FLOW

Flow · native · gru_s8

token id: #519
symbol: FLOW
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-05-19
predictions: 4,809

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0321

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0046

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03052	0.030322	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-20	oos	0.03033	0.030152	-0.59%	0.03052	+0.63%	0.0145	✗	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.029545	0.029381	-0.56%	0.03033	+2.66%	0.0213	✗	0.79
2026-10-18	oos	0.02973	0.029568	-0.54%	0.029545	-0.62%	0.0008	✓	0.79
2026-10-17	oos	0.03082	0.030645	-0.57%	0.02973	-3.54%	0.0364	✓	0.79
2026-10-16	oos	0.03204	0.031853	-0.58%	0.03082	-3.81%	0.0318	✓	0.79
2026-10-15	oos	0.031225	0.031054	-0.55%	0.03204	+2.61%	0.0373	✗	0.79
2026-10-14	oos	0.031835	0.031664	-0.54%	0.031225	-1.92%	0.0194	✓	0.80
2026-10-13	oos	0.033	0.03281	-0.57%	0.031835	-3.53%	0.0155	✓	0.79
2026-10-12	oos	0.033565	0.033316	-0.74%	0.033	-1.68%	0.0227	✓	0.80
2026-10-11	oos	0.03507	0.034773	-0.85%	0.033565	-4.29%	0.0175	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.03262	0.032435	-0.57%	0.03507	+7.51%	0.0712	✗	0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.03107	0.030903	-0.54%	0.03262	+4.99%	0.0507	✗	0.75
2026-10-08	oos	0.029575	0.029449	-0.43%	0.03107	+5.05%	0.0459	✗	0.74
2026-10-07	oos	0.03244	0.032273	-0.51%	0.029575	-8.83%	0.0740	✓	0.69
2026-10-06	oos	0.033785	0.033575	-0.62%	0.03244	-3.98%	0.0164	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.032175	0.032017	-0.49%	0.033785	+5.00%	0.0554	✗	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.03216	0.031996	-0.51%	0.032175	+0.05%	0.0116	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.03306	0.032838	-0.67%	0.03216	-2.72%	0.0353	✓	0.70
2026-10-02	oos	0.03149	0.031328	-0.52%	0.03306	+4.99%	0.0519	✗	0.70
2026-10-01	oos	0.031235	0.031073	-0.52%	0.03149	+0.82%	0.0162	✗	0.70
2026-09-30	oos	0.03115	0.03096	-0.61%	0.031235	+0.27%	0.0021	✓	0.72
2026-09-29	oos	0.03061	0.030468	-0.47%	0.03115	+1.76%	0.0229	✗	0.72
2026-09-28	oos	0.030525	0.030397	-0.42%	0.03061	+0.28%	0.0055	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.03293	0.032763	-0.51%	0.030525	-7.30%	0.0623	✓	0.70
2026-09-26	oos	0.03301	0.032824	-0.56%	0.03293	-0.24%	0.0028	✓	0.71
2026-09-25	oos	0.03108	0.030926	-0.49%	0.03301	+6.21%	0.0625	✗	0.71
2026-09-24	oos	0.03185	0.031696	-0.49%	0.03108	-2.42%	0.0172	✓	0.71
2026-09-23	oos	0.03132	0.031157	-0.52%	0.03185	+1.69%	0.0219	✗	0.71
2026-09-22	oos	0.03238	0.032222	-0.49%	0.03132	-3.27%	0.0133	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.03329	0.033061	-0.69%	0.03238	-2.73%	0.0178	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.03005	0.029923	-0.42%	0.03329	+10.78%	0.0712	✗	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.030465	0.030338	-0.42%	0.03005	-1.36%	0.0090	✓	0.54
2026-09-18	oos	0.03017	0.030016	-0.51%	0.030465	+0.98%	0.0124	✗	0.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.02955	0.029443	-0.36%	0.03017	+2.10%	0.0080	✓	0.56
2026-09-16	oos	0.026595	0.026545	-0.19%	0.02955	+11.11%	0.1058	✗	0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.02647	0.026426	-0.17%	0.026595	+0.47%	0.0023	✗	0.56
2026-09-14	oos	0.028065	0.027992	-0.26%	0.02647	-5.68%	0.0393	✓	0.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.028855	0.028736	-0.41%	0.028065	-2.74%	0.0327	✓	0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.027755	0.0277	-0.20%	0.028855	+3.96%	0.0440	✗	0.52
2026-09-11	oos	0.027655	0.027606	-0.18%	0.027755	+0.36%	0.0050	✗	0.53
2026-09-10	oos	0.027375	0.027335	-0.15%	0.027655	+1.02%	0.0070	✗	0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.027995	0.027956	-0.14%	0.027375	-2.21%	0.0092	✓	0.52
2026-09-08	oos	0.028685	0.028642	-0.15%	0.027995	-2.41%	0.0217	✓	0.53
2026-09-07	oos	0.028545	0.028505	-0.14%	0.028685	+0.49%	0.0105	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.0296	0.029534	-0.22%	0.028545	-3.56%	0.0261	✓	0.51
