APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s5

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0400

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.050346	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.050368	-0.23%	0.05044	-0.09%	0.0011	✓	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.049449	-0.20%	0.050485	+1.89%	0.0223	✗	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.051426	-0.29%	0.04955	-3.93%	0.0374	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.051266	-0.29%	0.051575	+0.31%	0.0067	✗	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.051342	-0.27%	0.051415	-0.13%	0.0013	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.051483	-0.34%	0.05148	-0.35%	0.0007	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.050728	-0.44%	0.05166	+1.39%	0.0188	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.047802	-0.43%	0.05095	+6.12%	0.0619	✗	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.045799	-0.37%	0.04801	+4.44%	0.0495	✗	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.043365	-0.41%	0.04597	+5.57%	0.0589	✗	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.038057	-0.05%	0.043545	+14.37%	0.1350	✗	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.044388	-0.32%	0.038075	-14.50%	0.1533	✓	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.039715	+0.02%	0.04453	+12.15%	0.1151	✓	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.048663	-0.27%	0.039705	-18.63%	0.2068	✓	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.049972	-0.20%	0.048795	-2.55%	0.0290	✓	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.055447	-0.31%	0.05007	-9.98%	0.1025	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.055415	-0.22%	0.05562	+0.14%	0.0017	✓	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.055442	-0.21%	0.05554	-0.04%	0.0067	✗	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.059649	-0.23%	0.05556	-7.07%	0.0703	✓	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.067696	-0.29%	0.059785	-11.94%	0.1253	✓	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.069411	-0.39%	0.067895	-2.57%	0.0179	✓	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.071103	-0.40%	0.069685	-2.39%	0.0204	✓	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.064793	-0.12%	0.07139	+10.05%	0.0974	✗	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.072144	-0.27%	0.06487	-10.33%	0.1114	✓	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.078433	-0.41%	0.07234	-8.15%	0.0806	✓	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.08064	-0.48%	0.078755	-2.81%	0.0222	✓	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.080581	-0.48%	0.08103	+0.07%	0.0042	✓	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.081655	-0.46%	0.08097	-1.29%	0.0084	✓	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.084681	-0.53%	0.08203	-3.64%	0.0402	✓	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.079219	-0.39%	0.08513	+7.04%	0.0703	✗	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.08092	-0.34%	0.07953	-2.06%	0.0031	✓	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.084995	-0.43%	0.0812	-4.88%	0.0460	✓	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.085306	-0.40%	0.085365	-0.33%	0.0021	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.084814	-0.30%	0.08565	+0.68%	0.0320	✗	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.083254	-0.22%	0.08507	+1.95%	0.0226	✗	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.086812	-0.31%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0373	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.085655	-0.23%	0.08708	+1.43%	0.0060	✗	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.079505	-0.02%	0.08585	+7.95%	0.0828	✗	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.083576	-0.03%	0.079525	-4.88%	0.0518	✓	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.084788	-0.03%	0.083605	-1.42%	0.0138	✓	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.090041	-0.13%	0.08481	-5.93%	0.0570	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.089113	-0.01%	0.090155	+1.16%	0.0045	✗	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.091883	-0.02%	0.08912	-3.03%	0.0311	✓	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.096302	-0.08%	0.0919	-4.65%	0.0491	✓	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.087161	+0.12%	0.09638	+10.71%	0.0971	✓	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.089014	+0.13%	0.087055	-2.07%	0.0209	✗	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.08922	+0.19%	0.088895	-0.18%	0.0033	✗	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.091468	+0.28%	0.089055	-2.36%	0.0306	✗	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.093074	+0.10%	0.09121	-1.90%	0.0124	✗	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.16624	-2.09%	0.09298	-45.24%	0.5813	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.081509	+0.33%	0.16979	+109.00%	0.7361	✓	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.074534	+0.41%	0.08124	+9.44%	0.0852	✓	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.074892	+0.43%	0.07423	-0.46%	0.0081	✗	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.07455	+0.44%	0.07457	+0.47%	0.0003	✓	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.085653	