ATLA

? · · gru_s8

token id: #450
symbol: ATLA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-08-17
predictions: 1,266

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0289

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0058

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	116.35	115.9014	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-20	oos	116.7219	116.2777	-0.38%	116.35	-0.32%	0.0011	✓	0.17
2026-10-19	oos	115.1533	114.7281	-0.37%	116.7219	+1.36%	0.0150	✗	0.17
2026-10-18	oos	117.0067	116.5361	-0.40%	115.1533	-1.58%	0.0116	✓	0.17
2026-10-17	oos	116.2617	115.7943	-0.40%	117.0067	+0.64%	0.0092	✗	0.17
2026-10-16	oos	116.6026	116.1681	-0.37%	116.2617	-0.29%	0.0010	✓	0.17
2026-10-15	oos	116.0011	115.5928	-0.35%	116.6026	+0.52%	0.0100	✗	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	116.679	116.2671	-0.35%	116.0011	-0.58%	0.0035	✓	0.17
2026-10-13	oos	117.4309	117.0195	-0.35%	116.679	-0.64%	0.0002	✓	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	115.7178	115.3319	-0.33%	117.4309	+1.48%	0.0154	✗	0.16
2026-10-11	oos	119.1933	118.7683	-0.36%	115.7178	-2.92%	0.0226	✓	0.15
2026-10-10	oos	118.4958	118.0669	-0.36%	119.1933	+0.59%	0.0082	✗	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	118.2518	117.8185	-0.37%	118.4958	+0.21%	0.0051	✗	0.14
2026-10-08	oos	118.544	118.0844	-0.39%	118.2518	-0.25%	0.0000	✓	0.14
2026-10-07	oos	115.5679	115.1805	-0.34%	118.544	+2.58%	0.0318	✗	0.16
2026-10-06	oos	115.9719	115.6196	-0.30%	115.5679	-0.35%	0.0039	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	116.27	115.924	-0.30%	115.9719	-0.26%	0.0008	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	117.0534	116.7102	-0.29%	116.27	-0.67%	0.0023	✓	0.16
2026-10-03	oos	116.522	116.1453	-0.32%	117.0534	+0.46%	0.0045	✗	0.16
2026-10-02	oos	116.2472	115.8749	-0.32%	116.522	+0.24%	0.0051	✗	0.16
2026-10-01	oos	118.5477	118.1666	-0.32%	116.2472	-1.94%	0.0157	✓	0.16
2026-09-30	oos	116.9363	116.5644	-0.32%	118.5477	+1.38%	0.0144	✗	0.16
2026-09-29	oos	118.5378	118.1351	-0.34%	116.9363	-1.35%	0.0100	✓	0.16
2026-09-28	oos	118.279	117.8497	-0.36%	118.5378	+0.22%	0.0055	✗	0.16
2026-09-27	oos	119.6322	119.1727	-0.38%	118.279	-1.13%	0.0058	✓	0.15
2026-09-26	oos	119.7037	119.2859	-0.35%	119.6322	-0.06%	0.0028	✓	0.15
2026-09-25	oos	119.1593	118.7837	-0.32%	119.7037	+0.46%	0.0071	✗	0.15
2026-09-24	oos	119.5586	119.1764	-0.32%	119.1593	-0.33%	0.0004	✓	0.15
2026-09-23	oos	119.5349	119.1631	-0.31%	119.5586	+0.02%	0.0033	✗	0.15
2026-09-22	oos	120.5905	120.2472	-0.28%	119.5349	-0.88%	0.0028	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	122.0118	121.6682	-0.28%	120.5905	-1.16%	0.0083	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	122.0733	121.6973	-0.31%	122.0118	-0.05%	0.0069	✓	0.15
2026-09-19	oos	122.1804	121.8145	-0.30%	122.0733	-0.09%	0.0023	✓	0.15
2026-09-18	oos	121.7619	121.4346	-0.27%	122.1804	+0.34%	0.0055	✗	0.15
2026-09-17	oos	119.8243	119.5458	-0.23%	121.7619	+1.62%	0.0110	✗	0.13
2026-09-16	oos	119.6282	119.3781	-0.21%	119.8243	+0.16%	0.0034	✗	0.13
2026-09-15	oos	118.9348	118.7305	-0.17%	119.6282	+0.58%	0.0066	✗	0.12
2026-09-14	oos	122.4108	122.1853	-0.18%	118.9348	-2.84%	0.0232	✓	0.11
2026-09-13	oos	121.0485	120.8649	-0.15%	122.4108	+1.13%	0.0110	✗	0.10
2026-09-12	oos	121.6973	121.5353	-0.13%	121.0485	-0.53%	0.0035	✓	0.09
2026-09-11	oos	121.8078	121.6723	-0.11%	121.6973	-0.09%	0.0001	✓	0.09
2026-09-10	oos	122.6452	122.4932	-0.12%	121.8078	-0.68%	0.0064	✓	0.09
2026-09-09	oos	125.4371	125.299	-0.11%	122.6452	-2.23%	0.0195	✓	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	126.7087	126.57	-0.11%	125.4371	-1.00%	0.0089	✓	0.06
2026-09-07	oos	127.8053	127.6607	-0.11%	126.7087	-0.86%	0.0070	✓	0.06