2026-09-05	oos	0.02887	0.028826	-0.15%	0.0296	+2.53%	0.0233	✗	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	0.02792	0.027895	-0.09%	0.02887	+3.40%	0.0333	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.02751	0.027496	-0.05%	0.02792	+1.49%	0.0260	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.02683	0.026809	-0.08%	0.02751	+2.53%	0.0032	✓	0.58
2026-09-01	oos	0.02635	0.026333	-0.06%	0.02683	+1.82%	0.0194	✗	0.60
2026-08-31	oos	0.02667	0.026652	-0.07%	0.02635	-1.20%	0.0033	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.026865	0.026834	-0.12%	0.02667	-0.73%	0.0135	✓	0.64
2026-08-29	oos	0.028495	0.028445	-0.17%	0.026865	-5.72%	0.0527	✓	0.62
2026-08-28	oos	0.02863	0.028585	-0.16%	0.028495	-0.47%	0.0063	✓	0.62
2026-08-27	oos	0.02935	0.029319	-0.11%	0.02863	-2.45%	0.0049	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.02944	0.029392	-0.16%	0.02935	-0.31%	0.0111	✓	0.62
2026-08-25	oos	0.029235	0.029186	-0.17%	0.02944	+0.70%	0.0047	✗	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	0.02954	0.029486	-0.18%	0.029235	-1.03%	0.0049	✓	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	0.0306	0.030515	-0.28%	0.02954	-3.46%	0.0430	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.03004	0.029951	-0.30%	0.0306	+1.86%	0.0157	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.03165	0.031513	-0.43%	0.03004	-5.09%	0.0375	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.028925	0.028815	-0.38%	0.03165	+9.42%	0.0551	✗	0.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.02876	0.028614	-0.51%	0.028925	+0.57%	0.0212	✓	0.61
2026-08-18	oos	0.027425	0.027283	-0.52%	0.02876	+4.87%	0.0116	✗	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.02764	0.027503	-0.50%	0.027425	-0.78%	0.0047	✓	0.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.02939	0.029235	-0.53%	0.02764	-5.95%	0.0735	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.029835	0.029679	-0.52%	0.02939	-1.49%	0.0078	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.030775	0.030605	-0.55%	0.029835	-3.05%	0.0259	✓	0.67
2026-08-13	oos	0.03158	0.031399	-0.57%	0.030775	-2.55%	0.0152	✓	0.68
2026-08-12	oos	0.03271	0.032486	-0.69%	0.03158	-3.45%	0.0284	✓	0.70
2026-08-11	oos	0.032795	0.032528	-0.82%	0.03271	-0.26%	0.0069	✓	0.69
2026-08-10	oos	0.03063	0.030413	-0.71%	0.032795	+7.07%	0.0797	✗	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.029505	0.02932	-0.63%	0.03063	+3.81%	0.0547	✗	0.75
2026-08-08	oos	0.02922	0.028986	-0.80%	0.029505	+0.98%	0.0184	✗	0.75
2026-08-07	oos	0.02765	0.027504	-0.53%	0.02922	+5.68%	0.0603	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.02766	0.027513	-0.53%	0.02765	-0.04%	0.0023	✓	0.75
2026-08-05	oos	0.02612	0.025995	-0.48%	0.02766	+5.90%	0.0660	✗	0.76
2026-08-04	oos	0.0258	0.025675	-0.48%	0.02612	+1.24%	0.0109	✗	0.73
2026-08-03	oos	0.0264	0.026257	-0.54%	0.0258	-2.27%	0.0243	✓	0.74
2026-08-02	oos	0.02815	0.027978	-0.61%	0.0264	-6.22%	0.0577	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02865	0.028431	-0.76%	0.02815	-1.75%	0.0184	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.030795	0.030395	-1.30%	0.02865	-6.97%	0.0584	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	0.028555	0.028187	-1.29%	0.030795	+7.84%	0.1128	✗	0.82
2026-07-29	oos	0.02788	0.027521	-1.29%	0.028555	+2.42%	0.0271	✗	0.76
2026-07-28	oos	0.02588	0.025609	-1.05%	0.02788	+7.73%	0.0844	✗	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.02385	0.023767	-0.35%	0.02588	+8.51%	0.0833	✗	0.77
2026-07-26	oos	0.02539	0.025305	-0.34%	0.02385	-6.07%	0.0415	✓	0.69
2026-07-25	oos	0.025085	0.025	-0.34%	0.02539	+1.22%	0.0042	✗	0.70
2026-07-24	oos	0.025005	0.024926	-0.32%	0.025085	+0.32%	0.0041	✗	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02502	0.024945	-0.30%	0.025005	-0.06%	0.0127	✗	0.69
2026-07-22	oos	0.02577	0.025688	-0.32%	0.02502	-2.91%	0.0157	✓	0.67
2026-07-21	oos	0.02587	0.02578	-0.35%	0.02577	-0.39%	0.0040	✗	0.67
2026-07-20	oos	0.02543	0.025335	-0.37%	0.02587	+1.73%	0.0080	✗	0.65
2026-07-19	oos	0.025425	0.025348	-0.30%	0.02543	+0.02%	0.0022	✓	0.66
2026-07-18	oos	0.025895	0.025813	-0.32%	0.025425	-1.82%	0.0138	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.02588	0.0258	-0.31%	0.025895	+0.06%	0.0073	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.02601	0.02593	-0.31%	0.02588	-0.50%	0.0035	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.026465	0.02638	-0.32%	0.02601	-1.72%	0.0027	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.026635	0.026544	-0.34%	0.026465	-0.64%	0.0003	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.02615	0.026056	-0.36%	0.026635	+1.85%	0.0128	✓	0.81