+0.38%	0.07422	-13.02%	0.1429	✗	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.102365	+0.25%	0.08533	-16.43%	0.1832	✗	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.106886	+0.22%	0.10211	-4.26%	0.0462	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.112436	+0.24%	0.10665	-4.92%	0.0525	✗	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.124478	+0.10%	0.11217	-9.79%	0.1057	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.12248	+0.11%	0.12435	+1.63%	0.0143	✓	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.121385	+0.15%	0.12235	+0.95%	0.0096	✓	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.121009	+0.03%	0.1212	+0.19%	0.0054	✗	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.129004	-0.11%	0.12097	-6.33%	0.0750	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.131201	-0.18%	0.12915	-1.74%	0.0344	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.132936	-0.21%	0.13144	-1.33%	0.0122	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.135472	-0.25%	0.13321	-1.91%	0.0248	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.133274	-0.21%	0.13581	+1.69%	0.0197	✗	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.131303	-0.15%	0.13355	+1.56%	0.0167	✗	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.139993	-0.23%	0.1315	-6.29%	0.0605	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.14419	-0.26%	0.14032	-2.93%	0.0273	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.146533	-0.29%	0.14456	-1.63%	0.0129	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.145495	-0.29%	0.14696	+0.71%	0.0119	✗	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.138423	-0.19%	0.14592	+5.22%	0.0581	✗	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.144237	-0.26%	0.13868	-4.10%	0.0389	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.143381	-0.22%	0.14461	+0.63%	0.0085	✗	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.145665	-0.25%	0.1437	-1.60%	0.0168	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.144782	-0.24%	0.14603	+0.62%	0.0103	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.147858	-0.27%	0.14513	-2.11%	0.0214	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.151235	-0.32%	0.14826	-2.28%	0.0229	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.155472	-0.36%	0.15172	-2.77%	0.0243	✓	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.150362	-0.36%	0.15604	+3.40%	0.0338	✗	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.136314	-0.22%	0.15091	+10.47%	0.1020	✗	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.142479	-0.20%	0.13661	-4.31%	0.0345	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.147224	-0.21%	0.14276	-3.24%	0.0348	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.151796	-0.24%	0.14754	-3.04%	0.0287	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.152366	-0.26%	0.15216	-0.40%	0.0021	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.151867	-0.23%	0.15277	+0.37%	0.0143	✗	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.139952	-0.15%	0.15221	+8.60%	0.0796	✗	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.142175	-0.14%	0.14016	-1.56%	0.0151	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.147201	-0.14%	0.14238	-3.41%	0.0296	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.158095	-0.20%	0.14741	-6.94%	0.0664	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.158071	-0.20%	0.15841	+0.01%	0.0036	✗	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.15081	-0.17%	0.15839	+4.85%	0.0452	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.146531	-0.13%	0.15106	+2.96%	0.0292	✗	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.154213	-0.19%	0.14672	-5.04%	0.0495	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.156802	-0.23%	0.1545	-1.70%	0.0179	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.163925	-0.40%	0.15717	-4.50%	0.0426	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.147467	-0.26%	0.16458	+11.32%	0.1140	✗	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.135651	-0.14%	0.14785	+8.84%	0.0874	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.12396	-0.07%	0.13584	+9.50%	0.0839	✗	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.119909	-0.00%	0.12405	+3.45%	0.0389	✗	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.125367	-0.03%	0.11991	-4.38%	0.0444	✓	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.122249	-0.00%	0.1254	+2.58%	0.0267	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.123048	-0.03%	0.12225	-0.67%	0.0100	✓	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.123089	-0.03%	0.12308	-0.04%	0.0041	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.121703	-0.01%	0.12313	+1.16%	0.0164	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.118061	+0.04%	0.12172	+3.14%	0.0331	✓	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.124211	+0.00%	0.11802	-4.98%	0.0540	✗	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.127844	-0.04%	0.12421	-2.88%	0.0323	✓	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.12751	-0.04%	0.12789	+0.26%	0.0008	✓	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.134449	-0.13%	0.12756	-5.24%	0.0602	✓	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.133158	-0.18%	0.13462	+0.91%	0.0004	✓	