2021-12-30 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0719

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.32%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

44.5%

in alpha space · 62.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.93%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.94	19.9536	+0.07%	19.51	-2.16%	0.0021	✓	1.26	69.7M	2021-12-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.57	34.5913	+0.06%	34.06	-1.48%	0.0041	✓	1.00	4.7M	2021-12-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,710.02	3,712.15	+0.06%	3,675.80	-0.92%	0.0101	✓	1.02	752.6M	2021-12-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.063	2.0641	+0.05%	2.058	-0.24%	0.0190	✓	1.12	3.2M	2021-12-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,186.00	47,211.15	+0.05%	46,060.20	-2.39%	0.0057	✗	0.97	9,204	2021-12-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077853	0.077891	+0.05%	0.075477	-3.05%	0.0133	✗	0.93	607k	2021-12-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,122.08	47,144.73	+0.05%	46,211.24	-1.93%	0.0005	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.8384	8.8425	+0.05%	8.736	-1.16%	0.0146	✓	1.37	280k	2021-12-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0981	0.098126	+0.03%	0.0971	-1.02%	0.0166	✓	1.39	1.9M	2021-12-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4868	3.4877	+0.03%	3.4015	-2.45%	0.0047	✗	1.04	819k	2021-12-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010959	0.000109614	+0.02%	0.00010819	-1.28%	0.0062	✓	0.99	9.0M	2021-12-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3407	4.3416	+0.02%	4.3404	-0.01%	0.0252	✓	1.31	4.9M	2021-12-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.37	15.3729	+0.02%	15.14	-1.50%	0.0068	✓	1.13	4.7M	2021-12-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11126	0.11128	+0.02%	0.11271	+1.30%	0.0343	✓	1.10	29k	2021-12-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171183	0.171212	+0.02%	0.170222	-0.56%	0.0157	✓	1.10	5.5M	2021-12-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7081	4.7088	+0.02%	4.6064	-2.16%	0.0034	✓	1.30	5.0M	2021-12-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.87	8.8713	+0.02%	8.8	-0.79%	0.0037	✓	0.60	1.0M	2021-12-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.46	2.4603	+0.01%	2.39	-2.85%	0.0093	✗	1.01	4.2M	2021-12-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.89	38.8939	+0.01%	38.25	-1.65%	0.0029	✓	1.00	20.7M	2021-12-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.55	5.5505	+0.01%	5.48	-1.26%	0.0094	✓	1.13	4.3M	2021-12-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.302	8.3027	+0.01%	8.1	-2.43%	0.0008	✗	1.22	392k	2021-12-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.04	280.0579	+0.01%	276.22	-1.36%	0.0074	✓	1.08	1.5M	2021-12-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.64	199.6501	+0.01%	199.58	-0.03%	0.0215	✓	1.12	220k	2021-12-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.96	34.9604	+0.00%	34.24	-2.06%	0.0008	✗	1.03	23.3M	2021-12-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2699	-0.00%	3.21	-1.83%	0.0005	✗	0.97	1.1M	2021-12-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.188	0.187991	-0.01%	0.1945	+3.46%	0.0447	✗	0.55	393k	2021-12-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.208	0.207989	-0.01%	0.2023	-2.74%	0.0044	✓	1.20	5.7M	2021-12-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.13	7.129	-0.01%	7.06	-0.98%	0.0027	✗	0.64	1.1M	2021-12-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3585	1.3583	-0.01%	1.3082	-3.70%	0.0171	✓	1.05	114.6M	2021-12-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.06	32.0551	-0.02%	31.4	-2.06%	0.0082	✓	0.64	518k	2021-12-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.99	33.9837	-0.02%	33.06	-2.74%	0.0010	✗	1.46	1.3M	2021-12-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.04	133.0148	-0.02%	133.78	+0.56%	0.0300	✗	1.24	2.0M	2021-12-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.71	178.6599	