2026-07-12	oos	0.02655	0.026455	-0.36%	0.02615	-1.51%	0.0075	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.02706	0.02697	-0.33%	0.02655	-1.88%	0.0152	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.02717	0.027078	-0.34%	0.02706	-0.40%	0.0045	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.027045	0.026952	-0.35%	0.02717	+0.46%	0.0059	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.02717	0.027075	-0.35%	0.027045	-0.46%	0.0151	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.027035	0.026944	-0.34%	0.02717	+0.50%	0.0247	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.0281	0.027997	-0.37%	0.027035	-3.79%	0.0251	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.028255	0.02815	-0.37%	0.0281	-0.55%	0.0079	✓	0.93
2026-07-04	oos	0.028715	0.028605	-0.38%	0.028255	-1.60%	0.0196	✓	0.93
2026-07-03	oos	0.02836	0.028255	-0.37%	0.028715	+1.25%	0.0081	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.02723	0.027142	-0.32%	0.02836	+4.15%	0.0291	✗	0.89
2026-07-01	oos	0.02689	0.026812	-0.29%	0.02723	+1.26%	0.0069	✓	0.89
2026-06-30	oos	0.02683	0.026753	-0.29%	0.02689	+0.22%	0.0168	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	0.028195	0.028092	-0.37%	0.02683	-4.84%	0.0216	✓	0.88
2026-06-28	oos	0.026935	0.026859	-0.28%	0.028195	+4.68%	0.0383	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.026725	0.026654	-0.27%	0.026935	+0.79%	0.0174	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.0271	0.027018	-0.30%	0.026725	-1.38%	0.0099	✓	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.02798	0.027888	-0.33%	0.0271	-3.15%	0.0331	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.02904	0.028912	-0.44%	0.02798	-3.65%	0.0140	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.027805	0.027713	-0.33%	0.02904	+4.44%	0.0718	✗	0.93
2026-06-22	oos	0.028205	0.02811	-0.34%	0.027805	-1.42%	0.0085	✗	0.94
2026-06-21	oos	0.028135	0.028048	-0.31%	0.028205	+0.25%	0.0051	✓	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.02852	0.028429	-0.32%	0.028135	-1.35%	0.0048	✗	0.98
2026-06-19	oos	0.02845	0.028362	-0.31%	0.02852	+0.25%	0.0055	✓	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.029555	0.029448	-0.36%	0.02845	-3.74%	0.0436	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.03039	0.030231	-0.52%	0.029555	-2.75%	0.0007	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.02945	0.029347	-0.35%	0.03039	+3.19%	0.0521	✗	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.029725	0.029608	-0.39%	0.02945	-0.93%	0.0050	✗	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.02911	0.029011	-0.34%	0.029725	+2.11%	0.0151	✗	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.0286	0.028516	-0.29%	0.02911	+1.78%	0.0007	✓	1.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.02849	0.028414	-0.27%	0.0286	+0.39%	0.0068	✓	0.95
2026-06-11	oos	0.02918	0.02908	-0.34%	0.02849	-2.36%	0.0201	✓	0.93
2026-06-10	oos	0.02848	0.028424	-0.20%	0.02918	+2.46%	0.0051	✓	0.93
2026-06-09	oos	0.026555	0.026561	+0.02%	0.02848	+7.25%	0.0733	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.02713	0.027126	-0.02%	0.026555	-2.12%	0.0012	✓	0.91
2026-06-07	oos	0.02696	0.026968	+0.03%	0.02713	+0.63%	0.0100	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.02595	0.026008	+0.22%	0.02696	+3.89%	0.0145	✗	1.28
2026-06-05	oos	0.0261	0.026161	+0.23%	0.02595	-0.57%	0.0042	✗	1.29
2026-06-04	oos	0.02754	0.027567	+0.10%	0.0261	-5.23%	0.0043	✓	1.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.02959	0.029596	+0.02%	0.02754	-6.93%	0.0685	✗	0.96
2026-06-02	oos	0.02908	0.029071	-0.03%	0.02959	+1.75%	0.0584	✗	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.0319	0.03182	-0.25%	0.02908	-8.84%	0.0349	✓	0.82
2026-05-31	oos	0.032075	0.031982	-0.29%	0.0319	-0.55%	0.0233	✗	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.031935	0.031854	-0.25%	0.032075	+0.44%	0.0090	✗	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.031555	0.03149	-0.21%	0.031935	+1.20%	0.0096	✗	0.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.031505	0.031445	-0.19%	0.031555	+0.16%	0.0051	✗	0.80
