8=======>

2022-03-05 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 153 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2068
153 of 153 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.45%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.5%
in alpha space · 83.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (153 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011170.000001071-4.12%0.000001612+44.32%0.4345✗1.001.1M2022-03-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.432.3809-2.02%2.26-7.00%0.0326✓0.76393k2022-03-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.3139.1628-1.61%8.411-9.69%0.0510✓1.362.2M2022-03-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.28.0871-1.38%7.79-5.00%0.0176✓0.77490k2022-03-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038650.038165-1.26%0.03483-9.88%0.0719✓0.761.1M2022-03-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.592.5587-1.21%2.31-10.81%0.0933✓0.35443k2022-03-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.23260.229933-1.15%0.2075-10.79%0.0701✓1.272.8M2022-03-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37312.3462-1.13%2.0504-13.60%0.1158✓0.7425k2022-03-06
LUNATerraTerra 287.5386.7216-0.92%79.23-9.48%0.0545✓1.405.3M2022-03-06
API3Api3Ethereum6.5136.4548-0.89%5.559-14.65%0.1345✓0.587.0M2022-03-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.293.2631-0.82%3.369+2.40%0.0448✗0.511.0M2022-03-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72770.721906-0.80%0.6795-6.62%0.0274✓1.302.8M2022-03-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05730.056871-0.75%0.0524-8.55%0.0377✓1.7364.3M2022-03-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8262.8081-0.64%2.4383-13.72%0.1156✓1.0011.3M2022-03-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.891.8781-0.63%1.794-5.08%0.0229✓0.9068k2022-03-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45610.453294-0.62%0.418-8.35%0.0285✓2.062.3M2022-03-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.866.8193-0.59%6.398-6.73%0.0382✓1.00816k2022-03-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.4992-0.58%10.3-2.46%0.0041✓0.59984k2022-03-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152950.152114-0.55%0.14543-4.92%0.0210✓0.9419k2022-03-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9272.9112-0.54%2.702-7.69%0.0462✓1.11660k2022-03-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2460.2447-0.53%0.242-1.63%0.0092✗0.8066k2022-03-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.221.2138-0.51%1.11-9.02%0.0636✓1.01759k2022-03-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052030.051766-0.51%0.05-3.90%0.0051✓1.16605k2022-03-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.34452.333-0.49%2.227-5.01%0.0258✓0.812.7M2022-03-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07090.070554-0.49%0.0687-3.10%0.0053✗1.251.0M2022-03-06
PROPropyEthereum1.771.7616-0.47%1.66-6.21%0.0301✓1.15385k2022-03-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2717.1922-0.45%17.3+0.17%0.0214✗0.592.9M2022-03-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.1735.1519-0.41%4.82-6.82%0.0417✓0.97166k2022-03-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8514.7902-0.40%14.03-5.52%0.0178✓1.372.5M2022-03-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43971.434-0.40%1.3889-3.53%0.0009✓1.29293k2022-03-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121090.012061-0.40%0.011572-4.43%0.0157✓1.0012k2022-03-06
STXStacksnative1.141.1357-0.38%1.08-5.26%0.0204✓1.17498k2022-03-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.76070.757853-0.37%0.7112-6.51%0.0261✓1.47227k2022-03-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.99682.9857-0.37%2.9812-0.52%0.0169✗0.723.6M2022-03-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8530.7434-0.35%28.14-8.78%0.0579✓1.2048.9M2022-03-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80210.799379-0.34%0.749-6.62%0.0571✓0.311.2M2022-03-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.94091.9344-0.34%2.0803+7.18%0.0976✗0.9782k2022-03-06
DIADIAEthereum1.011.0066-0.34%0.95-5.94%0.0495✓0.33277k2022-03-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.28681.2826-0.33%1.1901-7.52%0.0393✓1.393.1M2022-03-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001854-0.32%0.00000178-4.30%0.0244✓0.6413.7M2022-03-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02750.027413-0.32%0.02514-8.58%0.0556✓1.21503k2022-03-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018710.018651-0.31%0.01701-9.09%0.0651✓1.062.1M2022-03-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.929.8089-0.30%28.82-3.61%0.0096✓0.941.5M2022-03-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.066.0415-0.30%5.58-7.92%0.0443✓1.38829k2022-03-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06890.068692-0.30%0.0672-2.47%0.0016✓0.9213k2022-03-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36230.361305-0.27%0.3243-10.49%0.0666✓1.6213.2M2022-03-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.35625.3415-0.27%5.3709+0.27%0.0150✗0.37300k2022-03-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024590.000024523-0.27%0.00002355-4.23%0.0088✓1.243.9M2022-03-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4591.4551-0.27%1.447-0.82%0.0223✗1.091.8M2022-03-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.8751.7306-0.27%48.83-5.86%0.0241✓1.316.3M2022-03-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1621.159-0.26%1.088-6.37%0.0361✓1.063.0M2022-03-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1613.1269-0.25%12.47-5.24%0.0232✓1.10331k2022-03-06
