FLORK

FLORK · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5

token id: #763
symbol: FLORK
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xf40592daacb3e5abf358789f5688c0b4f64d7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-20
predictions: 540

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

175

of 180 predictions shown

direction hit

62.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1223

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0420

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.003933	0.003895	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	5.23
2026-10-20	oos	0.004125	0.004078	-1.15%	0.003933	-4.67%	0.0212	✓	5.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.004032	0.003989	-1.08%	0.004125	+2.32%	0.0355	✓	5.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.003454	0.00344	-0.39%	0.004032	+16.73%	0.1693	✗	5.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.00347	0.003462	-0.24%	0.003454	-0.46%	0.0416	✓	5.14
2026-10-16	oos	0.003774	0.003754	-0.53%	0.00347	-8.06%	0.0712	✓	5.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.003348	0.003352	+0.15%	0.003774	+12.74%	0.1573	✓	5.10
2026-10-14	oos	0.003046	0.003066	+0.66%	0.003348	+9.90%	0.0532	✓	5.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.003451	0.003462	+0.31%	0.003046	-11.74%	0.0326	✗	5.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003467	0.003485	+0.52%	0.003451	-0.46%	0.0950	✗	5.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.004396	0.004381	-0.34%	0.003467	-21.12%	0.1257	✓	4.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.004267	0.004265	-0.05%	0.004396	+3.02%	0.0110	✓	4.48
2026-10-09	oos	0.004635	0.004619	-0.34%	0.004267	-7.95%	0.0993	✓	4.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.003808	0.003831	+0.60%	0.004635	+21.70%	0.1450	✓	4.37
2026-10-07	oos	0.00422	0.004232	+0.31%	0.003808	-9.74%	0.0228	✗	4.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.004727	0.004721	-0.14%	0.00422	-10.75%	0.0121	✗	4.64
2026-10-05	oos	0.005032	0.005015	-0.32%	0.004727	-6.04%	0.0471	✓	4.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.005847	0.005799	-0.83%	0.005032	-13.95%	0.0992	✓	4.85
2026-10-03	oos	0.006506	0.006432	-1.14%	0.005847	-10.13%	0.1956	✓	4.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.005842	0.005801	-0.70%	0.006506	+11.37%	0.1013	✗	4.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.006148	0.006099	-0.80%	0.005842	-4.98%	0.0237	✓	4.76
2026-09-30	oos	0.006403	0.00635	-0.83%	0.006148	-3.98%	0.1094	✓	5.02
2026-09-29	oos	0.007246	0.007155	-1.25%	0.006403	-11.64%	0.1060	✓	5.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.006295	0.006246	-0.79%	0.007246	+15.10%	0.1376	✗	5.04
2026-09-27	oos	0.006935	0.006859	-1.09%	0.006295	-9.22%	0.0252	✓	5.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.00719	0.007105	-1.19%	0.006935	-3.55%	0.0269	✓	5.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.006766	0.0067	-0.98%	0.00719	+6.27%	0.0512	✗	5.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.008768	0.008619	-1.70%	0.006766	-22.83%	0.2247	✓	5.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.007721	0.007609	-1.45%	0.008768	+13.56%	0.1414	✗	5.03