2026-09-06	oos	129.8901	129.7779	-0.09%	127.8053	-1.61%	0.0141	✓	0.08
2026-09-05	oos	129.0303	128.9451	-0.07%	129.8901	+0.67%	0.0068	✗	0.08
2026-09-04	oos	130.1788	130.1108	-0.05%	129.0303	-0.88%	0.0085	✓	0.09
2026-09-03	oos	132.4877	132.5149	+0.02%	130.1788	-1.74%	0.0162	✗	0.08
2026-09-02	oos	136.2007	136.1379	-0.05%	132.4877	-2.73%	0.0334	✓	0.12
2026-09-01	oos	137.779	137.8113	+0.02%	136.2007	-1.15%	0.0116	✗	0.13
2026-08-31	oos	136.8872	136.9569	+0.05%	137.779	+0.65%	0.0081	✓	0.14
2026-08-30	oos	135.8412	135.8858	+0.03%	136.8872	+0.77%	0.0059	✓	0.13
2026-08-29	oos	137.7388	137.7704	+0.02%	135.8412	-1.38%	0.0132	✗	0.12
2026-08-28	oos	136.563	136.5781	+0.01%	137.7388	+0.86%	0.0078	✓	0.12
2026-08-27	oos	137.6446	137.6727	+0.02%	136.563	-0.79%	0.0042	✗	0.13
2026-08-26	oos	136.7192	136.7139	-0.00%	137.6446	+0.68%	0.0048	✗	0.12
2026-08-25	oos	135.7951	135.771	-0.02%	136.7192	+0.68%	0.0062	✗	0.12
2026-08-24	oos	138.0338	137.9759	-0.04%	135.7951	-1.62%	0.0153	✓	0.12
2026-08-23	oos	138.5343	138.4382	-0.07%	138.0338	-0.36%	0.0047	✓	0.11
2026-08-22	oos	137.8683	137.7573	-0.08%	138.5343	+0.48%	0.0047	✗	0.11
2026-08-21	oos	138.6534	138.5373	-0.08%	137.8683	-0.57%	0.0031	✓	0.11
2026-08-20	oos	140.2151	139.9824	-0.17%	138.6534	-1.11%	0.0193	✓	0.14
2026-08-19	oos	139.2406	138.9026	-0.24%	140.2151	+0.70%	0.0010	✓	0.16
2026-08-18	oos	139.1964	138.7453	-0.32%	139.2406	+0.03%	0.0087	✓	0.18
2026-08-17	oos	138.781	138.348	-0.31%	139.1964	+0.30%	0.0055	✗	0.19
2026-08-16	oos	139.7788	139.3347	-0.32%	138.781	-0.71%	0.0090	✓	0.20
2026-08-15	oos	140.189	139.7531	-0.31%	139.7788	-0.29%	0.0007	✓	0.19
2026-08-14	oos	146.9445	146.4298	-0.35%	140.189	-4.60%	0.0437	✓	0.22
2026-08-13	oos	151.1525	150.5813	-0.38%	146.9445	-2.78%	0.0229	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	150.0512	149.5009	-0.37%	151.1525	+0.73%	0.0109	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	150.0016	149.4532	-0.37%	150.0512	+0.03%	0.0043	✗	0.18
2026-08-10	oos	150.5222	149.9654	-0.37%	150.0016	-0.35%	0.0015	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	149.8991	149.374	-0.35%	150.5222	+0.42%	0.0106	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	150.7103	150.172	-0.36%	149.8991	-0.54%	0.0016	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	150.2681	149.7344	-0.36%	150.7103	+0.29%	0.0064	✗	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	150.2508	149.7116	-0.36%	150.2681	+0.01%	0.0017	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	151.7696	151.2098	-0.37%	150.2508	-1.00%	0.0053	✓	0.20
2026-08-04	oos	151.192	150.6277	-0.37%	151.7696	+0.38%	0.0060	✗	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	151.2501	150.6729	-0.38%	151.192	-0.04%	0.0019	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	152.0657	151.4711	-0.39%	151.2501	-0.54%	0.0014	✓	0.18
2026-08-01	oos	151.7473	151.1424	-0.40%	152.0657	+0.21%	0.0041	✗	0.17
2026-07-31	oos	150.4472	149.8605	-0.39%	151.7473	+0.86%	0.0127	✗	0.17
2026-07-30	oos	151.3602	150.7875	-0.38%	150.4472	-0.60%	0.0028	✓	0.17
2026-07-29	oos	150.5366	149.9644	-0.38%	151.3602	+0.55%	0.0064	✗	0.22
2026-07-28	oos	151.869	151.2806	-0.39%	150.5366	-0.88%	0.0051	✓	0.23
2026-07-27	oos	149.3046	148.7607	-0.36%	151.869	+1.72%	0.0202	✗	0.22
2026-07-26	oos	153.1511	152.5842	-0.37%	149.3046	-2.51%	0.0167	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	151.4572	150.9116	-0.36%	153.1511	+1.12%	0.0117	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	151.2942	150.7547	-0.36%	151.4572	+0.11%	0.0041	✗	0.17
2026-07-23	oos	151.0425	150.5339	-0.34%	151.2942	+0.17%	0.0078	✗	0.18
2026-07-22	oos	152.3194	151.8168	-0.33%	151.0425	-0.84%	0.0022	✓	0.18
2026-07-21	oos	153.2626	152.7582	-0.33%	152.3194	-0.62%	0.0017	✓	0.18
