BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · gru_s5

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 486

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

161

of 162 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0624

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0028

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005554	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005651	+0.01%	0.005555	-1.68%	0.0152	✗	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005762	+0.13%	0.00565	-1.82%	0.0285	✗	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.006005	+0.09%	0.005755	-4.08%	0.0412	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006791	-0.06%	0.006	-11.70%	0.1292	✓	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007197	-0.11%	0.006795	-5.69%	0.0565	✓	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.00728	-0.07%	0.007205	-1.10%	0.0049	✓	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008198	-0.15%	0.007285	-11.27%	0.1230	✓	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008585	-0.17%	0.00821	-4.53%	0.0291	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.01033	-0.48%	0.0086	-17.15%	0.1989	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.00983	-0.25%	0.01038	+5.33%	0.0681	✗	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009878	-0.23%	0.009855	-0.45%	0.0062	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009358	-0.12%	0.0099	+5.66%	0.0545	✗	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009626	-0.15%	0.00937	-2.80%	0.0310	✓	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.011139	-0.28%	0.00964	-13.70%	0.1382	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010957	-0.17%	0.01117	+1.78%	0.0292	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.01142	-0.26%	0.010975	-4.15%	0.0388	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011263	-0.24%	0.01145	+1.42%	0.0201	✗	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.011056	-0.22%	0.01129	+1.90%	0.0125	✗	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.01102	-0.27%	0.01108	+0.27%	0.0043	✗	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.011502	-0.29%	0.01105	-4.20%	0.0384	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011531	-0.30%	0.011535	-0.26%	0.0054	✓	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011371	-0.25%	0.011565	+1.45%	0.0173	✗	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011447	-0.29%	0.0114	-0.70%	0.0050	✓	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012385	-0.44%	0.01148	-7.72%	0.0696	✓	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013117	-0.52%	0.01244	-5.65%	0.0533	✓	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013201	-0.52%	0.013185	-0.64%	0.0033	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013452	-0.57%	0.01327	-1.92%	0.0118	✓	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012247	-0.27%	0.01353	+10.18%	0.0996	✗	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.013939	-0.58%	0.01228	-12.41%	0.1157	✓	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013872	-0.49%	0.01402	+0.57%	0.0133	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013715	-0.25%	0.01394	+1.38%	0.0261	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.014223	-0.33%	0.01375	-3.64%	0.0332	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.01399	-0.39%	0.01427	+1.60%	0.0171	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013752	-0.56%	0.014045	+1.55%	0.0141	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012783	-0.52%	0.01383	+7.63%	0.0771	✗	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012416	-0.51%	0.01285	+2.96%	0.0300	✗	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012635	-0.32%	0.01248	-1.54%	0.0084	✗	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.012621	-0.23%	0.012675	+0.20%	0.0066	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013334	-0.30%	0.01265	-5.42%	0.0491	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.013981	-0.28%	0.013375	-4.60%	0.0447	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012618	-0.05%	0.01402	+11.05%	0.1003	✗	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.01339	-0.00%	0.012625	-5.71%	0.0462	✓	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014456	+0.07%	0.01339	-7.30%	0.0752	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015183	+0.15%	0.014445	-4.72%	0.0445	✗	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.015321	+0.27%	0.01516	-0.79%	0.0007	✓	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.01555	+0.26%	0.01528	-1.48%	0.0216	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015681	+0.26%	0.01551	-0.83%	0.0123	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.01675	+0.30%	0.01564	-6.35%	0.0561	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016447	+0.16%	0.0167	+1.71%	0.0164	✗	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018261	+0.12%	0.01642	-9.98%	0.1055	✗	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.01932	+0.11%	0.01824	-5.49%	0.0498	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.01882	+0.11%	0.0193	+2.66%	0.0188	✓	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.01978	+0.07%	0.0188	-4.88%	0.0475	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020193	+0.02%	0.019765	-2.11%	0.0237	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020331	+0.05%	0.02019	-0.64%	0.0073	✓	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.020175	+0.03%	0.02032	+0.74%	0.0002	✓	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019499	+0.05%	0.02017	+3.49%	0.0311	✓	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020436	-0.04%	0.01949	-4.67%	0.0446	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021106	-0.16%	0.020445	-3.29%	0.0395	✓	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020722	-0.13%	0.02114	+1.88%	0.0160	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.021358	-0.10%	0.02075	-2.95%	0.0212	✓	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019899	-0.05%	0.02138	+7.38%	0.0429	✗	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.020054	-0.13%	0.01991	-0.85%	0.0227	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019285	-0.08%	0.02008	+4.04%	0.0264	✗	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.02015	-0.10%	0.0193	-4.31%	0.0434	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.0203	-0.10%	0.02017	-0.74%	0.0091	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020942	-0.08%	0.02032	-3.05%	0.0299	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021608	-0.10%	0.02096	-3.10%	0.0305	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.02297	-0.13%	0.02163	-5.96%	0.0592	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.023057	-0.12%	0.023	-0.37%	0.0025	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024939	-0.20%	0.023085	-7.62%	0.0766	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.025117	-0.21%	0.02499	-0.72%	0.0028	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024471	-0.20%	0.02517	+2.65%	0.0319	✗	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024896	-0.18%	0.02452	-1.68%	0.0150	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024085	-0.14%	0.02494	+3.40%	0.0348	✗	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023877	-0.14%	0.02412	+0.88%	0.0074	✗	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.024043	-0.15%	0.02391	-0.71%	0.0038	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023079	-0.11%	0.02408	+4.22%	0.0396	✗	