8=======>

2021-12-26 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2105
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.2%
in alpha space · 40.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.9237.919-0.00%37.61-0.82%0.0065✓1.055.6M2021-12-27
TRXTRONTron0.0815080.081488-0.02%0.081167-0.42%0.0024✓0.96648k2021-12-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0789-0.04%3.39+10.06%0.0984✗1.283.0M2021-12-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,801.7950,781.53-0.04%50,717.77-0.17%0.0004✗1.00744.5M2021-12-27
QTUMQtumQtum9.89829.8922-0.06%9.9988+1.02%0.0131✗1.44285k2021-12-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.4875.4832-0.07%5.5+0.24%0.0041✗0.65798k2021-12-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.2937.2632-0.07%39.2+5.12%0.0524✗1.0122.1M2021-12-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018690.018675-0.08%0.01876+0.37%0.0066✗1.252.8M2021-12-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.96155.785-0.11%155.78-0.12%0.0023✗1.3954.4M2021-12-27
ETHEthereumEthereum4,065.914,061.32-0.11%4,038.64-0.67%0.0039✓1.04760.7M2021-12-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1900180.189768-0.13%0.187814-1.16%0.0085✓1.115.5M2021-12-27
XYMSymbolnative0.23940.23908-0.13%0.2391-0.13%0.0009✓0.47392k2021-12-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8225.7844-0.14%26.71+3.45%0.0370✗1.072.2M2021-12-27
DASHDashDash149.09148.8627-0.15%151.04+1.31%0.0166✗1.262.0M2021-12-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3171.315-0.15%1.325+0.61%0.0092✗0.973.4M2021-12-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.7226.6788-0.15%28.24+5.69%0.0592✗1.4022.9M2021-12-27
XLMStellarStellar0.2919870.291532-0.16%0.300288+2.84%0.0313✗1.0034.1M2021-12-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0244220.024383-0.16%0.024165-1.05%0.0070✓1.202.3M2021-12-27
CBKCobakEthereum3.2793.2737-0.16%3.267-0.37%0.0006✓0.8497k2021-12-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064040.063935-0.16%0.063833-0.32%0.0008✓1.468.7M2021-12-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.434.3396-0.18%34.59+0.55%0.0084✗0.67572k2021-12-27
QNTQuantEthereum194.3193.9578-0.18%206.05+6.05%0.0620✗0.9411.9M2021-12-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1134.1057-0.18%4.361+6.03%0.0615✗0.72473k2021-12-27
XVSVenusEthereum17.1117.0793-0.18%16.84-1.58%0.0122✓1.144.8M2021-12-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.967.9457-0.18%8.01+0.63%0.0091✗0.63986k2021-12-27
ADACardanoCardano1.45491.4521-0.19%1.5164+4.23%0.0451✗1.06120.2M2021-12-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2190.218574-0.19%0.2194+0.18%0.0052✗0.87748k2021-12-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,987.3050,887.92-0.19%51,195.60+0.41%0.0077✗0.988,5662021-12-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93064.9203-0.21%4.9574+0.54%0.0087✗0.7427k2021-12-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48263.4751-0.22%3.4608-0.63%0.0043✓-0.09384k2021-12-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2892.2841-0.22%2.337+2.10%0.0247✗1.103.3M2021-12-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08960.0894-0.22%0.0897+0.11%0.0051✗1.0918k2021-12-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.762.7538-0.22%2.8+1.45%0.0183✗1.024.1M2021-12-27
NANOnanopayBase3.86893.8602-0.22%3.9652+2.49%0.0286✗1.06798k2021-12-27
COMPCompoundEthereum235.5234.9706-0.22%237.34+0.78%0.0119✗1.10236k2021-12-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4690.467901-0.23%0.4709+0.41%0.0087✗1.431.1M2021-12-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.49.3779-0.23%9.33-0.74%0.0038✓0.77934k2021-12-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9216.8798-0.24%16.81-0.65%0.0030✓0.691.4M2021-12-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124580.124284-0.24%0.12484+0.21%0.0063✗1.1029k2021-12-27
XMRMoneroMonero216.57216.0499-0.24%220.72+1.92%0.0230✗0.992.7M2021-12-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash451.86450.7515-0.25%465.3+2.97%0.0335✗1.0211.4M2021-12-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.613.601-0.25%3.6-0.28%0.0013✓0.991.2M2021-12-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6681.6639-0.25%1.686+1.08%0.0154✗1.304.3M2021-12-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14380.14344-0.25%0.1453+1.04%0.0146✗1.06376k2021-12-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.099870.099615-0.26%0.09816-1.71%0.0123✓1.464.8M2021-12-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019580.01953-0.26%0.02154+10.01%0.0989✗0.5946k2021-12-27
