2022-01-15 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0858

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.8%

in alpha space · 55.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.01%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.09	4.9746	-2.27%	4.79	-5.89%	0.0379	✓	0.82	471k	2022-01-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8963	0.881476	-1.65%	1.0315	+15.08%	0.1569	✗	1.73	38.7M	2022-01-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6358	0.628369	-1.17%	0.6536	+2.80%	0.0392	✗	1.38	736k	2022-01-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.16	38.815	-0.88%	43.71	+11.62%	0.1186	✗	0.94	86.7M	2022-01-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5259	1.5126	-0.87%	1.5381	+0.80%	0.0166	✗	0.86	926k	2022-01-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20848	0.20677	-0.82%	0.20111	-3.54%	0.0280	✓	1.57	5,360	2022-01-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1369	4.1048	-0.78%	4.1507	+0.33%	0.0110	✗	0.70	2,257	2022-01-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.757	6.7093	-0.71%	6.5777	-2.65%	0.0200	✓	1.16	457k	2022-01-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	87.55	86.9522	-0.68%	87.16	-0.45%	0.0021	✓	1.78	7.4M	2022-01-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46	45.6885	-0.68%	46.43	+0.93%	0.0159	✗	1.06	21.8M	2022-01-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	5.2468	-0.63%	5.13	-2.84%	0.0227	✓	1.37	32.4M	2022-01-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.34	3.3213	-0.56%	3.303	-1.11%	0.0058	✓	1.74	1.1M	2022-01-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,487.36	33,319.15	-0.50%	33,593.69	+0.32%	0.0081	✗	0.68	26.4M	2022-01-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	3.235	-0.46%	3.32	+2.15%	0.0258	✗	1.27	3.1M	2022-01-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.184596	0.183745	-0.46%	0.176716	-4.27%	0.0392	✓	1.09	5.4M	2022-01-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.13	11.0792	-0.46%	11.34	+1.89%	0.0232	✗	0.21	2.6M	2022-01-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.09	7.0579	-0.45%	7.0621	-0.39%	0.0005	✓	0.81	3.8M	2022-01-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	238.63	237.629	-0.42%	242.5	+1.62%	0.0201	✗	1.14	17.6M	2022-01-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3345	0.333156	-0.40%	0.3374	+0.87%	0.0125	✗	1.03	397k	2022-01-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.087032	0.086684	-0.40%	0.084515	-2.89%	0.0255	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6962	1.6898	-0.37%	1.663	-1.95%	0.0161	✓	0.88	502k	2022-01-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.55	32.4329	-0.36%	31.18	-4.21%	0.0396	✓	1.39	34.3M	2022-01-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3546	3.3428	-0.35%	3.3295	-0.75%	0.0042	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-01-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020821	0.02075	-0.34%	0.021066	+1.18%	0.0149	✗	1.25	2.6M	2022-01-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05243	0.052252	-0.34%	0.05206	-0.71%	0.0038	✓	1.05	19k	2022-01-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.71	5.6907	-0.34%	5.68	-0.53%	0.0020	✓	1.07	2.3M	2022-01-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0805	0.080249	-0.31%	0.0805	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	1.07	16k	2022-01-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7349	0.732648	-0.31%	0.714	-2.84%	0.0260	✓	1.26	3.7M	2022-01-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.158	11.124	-0.30%	11.314	+1.40%	0.0169	✗	0.14	40k	2022-01-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.677	0.674952	-0.30%	0.6613	-2.32%	0.0206	✓	1.37	2.7M	2022-01-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0618	1.0587	-0.29%	1.0848	+2.17%	0.0242	✗	1.01	108k	2022-01-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.871	7.8484	-0.29%	7.659	-2.69%	0.0246	✓	1.27	260k	2022-01-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003082	0.00003074	-0.26%	0.00003053	-0.94%	0.0070	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-01-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.47	8.4489	-0.25%	8.39	-0.94%	0.0071	✓	0.98	4.1M	2022-01-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9986	2.9912	-0.25%	3.1203	+4.06%	0.0421	✗	1.01	5.1M	2022-01-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.04	7.023	-0.24%	6.97	-0.99%	0.0078	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-01-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.73	147.3851	-0.23%	146.49	-0.84%	0.0063	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-01-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	218.2	217.7094	-0.22%	224.12	+2.71%	0.0289	✗	0.92	3.1M	2022-01-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.46	9.439	-0.22%	9.47	+0.11%	0.0032	✗	0.70	1.0M	2022-01-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.19	25.1347	-0.22%	25.51	+1.27%	0.0147	✗	1.13	74.2M	2022-01-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.944	4.9333	-0.22%	4.928	-0.32%	0.0012	✓	0.66	469k	2022-01-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0823	-0.21%	1.0543	-2.79%	0.0264	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-01-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1257	1.1233	-0.21%	1.1373	+1.03%	0.0122	✗	0.97	23.2M	2022-01-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	93.08	92.8822	-0.21%	92.34	-0.80%	0.0060	✓	1.12	107.5M	