2026-09-22	oos	0.006789	0.006714	-1.11%	0.007721	+13.73%	0.2548	✗	5.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.007053	0.006966	-1.24%	0.006789	-3.75%	0.0008	✓	5.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.006691	0.006642	-0.74%	0.007053	+5.42%	0.3446	✓	6.24
2026-09-19	oos	0.007862	0.007775	-1.11%	0.006691	-14.89%	0.1444	✓	6.23
2026-09-18	oos	0.009109	0.008949	-1.75%	0.007862	-13.69%	0.1567	✓	6.13
2026-09-17	oos	0.006408	0.006378	-0.47%	0.009109	+42.15%	0.0215	✗	5.82
2026-09-16	oos	0.005785	0.00577	-0.26%	0.006408	+10.77%	0.0892	✗	5.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.004084	0.004085	+0.03%	0.005785	+41.67%	0.3066	✓	5.61
2026-09-14	oos	0.007517	0.007484	-0.45%	0.004084	-45.68%	0.4506	✓	4.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.006585	0.006572	-0.20%	0.007517	+14.15%	0.0556	✗	4.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.009079	0.00903	-0.54%	0.006585	-27.47%	0.2891	✓	4.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.00891	0.008863	-0.53%	0.009079	+1.90%	0.0210	✗	4.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.010048	0.009983	-0.65%	0.00891	-11.33%	0.1520	✓	4.38
2026-09-09	oos	0.006942	0.006609	-4.80%	0.010048	+44.74%	0.5392	✗	5.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.013098	0.013022	-0.58%	0.006942	-47.00%	0.6184	✓	5.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.016474	0.01639	-0.51%	0.013098	-20.49%	0.1839	✓	4.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.019363	0.019264	-0.51%	0.016474	-14.92%	0.0825	✓	4.73
2026-09-05	oos	0.022837	0.022695	-0.62%	0.019363	-15.21%	0.1892	✓	4.80
2026-09-04	oos	0.018725	0.01863	-0.50%	0.022837	+21.96%	0.1947	✗	4.55
2026-09-03	oos	0.02597	0.025783	-0.72%	0.018725	-27.90%	0.2358	✓	4.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.019537	0.019439	-0.51%	0.02597	+32.92%	0.1200	✗	3.40
2026-08-03	oos	0.00012	0.000119906	-0.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2026-08-02	oos	0.0001374	0.00013686	-0.39%	0.00012	-12.66%	0.1304	✓	1.96
2026-08-01	oos	0.0001501	0.000149298	-0.53%	0.0001374	-8.46%	0.1085	✓	2.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0002767	0.000271172	-2.00%	0.0001501	-45.75%	0.5893	✓	2.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.000324	0.000310573	-4.14%	0.0002767	-14.60%	0.0517	✓	2.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.0001227	0.000123023	+0.26%	0.000324	+164.06%	0.9490	✓	1.51
2026-07-28	oos	0.0001533	0.000152798	-0.33%	0.0001227	-19.96%	0.2206	✓	1.57
2026-07-27	oos	0.0001458	0.000145729	-0.05%	0.0001533	+5.14%	0.0470	✗	1.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.0001474	0.000147221	-0.12%	0.0001458	-1.09%	0.0346	✗	1.74
2026-07-25	oos	0.0001242	0.000124712	+0.41%	0.0001474	+18.68%	0.1404	✓	1.66
2026-07-24	oos	0.0001469	0.000147233	+0.23%	0.0001242	-15.45%	0.1753	✗	1.57
2026-07-23	oos	0.0001482	0.000148519	+0.22%	0.0001469	-0.88%	0.0125	✓	1.57
2026-07-22	oos	0.0001463	0.000146611	+0.21%	0.0001482	+1.30%	0.0343	✓	1.49
2026-07-21	oos	0.0001807	0.000180522	-0.10%	0.0001463	-19.04%	0.2005	✓	1.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.0001782	0.000178348	+0.08%	0.0001807	+1.40%	0.0158	✗	1.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.0001866	0.000186806	+0.11%	0.0001782	-4.50%	0.0591	✗	1.46
2026-07-18	oos	0.0002258	0.000225508	-0.13%	0.0001866	-17.36%	0.1868	✓	1.46