FTTFTXEthereum42.5942.4803-0.26%42.6+0.02%0.0046✗1.0620.7M2021-12-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39331.3897-0.26%1.415+1.56%0.0198✗1.071.3M2021-12-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8791320.876842-0.26%0.876137-0.34%0.0010✓1.083.2M2021-12-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.5127.1649-0.26%127.41-0.07%0.0036✗0.993.2M2021-12-27
XEMNEMnative0.14120.140822-0.27%0.1391-1.49%0.0105✓1.10178k2021-12-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.53107.24-0.27%107.04-0.46%0.0003✓0.967.9M2021-12-27
SOLSolanaSolana198197.4551-0.28%195.74-1.14%0.0070✓1.02255.1M2021-12-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9922.9261-0.28%23.02+0.13%0.0063✗1.3169.7M2021-12-27
MOVRMoonriverBase187.2077186.6688-0.29%211.5789+13.02%0.1271✗1.14674k2021-12-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.050820.050673-0.29%0.05341+5.10%0.0541✗0.9210.6M2021-12-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.246.2218-0.29%6.44+3.21%0.0363✗1.124.6M2021-12-27
XECeCashnative0.000121440.000121086-0.29%0.00011859-2.35%0.0192✓0.9911.0M2021-12-27
BANDBandEthereum5.855.8323-0.30%5.87+0.34%0.0084✗1.192.8M2021-12-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.20110.20049-0.30%0.21+4.43%0.0482✗1.143.9M2021-12-27
XVGVergenative0.019370.019307-0.33%0.01908-1.50%0.0099✓1.192.8M2021-12-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.6712.6284-0.33%13.03+2.84%0.0308✗-0.284.5M2021-12-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.34265.3243-0.34%5.2921-0.95%0.0038✓1.355.4M2021-12-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.1130.112604-0.35%0.1161+2.74%0.0328✗1.362.5M2021-12-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot31.3431.2296-0.35%30.97-1.18%0.0063✓1.2677.1M2021-12-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.17051.1662-0.36%1.3056+11.54%0.1154✗1.492.3M2021-12-27
KCSKuCoinnative22.89822.8101-0.38%22.976+0.34%0.0100✗1.6819.5M2021-12-27
GTGateEthereum6.75026.7242-0.39%6.8395+1.32%0.0183✗0.814.3M2021-12-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73540.732535-0.39%0.7375+0.29%0.0089✗1.2812.8M2021-12-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.374.3528-0.39%4.744+8.56%0.0874✗0.83719k2021-12-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.81796.791-0.40%6.874+0.82%0.0141✗1.19764k2021-12-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.281.2749-0.40%1.32+3.12%0.0364✗1.002.3M2021-12-27
MINAMina Protocolnative3.813.7949-0.40%3.86+1.31%0.0187✗1.02787k2021-12-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78930.786171-0.40%0.7943+0.63%0.0124✗1.257.3M2021-12-27
ZECZcashZcash167.45166.7702-0.41%169.76+1.38%0.0199✗1.3111.8M2021-12-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.2329.1942-0.41%10.034+8.69%0.0896✗1.33411k2021-12-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,193.3431,065.17-0.41%31,759.20+1.81%0.0230✗0.528.3M2021-12-27
UNIUniswapEthereum18.6718.5895-0.43%19.11+2.36%0.0298✗1.3214.2M2021-12-27
LSKLiskEthereum2.49282.4817-0.44%2.5471+2.18%0.0280✗1.18147k2021-12-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33241.3265-0.44%1.3823+3.74%0.0441✗1.761.5M2021-12-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.33030.328828-0.45%0.3372+2.09%0.0273✗1.285.8M2021-12-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.087850.087456-0.45%0.08443-3.89%0.0332✓1.2021.7M2021-12-27
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9421.9333-0.45%1.884-2.99%0.0236✓1.317.9M2021-12-27
XTZTezosTezos4.86914.8463-0.47%5.1016+4.78%0.0535✗1.305.3M2021-12-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.60791.6003-0.47%1.6631+3.43%0.0403✗1.0731.7M2021-12-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7279.6804-0.48%9.799+0.74%0.0132✗0.62455k2021-12-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.2511.1949-0.49%11.16-0.80%0.0018✓0.771.4M2021-12-27
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08061.0753-0.49%1.1+1.80%0.0244✗1.00178k2021-12-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.240.238818-0.49%0.2396-0.17%0.0053✗1.226.1M2021-12-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.649.5922-0.50%9.45-1.97%0.0138✓0.67952k2021-12-27
ZENHorizenBase70.369.9424-0.51%70.72+0.60%0.0136✗1.511.3M2021-12-27