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.023213	-0.12%	0.023105	-0.58%	0.0093	✓	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023866	-0.14%	0.02324	-2.76%	0.0263	✓	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024414	-0.19%	0.0239	-2.29%	0.0266	✓	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.023808	-0.18%	0.02446	+2.56%	0.0275	✗	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.024079	-0.21%	0.02385	-1.16%	0.0043	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.02335	-0.17%	0.02413	+3.16%	0.0271	✗	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.023697	-0.18%	0.02339	-1.47%	0.0134	✓	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022595	-0.11%	0.02374	+4.95%	0.0484	✗	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.025024	-0.22%	0.02262	-9.81%	0.0915	✓	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.026572	-0.33%	0.02508	-5.93%	0.0644	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028552	-0.58%	0.02666	-7.17%	0.0700	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.031069	-1.05%	0.02872	-8.54%	0.0728	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024783	-0.35%	0.0314	+26.26%	0.2447	✗	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025381	-0.39%	0.02487	-2.39%	0.0170	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023973	-0.24%	0.02548	+6.03%	0.0518	✗	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.025084	-0.34%	0.02403	-4.53%	0.0469	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.02509	-0.20%	0.02517	+0.12%	0.0040	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023277	+0.16%	0.02514	+8.18%	0.0710	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.02658	-0.00%	0.02324	-12.57%	0.1352	✓	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.034071	-0.44%	0.02658	-22.33%	0.2432	✓	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041167	-0.85%	0.03422	-17.58%	0.1834	✓	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.058341	-2.41%	0.04152	-30.55%	0.3854	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.048617	-1.72%	0.05978	+20.84%	0.2355	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.040629	-0.69%	0.04947	+20.92%	0.1975	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.039021	-0.63%	0.04091	+4.18%	0.0540	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037674	-0.39%	0.03927	+3.83%	0.0235	✗	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037451	-0.26%	0.03782	+0.72%	0.0083	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.039763	-0.39%	0.03755	-5.94%	0.0368	✓	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042592	-0.69%	0.03992	-6.92%	0.0524	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.042302	-0.40%	0.04289	+0.99%	0.0062	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.041191	-0.23%	0.04247	+2.87%	0.0215	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.041092	-0.12%	0.041285	+0.35%	0.0058	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.045054	-0.23%	0.04114	-8.90%	0.1121	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.043359	+0.02%	0.04516	+4.18%	0.0090	✓	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.044538	+0.06%	0.04335	-2.61%	0.0599	✗	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.054568	-0.82%	0.04451	-19.10%	0.1720	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.044065	+0.22%	0.05502	+25.13%	0.2108	✓	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039403	+0.80%	0.04397	+12.48%	0.1173	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.041221	+0.76%	0.03909	-4.45%	0.0519	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.041685	+0.86%	0.04091	-1.02%	0.0238	✗	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.045294	+0.59%	0.04133	-8.22%	0.0713	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.050799	+0.16%	0.04503	-11.22%	0.0979	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.05601	-0.21%	0.05072	-9.63%	0.0835	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.05772	-0.21%	0.056125	-2.97%	0.0371	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.056115	-0.06%	0.05784	+3.01%	0.0430	✗	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.058612	-0.08%	0.05615	-4.28%	0.0532	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063588	-0.21%	0.05866	-7.94%	0.0898	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.066001	-0.33%	0.06372	-3.78%	0.0122	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067627	-0.43%	0.06622	-2.50%	0.0045	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.06998	-0.50%	0.06792	-3.43%	0.0208	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.073374	-0.58%	0.07033	-4.70%	0.0507	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072634	-0.47%	0.0738	+1.12%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.073073	-0.45%	0.07298	-0.57%	0.0158	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.06944	-0.29%	0.0734	+5.40%	0.0559	✗	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.06322	+0.19%	0.06964	+10.36%	0.0666	✓	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070543	-0.08%	0.0631	-10.62%	0.1079	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.069783	-0.05%	0.0706	+1.12%	0.0322	✗	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.074199	-0.20%	0.06982	-6.09%	0.0572	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.072295	+0.10%	0.07435	+2.95%	0.0139	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.070203	+0.29%	0.07222	+3.17%	0.0315	✓	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.073696	+0.10%	0.07	-4.92%	0.0084	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.086328	-0.41%	0.07362	-15.07%	0.1555	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.081497	-0.35%	0.08668	+5.99%	0.1017	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.087674	-0.98%	0.08178	-7.63%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.079976	-0.64%	0.08854	+10.00%	0.1329	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.073515	-0.14%	0.08049	+9.33%	0.0933	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.070632	+0.10%	0.07362	+4.34%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.083484	-0.54%	0.07056	-15.94%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.078783	-0.22%	0.08394	+6.31%	0.0743	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.090178	-0.69%	0.07896	-13.04%	0.1127	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.088322	-0.63%	0.0908	+2.16%	0.0463	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.111109	-1.39%	0.08888	-21.11%	0.2268	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.096602	-1.14%	0.11267	+15.30%	0.1496	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.087188	-0.85%	0.09772	+11.12%	0.0982	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.075713	-0.38%	0.08794	+15.71%	0.1772	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.085509	-0.46%	0.076	-11.53%	0.1188	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.11125	-0.61%	0.0859	-23.26%	0.2678	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.150659	-1.01%	0.11193	-26.46%	0.2949	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.15498	-1.07%	0.1522	-2.84%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.142129	-0.80%	0.15665	+9.33%	0.1063	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.171789	-1.16%	0.14328	-17.56%	0.1693	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.204151	-2.06%	0.1738	-16.62%	0.1357	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.179743	-1.83%	0.20844	+13.84%	0.1258	✗	1.00