2026-07-20	oos	152.0898	151.6011	-0.32%	153.2626	+0.77%	0.0072	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	154.1228	153.6075	-0.33%	152.0898	-1.32%	0.0115	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	155.108	154.5863	-0.34%	154.1228	-0.64%	0.0026	✓	0.22
2026-07-17	oos	152.9571	152.4629	-0.32%	155.108	+1.41%	0.0141	✗	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	151.6415	151.1692	-0.31%	152.9571	+0.87%	0.0113	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	149.9178	149.4939	-0.28%	151.6415	+1.15%	0.0179	✗	0.25
2026-07-14	oos	153.3422	152.879	-0.30%	149.9178	-2.23%	0.0186	✓	0.23
2026-07-13	oos	152.7226	152.2697	-0.30%	153.3422	+0.41%	0.0023	✓	0.22
2026-07-12	oos	152.4355	151.9976	-0.29%	152.7226	+0.19%	0.0101	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	152.4016	151.9702	-0.28%	152.4355	+0.02%	0.0032	✗	0.25
2026-07-10	oos	152.366	151.9462	-0.28%	152.4016	+0.02%	0.0045	✗	0.27
2026-07-09	oos	152.3446	151.9347	-0.27%	152.366	+0.01%	0.0013	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	151.7781	151.3885	-0.26%	152.3446	+0.37%	0.0023	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	151.5182	151.1481	-0.24%	151.7781	+0.17%	0.0089	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	154.3142	153.9234	-0.25%	151.5182	-1.81%	0.0129	✓	0.27
2026-07-05	oos	154.077	153.7006	-0.24%	154.3142	+0.15%	0.0022	✓	0.27
2026-07-04	oos	154.7202	154.3497	-0.24%	154.077	-0.42%	0.0039	✓	0.27
2026-07-03	oos	153.7662	153.4105	-0.23%	154.7202	+0.62%	0.0062	✗	0.26
2026-07-02	oos	152.0462	151.7277	-0.21%	153.7662	+1.13%	0.0091	✗	0.26
2026-07-01	oos	151.6335	151.3431	-0.19%	152.0462	+0.27%	0.0017	✓	0.25
2026-06-30	oos	152.05	151.7862	-0.17%	151.6335	-0.27%	0.0070	✓	0.25
2026-06-29	oos	152.0878	151.8052	-0.19%	152.05	-0.02%	0.0088	✗	0.26
2026-06-28	oos	151.5607	151.301	-0.17%	152.0878	+0.35%	0.0021	✗	0.26
2026-06-27	oos	152.1466	151.8837	-0.17%	151.5607	-0.39%	0.0000	✓	0.27
2026-06-26	oos	154.0792	153.8008	-0.18%	152.1466	-1.25%	0.0105	✓	0.27
2026-06-25	oos	152.199	151.9589	-0.16%	154.0792	+1.24%	0.0125	✗	0.27
2026-06-24	oos	152.274	152.0234	-0.16%	152.199	-0.05%	0.0067	✗	0.26
2026-06-23	oos	152.4131	152.1466	-0.17%	152.274	-0.09%	0.0078	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	152.288	152.0219	-0.17%	152.4131	+0.08%	0.0081	✗	0.27
2026-06-21	oos	152.065	151.8259	-0.16%	152.288	+0.15%	0.0001	✓	0.26
2026-06-20	oos	152.8393	152.594	-0.16%	152.065	-0.51%	0.0003	✓	0.24
2026-06-19	oos	153.6905	153.4611	-0.15%	152.8393	-0.55%	0.0068	✓	0.24
2026-06-18	oos	154.2555	154.0485	-0.13%	153.6905	-0.37%	0.0044	✓	0.22
2026-06-17	oos	155.0079	154.7804	-0.15%	154.2555	-0.49%	0.0022	✗	0.23
2026-06-16	oos	158.1635	157.9002	-0.17%	155.0079	-2.00%	0.0143	✓	0.23
2026-06-15	oos	155.3014	155.0715	-0.15%	158.1635	+1.84%	0.0218	✗	0.21
2026-06-14	oos	160.2353	159.983	-0.16%	155.3014	-3.08%	0.0316	✓	0.22
2026-06-13	oos	159.8021	159.5961	-0.13%	160.2353	+0.27%	0.0005	✓	0.23
2026-06-12	oos	159.9919	159.8319	-0.10%	159.8021	-0.12%	0.0034	✓	0.23
2026-06-11	oos	166.0988	165.901	-0.12%	159.9919	-3.68%	0.0362	✓	0.23
2026-06-10	oos	169.7934	169.6615	-0.08%	166.0988	-2.18%	0.0298	✓	0.25
2026-06-09	oos	174.6371	174.44	-0.11%	169.7934	-2.77%	0.0260	✓	0.26
2026-06-08	oos	180.7511	180.4454	-0.17%	174.6371	-3.38%	0.0269	✓	0.26
2026-06-07	oos	183.1239	182.7759	-0.19%	180.7511	-1.30%	0.0100	✓	0.31
2026-06-06	oos	182.4621	182.291	-0.09%	183.1239	+0.36%	0.0053	✓	0.25
2026-06-05	oos	185.492	185.3052	-0.10%	182.4621	-1.63%	0.0148	✓	0.23
2026-06-04	oos	187.7511	187.4015	-0.19%	185.492	-1.20%	0.0002	✓	0.23
2026-06-03	oos	193.7013	193.276	-0.22%	187.7511	-3.07%	0.0283	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	196.8275	196.2807	-0.28%	193.7013	-1.59%	0.0074	✓	0.15
