FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s6

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1410

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000359998	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000365273	-0.58%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0069	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000351958	-0.21%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0385	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000406543	-0.77%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1414	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000429569	-1.28%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0497	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000357373	+0.10%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.1974	✓	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000384229	-0.11%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0707	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000407699	-0.35%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0606	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000328429	+0.56%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2354	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.00035321	+0.53%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0916	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000385776	+0.20%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0726	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000374685	+0.41%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0198	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.00040546	+0.27%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0865	✗	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000370234	+0.59%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0816	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000504315	-0.33%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3087	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000387707	+0.07%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3025	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000355631	-0.12%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0892	✗	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.00048598	-0.02%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2998	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000512848	+0.10%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0742	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000514043	+0.06%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0061	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.00054008	-0.05%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000624306	+0.15%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1598	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000589822	-0.04%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000745918	+0.08%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2366	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000815022	-0.16%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000939904	-0.33%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1415	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001024	-0.50%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000972968	-0.49%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0597	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001136	-0.70%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1504	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001368	-1.49%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1569	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001215	-1.04%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1378	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001388	-0.98%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1869	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001704	-2.12%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1944	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001596	-2.01%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001665	-2.96%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.000827419	-0.91%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.7267	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001142	-0.73%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.3206	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001419	-0.79%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001478	-0.96%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0502	✓	1.00