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.123972	-0.10%	0.1334	+7.49%	0.0632	✗	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.101821	+0.17%	0.1241	+22.09%	0.2141	✓	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.107626	+0.14%	0.10165	-5.42%	0.0640	✗	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.126742	-0.04%	0.10748	-15.23%	0.1607	✓	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.124994	-0.02%	0.12679	+1.42%	0.0149	✗	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.119355	+0.05%	0.12502	+4.79%	0.0437	✓	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.123803	+0.01%	0.1193	-3.63%	0.0250	✗	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.125268	+0.01%	0.12379	-1.17%	0.0018	✗	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.136187	-0.05%	0.12526	-8.07%	0.0772	✓	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.143065	-0.09%	0.13626	-4.85%	0.0525	✓	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.144122	-0.09%	0.1432	-0.73%	0.0007	✓	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.149069	-0.11%	0.14425	-3.34%	0.0374	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.152277	-0.12%	0.14924	-2.12%	0.0239	✓	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.165089	-0.21%	0.152465	-7.84%	0.0712	✓	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.163476	-0.20%	0.16544	+1.00%	0.0183	✗	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.170402	-0.28%	0.1638	-4.14%	0.0355	✓	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.169843	-0.28%	0.17088	+0.33%	0.0025	✓	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.169484	-0.27%	0.17032	+0.22%	0.0039	✓	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.168466	-0.27%	0.16995	+0.61%	0.0028	✗	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.169026	-0.27%	0.16892	-0.33%	0.0005	✓	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.164622	-0.24%	0.16948	+2.71%	0.0136	✗	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.169376	-0.26%	0.16501	-2.83%	0.0243	✓	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.171363	-0.29%	0.16981	-1.19%	0.0010	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.173018	-0.31%	0.17186	-0.97%	0.0051	✓	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.169318	-0.20%	0.17355	+2.29%	0.0122	✗	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.169225	-0.18%	0.16966	+0.08%	0.0035	✗	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.172753	-0.21%	0.16953	-2.07%	0.0040	✓	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.170374	-0.20%	0.17312	+1.41%	0.0172	✗	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.172522	-0.26%	0.17071	-1.31%	0.0039	✗	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.170881	-0.27%	0.17298	+0.96%	0.0366	✗	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.180233	-0.35%	0.17134	-5.27%	0.0407	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.181676	-0.43%	0.180875	-0.87%	0.0036	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.182382	-0.41%	0.18247	-0.36%	0.0013	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.181924	-0.41%	0.18313	+0.25%	0.0072	✗	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.180774	-0.37%	0.18267	+0.67%	0.0139	✗	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.176118	-0.28%	0.18145	+2.73%	0.0370	✗	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.179772	-0.34%	0.17662	-2.08%	0.0103	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.181872	-0.36%	0.18038	-1.18%	0.0097	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.179808	-0.27%	0.18253	+1.24%	0.0132	✗	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.181694	-0.24%	0.1803	-1.01%	0.0147	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.183007	-0.27%	0.18214	-0.75%	0.0077	✗	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.189776	-0.30%	0.18351	-3.59%	0.0340	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.184267	-0.22%	0.19035	+3.07%	0.0284	✗	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.192017	-0.27%	0.18468	-4.08%	0.0380	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.196175	-0.29%	0.19254	-2.14%	0.0161	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.204169	-0.35%	0.19675	-3.97%	0.0333	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.201203	-0.36%	0.20489	+1.47%	0.0235	✗	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.19011	-0.32%	0.20193	+5.88%	0.0727	✗	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.173995	-0.07%	0.19072	+9.53%	0.0831	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.174123	-0.05%	0.17412	-0.05%	0.0058	✗	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.183751	-0.11%	0.17421	-5.29%	0.0477	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.185503	-0.08%	0.18395	-0.92%	0.0060	✓	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.196676	-0.12%	0.18566	-5.71%	0.0660	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.195526	-0.07%	0.19691	+0.63%	0.0046	✗	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.198965	-0.06%	0.19567	-1.72%	0.0177	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.193589	+0.04%	0.19909	+2.88%	0.0344	✓	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.192599	+0.11%	0.19352	+0.59%	0.0020	