FATCOIN
FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s7
- token id
- #811
- symbol
- FATCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +1d
assessed
38
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
68.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1410
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0052
actual -0.0388
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003623 | 0.000358892 | -0.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003674 | 0.00036397 | -0.93% | 0.0003623 | -1.39% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0003527 | 0.000350849 | -0.52% | 0.0003674 | +4.17% | 0.0416 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004097 | 0.000405563 | -1.01% | 0.0003527 | -13.91% | 0.1390 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043515 | 0.000428654 | -1.49% | 0.0004097 | -5.85% | 0.0476 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.000357 | 0.000356631 | -0.10% | 0.00043515 | +21.89% | 0.1995 | ✗ | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00038465 | 0.000383661 | -0.26% | 0.000357 | -7.19% | 0.0692 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00040915 | 0.000407637 | -0.37% | 0.00038465 | -5.99% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.0003266 | 0.000327905 | +0.40% | 0.00040915 | +25.28% | 0.2370 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00035135 | 0.000352768 | +0.40% | 0.0003266 | -7.04% | 0.0904 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000385 | 0.000385681 | +0.18% | 0.00035135 | -8.74% | 0.0724 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00037315 | 0.000374498 | +0.36% | 0.000385 | +3.18% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.00040435 | 0.000405539 | +0.29% | 0.00037315 | -7.72% | 0.0867 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00036805 | 0.000369864 | +0.49% | 0.00040435 | +9.86% | 0.0826 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.000506 | 0.000505352 | -0.13% | 0.00036805 | -27.26% | 0.3107 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00038745 | 0.000387772 | +0.08% | 0.000506 | +30.60% | 0.3023 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00035605 | 0.000355251 | -0.22% | 0.00038745 | +8.82% | 0.0903 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0004861 | 0.000485892 | -0.04% | 0.00035605 | -26.75% | 0.2996 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00051235 | 0.000512612 | +0.05% | 0.0004861 | -5.12% | 0.0737 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00051375 | 0.000513516 | -0.05% | 0.00051235 | -0.27% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00054035 | 0.000539329 | -0.19% | 0.00051375 | -4.92% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0006234 | 0.000623315 | -0.01% | 0.00054035 | -13.32% | 0.1582 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00059005 | 0.000588259 | -0.30% | 0.0006234 | +5.65% | 0.0590 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00074535 | 0.000744109 | -0.17% | 0.00059005 | -20.84% | 0.2342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0008163 | 0.000813028 | -0.40% | 0.00074535 | -8.69% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00094305 | 0.000937633 | -0.57% | 0.0008163 | -13.44% | 0.1391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.001029 | 0.001022 | -0.74% | 0.00094305 | -8.38% | 0.0839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0009778 | 0.000969699 | -0.83% | 0.001029 | +5.26% | 0.0631 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001144 | 0.001133 | -1.02% | 0.0009778 | -14.57% | 0.1473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001388 | 0.001366 | -1.59% | 0.001144 | -17.57% | 0.1559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001228 | 0.001212 | -1.31% | 0.001388 | +13.06% | 0.1405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.001386 | -1.07% | 0.001228 | -12.36% | 0.1860 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00174 | 0.001712 | -1.63% | 0.001401 | -19.48% | 0.1994 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001629 | 0.001606 | -1.42% | 0.00174 | +6.85% | 0.0762 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.001716 | 0.001688 | -1.62% | 0.001629 | -5.07% | 0.0934 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.000835 | 0.000826525 | -1.01% | 0.001716 | +105.50% | 0.7278 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.001151 | 0.00114 | -0.91% | 0.000835 | -27.42% | 0.3188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.001416 | -1.01% | 0.001151 | -19.57% | 0.1740 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001492 | 0.001476 | -1.05% | 0.00143 | -4.12% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.00 |