2026-06-01	oos	198.3972	197.739	-0.33%	196.8275	-0.79%	0.0118	✗	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	199.2405	198.572	-0.34%	198.3972	-0.42%	0.0068	✗	0.25
2026-05-30	oos	202.775	202.0912	-0.34%	199.2405	-1.74%	0.0126	✓	0.59
2026-05-29	oos	200.2331	199.618	-0.31%	202.775	+1.27%	0.0129	✗	0.51
2026-05-28	oos	204.5351	203.8984	-0.31%	200.2331	-2.10%	0.0171	✓	0.52
2026-05-27	oos	206.7726	206.1219	-0.31%	204.5351	-1.08%	0.0046	✓	0.29
2026-05-26	oos	205.4656	204.8128	-0.32%	206.7726	+0.64%	0.0104	✗	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	203.8498	203.2515	-0.29%	205.4656	+0.79%	0.0203	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	201.751	201.1919	-0.28%	203.8498	+1.04%	0.0113	✗	0.51
2026-05-23	oos	203.1663	202.6314	-0.26%	201.751	-0.70%	0.0066	✓	0.52
2026-05-22	oos	202.7993	202.3476	-0.22%	203.1663	+0.18%	0.0045	✓	0.54
2026-05-21	oos	211.6062	211.0061	-0.28%	202.7993	-4.16%	0.0258	✓	0.50
2026-05-20	oos	208.2707	207.7567	-0.25%	211.6062	+1.60%	0.0179	✗	0.50
2026-05-19	oos	202.8908	202.4992	-0.19%	208.2707	+2.65%	0.0235	✗	0.50
2026-05-18	oos	204.5183	204.133	-0.19%	202.8908	-0.80%	0.0049	✓	0.52
2026-05-17	oos	200.68	200.3939	-0.14%	204.5183	+1.91%	0.0235	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	222.4611	221.9014	-0.25%	200.68	-9.79%	0.0960	✓	0.50
2026-05-15	oos	221.8012	221.2898	-0.23%	222.4611	+0.30%	0.0115	✗	0.51
2026-05-14	oos	222.2199	221.7386	-0.22%	221.8012	-0.19%	0.0130	✗	0.51
2026-05-13	oos	228.3821	227.8263	-0.24%	222.2199	-2.70%	0.0361	✓	0.50
2026-05-12	oos	247.5702	246.7642	-0.33%	228.3821	-7.75%	0.0705	✓	0.46
2026-05-11	oos	240.5782	239.9399	-0.27%	247.5702	+2.91%	0.0386	✗	0.47
2026-05-10	oos	244.2902	243.6359	-0.27%	240.5782	-1.52%	0.0098	✓	0.49
2026-05-09	oos	243.2573	242.5925	-0.27%	244.2902	+0.42%	0.0025	✓	0.50
2026-05-08	oos	245.6895	244.9942	-0.28%	243.2573	-0.99%	0.0100	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	260.8894	259.9659	-0.35%	245.6895	-5.83%	0.0576	✓	0.50
2026-05-06	oos	255.1516	254.3971	-0.30%	260.8894	+2.25%	0.0339	✗	0.49
2026-05-05	oos	264.0396	263.1183	-0.35%	255.1516	-3.37%	0.0342	✓	0.54
2026-05-04	oos	259.6586	258.754	-0.35%	264.0396	+1.69%	0.0130	✗	0.55
2026-05-03	oos	262.6737	261.6473	-0.39%	259.6586	-1.15%	0.0168	✓	0.56
2026-05-02	oos	262.4384	261.3908	-0.40%	262.6737	+0.09%	0.0058	✗	0.56
2026-05-01	oos	265.3872	264.2257	-0.44%	262.4384	-1.11%	0.0101	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	249.8432	248.8159	-0.41%	265.3872	+6.22%	0.0507	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	246.8498	245.8289	-0.41%	249.8432	+1.21%	0.0122	✗	0.55
2026-04-28	oos	244.3125	243.3282	-0.40%	246.8498	+1.04%	0.0184	✗	0.54
2026-04-27	oos	239.4538	238.6096	-0.35%	244.3125	+2.03%	0.0309	✗	0.54
2026-04-26	oos	240.4076	239.6458	-0.32%	239.4538	-0.40%	0.0080	✗	0.52
2026-04-25	oos	246.8195	245.5724	-0.51%	240.4076	-2.60%	0.0282	✓	0.53
2026-04-24	oos	239.3317	238.0697	-0.53%	246.8195	+3.13%	0.0347	✗	0.55
2026-04-23	oos	240.4245	239.0955	-0.55%	239.3317	-0.45%	0.0068	✗	0.55
2026-04-22	oos	242.0296	240.6643	-0.56%	240.4245	-0.66%	0.0015	✓	0.55
2026-04-21	oos	239.428	238.1994	-0.51%	242.0296	+1.09%	0.0025	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	241.0308	239.8124	-0.51%	239.428	-0.66%	0.0052	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	233.5885	232.7624	-0.35%	241.0308	+3.19%	0.0184	✗	0.60
2026-04-18	oos	239.4263	238.2965	-0.47%	233.5885	-2.44%	0.0047	✓	0.60
2026-04-17	oos	241.1719	239.9555	-0.50%	239.4263	-0.72%	0.0085	✗	0.60
2026-04-16	oos	235.6184	234.7072	-0.39%	241.1719	+2.36%	0.0118	✗	0.60
2026-04-15	oos	262.677	261.3183	-0.52%	235.6184	-10.30%	0.1062	✓	0.62