-0.03%	179.22	+0.29%	0.0217	✗	0.95	9.8M	2021-12-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.533	1.5325	-0.03%	1.542	+0.59%	0.0311	✗	1.28	3.8M	2021-12-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.624	1.6235	-0.03%	1.634	+0.62%	0.0325	✗	1.34	7.9M	2021-12-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.91	2.9091	-0.03%	2.882	-0.96%	0.0076	✗	0.87	65k	2021-12-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6466	0.6464	-0.03%	0.6421	-0.70%	0.0167	✗	1.20	11.8M	2021-12-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1317	0.131656	-0.03%	0.1283	-2.58%	0.0049	✓	1.07	344k	2021-12-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.53	27.5208	-0.03%	26.67	-3.12%	0.0069	✓	1.25	75.5M	2021-12-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08851	0.088478	-0.04%	0.08767	-0.95%	0.0192	✗	1.45	4.0M	2021-12-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1771	3.1759	-0.04%	3.1464	-0.97%	0.0144	✗	1.22	3.3M	2021-12-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2007	0.200624	-0.04%	0.1984	-1.15%	0.0060	✗	0.88	655k	2021-12-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.1255	0.125451	-0.04%	0.1227	-2.23%	0.0014	✓	1.06	158k	2021-12-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.268	0.267893	-0.04%	0.266478	-0.57%	0.0145	✗	1.01	29.6M	2021-12-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	431.58	431.4064	-0.04%	430.15	-0.33%	0.0165	✗	0.99	9.8M	2021-12-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4189	0.418725	-0.04%	0.4139	-1.19%	0.0160	✗	1.41	793k	2021-12-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10085	0.100807	-0.04%	0.1009	+0.05%	0.0136	✗	0.65	74k	2021-12-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.01	23.9992	-0.05%	24.41	+1.67%	0.0310	✗	0.72	1.5M	2021-12-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.45	15.4428	-0.05%	15.07	-2.46%	0.0113	✓	0.67	1.4M	2021-12-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.03	94.982	-0.05%	93.21	-1.92%	0.0003	✓	0.98	7.4M	2021-12-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.795409	0.795004	-0.05%	0.802611	+0.91%	0.0303	✗	1.06	2.8M	2021-12-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	172.52	172.4203	-0.06%	169.88	-1.53%	0.0038	✗	0.96	248.9M	2021-12-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.94	147.8516	-0.06%	146.15	-1.21%	0.0145	✗	1.34	49.4M	2021-12-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.01711	0.017099	-0.07%	0.01703	-0.47%	0.0192	✗	1.19	2.5M	2021-12-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3222	1.3213	-0.07%	1.2796	-3.22%	0.0114	✓	1.06	1.0M	2021-12-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0828	0.082745	-0.07%	0.0823	-0.60%	0.0151	✗	1.05	18k	2021-12-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.78	24.7615	-0.07%	24.42	-1.45%	0.0135	✗	1.41	24.1M	2021-12-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.13	5.1262	-0.07%	5.01	-2.34%	0.0001	✓	1.17	2.4M	2021-12-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.37	0.369696	-0.08%	0.3655	-1.22%	0.0136	✗	1.28	4.3M	2021-12-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	10.1013	-0.09%	10.11	+0.00%	0.0156	✗	0.75	1.4M	2021-12-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.048	21.0294	-0.09%	21.376	+1.56%	0.0482	✗	1.63	17.5M	2021-12-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04892	0.048876	-0.09%	0.04828	-1.31%	0.0051	✗	0.89	9.1M	2021-12-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.49	122.3727	-0.10%	121.02	-1.20%	0.0073	✗	0.95	3.7M	2021-12-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2896	0.289312	-0.10%	0.2833	-2.18%	0.0041	✗	1.29	5.6M	2021-12-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01531	0.015295	-0.10%	0.01518	-0.85%	0.0111	✗	0.95	910k	2021-12-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.57	4.5652	-0.10%	4.7425	+3.77%	0.0512	✗	0.67	25k	2021-12-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01653	0.016513	-0.11%	0.01579	-4.48%	0.0200	✓	1.27	2.4M	