8=======>

2022-03-21 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0051
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.9%
in alpha space · 18.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025750.025738-0.05%0.026+0.97%0.0251✓1.08211k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.0918.0815-0.05%18.261+0.95%0.0195✓0.906.2M2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,017.7140,992.47-0.06%42,378.26+3.32%0.0006✓1.00680.6M2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.061790.061746-0.07%0.063447+2.68%0.0063✗0.64259k2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1030.102922-0.08%0.105+1.94%0.0024✗0.5429k2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7519.732-0.09%20.78+5.22%0.0085✗1.33246k2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,891.082,888.07-0.10%2,970.51+2.75%0.0062✓1.05492.6M2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009549-0.11%0.0096+0.42%0.0307✓1.10441k2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.372.367-0.13%2.44+2.95%0.0016✓0.98142k2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.940.938789-0.13%0.95+1.06%0.0000✓0.36248k2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191840.119017-0.14%0.122365+2.67%0.0010✓0.822.6M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum1514.9777-0.15%15.43+2.87%0.0050✓1.0733.1M2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51050.509707-0.16%0.5151+0.90%0.0136✓0.74399k2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,105.8041,036.63-0.17%42,512.10+3.42%0.0039✗0.9652k2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.7183-0.17%20.22+7.84%0.0420✗1.0824.4M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25060.250175-0.17%0.253+0.96%0.0156✓0.821.9M2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum44.6744.5941-0.17%45.28+1.37%0.0186✓1.0414.3M2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7632.7582-0.17%2.762-0.04%0.0363✓1.15514k2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos3.24073.2346-0.19%3.302+1.89%0.0149✓1.091.1M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2281.2257-0.19%1.26+2.61%0.0047✓0.992.8M2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041260.041181-0.19%0.04222+2.33%0.0025✓0.8423k2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6570.65573-0.19%0.722+9.89%0.0666✗0.911.9M2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.16541.1631-0.19%1.1525-1.10%0.0511✓1.291.7M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012620.012595-0.20%0.01287+1.98%0.0014✓0.709,3002022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4331.43-0.21%1.457+1.67%0.0258✓1.36466k2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74430.742724-0.21%0.7746+4.07%0.0120✗0.927.2M2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.36916.3551-0.22%6.4277+0.92%0.0094✓0.643.6M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.026170.026111-0.22%0.02633+0.61%0.0161✓0.752.7M2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1962.1908-0.24%2.268+3.28%0.0082✓1.319.5M2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.9288-0.24%18.02+6.19%0.0297✗1.0014.5M2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero191.87191.3989-0.25%193.89+1.05%0.0181✓0.951.7M2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.91430.912038-0.25%0.9224+0.89%0.0252✓1.122.1M2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.2112.2055-0.25%2.255+1.99%0.0035✓0.7921k2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.8853-0.25%1.93+2.12%0.0184✓1.281.0M2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.3017-0.25%3.45+4.23%0.0062✗1.166.4M2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.91790.91558-0.25%0.9753+6.25%0.0303✗1.0160.9M2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8217.7746-0.25%18.31+2.75%0.0023✓0.985.1M2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum119.55119.2451-0.26%127.12+6.33%0.0343✗0.914.2M2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001825-0.28%0.00000186+1.64%0.0012✓0.6212.1M2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2036920.203098-0.29%0.20689+1.57%0.0139✓0.9917.0M2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15240.151955-0.29%0.1543+1.25%0.0186✓1.04215k2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9327.8471-0.30%28.03+0.36%0.0297✓1.1140.2M2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.20320.202595-0.30%0.2091+2.90%0.0061✓1.162.3M2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.136692-0.30%0.1371+0.00%0.0228✓0.79298k2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.7257-0.30%4.97+4.85%0.0220✗0.87626k2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.13115.7707-0.31%122.81+5.75%0.0261✗1.0125.9M2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,359.4020,296.40-0.31%20,305.82-0.26%0.0356✓1.115.7M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.40892.4015-0.31%2.4316+0.94%0.0260✓1.181.3M2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.847301-0.32%0.91+7.06%0.0281✗1.332.1M2022-03-22