2026-05-27	oos	0.0323	0.032233	-0.21%	0.031505	-2.46%	0.0148	✓	0.74
2026-05-26	oos	0.03359	0.033501	-0.27%	0.0323	-3.84%	0.0219	✓	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.03456	0.034453	-0.31%	0.03359	-2.81%	0.0112	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.03348	0.033401	-0.24%	0.03456	+3.23%	0.0314	✗	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.0352	0.0351	-0.29%	0.03348	-4.89%	0.0506	✓	0.78
2026-05-22	oos	0.0342	0.03413	-0.20%	0.0352	+2.92%	0.0184	✗	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	0.03602	0.035913	-0.30%	0.0342	-5.05%	0.0278	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.035705	0.035614	-0.25%	0.03602	+0.88%	0.0106	✗	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.035315	0.035248	-0.19%	0.035705	+1.10%	0.0057	✗	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	0.03621	0.036137	-0.20%	0.035315	-2.47%	0.0212	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.03628	0.036208	-0.20%	0.03621	-0.19%	0.0049	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.035815	0.035756	-0.17%	0.03628	+1.30%	0.0219	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.03699	0.036915	-0.20%	0.035815	-3.18%	0.0202	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.03854	0.038449	-0.23%	0.03699	-4.02%	0.0180	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.03832	0.03823	-0.23%	0.03854	+0.57%	0.0074	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.040305	0.040191	-0.28%	0.03832	-4.92%	0.0369	✓	0.72
2026-05-11	oos	0.04214	0.042002	-0.33%	0.040305	-4.35%	0.0309	✓	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.04214	0.042006	-0.32%	0.04214	+0.00%	0.0071	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.041	0.040881	-0.29%	0.04214	+2.78%	0.0178	✗	0.66
2026-05-08	oos	0.04174	0.041602	-0.33%	0.041	-1.77%	0.0184	✓	0.66
2026-05-07	oos	0.041645	0.041501	-0.35%	0.04174	+0.23%	0.0042	✗	0.68
2026-05-06	oos	0.04017	0.040062	-0.27%	0.041645	+3.67%	0.0556	✗	0.95
2026-05-05	oos	0.0402	0.040084	-0.29%	0.04017	-0.07%	0.0037	✓	0.89
2026-05-04	oos	0.04096	0.040817	-0.35%	0.0402	-1.86%	0.0270	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.0417	0.041533	-0.40%	0.04096	-1.77%	0.0288	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04207	0.041896	-0.41%	0.0417	-0.88%	0.0033	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.04252	0.042309	-0.50%	0.04207	-1.06%	0.0109	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.044155	0.043735	-0.95%	0.04252	-3.70%	0.0523	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.04066	0.040454	-0.51%	0.044155	+8.60%	0.0806	✗	0.96
2026-04-28	oos	0.04214	0.04181	-0.78%	0.04066	-3.51%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03822	0.038081	-0.36%	0.04214	+10.26%	0.1151	✗	1.01
2026-04-26	oos	0.03923	0.039084	-0.37%	0.03822	-2.57%	0.0053	✓	1.02
2026-04-25	oos	0.040545	0.040363	-0.45%	0.03923	-3.24%	0.0419	✓	1.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.039045	0.038889	-0.40%	0.040545	+3.84%	0.0392	✗	1.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.03834	0.038195	-0.38%	0.039045	+1.84%	0.0330	✗	1.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.03829	0.03812	-0.44%	0.03834	+0.13%	0.0048	✗	1.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.03864	0.03841	-0.60%	0.03829	-0.91%	0.0285	✓	1.05
2026-04-20	oos	0.03701	0.036839	-0.46%	0.03864	+4.40%	0.0411	✗	1.05
2026-04-19	oos	0.03353	0.033414	-0.35%	0.03701	+10.38%	0.0740	✗	1.03
2026-04-18	oos	0.035945	0.035805	-0.39%	0.03353	-6.72%	0.0394	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.03705	0.036876	-0.47%	0.035945	-2.98%	0.0073	✓	1.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.036985	0.036772	-0.58%	0.03705	+0.18%	0.0186	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.03524	0.035078	-0.46%	0.036985	+4.95%	0.0485	✗	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.03429	0.034105	-0.54%	0.03524	+2.77%	0.0238	✗	1.02
2026-04-13	oos	0.03428	0.034063	-0.63%	0.03429	+0.03%	0.0103	✗	1.01