2026-04-14	oos	268.7346	267.3633	-0.51%	262.677	-2.25%	0.0232	✓	0.63
2026-04-13	oos	275.3103	273.8315	-0.54%	268.7346	-2.39%	0.0166	✓	0.62
2026-04-12	oos	269.944	268.7075	-0.46%	275.3103	+1.99%	0.0086	✓	0.65
2026-04-11	oos	280.1861	278.597	-0.57%	269.944	-3.66%	0.0112	✓	0.63
2026-04-10	oos	283.65	281.8184	-0.65%	280.1861	-1.22%	0.0066	✓	0.63
2026-04-09	oos	285.12	283.3092	-0.64%	283.65	-0.52%	0.0093	✓	0.64
2026-04-08	oos	287.4921	285.6833	-0.63%	285.12	-0.83%	0.0084	✓	0.64
2026-04-07	oos	288.3202	286.388	-0.67%	287.4921	-0.29%	0.0112	✗	0.64
2026-04-06	oos	285.8666	284.1165	-0.61%	288.3202	+0.86%	0.0150	✓	0.68
2026-04-05	oos	292.2391	290.1983	-0.70%	285.8666	-2.18%	0.0135	✓	0.68
2026-04-04	oos	296.5	294.3232	-0.73%	292.2391	-1.44%	0.0242	✓	0.68
2026-04-03	oos	289.5533	287.524	-0.70%	296.5	+2.40%	0.0274	✗	0.68
2026-04-02	oos	291.033	288.8382	-0.75%	289.5533	-0.51%	0.0018	✓	0.68
2026-04-01	oos	290.5238	288.0456	-0.85%	291.033	+0.18%	0.0225	✗	0.67
2026-03-31	oos	288.4871	285.9226	-0.89%	290.5238	+0.71%	0.0170	✗	0.67
2026-03-30	oos	285.5425	283.0088	-0.89%	288.4871	+1.03%	0.0041	✓	0.69
2026-03-29	oos	282.4259	279.773	-0.94%	285.5425	+1.10%	0.0124	✗	0.68
2026-03-28	oos	283.9924	281.0642	-1.03%	282.4259	-0.55%	0.0086	✓	0.69
2026-03-27	oos	286.5556	283.494	-1.07%	283.9924	-0.89%	0.0021	✓	0.69
2026-03-26	oos	286.9869	283.7411	-1.13%	286.5556	-0.15%	0.0343	✗	0.68
2026-03-25	oos	288.6543	285.1307	-1.22%	286.9869	-0.58%	0.0310	✗	0.68
2026-03-24	oos	289.4908	285.7927	-1.28%	288.6543	-0.29%	0.0025	✓	0.69
2026-03-23	oos	285.2288	281.4216	-1.33%	289.4908	+1.49%	0.0316	✗	0.68
2026-03-22	oos	288.3836	284.3835	-1.39%	285.2288	-1.09%	0.0287	✓	0.73
2026-03-21	oos	285.2849	281.1284	-1.46%	288.3836	+1.09%	0.0368	✗	0.72
2026-03-20	oos	281.6591	277.3014	-1.55%	285.2849	+1.29%	0.0448	✗	0.72
2026-03-19	oos	283.0578	278.4905	-1.61%	281.6591	-0.49%	0.0053	✓	0.72
2026-03-18	oos	292.3958	286.6936	-1.95%	283.0578	-3.19%	0.0004	✓	0.70
2026-03-17	oos	287.8671	281.6279	-2.17%	292.3958	+1.57%	0.0643	✗	0.72
2026-03-16	oos	293.0667	286.433	-2.26%	287.8671	-1.77%	0.0134	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	287.8375	280.3636	-2.60%	293.0667	+1.82%	0.0260	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	286.9874	279.0998	-2.75%	287.8375	+0.30%	0.0157	✓	0.68
2026-03-13	oos	287.1263	278.1551	-3.12%	286.9874	-0.05%	0.0284	✓	0.70
2026-03-12	oos	291.2892	281.1179	-3.49%	287.1263	-1.43%	0.0171	✓	0.70
2026-03-11	oos	274.2802	264.5288	-3.56%	291.2892	+6.20%	0.0933	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	250.1096	240.9992	-3.64%	274.2802	+9.66%	0.1270	✗	0.66
2026-03-09	oos	229.7689	221.4855	-3.61%	250.1096	+8.85%	0.1071	✗	0.65
2026-03-08	oos	243.7696	234.793	-3.68%	229.7689	-5.74%	0.0474	✓	0.70
2026-03-07	oos	234.8456	225.8192	-3.84%	243.7696	+3.80%	0.0901	✗	0.70
2026-03-06	oos	235.0381	225.7767	-3.94%	234.8456	-0.08%	0.0480	✗	0.69
2026-03-05	oos	233.0921	222.8063	-4.41%	235.0381	+0.83%	0.0812	✗	0.69
2026-03-04	oos	217.4655	207.989	-4.36%	233.0921	+7.19%	0.1322	✗	0.73
2026-03-03	oos	204.6076	195.5743	-4.41%	217.4655	+6.28%	0.0600	✗	0.75
2026-03-02	oos	205.5447	195.5725	-4.85%	204.6076	-0.46%	0.0506	✗	0.76
2026-03-01	oos	153.2768	146.0608	-4.71%	205.5447	+34.10%	0.3131	✗	0.63
2026-02-28	oos	133.8969	127.8836	-4.49%	153.2768	+14.47%	0.1936	✗	0.69
2026-02-27	oos	130.9839	124.626	-4.85%	133.8969	+2.22%	0.0602	✗	0.69
2026-02-26	oos	95.535	90.7174	-5.04%	130.9839	+37.11%	0.3863	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	32.0054	31.5764	-1.34%	95.535	+198.50%	1.1133	✗	0.84
2026-02-24	oos	22.4332	22.3681	-0.29%	32.0054	+42.67%	0.3243	✗	0.57
2026-02-23	oos	22.132	22.072	-0.27%	22.4332	+1.36%	0.0212	✗	0.57
2026-02-22	oos	22.2461	22.1809	-0.29%	22.132	-0.51%	0.0243	✗	0.59