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.201928	+0.09%	0.19238	-4.64%	0.0541	✗	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.204827	+0.09%	0.20175	-1.42%	0.0212	✗	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.209432	+0.07%	0.20465	-2.22%	0.0225	✗	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.201836	+0.11%	0.20929	+3.81%	0.0341	✓	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.193149	+0.12%	0.20161	+4.50%	0.0343	✓	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.194818	+0.07%	0.19292	-0.90%	0.0123	✗	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.205393	-0.01%	0.19468	-5.22%	0.0513	✓	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.206582	+0.02%	0.20541	-0.55%	0.0015	✗	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.203735	+0.08%	0.20654	+1.46%	0.0190	✓	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.20784	-0.00%	0.20357	-2.06%	0.0250	✓	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.214306	-0.04%	0.20785	-3.05%	0.0314	✓	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.225811	-0.06%	0.21439	-5.11%	0.0482	✓	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.216316	-0.04%	0.22594	+4.40%	0.0432	✗	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.216977	-0.09%	0.21641	-0.35%	0.0110	✓	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.243037	-0.12%	0.21717	-10.75%	0.1148	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.239112	-0.19%	0.24333	+1.57%	0.0071	✗	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.256468	-0.14%	0.23956	-6.73%	0.0588	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.274495	-0.15%	0.25684	-6.57%	0.0601	✓	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.279536	-0.23%	0.27491	-1.88%	0.0259	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.272751	-0.21%	0.28018	+2.51%	0.0253	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.270695	-0.22%	0.27333	+0.75%	0.0065	✗	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.267599	-0.19%	0.27129	+1.19%	0.0150	✗	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.275393	-0.30%	0.26811	-2.94%	0.0468	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.298553	-0.45%	0.27622	-7.90%	0.0656	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.284591	-0.40%	0.29991	+4.96%	0.0520	✗	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.267328	-0.35%	0.28573	+6.51%	0.0607	✗	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.274396	-0.53%	0.26827	-2.75%	0.0262	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.244398	-0.39%	0.27586	+12.44%	0.1254	✗	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.211089	-0.23%	0.24535	+15.96%	0.1377	✗	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.19787	-0.16%	0.21158	+6.76%	0.0676	✗	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.202747	-0.17%	0.19818	-2.42%	0.0306	✓	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.198672	-0.13%	0.2031	+2.09%	0.0205	✗	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.200839	-0.10%	0.19894	-1.04%	0.0098	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.210031	-0.12%	0.20104	-4.39%	0.0382	✓	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.211328	-0.08%	0.21028	-0.58%	0.0045	✓	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.213859	-0.06%	0.2115	-1.16%	0.0182	✓	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.232428	-0.12%	0.21399	-8.04%	0.0867	✓	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.235695	-0.11%	0.23271	-1.37%	0.0108	✓	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.243309	-0.14%	0.23595	-3.16%	0.0305	✓	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.263001	-0.23%	0.24364	-7.57%	0.0647	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.221727	-0.02%	0.2636	+18.86%	0.1878	✗	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.236958	-0.05%	0.22177	-6.46%	0.0708	✓	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.241208	-0.06%	0.237085	-1.77%	0.0152	✓	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.232836	-0.03%	0.24136	+3.63%	0.0191	✗	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.239352	-0.03%	0.2329	-2.72%	0.0213	✓	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.244103	-0.02%	0.23942	-1.93%	0.0107	✓	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.25522	-0.01%	0.24414	-4.35%	0.0476	✓	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.259595	-0.01%	0.25525	-1.68%	0.0077	✓	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.280393	+0.00%	0.25961	-7.41%	0.0598	✗	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.300255	-0.06%	0.28038	-6.67%	0.0630	✓	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.28612	-0.04%	0.300425	+4.96%	0.0370	✗	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.292905	-0.11%	0.28623	-2.39%	0.0325	✓	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.300243	-0.23%	0.29323	-2.57%	0.0254	✓	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.238968	+0.01%	0.30095	+25.95%	0.2282	✓	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.219643	+0.08%	0.238945	+8.87%	0.0824	✓	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.241807	+0.08%	0.21947	-9.16%	0.0983	✗	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.252987	+0.11%	0.24161	-4.39%	0.0552	✗	