2026-04-12	oos	0.0308	0.030675	-0.40%	0.03428	+11.30%	0.0625	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.03191	0.031786	-0.39%	0.0308	-3.48%	0.0002	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.032635	0.032489	-0.45%	0.03191	-2.22%	0.0191	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.03269	0.032503	-0.57%	0.032635	-0.17%	0.0118	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.032375	0.032194	-0.56%	0.03269	+0.97%	0.0058	✗	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03209	0.031918	-0.54%	0.032375	+0.89%	0.0252	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.03091	0.030719	-0.62%	0.03209	+3.82%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-04-05	oos	0.03084	0.030652	-0.61%	0.03091	+0.23%	0.0105	✗	0.97
2026-04-04	oos	0.03185	0.031628	-0.70%	0.03084	-3.17%	0.0499	✓	0.98
2026-04-03	oos	0.03024	0.030045	-0.64%	0.03185	+5.32%	0.0535	✗	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.02956	0.029376	-0.62%	0.03024	+2.30%	0.0280	✗	0.98
2026-04-01	oos	0.02958	0.029415	-0.56%	0.02956	-0.07%	0.0222	✗	0.96
2026-03-31	oos	0.02998	0.029816	-0.55%	0.02958	-1.33%	0.0064	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.028605	0.028457	-0.52%	0.02998	+4.81%	0.0305	✗	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.02847	0.028332	-0.48%	0.028605	+0.47%	0.0020	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.02947	0.029336	-0.45%	0.02847	-3.39%	0.0245	✓	0.99
2026-03-27	oos	0.03062	0.030487	-0.43%	0.02947	-3.76%	0.0334	✓	0.99
2026-03-26	oos	0.0315	0.031371	-0.41%	0.03062	-2.79%	0.0108	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.0325	0.032383	-0.36%	0.0315	-3.08%	0.0082	✗	0.99
2026-03-24	oos	0.0315	0.031399	-0.32%	0.0325	+3.17%	0.0238	✗	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.034	0.033865	-0.40%	0.0315	-7.35%	0.0677	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.032	0.031899	-0.32%	0.034	+6.25%	0.0217	✗	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.0295	0.029426	-0.25%	0.032	+8.47%	0.0992	✗	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.0305	0.030432	-0.22%	0.0295	-3.28%	0.0088	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0315	0.031433	-0.21%	0.0305	-3.17%	0.0382	✓	0.99
2026-03-18	oos	0.031	0.03094	-0.19%	0.0315	+1.61%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-03-17	oos	0.035	0.034923	-0.22%	0.031	-11.43%	0.0831	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.039	0.038848	-0.39%	0.035	-10.26%	0.0919	✓	0.97
2026-03-15	oos	0.0405	0.040334	-0.41%	0.039	-3.70%	0.0611	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.044	0.043829	-0.39%	0.0405	-7.95%	0.1014	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.0505	0.050188	-0.62%	0.044	-12.87%	0.1357	✓	1.02
2026-03-12	oos	0.0535	0.053015	-0.91%	0.0505	-5.61%	0.0546	✓	1.03
2026-03-11	oos	0.0575	0.056633	-1.51%	0.0535	-6.96%	0.0617	✓	1.04
2026-03-10	oos	0.065	0.063336	-2.56%	0.0575	-11.54%	0.1004	✓	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.0515	0.050786	-1.39%	0.065	+26.21%	0.2252	✗	0.98
2026-03-08	oos	0.0395	0.039386	-0.29%	0.0515	+30.38%	0.2364	✗	0.87
2026-03-07	oos	0.042	0.041771	-0.55%	0.0395	-5.95%	0.0392	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.046	0.045489	-1.11%	0.042	-8.70%	0.0691	✓	0.85
2026-03-05	oos	0.0345	0.034463	-0.11%	0.046	+33.33%	0.3292	✗	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.035	0.034958	-0.12%	0.0345	-1.43%	0.0123	✗	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.036	0.035963	-0.10%	0.035	-2.78%	0.0938	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.035	0.034971	-0.08%	0.036	+2.86%	0.0369	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0355	0.035477	-0.07%	0.035	-1.41%	0.0648	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.039	0.038942	-0.15%	0.0355	-8.97%	0.0726	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.039	0.038932	-0.18%	0.039	+0.00%	0.0167	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.0365	0.036473	-0.07%	0.039	+6.85%	0.0948	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.037	0.036972	-0.08%	0.0365	-1.35%	0.0044	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.0345	0.034514	+0.04%	0.037	+7.25%	0.0029	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.0345	0.034512	+0.03%	0.0345	+0.00%	0.0093	✓	1.12