UNIUniswapEthereum9.359.3201-0.32%9.76+4.39%0.0126✗1.036.1M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum113.52113.151-0.33%114.7+1.04%0.0245✓1.1748k2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79690.794235-0.33%0.78-2.12%0.0292✓0.34620k2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094860.094537-0.34%0.09728+2.55%0.0002✓0.8828k2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34390.342729-0.34%0.3714+8.00%0.0336✗1.439.4M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.82366.8002-0.34%7.6005+11.38%0.0748✗1.1297k2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.10710.106709-0.37%0.1082+1.03%0.0137✓0.8540k2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.591.5842-0.37%1.54-3.14%0.0615✓1.02242k2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana88.6288.2926-0.37%90.48+2.10%0.0167✓1.2692.6M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.19696.1737-0.37%6.1887-0.13%0.0111✓0.42179k2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.00990.009862-0.38%0.00999+0.91%0.0247✓1.151.7M2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011733-0.40%0.01179+0.08%0.0351✓1.223.2M2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.10491.1005-0.40%1.1249+1.81%0.0150✓1.13128k2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.15442.1457-0.41%2.188+1.56%0.0061✓0.79126k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.152.1411-0.41%2.16+0.47%0.0132✓0.67176k2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08970.089329-0.41%0.0905+0.89%0.0272✓1.23504k2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000080087-0.41%0.00008348+3.81%0.0101✗0.964.8M2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.2120.211122-0.41%0.218+2.83%0.0102✓1.291.8M2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.1942-0.41%6.43+3.38%0.0138✗0.721.3M2022-03-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5992.5882-0.42%2.669+2.69%0.0019✓1.0052k2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.2685.8992-0.42%83.98-2.64%0.0651✓1.30118.0M2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.456.4229-0.42%6.67+3.41%0.0137✗0.74822k2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403440.040175-0.42%0.040562+0.54%0.0215✓0.954.1M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.5729.4443-0.42%29.9+1.12%0.0143✓0.91767k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5311.5244-0.43%1.547+1.05%0.0185✓1.02644k2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.092.081-0.43%2.15+2.87%0.0014✓1.04354k2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration154.99154.3225-0.43%158.4+2.20%0.0108✓1.13685k2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.816550.813011-0.43%0.80946-0.87%0.0408✓1.12118k2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8812.8241-0.43%13.32+3.42%0.0241✗0.433.0M2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.379.329-0.44%9.38+0.11%0.0285✓1.043.0M2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.272.2599-0.45%2.21-2.64%0.0350✓0.39309k2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07520.074863-0.45%0.0759+0.93%0.0170✓0.94146k2022-03-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22070.219707-0.45%0.2271+2.90%0.0005✓1.001.7M2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.408142-0.45%0.4064-0.88%0.0668✓1.912.1M2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022940.000022835-0.46%0.00002344+2.18%0.0121✓1.172.3M2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41180.409847-0.47%0.4105-0.32%0.0363✓1.169.3M2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5501760.547566-0.47%0.561881+2.13%0.0083✓1.041.6M2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.7526.6223-0.48%27.98+4.60%0.0079✗1.28735k2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074220.073863-0.48%0.07561+1.87%0.0112✓1.0659k2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8515.7725-0.49%17.58+10.91%0.0658✗1.312.6M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018960.018864-0.50%0.01899+0.16%0.0269✓1.031.4M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053580.053308-0.51%0.05567+3.90%0.0090✗1.05474k2022-03-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3476.3147-0.51%6.545+3.12%0.0032✓1.00475k2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.31.2932-0.53%1.3+0.00%0.0254✓0.94481k2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4991.4909-0.54%1.466-2.20%0.0616✓1.37204k2022-03-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.48130.478683-0.54%0.4873+1.25%0.0148✓1.001.3M2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1749.8936-0.55%52.46+4.56%0.0092✗1.254.8M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.93333.0778-0.55%375.54+12.12%0.0894✗0.947.0M2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13260.131865-0.55%0.1349+1.73%0.0161✓1.192.1M2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.9884.5058-0.56%91.76+7.98%0.0578✗0.751.1M2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9834.9549-0.56%5.543+11.24%0.0907✗0.66716k2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9714.9426-0.57%5.175+4.10%0.0041✓1.282.6M2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152260.151383-0.58%0.15608+2.51%0.0027✓0.8514k2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.416569-0.58%0.446+6.44%0.0324✗1.102.8M2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.46.3627-0.58%6.75+5.47%0.0349✗0.741.6M2022-03-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.230.228615-0.60%0.2354+2.35%0.0034✓1.00372k2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8280.822984-0.61%0.8268-0.14%0.0280✓1.0016.8M2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