BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 486

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

161

of 162 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0618

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005526	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005628	-0.39%	0.005555	-1.68%	0.0111	✓	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005736	-0.33%	0.00565	-1.82%	0.0239	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.005981	-0.32%	0.005755	-4.08%	0.0371	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006771	-0.35%	0.006	-11.70%	0.1262	✓	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.00718	-0.35%	0.006795	-5.69%	0.0541	✓	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.00726	-0.35%	0.007205	-1.10%	0.0021	✓	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008176	-0.41%	0.007285	-11.27%	0.1204	✓	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008564	-0.42%	0.00821	-4.53%	0.0266	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010311	-0.66%	0.0086	-17.15%	0.1970	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009808	-0.47%	0.01038	+5.33%	0.0703	✗	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009853	-0.48%	0.009855	-0.45%	0.0037	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009329	-0.44%	0.0099	+5.66%	0.0576	✗	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009594	-0.48%	0.00937	-2.80%	0.0277	✓	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.011107	-0.57%	0.00964	-13.70%	0.1353	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010928	-0.43%	0.01117	+1.78%	0.0318	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011397	-0.46%	0.010975	-4.15%	0.0368	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011239	-0.45%	0.01145	+1.42%	0.0222	✗	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.011026	-0.49%	0.01129	+1.90%	0.0153	✗	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.010995	-0.49%	0.01108	+0.27%	0.0065	✗	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.01148	-0.48%	0.01105	-4.20%	0.0365	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011508	-0.49%	0.011535	-0.26%	0.0035	✓	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011347	-0.46%	0.011565	+1.45%	0.0194	✗	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011429	-0.45%	0.0114	-0.70%	0.0034	✓	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012381	-0.48%	0.01148	-7.72%	0.0692	✓	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013118	-0.51%	0.01244	-5.65%	0.0534	✓	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013201	-0.52%	0.013185	-0.64%	0.0032	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013457	-0.54%	0.01327	-1.92%	0.0121	✓	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012233	-0.39%	0.01353	+10.18%	0.1008	✗	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.013951	-0.49%	0.01228	-12.41%	0.1166	✓	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013879	-0.44%	0.01402	+0.57%	0.0129	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013678	-0.52%	0.01394	+1.38%	0.0234	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.014189	-0.57%	0.01375	-3.64%	0.0309	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.013963	-0.58%	0.01427	+1.60%	0.0190	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013745	-0.61%	0.014045	+1.55%	0.0136	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012778	-0.56%	0.01383	+7.63%	0.0776	✗	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012414	-0.53%	0.01285	+2.96%	0.0302	✗	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012618	-0.45%	0.01248	-1.54%	0.0097	✗	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.012599	-0.40%	0.012675	+0.20%	0.0049	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013322	-0.40%	0.01265	-5.42%	0.0482	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.013965	-0.39%	0.013375	-4.60%	0.0436	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012592	-0.26%	0.01402	+11.05%	0.1024	✗	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013355	-0.26%	0.012625	-5.71%	0.0436	✓	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.01441	-0.24%	0.01339	-7.30%	0.0721	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015127	-0.22%	0.014445	-4.72%	0.0408	✓	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.015257	-0.15%	0.01516	-0.79%	0.0035	✗	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.015489	-0.14%	0.01528	-1.48%	0.0176	✓	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015622	-0.12%	0.01551	-0.83%	0.0085	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.016685	-0.09%	0.01564	-6.35%	0.0522	✓	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016396	-0.14%	0.0167	+1.71%	0.0133	✓	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.01821	-0.17%	0.01642	-9.98%	0.1027	✓	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019272	-0.15%	0.01824	-5.49%	0.0473	✓	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.018772	-0.15%	0.0193	+2.66%	0.0214	✗	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.019735	-0.15%	0.0188	-4.88%	0.0453	✓	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020157	-0.17%	0.019765	-2.11%	0.0218	✓	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020288	-0.16%	0.02019	-0.64%	0.0094	✗	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020132	-0.19%	0.02032	+0.74%	0.0019	✗	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019459	-0.16%	0.02017	+3.49%	0.0331	✗	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020406	-0.19%	0.01949	-4.67%	0.0431	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021089	-0.24%	0.020445	-3.29%	0.0387	✓	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020704	-0.22%	0.02114	+1.88%	0.0169	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.021339	-0.19%	0.02075	-2.95%	0.0203	✓	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019866	-0.22%	0.02138	+7.38%	0.0446	✗	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.020017	-0.31%	0.01991	-0.85%	0.0209	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019237	-0.33%	0.02008	+4.04%	0.0289	✗	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.020101	-0.34%	0.0193	-4.31%	0.0410	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.020249	-0.35%	0.02017	-0.74%	0.0065	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020886	-0.35%	0.02032	-3.05%	0.0272	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021551	-0.37%	0.02096	-3.10%	0.0279	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022905	-0.41%	0.02163	-5.96%	0.0564	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.02299	-0.41%	0.023	-0.37%	0.0004	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024861	-0.51%	0.023085	-7.62%	0.0734	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.025036	-0.53%	0.02499	-0.72%	0.0004	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024396	-0.50%	0.02517	+2.65%	0.0350	✗	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024816	-0.50%	0.02452	-1.68%	0.0118	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024011	-0.45%	0.02494	+3.40%	0.0379	✗	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023802	-0.45%	0.02412	+0.88%	0.0105	✗	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.023967	-0.47%	0.02391	-0.71%	0.0006	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023005	-0.43%	0.02408	+4.22%	0.0428	✗	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.023136	-0.45%	