2026-07-17	oos	0.0002712	0.000270038	-0.43%	0.0002258	-16.74%	0.2007	✓	1.55
2026-07-16	oos	0.0002521	0.000251465	-0.25%	0.0002712	+7.58%	0.0726	✗	1.54
2026-07-15	oos	0.0002931	0.000291475	-0.55%	0.0002521	-13.99%	0.1231	✓	1.50
2026-07-14	oos	0.000341	0.000338149	-0.84%	0.0002931	-14.05%	0.1367	✓	1.49
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003621	0.000359172	-0.81%	0.000341	-5.83%	0.1216	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.000379	0.000375301	-0.98%	0.0003621	-4.46%	0.0032	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003995	0.000395216	-1.07%	0.000379	-5.13%	0.0410	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003957	0.000391516	-1.06%	0.0003995	+0.96%	0.0295	✗	1.67
2026-07-09	oos	0.0004508	0.00044442	-1.42%	0.0003957	-12.22%	0.1424	✓	1.75
2026-07-08	oos	0.000301	0.000294151	-2.28%	0.0004508	+49.77%	0.4055	✗	1.43
2026-07-07	oos	0.00047	0.000464376	-1.20%	0.000301	-35.96%	0.4131	✓	1.19
2026-07-06	oos	0.0004803	0.000472126	-1.70%	0.00047	-2.14%	0.0083	✓	1.20
2026-07-05	oos	0.00082	0.000811396	-1.05%	0.0004803	-41.43%	0.5335	✓	1.39
2026-07-04	oos	0.001078	0.001062	-1.44%	0.00082	-23.93%	0.2708	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.001188	0.00116	-2.32%	0.001078	-9.26%	0.0876	✓	1.54
2026-07-02	oos	0.000855	0.00083966	-1.79%	0.001188	+38.95%	0.3264	✗	1.24
2026-07-01	oos	0.000655	0.000645882	-1.39%	0.000855	+30.53%	0.2587	✗	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.000741	0.000730282	-1.45%	0.000655	-11.61%	0.1330	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	2.94e-7	2.94e-7	-0.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	3.12e-7	3.11e-7	-0.24%	2.94e-7	-5.67%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	3.36e-7	3.35e-7	-0.36%	3.12e-7	-7.29%	0.0842	✓	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	2.98e-7	2.98e-7	+0.30%	3.36e-7	+12.90%	0.1097	✓	0.93
2026-06-17	oos	3.46e-7	3.46e-7	-0.20%	2.98e-7	-14.11%	0.1294	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	3.72e-7	3.71e-7	-0.41%	3.46e-7	-6.98%	0.0533	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	4.01e-7	3.98e-7	-0.68%	3.72e-7	-7.15%	0.0591	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	3.38e-7	3.38e-7	+0.14%	4.01e-7	+18.80%	0.1649	✓	0.69
2026-06-13	oos	3.52e-7	3.53e-7	+0.24%	3.38e-7	-4.04%	0.0572	✗	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	3.57e-7	3.58e-7	+0.42%	3.52e-7	-1.37%	0.0273	✗	0.67
2026-06-11	oos	4.01e-7	4.02e-7	+0.18%	3.57e-7	-11.02%	0.1183	✗	0.68
2026-06-10	oos	3.75e-7	3.78e-7	+0.71%	4.01e-7	+6.88%	0.0437	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	3.74e-7	3.77e-7	+0.87%	3.75e-7	+0.37%	0.0032	✓	0.46
2026-06-08	oos	3.97e-7	4.00e-7	+0.80%	3.74e-7	-5.82%	0.0576	✗	0.47
2026-06-07	oos	4.64e-7	4.67e-7	+0.50%	3.97e-7	-14.52%	0.1600	✗	0.47
2026-06-06	oos	4.55e-7	4.59e-7	+0.86%	4.64e-7	+2.04%	0.0002	✓	0.30
2026-06-05	oos	4.48e-7	4.53e-7	+1.02%	4.55e-7	+1.56%	0.0062	✓	0.29
2026-06-04	oos	4.85e-7	4.89e-7	+0.83%	4.48e-7	-7.55%	0.0753	✗	0.26
2026-06-03	oos	5.80e-7	5.82e-7	+0.47%	4.85e-7	-16.38%	0.1826	✗	0.27
2026-06-02	oos	5.62e-7	5.65e-7	+0.52%	5.80e-7	+3.17%	0.0487	✓	0.57
2026-06-01	oos	6.00e-7	6.02e-7	+0.21%	5.62e-7	-6.45%	0.0151	✗	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	6.74e-7	6.73e-7	-0.15%	6.00e-7	-10.88%	0.0940	✓	0.63
2026-05-30	oos	5.84e-7	5.86e-7	+0.38%	6.74e-7	+15.40%	0.1412	✓	0.67
2026-05-29	oos	6.58e-7	6.60e-7	+0.23%	5.84e-7	-11.33%	0.1266	✗	0.74
2026-05-28	oos	6.43e-7	6.46e-7	+0.39%	6.58e-7	+2.35%	0.0207	✓	0.74
2026-05-27	oos	6.33e-7	6.36e-7	+0.50%	6.43e-7	+1.66%	0.0209	✓	0.87
2026-05-26	oos	7.17e-7	7.19e-7	+0.31%	6.33e-7	-11.74%	0.1135	✗	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	6.90e-7	6.93e-7	+0.44%	7.17e-7	+3.85%	0.0534	✓	1.07
2026-05-24	oos	7.49e-7	7.52e-7	+0.43%	6.90e-7	-7.82%	0.0896	✗	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	8.02e-7	8.05e-7	+0.43%	7.49e-7	-6.61%	0.0773	✗	1.10
2026-05-22	oos	7.61e-7	7.66e-7	+0.67%	8.02e-7	+5.39%	0.0333	✓	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	9.46e-7	9.50e-7	+0.41%	7.61e-7	-19.56%	0.1942	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.000001063	0.000001067	+0.33%	9.46e-7	-11.01%	0.1208	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.000001057	0.000001062	+0.45%	0.000001063	+0.57%	0.0080	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.000001316	0.000001318	+0.19%	0.000001057	-19.68%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.000001395	0.000001397	+0.14%	0.000001316	-5.66%	0.0537	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.000001587	0.000001586	-0.07%	0.000001395	-12.10%	0.1193	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.000001354	0.000001357	+0.23%	0.000001587	+17.21%	0.1686	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.000001393	0.000001396	+0.22%	0.000001354	-2.80%	0.0054	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.000001677	0.00000168	+0.19%	0.000001393	-16.94%	0.2098	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.000001585	0.00000159	+0.29%	0.000001677	+5.80%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.000001818	0.000001822	+0.21%	0.000001585	-12.82%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.000002312	0.000002311	-0.03%	0.000001818	-21.37%	0.2344	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.000002772	0.000002766	-0.22%	0.000002312	-16.59%	0.1982	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.000002647	0.000002645	-0.06%	0.000002772	+4.72%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.000002433	0.000002434	+0.05%	0.000002647	+8.80%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.000003582	0.000003571	-0.31%	0.000002433	-32.08%	0.3659	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.000003919	0.000003903	-0.41%	0.000003582	-8.60%	0.0923	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.000005398	0.000005335	-1.17%	0.000003919	-27.40%	0.3215	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.000004105	0.000004081	-0.58%	0.000005398	+31.50%	0.2633	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.000003748	0.000003731	-0.47%	0.000004105	+9.53%	0.0972	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.000003913	0.000003894	-0.49%	0.000003748	-4.22%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.0002259	0.000224928	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.0002195	0.000218521	-0.45%	0.0002259	+2.92%	0.0168	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.0002045	0.00020368	-0.40%	0.0002195	+7.33%	0.0353	✗	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.0002157	0.000214717	-0.46%	0.0002045	-5.19%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.0007511	0.000749684	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.15