FTTFTXEthereum41.1641.0577-0.25%39.81-3.28%0.0028✓1.1019.6M2022-03-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8982.8908-0.25%2.876-0.76%0.0151✗0.79436k2022-03-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.3967-0.25%5.1-5.73%0.0357✓0.82592k2022-03-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.658398-0.24%0.64-3.03%0.0146✗1.68988k2022-03-06
GTGateEthereum6.79676.7808-0.23%6.8076+0.16%0.0218✗0.702.8M2022-03-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,586.4039,494.53-0.23%38,936.90-1.64%0.0103✗0.9659k2022-03-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.4997-0.23%4.307-4.50%0.0238✓0.78471k2022-03-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98942.9826-0.23%2.9225-2.24%0.0021✓0.712.3M2022-03-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.7176.5366-0.23%72.47-5.53%0.0190✓1.39123.1M2022-03-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1180.117735-0.22%0.1112-5.76%0.0260✓1.223.2M2022-03-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8707-0.22%2.732-5.04%0.0284✓0.83300k2022-03-06
XTZTezosTezos3.1413.1342-0.22%2.9738-5.32%0.0206✓1.251.7M2022-03-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8613.8527-0.21%3.553-7.98%0.0499✓1.222.1M2022-03-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02784.0191-0.21%3.778-6.20%0.0340✓1.09244k2022-03-06
QNTQuantEthereum120.94120.6819-0.21%110.38-8.73%0.0631✓1.026.2M2022-03-06
XMRMoneroMonero166.09165.7458-0.21%158.98-4.28%0.0163✓0.991.5M2022-03-06
XECeCashnative0.000072910.00007276-0.21%0.0000699-4.13%0.0132✓1.054.5M2022-03-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090150.089967-0.20%0.08726-3.21%0.0056✓0.9742k2022-03-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00410.004092-0.20%0.00377-8.05%0.0406✓1.626.0M2022-03-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3341.3314-0.19%1.211-9.22%0.0635✓1.232.4M2022-03-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.058-0.19%0.98-7.55%0.0511✓1.001.2M2022-03-06
BANDBandEthereum3.813.803-0.18%3.706-2.73%0.0050✗1.211.6M2022-03-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2685-0.18%5.97-4.94%0.0281✓0.81518k2022-03-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066260.066145-0.17%0.06662+0.54%0.0372✗1.1854k2022-03-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.104821-0.17%0.1-4.76%0.0318✓0.6044k2022-03-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash294.47293.9724-0.17%282.11-4.20%0.0170✓0.957.2M2022-03-06
HIVEHivenative0.91610.91458-0.17%0.87-5.03%0.0188✓1.222.1M2022-03-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038570.038506-0.17%0.03826-0.80%0.0170✗0.9229k2022-03-06
RADRadworksEthereum54.9918-0.16%4.9-2.00%0.0066✗0.98862k2022-03-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1460.145773-0.16%0.1441-1.30%0.0144✗1.02318k2022-03-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.2681.1345-0.15%77.72-4.36%0.0219✓0.83908k2022-03-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011830.011812-0.15%0.0114-3.63%0.0009✓1.352.9M2022-03-06
NANOnanopayBase1.81571.8131-0.14%1.69-6.92%0.0416✓1.12171k2022-03-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0880.087876-0.14%0.0829-5.80%0.0198✓1.51591k2022-03-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.21220.211903-0.14%0.197-7.16%0.0356✓1.462.5M2022-03-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.280612-0.14%0.271-3.56%0.0028✓1.262.1M2022-03-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0183180.018293-0.14%0.017916-2.19%0.0007✓0.84143k2022-03-06
XEMNEMnative0.09780.097671-0.13%0.0955-2.35%0.0004✓0.9040k2022-03-06
ADACardanoCardano0.86540.864269-0.13%0.823-4.90%0.0209✓1.1092.2M2022-03-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45830.45773-0.12%0.4255-7.16%0.0370✓1.41452k2022-03-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0619.0369-0.12%17.6-7.66%0.0434✓1.37319k2022-03-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.012315-0.12%0.01217-1.30%0.0075✗0.7613k2022-03-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53310.532472-0.12%0.5029-5.66%0.0361✓0.82536k2022-03-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.045060.045008-0.12%0.042886-4.82%0.0217✓1.048.1M2022-03-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.346.3327-0.12%6.28-0.95%0.0120✗0.791.1M2022-03-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2380.23773-0.11%0.2294-3.61%0.0126✓0.902.0M2022-03-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55022.5473-0.11%2.4146-5.32%0.0208✓1.283.1M2022-03-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.8327.7999-0.11%26.55-4.60%0.0194✓1.045.2M2022-03-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.154.1457-0.10%3.82-7.95%0.0439✓1.49430k2022-03-06