0.023105	-0.58%	0.0060	✓	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023786	-0.47%	0.02324	-2.76%	0.0230	✓	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024333	-0.52%	0.0239	-2.29%	0.0233	✓	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.023731	-0.50%	0.02446	+2.56%	0.0307	✗	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.024001	-0.53%	0.02385	-1.16%	0.0075	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.023271	-0.51%	0.02413	+3.16%	0.0305	✗	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.023614	-0.53%	0.02339	-1.47%	0.0099	✓	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022513	-0.47%	0.02374	+4.95%	0.0520	✗	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.024933	-0.59%	0.02262	-9.81%	0.0879	✓	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.02649	-0.64%	0.02508	-5.93%	0.0614	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028482	-0.83%	0.02666	-7.17%	0.0675	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.031022	-1.20%	0.02872	-8.54%	0.0712	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.02473	-0.56%	0.0314	+26.26%	0.2468	✗	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025332	-0.58%	0.02487	-2.39%	0.0151	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023919	-0.46%	0.02548	+6.03%	0.0541	✗	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.025038	-0.52%	0.02403	-4.53%	0.0450	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.025024	-0.46%	0.02517	+0.12%	0.0067	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023169	-0.30%	0.02514	+8.18%	0.0756	✗	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026469	-0.42%	0.02324	-12.57%	0.1310	✓	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.03395	-0.79%	0.02658	-22.33%	0.2397	✓	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041032	-1.17%	0.03422	-17.58%	0.1801	✓	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.058294	-2.49%	0.04152	-30.55%	0.3846	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.048596	-1.77%	0.05978	+20.84%	0.2360	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.04058	-0.81%	0.04947	+20.92%	0.1987	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.038981	-0.74%	0.04091	+4.18%	0.0551	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037599	-0.58%	0.03927	+3.83%	0.0255	✗	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037357	-0.51%	0.03782	+0.72%	0.0058	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.03967	-0.63%	0.03755	-5.94%	0.0344	✓	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042521	-0.86%	0.03992	-6.92%	0.0507	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.042207	-0.62%	0.04289	+0.99%	0.0084	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.041088	-0.48%	0.04247	+2.87%	0.0240	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.040978	-0.39%	0.041285	+0.35%	0.0030	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.044935	-0.50%	0.04114	-8.90%	0.1095	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.043228	-0.28%	0.04516	+4.18%	0.0120	✗	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.044414	-0.22%	0.04335	-2.61%	0.0571	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.054541	-0.87%	0.04451	-19.10%	0.1715	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.043945	-0.06%	0.05502	+25.13%	0.2135	✗	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039168	+0.20%	0.04397	+12.48%	0.1233	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.040996	+0.21%	0.03909	-4.45%	0.0465	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.04144	+0.27%	0.04091	-1.02%	0.0179	✗	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.045097	+0.15%	0.04133	-8.22%	0.0670	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.05068	-0.08%	0.04503	-11.22%	0.0956	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.055943	-0.32%	0.05072	-9.63%	0.0823	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.05766	-0.31%	0.056125	-2.97%	0.0360	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.056022	-0.23%	0.05784	+3.01%	0.0447	✗	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.058515	-0.25%	0.05615	-4.28%	0.0516	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063477	-0.38%	0.05866	-7.94%	0.0880	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.065863	-0.54%	0.06372	-3.78%	0.0101	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067476	-0.65%	0.06622	-2.50%	0.0023	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.069807	-0.74%	0.06792	-3.43%	0.0183	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.07318	-0.84%	0.07033	-4.70%	0.0480	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072459	-0.71%	0.0738	+1.12%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.072912	-0.66%	0.07298	-0.57%	0.0136	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.069297	-0.49%	0.0734	+5.40%	0.0579	✗	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.063019	-0.13%	0.06964	+10.36%	0.0698	✗	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070373	-0.32%	0.0631	-10.62%	0.1055	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.069604	-0.31%	0.0706	+1.12%	0.0348	✗	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.074044	-0.41%	0.06982	-6.09%	0.0551	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.072088	-0.18%	0.07435	+2.95%	0.0111	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.069941	-0.08%	0.07222	+3.17%	0.0352	✗	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.073427	-0.26%	0.07	-4.92%	0.0047	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.086133	-0.63%	0.07362	-15.07%	0.1532	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.081282	-0.61%	0.08668	+5.99%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.087531	-1.14%	0.08178	-7.63%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.079778	-0.88%	0.08854	+10.00%	0.1354	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.07312	-0.68%	0.08049	+9.33%	0.0987	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.070116	-0.63%	0.07362	+4.34%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.083165	-0.92%	0.07056	-15.94%	0.1624	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.078291	-0.85%	0.08394	+6.31%	0.0805	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.089828	-1.07%	0.07896	-13.04%	0.1088	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.087975	-1.02%	0.0908	+2.16%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.110921	-1.55%	0.08888	-21.11%	0.2251	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.096484	-1.26%	0.11267	+15.30%	0.1508	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.086956	-1.12%	0.09772	+11.12%	0.1008	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.075219	-1.03%	0.08794	+15.71%	0.1838	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.084991	-1.06%	0.076	-11.53%	0.1127	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.110647	-1.15%	0.0859	-23.26%	0.2623	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.149868	-1.53%	0.11193	-26.46%	0.2896	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.154113	-1.62%	0.1522	-2.84%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.141293	-1.39%	0.15665	+9.33%	0.1122	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.170904	-1.67%	0.14328	-17.56%	0.1642	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.203489	-2.38%	0.1738	-16.62%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.178946	-2.27%	0.20844	+13.84%	0.1302	✗	1.00