BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s8
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
63.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1072
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0092
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011924 | -1.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011584 | -1.16% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0488 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012121 | -1.26% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012745 | -1.43% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012585 | -1.41% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012781 | -1.50% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012701 | -1.54% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012429 | -1.40% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.01333 | -1.73% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.012971 | -1.54% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016193 | -3.50% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1456 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.01284 | -1.16% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2449 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011279 | -0.41% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1304 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011423 | -0.32% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0341 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012847 | -0.79% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0685 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011706 | -0.46% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1738 | ✗ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012805 | -0.74% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0786 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012937 | -0.79% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0211 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013299 | -0.50% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0772 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011104 | +0.21% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1776 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011915 | +0.12% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0614 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012307 | +0.18% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0768 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013712 | -0.02% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014654 | -0.14% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0723 | ✓ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015853 | -0.42% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016088 | -0.41% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016765 | -0.50% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018365 | -0.84% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0765 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018595 | -0.83% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017201 | -0.57% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019318 | -0.96% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017414 | -0.26% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018868 | -0.41% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022139 | -0.85% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.016919 | -0.07% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.01633 | -0.15% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.02024 | -0.27% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021248 | -0.43% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021541 | -0.48% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022669 | -0.60% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021195 | -0.59% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0725 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.031438 | -0.68% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.3971 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031823 | -0.58% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038674 | -0.84% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1870 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042545 | -0.95% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054691 | -1.63% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.075083 | -3.52% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.3067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055286 | -3.01% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045121 | -2.97% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2534 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028474 | -0.61% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4405 | ✗ | 1.00 |