DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
50.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0381
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0053
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.203223 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.20688 | -0.68% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.189967 | -0.31% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0828 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185574 | -0.34% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.181841 | -0.28% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.182712 | -0.32% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.187797 | -0.29% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189395 | -0.27% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.206131 | -0.35% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0697 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.231352 | -0.58% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.26849 | -0.94% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1292 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.250521 | -0.59% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.232345 | -0.52% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0786 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.219255 | -0.74% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0573 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216016 | -0.86% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0338 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213575 | -0.45% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212921 | -0.46% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.21383 | -0.45% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.212867 | -0.48% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214378 | -0.52% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215142 | -0.49% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.212761 | -0.51% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213278 | -0.55% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.209634 | -0.58% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.22411 | -0.66% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.229719 | -0.73% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223128 | -0.72% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.22262 | -0.70% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.218739 | -0.71% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.219381 | -0.67% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.217897 | -0.64% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.210522 | -0.70% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214249 | -0.76% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.21048 | -0.97% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.201323 | -0.63% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196233 | -0.39% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.199265 | -0.37% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212146 | -0.61% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215327 | -0.59% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.214503 | -0.51% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.210235 | -0.43% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.199031 | -0.13% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.204786 | -0.35% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.218592 | -0.53% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.232192 | -0.62% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.241223 | -0.59% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.245404 | -0.53% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.241178 | -0.48% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.240439 | -0.42% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.235445 | -0.47% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.256506 | -0.46% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.271561 | -0.42% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.303843 | -0.74% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.279473 | -0.81% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0983 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.25902 | -0.63% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0791 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.23745 | -0.44% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1240 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235089 | -0.39% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.245471 | -0.42% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230706 | -0.36% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0720 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.224128 | -0.37% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.23206 | -0.32% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.252636 | -0.24% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.23442 | -0.37% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0070 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.25331 | -0.70% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1259 | ✓ | 1.00 |