2021-12-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0654	6.0588	-0.11%	5.8862	-2.95%	0.0067	✓	1.14	653k	2021-12-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.58	61.5122	-0.11%	60.57	-1.64%	0.0122	✗	1.42	1.0M	2021-12-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022142	0.022117	-0.11%	0.021822	-1.45%	0.0105	✗	1.23	2.4M	2021-12-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7283	0.727474	-0.11%	0.7078	-2.81%	0.0031	✓	1.25	6.2M	2021-12-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.079	5.0729	-0.12%	5.023	-1.10%	0.0015	✗	0.58	798k	2021-12-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.72	8.7095	-0.12%	8.41	-3.56%	0.0208	✓	0.73	1.1M	2021-12-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07911	0.079013	-0.12%	0.08513	+7.61%	0.0987	✗	1.24	21.7M	2021-12-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.09	3.0858	-0.13%	2.93	-5.18%	0.0267	✓	1.29	3.2M	2021-12-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.42	4.4138	-0.14%	4.22	-4.52%	0.0254	✓	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.04	12.0229	-0.14%	11.78	-2.16%	0.0237	✓	-0.17	3.7M	2021-12-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.06	39.0036	-0.14%	38.92	-0.36%	0.0335	✗	1.83	6.8M	2021-12-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.863	0.86175	-0.14%	0.843	-2.32%	0.0062	✗	1.44	8.7M	2021-12-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033799	0.03375	-0.15%	0.033825	+0.08%	0.0227	✗	1.05	8.9M	2021-12-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01945	0.019422	-0.15%	0.01908	-1.90%	0.0070	✓	0.55	43k	2021-12-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.6873	-0.16%	1.62	-4.14%	0.0078	✓	1.69	1.2M	2021-12-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2	0.199682	-0.16%	0.19688	-1.56%	0.0165	✗	1.57	9,235	2021-12-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.267	1.2649	-0.16%	1.259	-0.63%	0.0135	✗	0.93	2.8M	2021-12-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.403	0.40233	-0.17%	0.426	+5.71%	0.0716	✗	0.74	45k	2021-12-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.643	2.6386	-0.17%	2.574	-2.61%	0.0052	✓	1.01	2.2M	2021-12-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0549	0.054804	-0.17%	0.05331	-2.90%	0.0071	✓	1.05	15k	2021-12-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6956	0.694372	-0.18%	0.6864	-1.32%	0.0143	✗	1.32	3.2M	2021-12-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061787	0.061678	-0.18%	0.063529	+2.82%	0.0565	✗	1.38	7.9M	2021-12-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.329	9.3121	-0.18%	8.873	-4.89%	0.0361	✓	0.63	368k	2021-12-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.632846	-0.18%	0.612	-3.47%	0.0092	✓	1.25	2.8M	2021-12-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.9	153.6168	-0.18%	146.46	-4.83%	0.0228	✓	1.28	11.8M	2021-12-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.1278	-0.19%	1.13	+0.00%	0.0215	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1947	1.1923	-0.20%	1.2039	+0.77%	0.0437	✗	1.74	1.4M	2021-12-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5825	-0.21%	3.54	-1.39%	0.0084	✗	1.04	787k	2021-12-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.048	4.0394	-0.21%	4.018	-0.74%	0.0074	✗	0.65	514k	2021-12-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.81	17.7721	-0.21%	16.98	-4.66%	0.0209	✓	1.27	15.5M	2021-12-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9975	1.9932	-0.22%	2.0908	+4.67%	0.0851	✗	1.91	1.5M	2021-12-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4417	2.4363	-0.22%	2.397	-1.83%	0.0044	✗	1.06	147k	2021-12-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9199	0.917834	-0.22%	0.9088	-1.21%	0.0096	✗	1.00	146k	2021-12-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0787	0.078522	-0.23%	0.0763	-3.05%	0.0016	✓	1.39	1.7M	2021-12-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003376	0.000033679	-0.24%	0.00003342	-1.01%	0.0171	✗	1.27	2.1M	2021-12-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4845	