AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s5
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 234
Track record at +1d
assessed
77
of 78 predictions shown
direction hit
58.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0646
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0085
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03874 | 0.038636 | -0.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.038031 | -0.25% | 0.03874 | +1.61% | 0.0194 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037152 | -0.24% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0217 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036695 | -0.22% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.038662 | -0.25% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036353 | -0.10% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040216 | -0.16% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.0977 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.043716 | -0.19% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0840 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.048649 | -0.26% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.1004 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049528 | -0.23% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.0546 | -0.28% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0910 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058237 | -0.34% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0634 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.066195 | -0.55% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1256 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.061997 | -0.47% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0691 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.067475 | -0.74% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0775 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066653 | -0.86% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062713 | -0.82% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.05422 | -0.54% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1558 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050843 | -0.41% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0658 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051218 | -0.45% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.05084 | -0.38% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054664 | -0.48% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.053547 | -0.48% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.052867 | -0.51% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054787 | -0.51% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056822 | -0.53% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.057956 | -0.55% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057414 | -0.53% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.059161 | -0.60% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.064529 | -0.74% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0777 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.054594 | -0.51% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1756 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.052971 | -0.49% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.054679 | -0.53% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.058073 | -0.70% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0555 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.05368 | -0.44% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0899 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047956 | -0.17% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1174 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.049594 | -0.17% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0313 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.051056 | -0.24% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0306 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048393 | -0.08% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0586 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.048693 | -0.04% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0063 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.049325 | -0.02% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0123 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046359 | +0.12% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0636 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.050113 | +0.03% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0848 | ✗ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056823 | -0.17% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1265 | ✓ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.05202 | -0.07% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0882 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.05331 | -0.04% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0276 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.054638 | -0.04% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0227 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.055279 | -0.06% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0108 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054375 | +0.02% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0130 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053494 | +0.01% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0319 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057253 | -0.05% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0684 | ✓ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062575 | -0.12% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0951 | ✓ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057483 | -0.06% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0916 | ✗ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.067963 | -0.23% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1714 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069369 | -0.33% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0150 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.060532 | -0.18% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1309 | ✗ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058592 | -0.20% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0393 | ✗ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.05576 | -0.22% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.05847 | -0.29% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.059457 | -0.39% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.066339 | -0.41% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1143 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.06912 | -0.48% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.07256 | -0.40% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081973 | -0.47% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.085738 | -0.67% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.081658 | -0.65% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0524 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.075257 | -0.59% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.078305 | -0.83% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.064806 | -0.50% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.1968 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.06729 | -0.65% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.054657 | -0.41% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2142 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.053837 | -0.36% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053569 | -0.32% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.054251 | -0.35% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.062682 | -0.65% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.052604 | -0.26% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1815 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.05825 | -0.31% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.060289 | -0.32% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |