DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s5
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
50.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0385
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0092
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.201739 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.204953 | -1.61% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.188817 | -0.91% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0888 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.184441 | -0.94% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.180907 | -0.79% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.181724 | -0.86% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.186926 | -0.76% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.188525 | -0.72% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.204635 | -1.07% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.229079 | -1.56% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1137 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.265268 | -2.13% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1171 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.248417 | -1.42% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.23091 | -1.13% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0848 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.218271 | -1.19% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0618 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.215533 | -1.09% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.21289 | -0.77% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0407 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.21213 | -0.83% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.212907 | -0.88% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.21202 | -0.88% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.213604 | -0.88% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.214295 | -0.88% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.211929 | -0.90% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.212323 | -0.99% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.208509 | -1.11% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.222608 | -1.33% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.228 | -1.47% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.221382 | -1.50% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0418 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.221145 | -1.36% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.217273 | -1.37% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.217995 | -1.29% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.216731 | -1.17% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0221 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.20954 | -1.16% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.213415 | -1.15% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.20988 | -1.26% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.200953 | -0.81% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196008 | -0.50% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.199055 | -0.47% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.211938 | -0.71% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0390 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215134 | -0.68% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.214377 | -0.57% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.210106 | -0.49% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.198885 | -0.21% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.204832 | -0.33% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.218644 | -0.50% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.232066 | -0.68% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.240815 | -0.76% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.244952 | -0.71% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.2408 | -0.64% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.239883 | -0.65% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.235048 | -0.63% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.255579 | -0.82% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0762 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.270269 | -0.89% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.302793 | -1.08% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.278926 | -1.00% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.1003 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.258351 | -0.88% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.236679 | -0.76% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.234587 | -0.60% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.244888 | -0.65% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230139 | -0.61% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.223527 | -0.63% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.231345 | -0.63% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.251698 | -0.61% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0617 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.233763 | -0.65% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.252742 | -0.92% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1237 | ✓ | 1.00 |