BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s7
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
48.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2738
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0228
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007653 | -0.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007607 | -0.95% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007065 | -0.84% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0329 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006628 | -0.93% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008144 | -1.17% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2266 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.00907 | -1.30% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011488 | -2.62% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1949 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008303 | -1.22% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3266 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012398 | -1.85% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3322 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012391 | -1.78% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015847 | -3.44% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.012046 | -2.34% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3000 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011834 | -2.32% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013881 | -4.46% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008547 | -2.30% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009179 | -3.32% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007896 | -2.62% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011733 | -5.46% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003637 | -2.57% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2069 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002852 | -1.66% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2663 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004111 | -3.96% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002701 | -1.77% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003926 | -3.49% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003098 | -2.98% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2701 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002831 | -3.84% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001725 | -0.97% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5339 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001975 | -2.10% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001103 | -1.01% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001256 | -1.03% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001955 | -0.91% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4108 | ✓ | 1.00 |