2026-02-22	oos	0.0365	0.036487	-0.04%	0.0345	-5.48%	0.0053	✓	1.12
2026-02-21	oos	0.0385	0.038475	-0.07%	0.0365	-5.19%	0.0471	✓	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.0385	0.038474	-0.07%	0.0385	+0.00%	0.0011	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0355	0.035508	+0.02%	0.0385	+8.45%	0.0646	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.0365	0.036513	+0.04%	0.0355	-2.74%	0.0372	✗	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.0395	0.039493	-0.02%	0.0365	-7.59%	0.0624	✓	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.0405	0.040486	-0.03%	0.0395	-2.47%	0.0033	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0425	0.042484	-0.04%	0.0405	-4.71%	0.0488	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.045	0.044957	-0.10%	0.0425	-5.56%	0.0412	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.044	0.043971	-0.07%	0.045	+2.27%	0.0085	✗	1.04
2026-02-12	oos	0.05	0.049982	-0.04%	0.044	-12.00%	0.1712	✓	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.0575	0.057353	-0.26%	0.05	-13.04%	0.1238	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.056	0.055878	-0.22%	0.0575	+2.68%	0.0577	✗	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.057	0.05679	-0.37%	0.056	-1.75%	0.0068	✗	1.11
2026-02-08	oos	0.053	0.052985	-0.03%	0.057	+7.55%	0.0758	✗	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.0525	0.052522	+0.04%	0.053	+0.95%	0.0074	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.055	0.054954	-0.08%	0.0525	-4.55%	0.0256	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.045	0.04527	+0.60%	0.055	+22.22%	0.0872	✓	0.92
2026-02-04	oos	0.0505	0.05065	+0.30%	0.045	-10.89%	0.0550	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.053	0.053074	+0.14%	0.0505	-4.72%	0.0087	✗	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	0.0555	0.055619	+0.22%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0030	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.0555	0.055694	+0.35%	0.0555	+0.00%	0.0293	✗	1.13
2026-01-31	oos	0.0605	0.060609	+0.18%	0.0555	-8.26%	0.0622	✗	1.15
2026-01-30	oos	0.067	0.066836	-0.24%	0.0605	-9.70%	0.0238	✓	1.13
2026-01-29	oos	0.064	0.06392	-0.13%	0.067	+4.69%	0.0525	✗	1.14
2026-01-28	oos	0.073	0.072748	-0.35%	0.064	-12.33%	0.0715	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.077	0.076735	-0.34%	0.073	-5.19%	0.0504	✓	1.06
2026-01-26	oos	0.0755	0.075284	-0.29%	0.077	+1.99%	0.0124	✗	1.04
2026-01-25	oos	0.074	0.073809	-0.26%	0.0755	+2.03%	0.0028	✗	1.03
2026-01-24	oos	0.082	0.08176	-0.29%	0.074	-9.76%	0.0715	✓	0.98
2026-01-23	oos	0.0835	0.083248	-0.30%	0.082	-1.80%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.082	0.081745	-0.31%	0.0835	+1.83%	0.0211	✗	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.086	0.085741	-0.30%	0.082	-4.65%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.086	0.085777	-0.26%	0.086	+0.00%	0.0094	✓	1.01
2026-01-19	oos	0.093	0.09273	-0.29%	0.086	-7.53%	0.0293	✓	0.98
2026-01-18	oos	0.098	0.097667	-0.34%	0.093	-5.10%	0.0378	✓	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0995	0.099161	-0.34%	0.098	-1.51%	0.0034	✓	0.97
2026-01-16	oos	0.098	0.097695	-0.31%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0224	✗	0.98
2026-01-15	oos	0.101	0.100646	-0.35%	0.098	-2.97%	0.0258	✓	0.98
2026-01-14	oos	0.099	0.098643	-0.36%	0.101	+2.02%	0.0378	✗	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	0.099	0.098618	-0.39%	0.099	+0.00%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.099	0.098587	-0.42%	0.099	+0.00%	0.0434	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.091	0.090715	-0.31%	0.099	+8.79%	0.0838	✗	1.04
2026-01-10	oos	0.103	0.102653	-0.34%	0.091	-11.65%	0.1264	✓	1.07
2026-01-09	oos	0.1025	0.10216	-0.33%	0.103	+0.49%	0.0100	✗	1.13
2026-01-08	oos	0.099	0.098681	-0.32%	0.1025	+3.54%	0.0441	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.105	0.104627	-0.35%	0.099	-5.71%	0.0511	✓	1.52
2026-01-06	oos	0.114	0.113524	-0.42%	0.105	-7.89%	0.0385	✓	1.50
2026-01-05	oos	0.109	0.108568	-0.40%	0.114	+4.59%	0.0512	✗	1.51