2026-02-21	oos	22.9018	22.8258	-0.33%	22.2461	-2.86%	0.0228	✓	0.59
2026-02-20	oos	22.7649	22.6896	-0.33%	22.9018	+0.60%	0.0096	✗	0.59
2026-02-19	oos	22.1787	22.1182	-0.27%	22.7649	+2.64%	0.0201	✗	0.58
2026-02-18	oos	21.7848	21.7352	-0.23%	22.1787	+1.81%	0.0153	✗	0.59
2026-02-17	oos	22.3419	22.2832	-0.26%	21.7848	-2.49%	0.0140	✓	0.55
2026-02-16	oos	22.6204	22.5552	-0.29%	22.3419	-1.23%	0.0023	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	22.5257	22.4623	-0.28%	22.6204	+0.42%	0.0065	✗	0.57
2026-02-14	oos	23.3204	23.2396	-0.35%	22.5257	-3.41%	0.0232	✓	0.55
2026-02-13	oos	22.5	22.4365	-0.28%	23.3204	+3.65%	0.0309	✗	0.55
2026-02-12	oos	22.3803	22.3316	-0.22%	22.5	+0.53%	0.0134	✓	0.54
2026-02-11	oos	21.9658	21.9232	-0.19%	22.3803	+1.89%	0.0285	✗	0.64
2026-02-10	oos	21.9054	21.8593	-0.21%	21.9658	+0.28%	0.0219	✗	0.65
2026-02-09	oos	22.4283	22.3717	-0.25%	21.9054	-2.33%	0.0090	✓	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	22.1734	22.1234	-0.23%	22.4283	+1.15%	0.0154	✗	0.66
2026-02-07	oos	22.3773	22.3331	-0.20%	22.1734	-0.91%	0.0171	✓	0.67
2026-02-06	oos	22.299	22.2492	-0.22%	22.3773	+0.35%	0.0180	✗	0.67
2026-02-05	oos	20.5777	20.6181	+0.20%	22.299	+8.36%	0.0020	✓	0.66
2026-02-04	oos	22.0357	21.9862	-0.22%	20.5777	-6.62%	0.0525	✗	0.79
2026-02-03	oos	22.5834	22.5092	-0.33%	22.0357	-2.43%	0.0077	✗	0.81
2026-02-02	oos	22.4885	22.402	-0.38%	22.5834	+0.42%	0.0362	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	21.5711	21.5147	-0.26%	22.4885	+4.25%	0.0294	✗	0.65
2026-01-31	oos	22.5394	22.4517	-0.39%	21.5711	-4.30%	0.0246	✓	0.68
2026-01-30	oos	22.1003	22.0019	-0.45%	22.5394	+1.99%	0.0785	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	20.9116	20.8437	-0.32%	22.1003	+5.68%	0.0624	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	20.4224	20.3567	-0.32%	20.9116	+2.40%	0.0766	✗	0.93
2026-01-27	oos	20.2232	20.165	-0.29%	20.4224	+0.99%	0.0122	✗	0.93
2026-01-26	oos	21.3303	21.2584	-0.34%	20.2232	-5.19%	0.0588	✓	0.91
2026-01-25	oos	20.5804	20.5257	-0.27%	21.3303	+3.64%	0.0212	✗	0.89
2026-01-24	oos	21.7946	21.7209	-0.34%	20.5804	-5.57%	0.0287	✓	0.88
2026-01-23	oos	21.8302	21.7585	-0.33%	21.7946	-0.16%	0.0055	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	21.8837	21.8123	-0.33%	21.8302	-0.24%	0.0007	✓	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	22.1339	22.0594	-0.34%	21.8837	-1.13%	0.0090	✓	0.88
2026-01-20	oos	21.6518	21.5875	-0.30%	22.1339	+2.23%	0.0147	✗	0.87
2026-01-19	oos	23.4273	23.3392	-0.38%	21.6518	-7.58%	0.0361	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	23.2421	23.1606	-0.35%	23.4273	+0.80%	0.0211	✗	0.84
2026-01-17	oos	23.9459	23.8574	-0.37%	23.2421	-2.94%	0.0129	✓	0.85
2026-01-16	oos	23.9111	23.8238	-0.37%	23.9459	+0.15%	0.0087	✗	0.86
2026-01-15	oos	24.0331	23.9431	-0.37%	23.9111	-0.51%	0.0006	✓	0.86
2026-01-14	oos	24.5732	24.4763	-0.39%	24.0331	-2.20%	0.0061	✓	0.86
2026-01-13	oos	24.7011	24.5925	-0.44%	24.5732	-0.52%	0.0110	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	23.1593	23.0682	-0.39%	24.7011	+6.66%	0.0425	✗	0.58
2026-01-11	oos	23.9192	23.8162	-0.43%	23.1593	-3.18%	0.0300	✓	0.58
2026-01-10	oos	23.8134	23.7114	-0.43%	23.9192	+0.44%	0.0055	✗	0.58
2026-01-09	oos	23.8132	23.715	-0.41%	23.8134	+0.00%	0.0051	✗	0.60
2026-01-08	oos	24.1148	24.0124	-0.42%	23.8132	-1.25%	0.0050	✓	0.59
2026-01-07	oos	24.5347	24.4278	-0.44%	24.1148	-1.71%	0.0114	✓	0.55
2026-01-06	oos	25.6867	25.5608	-0.49%	24.5347	-4.48%	0.0268	✓	0.54
2026-01-05	oos	25.467	25.3426	-0.49%	25.6867	+0.86%	0.0144	✗	0.55
2026-01-04	oos	25.957	25.8183	-0.53%	25.467	-1.89%	0.0286	✓	0.58
2026-01-03	oos	25.5897	25.455	-0.53%	25.957	+1.44%	0.0137	✗	0.59