SCSiacoinnative0.016680.016595-0.51%0.01713+2.70%0.0333✗0.931.3M2021-12-27
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.6958-0.51%5.5+16.53%0.1597✗1.002.5M2021-12-27
SUSHISushiEthereum7.937.8872-0.54%9.15+15.38%0.1508✗1.3815.1M2021-12-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.037650.037446-0.54%0.037325-0.86%0.0016✓1.0211.0M2021-12-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.663.6401-0.54%3.6103-1.36%0.0062✓1.253.1M2021-12-27
KSMKusamaHydration322.4320.6354-0.55%322.27-0.04%0.0069✗1.101.5M2021-12-27
RADRadworksEthereum10.6110.5508-0.56%11.09+4.52%0.0514✗0.941.6M2021-12-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0840.083519-0.57%0.0741-11.79%0.1175✓1.312.1M2021-12-27
DODODODOEthereum1.0020.995955-0.60%1.017+1.50%0.0233✗1.478.9M2021-12-27
UMAUMAEthereum10.4110.3444-0.63%10.75+3.27%0.0403✗1.084.1M2021-12-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.938.6496-0.64%39.59+1.77%0.0265✗1.511.3M2021-12-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058660.058271-0.66%0.05816-0.85%0.0001✓1.1116k2021-12-27
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.7577-0.67%5.13+7.10%0.0770✗1.001.2M2021-12-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5543.2457-0.70%43.58+0.07%0.0105✗1.713.7M2021-12-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.39071.3807-0.72%1.3793-0.82%0.0007✓1.0522.8M2021-12-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.42250.419441-0.72%0.4014-4.99%0.0414✓1.524.4M2021-12-27
LRCLoopringEthereum2.34442.3266-0.76%2.2578-3.69%0.0268✓1.941.8M2021-12-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113290.11243-0.76%0.11486+1.39%0.0223✗0.57113k2021-12-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.80930.803136-0.76%0.8111+0.22%0.0120✗1.283.8M2021-12-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.07114.1627-0.79%113.96-0.96%0.0001✓1.13127.7M2021-12-27
STORJStorjEthereum2.07122.0546-0.80%2.0541-0.83%0.0009✓0.701.2M2021-12-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.209680.207966-0.82%0.22849+8.97%0.0968✗1.6122k2021-12-27
AAVEAaveEthereum268.05265.8575-0.82%277.6+3.56%0.0450✗1.0711.4M2021-12-27
LUNATerraTerra 299.7898.9563-0.83%91.01-8.79%0.0821✓1.004.9M2021-12-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.235.1863-0.84%5.06-3.25%0.0230✓1.005.7M2021-12-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038250.000037927-0.84%0.00003905+2.09%0.0308✗1.002.2M2021-12-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.6645.274-0.85%44.44-2.67%0.0156✓1.848.5M2021-12-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3074.2676-0.92%4.312+0.12%0.0120✗1.003.5M2021-12-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.730.723116-0.94%0.723-0.96%0.0019✓1.243.0M2021-12-27
UOSUltraEthereum1.69181.6759-0.94%1.7264+2.04%0.0314✗0.995.7M2021-12-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.3710.367495-0.94%0.3756+1.24%0.0233✗0.91356k2021-12-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.1731.8511-0.99%29.68-7.74%0.0692✓0.8639.4M2021-12-27
MANADecentralandEthereum3.8623.8232-1.00%3.7429-3.08%0.0198✓0.888.3M2021-12-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.755.6901-1.04%5.28-8.17%0.0726✓1.3028.7M2021-12-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.193.1563-1.06%3.08-3.45%0.0229✓0.972.2M2021-12-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.42650.421825-1.10%0.4183-1.92%0.0063✓1.285.3M2021-12-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022010.021731-1.27%0.0262+19.04%0.1887✗1.0034.3M2021-12-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.112.9239-1.34%12.74-2.75%0.0135✓0.522.1M2021-12-27
GITCOINGITCOIN15.13614.9315-1.35%14.106-6.80%0.0570✓-0.09133k2021-12-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.70680.696639-1.44%0.8843+25.11%0.2414✗1.7517.7M2021-12-27
HIVEHivenative1.76641.7407-1.46%1.852+4.85%0.0642✗1.328.3M2021-12-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4940.486021-1.62%0.466-5.67%0.0409✓0.7145k2021-12-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.222.1825-1.69%2.01-9.46%0.0795✓1.721.5M2021-12-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.1714.9026-1.76%14.16-6.66%0.0512✓-0.035.1M2021-12-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.1962.1444-2.35%2.0783-5.36%0.0302✓0.676.7M2021-12-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.755.5614-3.28%5.18-9.91%0.0694✓1.0012.3M2021-12-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.