2026-01-04	oos	0.107	0.106614	-0.36%	0.109	+1.87%	0.0169	✓	1.52
2026-01-03	oos	0.112	0.111579	-0.38%	0.107	-4.46%	0.0571	✓	1.54
2026-01-02	oos	0.105	0.104664	-0.32%	0.112	+6.67%	0.0569	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.117	0.116633	-0.31%	0.105	-10.26%	0.1265	✓	1.57
2025-12-31	oos	0.106	0.105754	-0.23%	0.117	+10.38%	0.0795	✗	1.53
2025-12-30	oos	0.131	0.130605	-0.30%	0.106	-19.08%	0.1934	✓	1.50
2025-12-29	oos	0.129	0.128616	-0.30%	0.131	+1.55%	0.0038	✓	1.51
2025-12-28	oos	0.137	0.136429	-0.42%	0.129	-5.84%	0.0428	✓	1.51
2025-12-27	oos	0.1505	0.149632	-0.58%	0.137	-8.97%	0.0894	✓	1.50
2025-12-26	oos	0.1725	0.171994	-0.29%	0.1505	-12.75%	0.1424	✓	1.52
2025-12-25	oos	0.1705	0.170006	-0.29%	0.1725	+1.17%	0.0124	✗	1.52
2025-12-24	oos	0.1715	0.170983	-0.30%	0.1705	-0.58%	0.0048	✗	1.53
2025-12-23	oos	0.1685	0.168113	-0.23%	0.1715	+1.78%	0.0168	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.17	0.169568	-0.25%	0.1685	-0.88%	0.0132	✗	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.1725	0.172104	-0.23%	0.17	-1.45%	0.0109	✓	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.1765	0.176104	-0.22%	0.1725	-2.27%	0.0262	✓	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.1765	0.176119	-0.22%	0.1765	+0.00%	0.0019	✓	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.171	0.17072	-0.16%	0.1765	+3.22%	0.0137	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.1765	0.176171	-0.19%	0.171	-3.12%	0.0162	✓	1.55
2025-12-16	oos	0.188	0.187547	-0.24%	0.1765	-6.12%	0.0315	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.1875	0.187065	-0.23%	0.188	+0.27%	0.0206	✓	1.55
2025-12-14	oos	0.1895	0.18904	-0.24%	0.1875	-1.06%	0.0232	✗	1.56
2025-12-13	oos	0.198	0.19744	-0.28%	0.1895	-4.29%	0.0047	✓	1.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.197	0.19644	-0.28%	0.198	+0.51%	0.0083	✗	1.56
2025-12-11	oos	0.209	0.208255	-0.36%	0.197	-5.74%	0.0172	✓	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.2165	0.215709	-0.37%	0.209	-3.46%	0.0401	✓	1.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.2225	0.221661	-0.38%	0.2165	-2.70%	0.0126	✓	1.55
2025-12-08	oos	0.212	0.211325	-0.32%	0.2225	+4.95%	0.0173	✗	1.54
2025-12-07	oos	0.214	0.213268	-0.34%	0.212	-0.93%	0.0102	✓	1.54
2025-12-06	oos	0.219	0.218278	-0.33%	0.214	-2.28%	0.0394	✓	1.56
2025-12-05	oos	0.219	0.21832	-0.31%	0.219	+0.00%	0.0045	✗	1.55
2025-12-04	oos	0.228	0.227183	-0.36%	0.219	-3.95%	0.0105	✗	1.56
2025-12-03	oos	0.235	0.234114	-0.38%	0.228	-2.98%	0.0036	✓	1.56
2025-12-02	oos	0.2265	0.225747	-0.33%	0.235	+3.75%	0.0039	✗	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.216	0.215425	-0.27%	0.2265	+4.86%	0.0417	✓	1.62
2025-11-30	oos	0.2275	0.226747	-0.33%	0.216	-5.05%	0.0277	✗	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.2305	0.229703	-0.35%	0.2275	-1.30%	0.0014	✓	1.62
2025-11-28	oos	0.2345	0.233698	-0.34%	0.2305	-1.71%	0.0125	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.2355	0.234778	-0.31%	0.2345	-0.42%	0.0062	✗	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.2355	0.234818	-0.29%	0.2355	+0.00%	0.0125	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.2335	0.232905	-0.25%	0.2355	+0.86%	0.0503	✓	1.74
2025-11-24	oos	0.2335	0.232821	-0.29%	0.2335	+0.00%	0.0216	✗	1.74
2025-11-23	oos	0.234	0.233441	-0.24%	0.2335	-0.21%	0.0291	✓	1.76
2025-11-22	oos	0.2375	0.237011	-0.21%	0.234	-1.47%	0.0580	✓	1.82
2025-11-21	oos	0.238	0.237569	-0.18%	0.2375	-0.21%	0.0079	✗	1.82
2025-11-20	oos	0.255	0.254249	-0.29%	0.238	-6.67%	0.0353	✓	1.80
2025-11-19	oos	0.2595	0.258569	-0.36%	0.255	-1.73%	0.0942	✗	1.95
2025-11-18	oos	0.2625	0.26158	-0.35%	0.2595	-1.14%	0.0228	✗	1.95
2025-11-17	oos	0.252	0.25113	-0.35%	0.2625	+4.17%	0.0271	✗	1.95
2025-11-16	oos	0.2565	0.255655	-0.33%	0.252	-1.75%	0.0293	✗	1.96
2025-11-15	oos	0.2635	0.26257	-0.35%	0.2565	-2.66%	0.0047	✗	1.96
2025-11-14	oos	0.256	0.255171	-0.32%	0.2635	+2.93%	0.0107	✗	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.264	0.262925	-0.41%	0.256	-3.03%	0.0823	✗	2.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.268	0.266845	-0.43%	0.264	-1.49%	0.0312	✗	2.08
2025-11-11	oos	0.274	0.27271	-0.47%	0.268	-2.19%	0.0104	✗	2.08
2025-11-10	oos	0.284	0.282328	-0.59%	0.274	-3.52%	0.0298	✗	2.10