2026-01-02	oos	25.667	25.5256	-0.55%	25.5897	-0.30%	0.0019	✓	0.62
2026-01-01	oos	24.5707	24.45	-0.49%	25.667	+4.46%	0.0403	✗	0.60
2025-12-31	oos	23.7913	23.6853	-0.45%	24.5707	+3.28%	0.0285	✗	0.58
2025-12-30	oos	24.2007	24.087	-0.47%	23.7913	-1.69%	0.0064	✓	0.58
2025-12-29	oos	23.9863	23.8759	-0.46%	24.2007	+0.89%	0.0048	✗	0.59
2025-12-28	oos	24.3566	24.2409	-0.48%	23.9863	-1.52%	0.0054	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	24.3761	24.2594	-0.48%	24.3566	-0.08%	0.0035	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	23.7524	23.6465	-0.45%	24.3761	+2.63%	0.0270	✗	0.58
2025-12-25	oos	23.5185	23.4182	-0.43%	23.7524	+0.99%	0.0133	✗	0.58
2025-12-24	oos	26.0062	25.868	-0.53%	23.5185	-9.57%	0.0923	✓	0.58
2025-12-23	oos	26.8291	26.6745	-0.58%	26.0062	-3.07%	0.0266	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	26.8696	26.7064	-0.61%	26.8291	-0.15%	0.0121	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	26.5705	26.4103	-0.60%	26.8696	+1.13%	0.0178	✗	0.58
2025-12-20	oos	26.8269	26.6575	-0.63%	26.5705	-0.96%	0.0052	✓	0.54
2025-12-19	oos	26.7768	26.5984	-0.67%	26.8269	+0.19%	0.0071	✗	0.54
2025-12-18	oos	26.2886	26.1178	-0.65%	26.7768	+1.86%	0.0092	✗	0.52
2025-12-17	oos	29.9878	29.6304	-1.19%	26.2886	-12.34%	0.1153	✓	0.50
2025-12-16	oos	21.8866	21.7782	-0.50%	29.9878	+37.01%	0.3314	✗	0.61
2025-12-15	oos	21.6415	21.5449	-0.45%	21.8866	+1.13%	0.0057	✗	0.61
2025-12-14	oos	22.2734	22.1686	-0.47%	21.6415	-2.84%	0.0121	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	23.0332	22.914	-0.52%	22.2734	-3.30%	0.0147	✓	0.59
2025-12-12	oos	23.8373	23.702	-0.57%	23.0332	-3.37%	0.0285	✓	0.59
2025-12-11	oos	21.8244	21.7258	-0.45%	23.8373	+9.22%	0.1087	✗	0.64
2025-12-10	oos	22.8815	22.7721	-0.48%	21.8244	-4.62%	0.0461	✓	0.65
2025-12-09	oos	23.3848	23.2686	-0.50%	22.8815	-2.15%	0.0118	✓	0.70
2025-12-08	oos	22.6316	22.5378	-0.41%	23.3848	+3.33%	0.0216	✗	0.69
2025-12-07	oos	23.2849	23.1893	-0.41%	22.6316	-2.81%	0.0263	✓	0.69
2025-12-06	oos	23.7457	23.6536	-0.39%	23.2849	-1.94%	0.0246	✓	0.70
2025-12-05	oos	23.319	23.2391	-0.34%	23.7457	+1.83%	0.0222	✗	0.70
2025-12-04	oos	24.4511	24.3473	-0.42%	23.319	-4.63%	0.0224	✓	0.68
2025-12-03	oos	25.408	25.2836	-0.49%	24.4511	-3.77%	0.0236	✓	0.67
2025-12-02	oos	23.6644	23.5819	-0.35%	25.408	+7.37%	0.0597	✗	0.64
2025-12-01	oos	21.5241	21.5119	-0.06%	23.6644	+9.94%	0.0643	✗	0.55
2025-11-30	oos	23.1575	23.1099	-0.21%	21.5241	-7.05%	0.0478	✓	0.50
2025-11-29	oos	23.481	23.4384	-0.18%	23.1575	-1.38%	0.0090	✓	0.60
2025-11-28	oos	23.7343	23.7015	-0.14%	23.481	-1.07%	0.0088	✓	0.61
2025-11-27	oos	24.1139	24.0854	-0.12%	23.7343	-1.57%	0.0119	✓	0.60
2025-11-26	oos	24.3308	24.3187	-0.05%	24.1139	-0.89%	0.0143	✓	0.62
2025-11-25	oos	23.7477	23.7805	+0.14%	24.3308	+2.46%	0.0015	✓	0.61
2025-11-24	oos	23.9648	24.005	+0.17%	23.7477	-0.91%	0.0043	✗	0.61
2025-11-23	oos	23.7215	23.7899	+0.29%	23.9648	+1.03%	0.0051	✗	0.75
2025-11-22	oos	23.2791	23.382	+0.44%	23.7215	+1.90%	0.0014	✓	0.64
2025-11-21	oos	23.1645	23.2839	+0.52%	23.2791	+0.49%	0.0027	✓	0.64
2025-11-20	oos	23.9538	24.0772	+0.52%	23.1645	-3.30%	0.0278	✗	0.63
2025-11-19	oos	23.5218	23.6338	+0.48%	23.9538	+1.84%	0.0495	✓	0.65
2025-11-18	oos	28.4432	28.528	+0.30%	23.5218	-17.30%	0.1842	✗	0.55
2025-11-17	oos	30.6551	30.7407	+0.28%	28.4432	-7.22%	0.0828	✗	0.59
2025-11-16	oos	30.1868	30.2722	+0.28%	30.6551	+1.55%	0.0238	✓	0.50
2025-11-15	oos	30.8623	30.9409	+0.25%	30.1868	-2.19%	0.0179	✗	0.47
2025-11-14	oos	33.0263	33.105	+0.24%	30.8623	-6.55%	0.0757	✗	0.51
2025-11-13	oos	39.8493	39.782	-0.17%	33.0263	-17.12%	0.1734	✓	0.24
2025-11-12	oos	40.1724	40.0886	-0.21%	39.8493	-0.80%	0.0013	✓	0.23
2025-11-11	oos	40.3298	40.2446	-0.21%	40.1724	-0.39%	0.0012	✓	0.22