2025-04-07	in	0.0007467	0.000744549	-0.29%	0.0007511	+0.59%	0.0915	✗	2.23
2025-04-06	in	0.0006971	0.000697379	+0.04%	0.0007467	+7.12%	0.0468	✓	2.20
2025-04-05	in	0.0007712	0.000768297	-0.38%	0.0006971	-9.61%	0.0478	✗	2.29
2025-04-04	in	0.0007747	0.000771975	-0.35%	0.0007712	-0.45%	0.0089	✗	2.29
2025-04-03	in	0.0007187	0.000719239	+0.08%	0.0007747	+7.79%	0.0557	✓	2.27
2025-04-02	in	0.0007508	0.000751539	+0.10%	0.0007187	-4.28%	0.0635	✗	2.28
2025-04-01	in	0.0008037	0.000802357	-0.17%	0.0007508	-6.58%	0.0070	✗	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.000813	0.000813391	+0.05%	0.0008037	-1.14%	0.0856	✗	2.34
2025-03-30	in	0.000721	0.000725714	+0.65%	0.000813	+12.76%	0.1092	✓	2.32
2025-03-29	in	0.000678	0.000684411	+0.95%	0.000721	+6.34%	0.0587	✓	2.32
2025-03-28	in	0.000881	0.000882561	+0.18%	0.000678	-23.04%	0.2162	✗	2.25
2025-03-27	in	0.000913	0.000913693	+0.08%	0.000881	-3.50%	0.0394	✓	2.29
2025-03-26	in	0.0012	0.001195	-0.42%	0.000913	-23.92%	0.2769	✓	2.34
2025-03-25	in	0.001273	0.001267	-0.50%	0.0012	-5.73%	0.0406	✓	2.33
2025-03-24	in	0.001297	0.00129	-0.51%	0.001273	-1.85%	0.0110	✓	2.33
2025-03-23	in	0.001292	0.001287	-0.41%	0.001297	+0.39%	0.0306	✓	2.34
2025-03-22	in	0.001276	0.001273	-0.22%	0.001292	+1.25%	0.0475	✓	2.36
2025-03-21	in	0.001337	0.001333	-0.27%	0.001276	-4.56%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2025-03-20	in	0.001296	0.001295	-0.11%	0.001337	+3.16%	0.0337	✗	1.00
2025-03-19	in	0.001529	0.00152	-0.57%	0.001296	-15.24%	0.1281	✓	1.00
2025-03-18	in	0.001389	0.001388	-0.10%	0.001529	+10.08%	0.0477	✗	1.00
2025-03-17	in	0.00133	0.001331	+0.07%	0.001389	+4.44%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2025-03-16	in	0.00128	0.001284	+0.34%	0.00133	+3.91%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2025-03-15	in	0.001394	0.001396	+0.16%	0.00128	-8.18%	0.0655	✗	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.001647	0.001644	-0.17%	0.001394	-15.36%	0.1695	✓	1.00
2025-03-13	in	0.001567	0.001569	+0.14%	0.001647	+5.11%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2025-03-12	in	0.001934	0.001925	-0.48%	0.001567	-18.98%	0.1742	✓	1.00
2025-03-11	in	0.001798	0.001793	-0.26%	0.001934	+7.56%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2025-03-10	in	0.00146	0.001467	+0.51%	0.001798	+23.15%	0.1490	✓	1.00
2025-03-09	in	0.001635	0.001639	+0.22%	0.00146	-10.70%	0.0884	✗	1.00
2025-03-08	in	0.001889	0.001886	-0.17%	0.001635	-13.45%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2025-03-07	in	0.002226	0.00222	-0.29%	0.001889	-15.14%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2025-03-06	in	0.002583	0.002572	-0.41%	0.002226	-13.82%	0.1088	✓	1.00
2025-03-05	in	0.002641	0.00263	-0.40%	0.002583	-2.20%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2025-03-04	in	0.002791	0.002779	-0.44%	0.002641	-5.37%	0.0886	✓	1.00
2025-03-03	in	0.00273	0.002719	-0.40%	0.002791	+2.23%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2025-03-02	in	0.00327	0.003245	-0.77%	0.00273	-16.51%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2025-03-01	in	0.002594	0.002585	-0.35%	0.00327	+26.06%	0.1436	✗	1.00