EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s7
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
51.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1345
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0030
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002471 | +0.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002433 | +0.38% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002864 | +0.30% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1894 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003014 | +0.30% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0505 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003043 | +0.39% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.00291 | +0.49% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003326 | +0.40% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1262 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002657 | +0.39% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2103 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003524 | +0.42% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2640 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004165 | +0.37% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1941 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005228 | -0.03% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2074 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005084 | +0.16% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005159 | +0.22% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005594 | +0.13% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006227 | -0.11% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005925 | -0.12% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004319 | -0.15% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004865 | -0.24% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005373 | -0.17% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006773 | -0.17% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.00711 | -0.33% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006535 | -0.46% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0723 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006889 | -0.59% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0472 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008999 | -0.57% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2634 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012723 | -1.06% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013396 | -1.10% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013852 | -1.12% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013263 | -1.02% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0582 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019285 | -2.01% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3642 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017107 | -1.80% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1614 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013198 | -1.14% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2821 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011611 | -1.06% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0747 | ✗ | 1.00 |