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.275579	+0.11%	0.2527	-8.20%	0.1034	✗	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.285392	+0.10%	0.275275	-3.45%	0.0272	✗	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.296001	+0.10%	0.285105	-3.59%	0.0319	✗	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.303426	+0.09%	0.29572	-2.45%	0.0078	✗	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.313174	+0.07%	0.30314	-3.14%	0.0216	✗	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.322051	+0.04%	0.31296	-2.78%	0.0582	✗	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.309992	+0.09%	0.32191	+3.94%	0.0413	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.309558	+0.11%	0.30972	+0.16%	0.0236	✗	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.319961	+0.09%	0.30922	-3.27%	0.0245	✗	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.325321	+0.11%	0.31967	-1.63%	0.0265	✗	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.331311	+0.10%	0.32496	-1.82%	0.0063	✗	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.34739	+0.06%	0.33098	-4.66%	0.0444	✗	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.332211	+0.18%	0.34717	+4.69%	0.0128	✓	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.339633	+0.17%	0.33162	-2.19%	0.0195	✗	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.360944	+0.11%	0.33904	-5.97%	0.0410	✗	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.370267	+0.11%	0.36056	-2.52%	0.0242	✗	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.3694	+0.14%	0.36987	+0.26%	0.0015	✓	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.372541	+0.15%	0.3689	-0.83%	0.0169	✗	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.36314	+0.22%	0.37199	+2.66%	0.0201	✓	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.361885	+0.24%	0.36234	+0.37%	0.0087	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.360405	+0.26%	0.36101	+0.43%	0.0116	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.380458	+0.23%	0.35947	-5.30%	0.0572	✗	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.39911	+0.18%	0.3796	-4.72%	0.0430	✗	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.396898	+0.24%	0.39839	+0.61%	0.0031	✗	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.421513	+0.24%	0.39596	-5.84%	0.0825	✗	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.416755	+0.27%	0.42051	+1.17%	0.0155	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.420082	+0.26%	0.41563	-0.80%	0.0034	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.474908	+0.11%	0.419	-11.67%	0.1157	✗	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.49906	+0.08%	0.47437	-4.87%	0.0494	✗	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.51916	+0.07%	0.49868	-3.88%	0.0485	✗	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.54177	+0.02%	0.51882	-4.22%	0.0333	✗	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.547888	+0.19%	0.54166	-0.95%	0.0913	✗	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.60484	-0.15%	0.54685	-9.73%	0.0013	✓	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.619199	-0.28%	0.60577	-2.45%	0.0015	✓	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.562172	-0.05%	0.62096	+10.40%	0.1289	✗	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.569218	-0.01%	0.56247	-1.20%	0.0285	✓	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.598159	-0.11%	0.56928	-4.93%	0.0331	✓	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.60746	-0.23%	0.5988	-1.66%	0.0377	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.590249	-0.17%	0.60888	+2.98%	0.0348	✗	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.573401	-0.11%	0.59124	+3.00%	0.0771	✗	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.577477	-0.16%	0.57403	-0.76%	0.0064	✓	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.564476	+0.05%	0.57841	+2.51%	0.0162	✓	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.552565	+0.20%	0.56422	+2.32%	0.0044	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.614335	-0.01%	0.55145	-10.25%	0.0853	✓	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.632505	-0.07%	0.61442	-2.93%	0.0260	✓	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.666586	-0.11%	0.63296	-5.15%	0.0518	✓	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.673305	-0.10%	0.66735	-0.98%	0.0096	✓	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.698859	-0.14%	0.67395	-3.70%	0.0443	✓	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.768053	-0.34%	0.69983	-9.19%	0.0652	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.77692	-0.36%	0.77066	-1.16%	0.0009	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.783466	-0.35%	0.77974	-0.83%	0.0050	✗	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.838597	-0.49%	0.78625	-6.70%	0.0620	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.799267	-0.44%	0.84274	+4.98%	0.0535	✗	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.801499	-0.43%	0.80277	-0.27%	0.0101	✗	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.795641	-0.44%	0.80498	+0.73%	0.0015	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.775851	-0.41%	0.79915	+2.58%	0.0012	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.779497	-0.41%	0.77905	-0.47%	0.0028	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.809618	