1.4808	-0.25%	1.5666	+5.53%	0.0754	✗	0.98	4.8M	2021-12-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.6988	185.2271	-0.25%	181.8528	-2.07%	0.0013	✓	1.01	648k	2021-12-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6911	1.6868	-0.26%	1.62	-4.20%	0.0235	✓	0.86	4.7M	2021-12-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3713	0.370327	-0.26%	0.3547	-4.47%	0.0158	✓	1.40	4.4M	2021-12-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.755	1.7504	-0.26%	1.7428	-0.69%	0.0112	✗	0.80	946k	2021-12-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.33	4.3183	-0.27%	4.34	+0.23%	0.0245	✗	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1856	0.185079	-0.28%	0.1752	-5.60%	0.0323	✓	1.15	2.9M	2021-12-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.83	10.7986	-0.29%	10.85	+0.18%	0.0215	✗	0.86	1.3M	2021-12-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	225.01	224.3499	-0.29%	228.93	+1.74%	0.0379	✗	0.91	2.9M	2021-12-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.579	3.5685	-0.29%	3.496	-2.32%	0.0010	✓	1.00	2.7M	2021-12-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3349	0.333887	-0.30%	0.3279	-2.09%	0.0003	✓	0.94	293k	2021-12-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.203	1.1993	-0.31%	1.2282	+2.09%	0.0513	✗	1.41	2.3M	2021-12-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8152	6.7939	-0.31%	6.5555	-3.81%	0.0206	✓	0.77	4.0M	2021-12-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8078	3.7953	-0.33%	3.7613	-1.22%	0.0114	✓	-0.12	409k	2021-12-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.32	40.1853	-0.33%	39.69	-1.56%	0.0202	✗	1.67	3.0M	2021-12-31
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5179	1.5127	-0.34%	1.4896	-1.86%	0.0114	✗	1.37	6.4M	2021-12-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.32	9.287	-0.35%	9.11	-2.25%	0.0027	✓	1.12	4.1M	2021-12-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	101.73	101.3676	-0.36%	109.4	+7.54%	0.0970	✗	1.06	127.7M	2021-12-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.84	84.5124	-0.39%	85.56	+0.85%	0.0318	✗	1.00	5.3M	2021-12-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.697	4.6787	-0.39%	4.508	-4.02%	0.0237	✓	0.69	1.0M	2021-12-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2879	3.2738	-0.43%	3.2677	-0.62%	0.0166	✗	0.95	7.1M	2021-12-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	30,177.90	30,033.66	-0.48%	33,038.28	+9.48%	0.1071	✗	0.60	10.4M	2021-12-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.11	5.0838	-0.51%	5.32	+4.11%	0.0708	✗	1.30	28.7M	2021-12-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.98	11.9167	-0.53%	12.22	+2.00%	0.0361	✗	0.56	1.4M	2021-12-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4266	1.4186	-0.56%	1.3658	-4.26%	0.0202	✓	0.91	23.6M	2021-12-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.14	5.1107	-0.57%	4.91	-4.47%	0.0205	✓	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.19	30.0081	-0.60%	32.43	+7.42%	0.0952	✗	0.90	41.9M	2021-12-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7299	1.719	-0.63%	1.6589	-4.10%	0.0147	✓	1.07	31.7M	2021-12-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.775	12.6865	-0.69%	12.734	-0.32%	0.0025	✓	-0.06	119k	2021-12-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	262.93	260.8223	-0.80%	253.92	-3.43%	0.0056	✓	1.08	11.4M	2021-12-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.93	12.8181	-0.87%	12.7	-1.78%	0.0093	✓	-0.00	4.6M	2021-12-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.72	4.6755	-0.94%	4.55	-3.60%	0.0077	✓	1.00	15.2M	2021-12-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02166	0.021421	-1.10%	0.02346	+8.31%	0.1104	✗	1.00	34.3M	2021-12-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	10.25	10.0634	-1.82%	9.42	-8.10%	0.0404	✓	1.31	16.5M	2021-12-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9403	0.913314	-2.87%	0.9356	-0.50%	0.0568	✗	1.67	29.3M	2021-12-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.