2022-01-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.458	2.4528	-0.21%	2.51	+2.12%	0.0229	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3785	1.3756	-0.21%	1.4299	+3.73%	0.0386	✗	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	154.3287	154.0069	-0.21%	149.9189	-2.86%	0.0270	✓	0.99	489k	2022-01-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01441	0.014381	-0.20%	0.0159	+10.34%	0.1001	✗	2.37	25.3M	2022-01-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.37823	-0.20%	0.368	-2.90%	0.0275	✓	0.75	44k	2022-01-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.089	2.0849	-0.20%	2.0834	-0.27%	0.0009	✓	1.03	95k	2022-01-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.81	0.808432	-0.19%	0.807	-0.37%	0.0020	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-01-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.3025	8.2867	-0.19%	8.0371	-3.20%	0.0308	✓	1.38	263k	2022-01-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7698	3.7628	-0.19%	3.7853	+0.41%	0.0060	✗	-0.07	371k	2022-01-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11024	0.110035	-0.19%	0.11025	+0.01%	0.0018	✓	1.12	25k	2022-01-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057912	0.057807	-0.18%	0.057685	-0.39%	0.0023	✓	1.17	7.5M	2022-01-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1719	0.171599	-0.18%	0.1684	-2.04%	0.0190	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-01-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3528	1.3504	-0.17%	1.31	-3.16%	0.0305	✓	1.04	2.9M	2022-01-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01503	0.015004	-0.17%	0.01506	+0.20%	0.0035	✗	1.29	2.2M	2022-01-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.12	1.1181	-0.17%	1.09	-2.68%	0.0257	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.33	141.087	-0.17%	137.39	-2.79%	0.0267	✓	1.17	2.8M	2022-01-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3416	0.341018	-0.17%	0.3412	-0.12%	0.0003	✓	1.45	3.8M	2022-01-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.22	36.1585	-0.17%	36.27	+0.14%	0.0028	✗	1.65	2.7M	2022-01-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.66	10.642	-0.17%	10.52	-1.31%	0.0116	✓	0.76	898k	2022-01-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.55	3.5441	-0.17%	3.82	+7.61%	0.0748	✗	1.25	8.5M	2022-01-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.6044	-0.16%	4.17	+15.51%	0.1456	✗	1.39	2.2M	2022-01-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.49	16.465	-0.15%	17.83	+8.13%	0.0795	✗	1.28	12.4M	2022-01-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.39	8.3779	-0.14%	8.2	-2.26%	0.0216	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1939	0.193624	-0.14%	0.1951	+0.62%	0.0075	✗	0.68	464k	2022-01-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.5	3.4951	-0.14%	3.49	-0.29%	0.0016	✓	1.06	808k	2022-01-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	8.0288	-0.14%	8.06	+0.25%	0.0038	✗	0.74	705k	2022-01-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.534	0.533271	-0.14%	0.544	+1.87%	0.0197	✗	1.28	1.8M	2022-01-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.07	15.0496	-0.14%	15.18	+0.73%	0.0085	✗	0.68	1.0M	2022-01-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.846	3.8408	-0.13%	3.89	+1.14%	0.0126	✗	0.71	526k	2022-01-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.64	27.6034	-0.13%	27.68	+0.14%	0.0026	✗	1.32	61.7M	2022-01-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3869	-0.13%	2.44	+2.09%	0.0219	✗	1.02	2.8M	2022-01-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.7	289.3196	-0.13%	277.6	-4.18%	0.0415	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-01-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.11	55.0378	-0.13%	55.13	+0.04%	0.0015	✗	1.41	649k	2022-01-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1187	0.118545	-0.13%	0.1198	+0.93%	0.0104	✗	1.02	55k	2022-01-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.222	4.2166	-0.13%	4.161	-1.44%	0.0134	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3783	-0.13%	1.38	+0.00%	0.0010	✓	1.64	556k	2022-01-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0653	1.064	-0.12%	1.0558	-0.90%	0.0080	✓	1.74	937k	2022-01-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3614	4.3562	-0.12%	4.3216	-0.91%	0.0082	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2922	1.2907	-0.12%	1.4118	+9.26%	0.0895	✗	1.12	95.6M	2022-01-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.36	144.1953	-0.11%	141.5	-1.98%	0.0190	✓	1.23	10.9M	2022-01-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.074	1.0728	-0.11%	1.056	-1.68%	0.0159	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3273	1.3258	-0.11%	1.3193	-0.60%	0.0051	✓	1.37	3.9M	2022-01-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.843	2.8399	-0.11%	2.849	+0.21%	0.0031	✗	0.89	25k	2022-01-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2669	0.266613	-0.11%	0.2698	+1.09%	0.0117	✗	1.31	3.9M	2022-01-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.757762	0.756954	-0.11%	0.766499	+1.15%	0.0124	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-01-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028908	0.028878	-0.10%	0.028848	-0.21%	0.0012	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-01-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.76	112.6463	-0.10%	112.64	-0.11%	0.0002	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	390.86	390.4782	-0.10%	388.33	-0.65%	0.0057	✓	1.00	