2025-11-09	oos	0.28	0.278105	-0.68%	0.284	+1.43%	0.0049	✓	2.12
2025-11-08	oos	0.286	0.283119	-1.01%	0.28	-2.10%	0.0617	✓	2.17
2025-11-07	oos	0.279	0.276422	-0.92%	0.286	+2.51%	0.0550	✗	2.15
2025-11-06	oos	0.236	0.235333	-0.28%	0.279	+18.22%	0.1297	✗	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.241	0.240226	-0.32%	0.236	-2.07%	0.0349	✗	2.10
2025-11-04	oos	0.235	0.234392	-0.26%	0.241	+2.55%	0.0215	✓	2.11
2025-11-03	oos	0.243	0.242211	-0.32%	0.235	-3.29%	0.0780	✗	2.21
2025-11-02	oos	0.269	0.267912	-0.40%	0.243	-9.67%	0.0172	✓	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.2665	0.265486	-0.38%	0.269	+0.94%	0.0035	✓	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.26	0.259061	-0.36%	0.2665	+2.50%	0.0184	✗	2.19
2025-10-30	oos	0.259	0.258046	-0.37%	0.26	+0.39%	0.0176	✓	2.19
2025-10-29	oos	0.269	0.267788	-0.45%	0.259	-3.72%	0.0011	✓	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.27	0.26894	-0.39%	0.269	-0.37%	0.0577	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.2735	0.272397	-0.40%	0.27	-1.28%	0.0144	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.282	0.280783	-0.43%	0.2735	-3.01%	0.0173	✓	2.23
2025-10-25	oos	0.271	0.269849	-0.42%	0.282	+4.06%	0.0135	✓	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.276	0.274888	-0.40%	0.271	-1.81%	0.0269	✓	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.274	0.272916	-0.40%	0.276	+0.73%	0.0078	✓	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.2695	0.268522	-0.36%	0.274	+1.67%	0.0330	✓	2.29
2025-10-21	oos	0.27	0.269039	-0.36%	0.2695	-0.19%	0.0182	✗	2.29
2025-10-20	oos	0.2765	0.275431	-0.39%	0.27	-2.35%	0.0270	✗	2.33
2025-10-19	oos	0.2755	0.274562	-0.34%	0.2765	+0.36%	0.0327	✓	2.30
2025-10-18	oos	0.27	0.269219	-0.29%	0.2755	+2.04%	0.0083	✓	2.30
2025-10-17	oos	0.2685	0.267861	-0.24%	0.27	+0.56%	0.0081	✓	2.30
2025-10-16	oos	0.2745	0.273819	-0.25%	0.2685	-2.19%	0.0177	✗	2.31
2025-10-15	oos	0.285	0.284212	-0.28%	0.2745	-3.68%	0.0203	✗	2.31
2025-10-14	oos	0.2995	0.298645	-0.29%	0.285	-4.84%	0.0000	✓	2.31
2025-10-13	oos	0.3065	0.305642	-0.28%	0.2995	-2.28%	0.0247	✗	2.33
2025-10-12	oos	0.2935	0.292766	-0.25%	0.3065	+4.43%	0.0418	✗	2.28
2025-10-11	oos	0.27	0.269422	-0.21%	0.2935	+8.70%	0.0012	✓	2.28
2025-10-10	oos	0.255	0.254597	-0.16%	0.27	+5.88%	0.1054	✗	2.35
2025-10-09	oos	0.3585	0.357572	-0.26%	0.255	-28.87%	0.2059	✓	1.78
2025-10-08	oos	0.3715	0.370389	-0.30%	0.3585	-3.50%	0.0092	✓	1.76
2025-10-07	oos	0.358	0.35703	-0.27%	0.3715	+3.77%	0.0122	✗	1.73
2025-10-06	oos	0.3795	0.378436	-0.28%	0.358	-5.67%	0.0087	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.371	0.369967	-0.28%	0.3795	+2.29%	0.0087	✗	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.3725	0.371359	-0.31%	0.371	-0.40%	0.0159	✓	1.73
2025-10-03	oos	0.3835	0.382134	-0.36%	0.3725	-2.87%	0.0275	✓	1.73
2025-10-02	oos	0.38	0.378405	-0.42%	0.3835	+0.92%	0.0109	✓	1.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3725	0.370899	-0.43%	0.38	+2.01%	0.0046	✓	1.76
2025-09-30	oos	0.3495	0.348276	-0.35%	0.3725	+6.58%	0.0024	✓	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.3535	0.352247	-0.35%	0.3495	-1.13%	0.0031	✓	1.80
2025-09-28	oos	0.3555	0.354149	-0.38%	0.3535	-0.56%	0.0372	✓	1.85
2025-09-27	oos	0.3485	0.347265	-0.35%	0.3555	+2.01%	0.0192	✓	1.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.353	0.351723	-0.36%	0.3485	-1.27%	0.0089	✓	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.339	0.337878	-0.33%	0.353	+4.13%	0.0324	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.3585	0.357097	-0.39%	0.339	-5.44%	0.0221	✗	1.91
2025-09-23	oos	0.3575	0.356111	-0.39%	0.3585	+0.28%	0.0161	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.3615	0.360055	-0.40%	0.3575	-1.11%	0.0051	✗	1.91
2025-09-21	oos	0.3895	0.387767	-0.45%	0.3615	-7.19%	0.0285	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.397	0.395177	-0.46%	0.3895	-1.89%	0.0069	✓	1.87
2025-09-19	oos	0.3985	0.396509	-0.50%	0.397	-0.38%	0.0002	✓	1.89
2025-09-18	oos	0.419	0.416797	-0.53%	0.3985	-4.89%	0.0218	✓	1.88
2025-09-17	oos	0.411	0.408854	-0.52%	0.419	+1.95%	0.0143	✗	1.88

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.