XYMSymbolnative0.140.139857-0.10%0.136-2.86%0.0072✓0.81299k2022-03-06
ZENHorizenBase34.6934.6552-0.10%33.26-4.12%0.0048✓1.42280k2022-03-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36170.361348-0.10%0.322-10.98%0.0798✓1.391.1M2022-03-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3723.3477-0.10%22.08-5.52%0.0211✓1.361.4M2022-03-06
DODODODOEthereum0.4240.423595-0.10%0.395-6.84%0.0396✓1.183.9M2022-03-06
UNIUniswapEthereum9.029.0116-0.09%8.48-5.99%0.0321✓1.129.0M2022-03-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0945.09-0.08%4.983-2.18%0.0031✗0.9573k2022-03-06
AAVEAaveEthereum124.61124.5188-0.07%116.73-6.32%0.0312✓1.317.2M2022-03-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.2680.267812-0.07%0.2571-4.07%0.0093✓1.24252k2022-03-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3591.358-0.07%1.3-4.34%0.0174✓1.03917k2022-03-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1248870.124803-0.07%0.120679-3.37%0.0104✓0.913.7M2022-03-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069156-0.06%0.0678-2.02%0.0055✗0.99159k2022-03-06
ZECZcashZcash116.52116.4466-0.06%107.41-7.82%0.0527✓1.107.4M2022-03-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.262.2586-0.06%2.17-3.98%0.0144✓1.00220k2022-03-06
KCSKuCoinnative18.5918.5785-0.06%18.061-2.85%0.0025✓1.019.1M2022-03-06
MOVRMoonriverBase60.029259.9932-0.06%55.607-7.37%0.0409✓1.37223k2022-03-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.2821.2812-0.06%1.152-10.14%0.0797✓1.043.4M2022-03-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4191.4182-0.05%1.342-5.43%0.0169✓1.50797k2022-03-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0919.0809-0.05%18.46-3.30%0.0069✓1.029.1M2022-03-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73640.736072-0.04%0.6929-5.91%0.0341✓1.039.5M2022-03-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.07936.0767-0.04%5.7763-4.98%0.0181✓1.27226k2022-03-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.027010.026999-0.04%0.02606-3.52%0.0156✓0.784.0M2022-03-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.960310.959956-0.04%0.91478-4.74%0.0157✓1.27151k2022-03-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.182.1792-0.04%2.108-3.30%0.0116✓0.8521k2022-03-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5007830.500631-0.03%0.478814-4.39%0.0168✓1.092.7M2022-03-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.67590.675696-0.03%0.63843-5.54%0.0230✓1.32161k2022-03-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.9104.8689-0.03%101.1-3.62%0.0092✓1.0729.3M2022-03-06
TRXTRONTron0.0604170.0604-0.03%0.058875-2.55%0.0065✓0.74307k2022-03-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3470.346916-0.02%0.329-5.19%0.0195✓1.318.7M2022-03-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.677-0.02%16.6-6.11%0.0347✓1.1019.0M2022-03-06
COMPCompoundEthereum109.66109.6418-0.02%102-6.99%0.0421✓1.1857k2022-03-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2472.2467-0.01%2.06-8.32%0.0503✓1.4312.1M2022-03-06
SOLSolanaSolana89.6289.6137-0.01%84.57-5.63%0.0253✓1.28118.7M2022-03-06
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0016.0006-0.01%5.586-6.92%0.0369✓1.3625k2022-03-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.3217.32+0.00%16.99-1.91%0.0108✓1.1826.3M2022-03-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.8102+0.01%1.71-5.52%0.0229✗1.331.9M2022-03-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8210.821101+0.01%0.775-5.60%0.0256✗1.262.4M2022-03-06
KSMKusamaHydration122.67122.6853+0.01%119.71-2.41%0.0042✓1.13910k2022-03-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77440.774507+0.01%0.7462-3.64%0.0087✗1.1219.5M2022-03-06
SUSHISushiEthereum3.13.1005+0.01%2.91-6.13%0.0325✗1.216.5M2022-03-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,665.772,666.24+0.02%2,550.77-4.31%0.0166✗1.08561.7M2022-03-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,264.0020,267.71+0.02%18,244.52-9.97%0.0804✗0.975.4M2022-03-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6870.687204+0.03%0.66-3.93%0.0157✗0.972.6M2022-03-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008620.008623+0.03%0.00845-1.97%0.0097✓1.17525k2022-03-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,402.4339,417.18+0.04%38,408.38-2.52%0.0004✓1.00706.4M2022-03-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1803320.180403+0.04%0.172791-4.18%0.0162✗1.0519.8M2022-03-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.848.8435+0.04%8.47-4.19%0.0128✗1.193.6M2022-03-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.012.0109+0.04%1.92-4.48%0.0175✗1.12363k2022-03-06
XVGVergenative0.009540.009545+0.05%0.00921-3.46%0.0056✗1.181.4M2022-03-06
DASHDashDash89.6989.7546+0.07%85.59-4.57%0.0199✗1.081.5M2022-03-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0214.0312+0.08%13.32-4.99%0.0224✗1.1650.0M2022-03-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013950.013985+0.25%0.01199-14.05%0.1163✗1.4712.7M2022-03-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.