DELTA
Delta · Robinhood · gru_s5
- token id
- #742
- symbol
- DELTA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xe8ffd7e24187f72afb08d75b1bb13088a989a791
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
63.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1189
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0069
actual -0.0033
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011723 | -0.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012167 | -0.88% | 0.011815 | -3.75% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.011275 | 0.011205 | -0.62% | 0.012275 | +8.87% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.011017 | -0.53% | 0.011275 | +1.81% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011557 | -0.54% | 0.011075 | -4.69% | 0.0686 | ✓ | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012941 | 0.012837 | -0.80% | 0.01162 | -10.21% | 0.0947 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.013122 | 0.01301 | -0.85% | 0.012941 | -1.38% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.01289 | 0.012796 | -0.73% | 0.013122 | +1.80% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.014953 | 0.014746 | -1.39% | 0.01289 | -13.80% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.011504 | 0.01144 | -0.55% | 0.014953 | +29.99% | 0.2164 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.00957 | 0.009592 | +0.23% | 0.011504 | +20.21% | 0.2630 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00982 | 0.009848 | +0.28% | 0.00957 | -2.55% | 0.0608 | ✗ | 3.50 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011175 | 0.011157 | -0.16% | 0.00982 | -12.12% | 0.1432 | ✓ | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.011133 | 0.011127 | -0.05% | 0.011175 | +0.38% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.012469 | 0.012408 | -0.49% | 0.011133 | -10.71% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.013666 | 0.013552 | -0.83% | 0.012469 | -8.76% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.013962 | 0.013841 | -0.87% | 0.013666 | -2.12% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.016442 | 0.016274 | -1.02% | 0.013962 | -15.09% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.017937 | 0.017738 | -1.11% | 0.016442 | -8.33% | 0.1495 | ✓ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.016716 | 0.016525 | -1.14% | 0.017937 | +7.30% | 0.0719 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.016504 | 0.016284 | -1.33% | 0.016716 | +1.29% | 0.0407 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.018147 | 0.017879 | -1.48% | 0.016504 | -9.06% | 0.1373 | ✓ | 3.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.019621 | 0.019308 | -1.60% | 0.018147 | -7.51% | 0.0584 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021976 | 0.021636 | -1.55% | 0.019621 | -10.72% | 0.1058 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.023136 | 0.022747 | -1.68% | 0.021976 | -5.01% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 3.68 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.020233 | 0.019898 | -1.66% | 0.023136 | +14.35% | 0.1488 | ✗ | 3.69 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.021156 | 0.020825 | -1.56% | 0.020233 | -4.36% | 0.0431 | ✓ | 3.70 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024448 | 0.024048 | -1.64% | 0.021156 | -13.47% | 0.1155 | ✓ | 3.64 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.025309 | 0.02477 | -2.13% | 0.024448 | -3.40% | 0.0134 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.020785 | 0.020423 | -1.74% | 0.025309 | +21.77% | 0.2359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.020234 | 0.019699 | -2.64% | 0.020785 | +2.72% | 0.0582 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011271 | 0.011209 | -0.55% | 0.020234 | +79.53% | 0.5259 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.012282 | -0.71% | 0.011271 | -8.88% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0163 | 0.01608 | -1.35% | 0.01237 | -24.11% | 0.2668 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.013229 | 0.013156 | -0.55% | 0.0163 | +23.21% | 0.1566 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.014519 | 0.014367 | -1.04% | 0.013229 | -8.88% | 0.0852 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.01313 | 0.013045 | -0.65% | 0.014519 | +10.58% | 0.0997 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.010613 | 0.010643 | +0.28% | 0.01313 | +23.71% | 0.2437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007963 | 0.008043 | +1.01% | 0.010613 | +33.29% | 0.2596 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010432 | 0.010504 | +0.69% | 0.007963 | -23.67% | 0.2710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.011622 | 0.01168 | +0.50% | 0.010432 | -10.24% | 0.1137 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011299 | 0.011363 | +0.57% | 0.011622 | +2.86% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.011225 | 0.011294 | +0.61% | 0.011299 | +0.65% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015572 | 0.015538 | -0.22% | 0.011225 | -27.91% | 0.3230 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.014605 | 0.014593 | -0.08% | 0.015572 | +6.62% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012454 | 0.012483 | +0.23% | 0.014605 | +17.27% | 0.1727 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.012201 | 0.012212 | +0.09% | 0.012454 | +2.07% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.015719 | 0.015692 | -0.17% | 0.012201 | -22.38% | 0.2536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.018546 | 0.018457 | -0.48% | 0.015719 | -15.24% | 0.1408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.013588 | 0.013517 | -0.52% | 0.018546 | +36.48% | 0.2664 | ✗ | 1.00 |