-0.50%	0.78271	-3.81%	0.0373	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.767233	-0.42%	0.81372	+5.61%	0.0598	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.797162	-0.46%	0.77048	-3.79%	0.0308	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.811206	-0.49%	0.80087	-1.76%	0.0114	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.829266	-0.52%	0.81518	-2.21%	0.0034	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.850236	-0.58%	0.83361	-2.52%	0.0190	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.821363	-0.56%	0.8552	+3.54%	0.0273	✗	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.805996	-0.56%	0.82596	+1.91%	0.0196	✗	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.812325	-0.60%	0.8105	-0.82%	0.0057	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.81723	-0.61%	0.81724	-0.61%	0.0067	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.793508	-0.57%	0.82222	+3.03%	0.0289	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.837018	-0.66%	0.79806	-5.28%	0.0431	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.800113	-0.61%	0.84257	+4.67%	0.0454	✗	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.827426	-0.66%	0.805	-3.35%	0.0237	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.843206	-0.72%	0.83292	-1.93%	0.0126	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.82686	-0.70%	0.84932	+1.99%	0.0243	✗	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.826922	-0.76%	0.83272	-0.07%	0.0064	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.797155	-0.71%	0.83327	+3.78%	0.0464	✗	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.793656	-0.74%	0.80289	+0.41%	0.0107	✗	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.715648	-0.55%	0.79958	+11.12%	0.1164	✗	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.752812	-0.67%	0.71958	-5.06%	0.0447	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.802162	-1.00%	0.7579	-6.47%	0.0583	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.723046	-0.93%	0.8103	+11.03%	0.1128	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.567023	-0.34%	0.729805	+28.27%	0.2448	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.559755	-0.34%	0.56897	+1.30%	0.0185	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.502973	-0.20%	0.56168	+11.45%	0.1162	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.484991	-0.16%	0.50399	+3.75%	0.0336	✗	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.480432	-0.15%	0.48578	+0.96%	0.0170	✗	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.501025	-0.20%	0.48116	-4.15%	0.0338	✓	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.493655	-0.18%	0.50201	+1.50%	0.0169	✗	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.481983	-0.16%	0.49457	+2.45%	0.0334	✗	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.480773	-0.16%	0.48276	+0.25%	0.0024	✗	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.485259	-0.20%	0.48155	-0.96%	0.0056	✓	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.493099	-0.23%	0.48623	-1.62%	0.0212	✓	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.448475	-0.11%	0.49425	+10.08%	0.0963	✗	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.463608	-0.13%	0.44899	-3.28%	0.0362	✓	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.477988	-0.20%	0.46421	-3.08%	0.0290	✓	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.480686	-0.20%	0.47895	-0.56%	0.0065	✗	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.467177	-0.20%	0.48164	+2.89%	0.0356	✗	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.446159	-0.14%	0.46809	+4.76%	0.0406	✗	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.423158	-0.07%	0.4468	+5.52%	0.0406	✗	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.439362	-0.14%	0.42344	-3.76%	0.0263	✓	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.413768	-0.08%	0.44	+6.26%	0.0627	✗	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.409138	-0.08%	0.41408	+1.13%	0.0122	✗	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.406714	-0.07%	0.40946	+0.61%	0.0078	✗	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.395186	-0.01%	0.40698	+2.98%	0.0276	✗	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.40539	+0.00%	0.39521	-2.51%	0.0329	✗	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.404342	+0.02%	0.40539	+0.27%	0.0049	✓	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.39681	+0.10%	0.40428	+1.98%	0.0153	✓	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.402489	+0.15%	0.39642	-1.36%	0.0201	✗	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.40831	+0.17%	0.40187	-1.41%	0.0150	✗	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.420563	+0.13%	0.4076	-2.95%	0.0282	✗	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.431148	+0.03%	0.42	-2.55%	0.0164	✗	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.456789	-0.05%	0.431	-5.69%	0.0556	✓	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.457013	+0.00%	0.457	+0.00%	0.0014	✗	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.483538	-0.10%	0.457	-5.58%	0.0535	✓	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.454032	+0.01%	0.484	+6.61%	0.0661	✓	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.485911	-0.02%	0.454	-6.58%	0.0699	✓	