7.0M	2022-01-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.259056	0.258823	-0.09%	0.259124	+0.03%	0.0010	✗	1.03	24.9M	2022-01-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	167.6	167.4494	-0.09%	167.7	+0.06%	0.0014	✗	0.91	6.7M	2022-01-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1398	0.139675	-0.09%	0.1383	-1.07%	0.0101	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.344	20.326	-0.09%	21.156	+3.99%	0.0398	✗	1.59	10.8M	2022-01-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08027	0.080199	-0.09%	0.08284	+3.20%	0.0322	✗	1.42	2.4M	2022-01-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,685.80	42,648.20	-0.09%	43,225.30	+1.26%	0.0133	✗	0.98	14k	2022-01-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010109	0.000101004	-0.08%	0.0001031	+1.99%	0.0204	✗	1.01	6.5M	2022-01-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	147.78	147.6573	-0.08%	147.98	+0.14%	0.0020	✗	1.04	164.2M	2022-01-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3248	0.324532	-0.08%	0.3232	-0.49%	0.0043	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	75.35	75.2903	-0.08%	80.29	+6.56%	0.0641	✗	1.08	6.2M	2022-01-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.86	32.8343	-0.08%	32.27	-1.80%	0.0175	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-01-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.28	5.2759	-0.08%	5.39	+2.08%	0.0212	✗	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1876	-0.08%	3.2	+0.31%	0.0037	✗	0.96	918k	2022-01-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.117	8.111	-0.07%	7.826	-3.59%	0.0359	✓	0.72	188k	2022-01-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09328	0.093213	-0.07%	0.09268	-0.64%	0.0058	✓	0.73	49k	2022-01-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5948	0.594413	-0.07%	0.5892	-0.94%	0.0090	✓	1.21	12.2M	2022-01-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.76	2.7584	-0.06%	2.7	-2.17%	0.0216	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1806	0.180497	-0.06%	0.1804	-0.11%	0.0007	✓	0.89	423k	2022-01-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.7	6.6962	-0.06%	6.68	-0.30%	0.0025	✓	0.66	564k	2022-01-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01405	0.014042	-0.06%	0.01413	+0.57%	0.0061	✗	0.98	641k	2022-01-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.18	192.0741	-0.06%	192.07	-0.06%	0.0002	✓	1.13	145k	2022-01-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.16	14.1526	-0.05%	14.05	-0.78%	0.0074	✓	1.13	3.0M	2022-01-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01703	0.017021	-0.05%	0.01745	+2.47%	0.0248	✗	0.66	24k	2022-01-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4232	1.4226	-0.05%	1.3643	-4.14%	0.0421	✓	1.88	1.3M	2022-01-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.81	9.8058	-0.04%	9.71	-1.02%	0.0098	✓	-0.01	1.5M	2022-01-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01388	0.013874	-0.04%	0.01396	+0.58%	0.0060	✗	1.23	2.0M	2022-01-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.61	30.5972	-0.04%	30.87	+0.85%	0.0087	✗	1.48	1.0M	2022-01-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.62	20.6117	-0.04%	20.72	+0.48%	0.0051	✗	0.74	886k	2022-01-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1231	3.1219	-0.04%	3.1201	-0.10%	0.0007	✓	1.12	710k	2022-01-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.79	28.7791	-0.04%	28.43	-1.25%	0.0123	✓	0.68	360k	2022-01-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.538	1.5374	-0.04%	1.489	-3.19%	0.0322	✓	1.35	4.2M	2022-01-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1141	0.114059	-0.04%	0.1124	-1.49%	0.0148	✓	1.12	296k	2022-01-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.02	8.0178	-0.03%	7.97	-0.62%	0.0061	✓	0.62	680k	2022-01-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.324	1.3238	-0.02%	1.346	+1.66%	0.0165	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04139	0.041385	-0.01%	0.04114	-0.60%	0.0061	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0756	0.075599	-0.00%	0.0799	+5.69%	0.0552	✗	1.00	27.0M	2022-01-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.875	1.875	+0.00%	1.91	+1.87%	0.0183	✓	1.14	2.2M	2022-01-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.282	4.2821	+0.00%	4.2914	+0.22%	0.0020	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-01-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.69	29.691	+0.00%	30.39	+2.36%	0.0231	✓	1.08	15.5M	2022-01-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068548	0.068551	+0.00%	0.069898	+1.97%	0.0193	✓	0.95	537k	2022-01-16
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.68	26.6817	+0.01%	27.65	+3.64%	0.0354	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-01-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07028	0.070287	+0.01%	0.0706	+0.46%	0.0043	✓	1.21	14.7M	2022-01-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,098.20	43,104.33	+0.01%	43,104.34	+0.01%	0.0001	✓	1.00	679.0M	2022-01-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086923	+0.03%	0.0857	-1.38%	0.0144	✗	1.40	1.1M	2022-01-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,328.12	3,329.09	+0.03%	3,349.46	+0.64%	0.0060	✓	1.05	533.9M	2022-01-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0544	0.054419	+0.04%	0.056	+2.94%	0.0284	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9833	0.984211	+0.09%	0.9199	-6.45%	0.0677	✗	1.04	2.9M	2022-01-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.