249✗1.02227k2022-04-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1485380.148-0.36%0.172689+16.26%0.1739✗0.832.8M2022-04-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5191.5135-0.36%1.4106-7.14%0.0373✓1.40203k2022-04-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1324.1171-0.36%4.147+0.36%0.0223✗0.642.8M2022-04-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.77-0.36%2.68-3.60%0.0099✓0.98160k2022-04-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.36030.359013-0.36%0.3454-4.14%0.0129✓1.09376k2022-04-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.88240.879263-0.36%0.8348-5.39%0.0295✓0.9517.8M2022-04-05
KCSKuCoinnative21.4621.3839-0.35%21.065-1.84%0.0057✗0.875.4M2022-04-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29990.29885-0.35%0.2898-3.37%0.0110✓0.831.8M2022-04-05
GTGateEthereum6.98216.9577-0.35%6.9814-0.01%0.0174✗0.594.7M2022-04-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.0716.014-0.35%15.95-0.75%0.0244✗1.201.2M2022-04-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.9327.833-0.35%27.35-2.08%0.0136✗1.32752k2022-04-05
XVSVenusEthereum12.412.3573-0.34%12.6+1.61%0.0449✗1.073.5M2022-04-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27470.273754-0.34%0.2741-0.22%0.0249✗1.00473k2022-04-05
SCSiacoinnative0.012850.012806-0.34%0.01263-1.71%0.0129✗1.13540k2022-04-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9811.9742-0.34%1.956-1.26%0.0113✗0.8753k2022-04-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.25710.256227-0.34%0.2486-3.31%0.0069✓0.99253k2022-04-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5117.4506-0.34%16.75-4.34%0.0168✓1.0226.4M2022-04-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.000026391-0.34%0.00002676+1.06%0.0409✗1.142.2M2022-04-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.840.837184-0.34%0.78-7.14%0.0349✓1.51438k2022-04-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2320590.231287-0.33%0.225057-3.02%0.0043✓0.9719.6M2022-04-05
XVGVergenative0.013750.013705-0.33%0.01268-7.78%0.0506✓1.142.2M2022-04-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.39234.3781-0.32%4.5666+3.97%0.0571✗0.634.8M2022-04-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.322.3127-0.32%2.23-3.88%0.0203✓0.68282k2022-04-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,870.8823,795.64-0.32%23,562.70-1.29%0.0167✗1.126.5M2022-04-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,644.7045,503.57-0.31%45,530.80-0.25%0.0234✗0.9630k2022-04-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.028280.028194-0.31%0.02734-3.32%0.0125✓0.773.8M2022-04-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.910.907225-0.30%0.89-2.20%0.0020✓0.901.9M2022-04-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042330.042201-0.30%0.041-3.14%0.0127✓0.681.1M2022-04-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.76124.3891-0.30%122.76-1.60%0.0109✗1.0226.1M2022-04-05
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7137.6905-0.29%7.394-4.14%0.0048✓1.4622k2022-04-05
ZECZcashZcash173.67173.1648-0.29%165.55-4.68%0.0226✓0.9516.0M2022-04-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.0020.999096-0.29%0.9796-2.24%0.0102✓0.40676k2022-04-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.817.7874-0.29%6.7-14.21%0.1327✓0.751.8M2022-04-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0424730.042351-0.29%0.041517-2.25%0.0033✗0.983.9M2022-04-05
XMRMoneroMonero222.07221.4375-0.28%222.25+0.08%0.0254✗0.921.5M2022-04-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,520.663,510.68-0.28%3,407.00-3.23%0.0046✓1.07478.7M2022-04-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.86450.862092-0.28%0.8231-4.79%0.0225✓1.017.7M2022-04-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.09140.091153-0.27%0.08731-4.47%0.0248✓0.7741k2022-04-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.3931.3099-0.26%31.3-0.29%0.0209✗0.90676k2022-04-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59810.596628-0.25%0.5927-0.90%0.0108✗0.74440k2022-04-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.26328.2444-0.23%7.815-5.42%0.0268✓1.13186k2022-04-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014650.014619-0.21%0.01413-3.55%0.0058✓1.193.7M2022-04-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05730.057183-0.20%0.05595-2.36%0.0025✗1.03572k2022-04-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5114.4813-0.20%14.63+0.83%0.0193✗0.383.0M2022-04-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.615.5992-0.19%5.547-1.12%0.0136✗0.9784k2022-04-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.067.0465-0.19%7.14+1.13%0.0305✗0.731.1M2022-04-05
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.000002166-0.19%0.00000212-2.30%0.0060✓0.6511.2M2022-04-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.53920.538182-0.19%0.5143-4.62%0.0217✓1.00875k2022-04-05
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0982-0.17%1.06-3.64%0.0263✓0.38169k2022-04-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,596.8346,520.89-0.16%45,506.50-2.34%0.0016✗1.00629.7M2022-04-05
XEMNEMnative0.11820.118034-0.14%0.1147-2.96%0.0090✓0.8355k2022-04-05
TRXTRONTron0.0707710.070674-0.14%0.069272-2.12%0.0052✓0.63331k2022-04-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.6872.685-0.07%2.605-3.05%0.0121✓0.7720k2022-04-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013440.013433-0.05%0.01325-1.41%0.0020✗0.6614k2022-04-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5975-0.04%6.51-1.36%0.0036✗0.711.7M2022-04-05
XYMSymbolnative0.1450.14495-0.03%0.1439-0.76%0.0094✗0.71731k2022-04-05
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5599-0.01%1.56+0.00%0.0241✗1.02167k2022-04-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.