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.507446	-0.11%	0.486	-4.33%	0.0356	✓	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.531205	-0.15%	0.508	-4.51%	0.0421	✓	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.519398	-0.12%	0.532	+2.31%	0.0259	✗	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.57876	-0.21%	0.52	-10.34%	0.1052	✓	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.579716	-0.22%	0.58	-0.17%	0.0002	✓	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.578898	-0.19%	0.581	+0.17%	0.0025	✗	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.58784	-0.20%	0.58	-1.53%	0.0129	✓	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.582053	-0.16%	0.589	+1.03%	0.0112	✗	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.567064	-0.16%	0.583	+2.64%	0.0293	✗	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.561578	-0.08%	0.568	+1.07%	0.0104	✗	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.556327	-0.12%	0.562	+0.90%	0.0150	✗	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.579606	-0.24%	0.557	-4.13%	0.0376	✓	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.573043	-0.17%	0.581	+1.22%	0.0136	✗	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.581117	-0.15%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0126	✓	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.573701	-0.05%	0.582	+1.39%	0.0138	✗	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.581673	-0.06%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0123	✓	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.566252	+0.04%	0.582	+2.83%	0.0298	✓	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.62887	-0.18%	0.566	-10.16%	0.1047	✓	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.627369	-0.10%	0.63	+0.32%	0.0044	✗	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.711244	-0.25%	0.628	-11.92%	0.1284	✓	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.719514	-0.21%	0.713	-1.11%	0.0101	✓	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.75223	-0.23%	0.721	-4.38%	0.0440	✓	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.751006	-0.13%	0.754	+0.27%	0.0009	✓	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.751304	-0.09%	0.752	+0.00%	0.0018	✗	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.804922	-0.26%	0.752	-6.82%	0.0667	✓	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.794957	-0.13%	0.807	+1.38%	0.0127	✗	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.816933	-0.13%	0.796	-2.69%	0.0280	✓	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.79233	+0.04%	0.818	+3.28%	0.0308	✓	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.789539	+0.07%	0.792	+0.38%	0.0057	✓	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.826418	-0.07%	0.789	-4.59%	0.0433	✓	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.837969	-0.12%	0.827	-1.43%	0.0109	✓	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.852587	-0.17%	0.839	-1.76%	0.0137	✓	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.865632	-0.16%	0.854	-1.50%	0.0138	✓	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.88227	-0.08%	0.867	-1.81%	0.0240	✓	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.871537	-0.05%	0.883	+1.26%	0.0169	✗	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.870755	-0.14%	0.872	+0.00%	0.0217	✗	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.948021	-0.21%	0.872	-8.21%	0.0810	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	1.0077	-0.23%	0.95	-5.94%	0.0650	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	1.0881	-0.17%	1.01	-7.34%	0.0653	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.1391	-0.17%	1.09	-4.47%	0.0478	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.1629	-0.18%	1.141	-2.06%	0.0223	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.1729	-0.18%	1.165	-0.85%	0.0071	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.1953	-0.23%	1.175	-1.92%	0.0226	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.2195	-0.29%	1.198	-2.04%	0.0265	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.2004	-0.30%	1.223	+1.58%	0.0048	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.2153	-0.31%	1.204	-1.23%	0.0070	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.2067	-0.28%	1.219	+0.74%	0.0061	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.2171	-0.24%	1.21	-0.82%	0.0277	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.2206	-0.19%	1.22	-0.25%	0.0004	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.2467	-0.19%	1.223	-2.08%	0.0250	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.269	-0.16%	1.249	-1.73%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.2977	-0.18%	1.271	-2.23%	0.0329	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.2879	-0.16%	1.3	+0.78%	0.0158	✗	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.3081	-0.15%	1.29	-1.53%	0.0086	✗	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.323	-0.15%	1.31	-1.13%	0.0064	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.3337	-0.17%	1.325	-0.82%	0.0070	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.3604	-0.19%	1.336	-1.98%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.2805	-0.19%	1.363	+6.24%	0.0578	✗	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.