0064.9754-0.61%5.07+1.28%0.0122✓0.95102k2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.16353.144-0.62%3.292+4.06%0.0192✗0.824.1M2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum3.7493.7258-0.62%3.81+1.63%0.0140✓1.11590k2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6871.6765-0.62%1.793+6.28%0.0408✗0.8150k2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum153.89152.927-0.63%152.91-0.64%0.0423✓1.298.5M2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039030.038784-0.63%0.03923+0.51%0.0101✓0.66963k2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5296.4874-0.64%6.962+6.63%0.0259✗1.3724k2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7723.7479-0.64%3.8754+2.74%0.0133✗0.623.9M2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.6076-0.64%1.626+0.49%0.0211✓0.992.3M2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.070741-0.65%0.0724+1.69%0.0155✓1.19337k2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum7.5757.5253-0.66%7.622+0.62%0.0298✓1.306.0M2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase43.5943.3027-0.66%45.47+4.31%0.0061✓1.31309k2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82754.7955-0.66%4.8022-0.52%0.0291✓0.93208k2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.12324.0954-0.68%4.2393+2.82%0.0132✗0.654.7M2022-03-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.23580.234206-0.68%0.2408+2.12%0.0049✓1.00173k2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.1123-0.68%1.31+16.96%0.1296✗1.04525k2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.3874-0.74%4.5+1.81%0.0207✓1.41375k2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.29330.291132-0.74%0.31+5.69%0.0258✗1.13192k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34150.338947-0.75%0.3622+6.06%0.0233✗1.32997k2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.6352-0.75%0.67+4.69%0.0036✓1.52440k2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3133.288-0.76%4.168+25.81%0.2135✗0.731.2M2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0345.9879-0.76%5.986-0.80%0.0312✓0.9582k2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase2.2122.1948-0.78%2.2499+1.71%0.0126✓1.15139k2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128140.012711-0.80%0.013307+3.85%0.0161✗0.9111k2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase62.259661.7571-0.81%66.9272+7.50%0.0366✗1.34154k2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06250.061971-0.85%0.0657+5.12%0.0024✓1.7243.9M2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 295.8294.9847-0.87%93.09-2.85%0.0652✓1.389.1M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.251766-0.88%0.253-0.39%0.0215✓0.8129k2022-03-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.5990.593601-0.90%0.5639-5.86%0.0840✓1.004,8802022-03-22
DASHDashDash123.68122.5553-0.91%130.57+5.57%0.0315✗0.981.7M2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.098.0156-0.92%8.37+3.46%0.0200✗0.712.6M2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80750.800048-0.92%0.8086+0.14%0.0324✓1.32111k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash181.56179.8797-0.93%174.59-3.84%0.0618✓0.9813.8M2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.9174.871-0.94%4.907-0.20%0.0131✓0.637.0M2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.556.487-0.96%6.98+6.56%0.0279✗1.39447k2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074440.073701-0.99%0.07627+2.46%0.0084✓0.799,2172022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8513.8104-1.05%4.136+7.40%0.0614✗0.63683k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5216.3325-1.14%16.17-2.12%0.0494✓1.21510k2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.30432.2773-1.17%2.6489+14.95%0.1277✗0.7213k2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.713.5205-1.31%13.41-2.12%0.0245✓0.502.0M2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6081.5865-1.34%1.582-1.62%0.0438✓1.253.7M2022-03-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001164-1.39%0.000001193+1.06%0.0384✗-0.421.7M2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256440.025281-1.41%0.025067-2.25%0.0328✓0.75198k2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94680.933305-1.43%1.1707+23.65%0.1872✗1.214.7M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5181.4908-1.79%1.719+13.24%0.1099✗1.001.6M2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4137.6752-1.91%51.65+34.47%0.2834✗0.983.9M2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1412.0961-2.10%2.315+8.13%0.0680✗0.964.0M2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004410.004311-2.24%0.00429-2.72%0.0477✓1.315.3M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1916.0494-2.29%6.234+0.69%0.0145✓0.485.9M2022-03-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.9675.8021-2.76%5.838-2.16%0.0265✓1.00498k2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62320.603914-3.09%0.758+21.63%0.1861✗1.26447k2022-03-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.95268.6509-3.37%8.8344-1.32%0.0116✓1.0047.9M2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035880.034663-3.39%0.03998+11.43%0.0924✗1.5413.3M2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6940.669124-3.58%0.693-0.14%0.0033✓1.182.1M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.