2025-11-10	oos	43.3289	43.1724	-0.36%	40.3298	-6.92%	0.0637	✓	0.16
2025-11-09	oos	42.2415	42.1283	-0.27%	43.3289	+2.57%	0.0262	✗	0.15
2025-11-08	oos	42.1604	42.0804	-0.19%	42.2415	+0.19%	0.0001	✓	0.17
2025-11-07	oos	43.038	42.9378	-0.23%	42.1604	-2.04%	0.0167	✓	0.16
2025-11-06	oos	42.0086	41.9532	-0.13%	43.038	+2.45%	0.0224	✗	0.16
2025-11-05	oos	44.1646	44.0501	-0.26%	42.0086	-4.88%	0.0447	✓	0.11
2025-11-04	oos	52.6475	52.4057	-0.46%	44.1646	-16.11%	0.1775	✓	0.27
2025-11-03	oos	52.3884	52.116	-0.52%	52.6475	+0.49%	0.0232	✗	0.27
2025-11-02	oos	57.15	56.7821	-0.64%	52.3884	-8.33%	0.0756	✓	0.13
2025-11-01	oos	55.4853	55.1452	-0.61%	57.15	+3.00%	0.0351	✗	0.13
2025-10-31	oos	55.7768	55.4256	-0.63%	55.4853	-0.52%	0.0005	✓	0.14
2025-10-30	oos	54.3527	54.0382	-0.58%	55.7768	+2.62%	0.0301	✗	0.14
2025-10-29	oos	55.7967	55.4108	-0.69%	54.3527	-2.59%	0.0175	✓	0.11
2025-10-28	oos	54.3445	53.9904	-0.65%	55.7967	+2.67%	0.0359	✗	0.12
2025-10-27	oos	55.5335	55.1403	-0.71%	54.3445	-2.14%	0.0135	✓	0.10
2025-10-26	oos	57.5933	57.1185	-0.82%	55.5335	-3.58%	0.0278	✓	0.09
2025-10-25	oos	57.1906	56.7328	-0.80%	57.5933	+0.70%	0.0122	✗	0.11
2025-10-24	oos	57.1726	56.7164	-0.80%	57.1906	+0.03%	0.0077	✓	0.12
2025-10-23	oos	56.9443	56.4833	-0.81%	57.1726	+0.40%	0.0111	✗	0.13
2025-10-22	oos	56.2255	55.7542	-0.84%	56.9443	+1.28%	0.0178	✗	0.14
2025-10-21	oos	56.035	55.5174	-0.92%	56.2255	+0.34%	0.0137	✗	0.14
2025-10-20	oos	57.4	56.7544	-1.12%	56.035	-2.38%	0.0107	✓	0.10
2025-10-19	oos	55.5789	55.0078	-1.03%	57.4	+3.28%	0.0409	✗	0.10
2025-10-18	oos	54.0674	53.5178	-1.02%	55.5789	+2.80%	0.0364	✗	0.10
2025-10-17	oos	54.232	53.6282	-1.11%	54.0674	-0.30%	0.0074	✓	0.11
2025-10-16	oos	55.8495	54.6532	-2.14%	54.232	-2.90%	0.0065	✓	0.08
2025-10-15	oos	38.7231	38.5312	-0.50%	55.8495	+44.23%	0.3812	✗	0.42
2025-10-14	oos	39.6162	39.3874	-0.58%	38.7231	-2.25%	0.0092	✓	0.38
2025-10-13	oos	40.1722	39.905	-0.67%	39.6162	-1.38%	0.0004	✓	0.36
2025-10-12	oos	39.6347	39.3667	-0.68%	40.1722	+1.36%	0.0196	✗	0.36
2025-10-11	oos	38.3818	38.1515	-0.60%	39.6347	+3.26%	0.0240	✗	0.37
2025-10-10	oos	38.5326	38.2702	-0.68%	38.3818	-0.39%	0.0099	✗	0.35
2025-10-09	oos	39.5594	39.2654	-0.74%	38.5326	-2.60%	0.0031	✓	0.21
2025-10-08	oos	40.0443	39.7366	-0.77%	39.5594	-1.21%	0.0021	✓	0.17
2025-10-07	oos	38.6379	38.3474	-0.75%	40.0443	+3.64%	0.0406	✗	0.17
2025-10-06	oos	40.0257	39.6759	-0.87%	38.6379	-3.47%	0.0253	✓	0.04
2025-10-05	oos	38.1369	37.807	-0.87%	40.0257	+4.95%	0.0567	✗	0.03
2025-10-04	oos	34.6692	34.4194	-0.72%	38.1369	+10.00%	0.1026	✗	-0.01
2025-10-03	oos	35.2035	34.9383	-0.75%	34.6692	-1.52%	0.0077	✓	-0.01
2025-10-02	oos	35.7534	35.4593	-0.82%	35.2035	-1.54%	0.0078	✓	0.04
2025-10-01	oos	35.9315	35.6081	-0.90%	35.7534	-0.50%	0.0027	✓	0.08
2025-09-30	oos	34.53	34.2152	-0.91%	35.9315	+4.06%	0.0467	✗	0.06
2025-09-29	oos	35.227	34.8903	-0.96%	34.53	-1.98%	0.0103	✓	0.05
2025-09-28	oos	35.3014	34.954	-0.98%	35.227	-0.21%	0.0056	✓	0.11
2025-09-27	oos	34.9165	34.5881	-0.94%	35.3014	+1.10%	0.0166	✗	0.17
2025-09-26	oos	35.3441	34.9959	-0.99%	34.9165	-1.21%	0.0022	✓	0.18
2025-09-25	oos	34.0119	33.702	-0.91%	35.3441	+3.92%	0.0465	✗	0.17
2025-09-24	oos	34.679	34.3257	-1.02%	34.0119	-1.92%	0.0104	✓	-0.03
2025-09-23	oos	34.2595	33.8822	-1.10%	34.679	+1.22%	0.0232	✗	0.00
2025-09-22	oos	32.1767	31.845	-1.03%	34.2595	+6.47%	0.0732	✗	0.02
2025-09-21	oos	29.8116	29.4997	-1.05%	32.1767	+7.93%	0.0900	✗	0.14
2025-09-20	oos	24.5372	24.3537	-0.75%	29.8116	+21.50%	0.2031	✗	0.21
2025-09-19	oos	31.4257	31.1052	-1.02%	24.5372	-21.92%	0.2373	✓	0.25
2025-09-18	oos	30.3499	30.0599	-0.96%	31.4257	+3.54%	0.0475	✗	0.25
2025-09-17	oos	30.069	29.7784	-0.97%	30.3499	+0.93%	0.0175	✗	0.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.