BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 486

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

161

of 162 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0005

actual -0.0213

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.005555	0.005573	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005672	+0.39%	0.005555	-1.68%	0.0190	✗	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005783	+0.49%	0.00565	-1.82%	0.0321	✗	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.006028	+0.46%	0.005755	-4.08%	0.0449	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006813	+0.27%	0.006	-11.70%	0.1325	✗	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007219	+0.20%	0.006795	-5.69%	0.0596	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.0073	+0.20%	0.007205	-1.10%	0.0076	✗	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008214	+0.05%	0.007285	-11.27%	0.1250	✗	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.0086	+0.00%	0.00821	-4.53%	0.0308	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010353	-0.26%	0.0086	-17.15%	0.2010	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009841	-0.14%	0.01038	+5.33%	0.0670	✗	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009887	-0.13%	0.009855	-0.45%	0.0072	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009367	-0.03%	0.0099	+5.66%	0.0536	✗	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009639	-0.01%	0.00937	-2.80%	0.0323	✓	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.011153	-0.15%	0.00964	-13.70%	0.1395	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.010965	-0.09%	0.01117	+1.78%	0.0284	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011433	-0.15%	0.010975	-4.15%	0.0399	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011274	-0.14%	0.01145	+1.42%	0.0192	✗	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.011066	-0.13%	0.01129	+1.90%	0.0116	✗	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.011039	-0.10%	0.01108	+0.27%	0.0025	✗	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.011523	-0.11%	0.01105	-4.20%	0.0402	✓	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011556	-0.08%	0.011535	-0.26%	0.0076	✓	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011399	-0.01%	0.011565	+1.45%	0.0148	✗	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011488	+0.07%	0.0114	-0.70%	0.0086	✗	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012445	+0.04%	0.01148	-7.72%	0.0743	✗	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013186	+0.01%	0.01244	-5.65%	0.0586	✗	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013274	+0.03%	0.013185	-0.64%	0.0088	✗	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013536	+0.04%	0.01327	-1.92%	0.0180	✗	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012305	+0.20%	0.01353	+10.18%	0.0949	✓	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.014029	+0.06%	0.01228	-12.41%	0.1222	✗	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013946	+0.05%	0.01402	+0.57%	0.0080	✓	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013747	-0.02%	0.01394	+1.38%	0.0284	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.014257	-0.09%	0.01375	-3.64%	0.0357	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.014026	-0.14%	0.01427	+1.60%	0.0146	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013794	-0.26%	0.014045	+1.55%	0.0172	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012826	-0.19%	0.01383	+7.63%	0.0738	✗	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012461	-0.15%	0.01285	+2.96%	0.0264	✗	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.01266	-0.12%	0.01248	-1.54%	0.0064	✗	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.012636	-0.11%	0.012675	+0.20%	0.0077	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013352	-0.17%	0.01265	-5.42%	0.0504	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.013984	-0.26%	0.013375	-4.60%	0.0449	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012614	-0.08%	0.01402	+11.05%	0.1005	✗	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013383	-0.06%	0.012625	-5.71%	0.0457	✓	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014441	-0.03%	0.01339	-7.30%	0.0742	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015172	+0.08%	0.014445	-4.72%	0.0437	✗	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.015323	+0.28%	0.01516	-0.79%	0.0008	✓	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.015548	+0.25%	0.01528	-1.48%	0.0215	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015681	+0.26%	0.01551	-0.83%	0.0123	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.016741	+0.25%	0.01564	-6.35%	0.0555	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.016451	+0.19%	0.0167	+1.71%	0.0167	✗	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018262	+0.12%	0.01642	-9.98%	0.1055	✗	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019321	+0.11%	0.01824	-5.49%	0.0498	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.018822	+0.12%	0.0193	+2.66%	0.0187	✓	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.019783	+0.09%	0.0188	-4.88%	0.0477	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020204	+0.07%	0.019765	-2.11%	0.0242	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020334	+0.07%	0.02019	-0.64%	0.0072	✓	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.02018	+0.05%	0.02032	+0.74%	0.0004	✓	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019511	+0.11%	0.02017	+3.49%	0.0304	✓	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020456	+0.05%	0.01949	-4.67%	0.0455	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021134	-0.03%	0.020445	-3.29%	0.0408	✓	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020742	-0.04%	0.02114	+1.88%	0.0150	✗	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.021368	-0.05%	0.02075	-2.95%	0.0217	✓	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019897	-0.06%	0.02138	+7.38%	0.0430	✗	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.020061	-0.09%	0.01991	-0.85%	0.0231	✓	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.01929	-0.05%	0.02008	+4.04%	0.0262	✗	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.020157	-0.07%	0.0193	-4.31%	0.0438	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.02031	-0.05%	0.02017	-0.74%	0.0096	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020948	-0.06%	0.02032	-3.05%	0.0302	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.021621	-0.04%	0.02096	-3.10%	0.0311	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022984	-0.07%	0.02163	-5.96%	0.0598	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.023074	-0.05%	0.023	-0.37%	0.0033	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024968	-0.09%	0.023085	-7.62%	0.0777	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.02515	-0.08%	0.02499	-0.72%	0.0041	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024511	-0.03%	0.02517	+2.65%	0.0303	✗	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024927	-0.05%	0.02452	-1.68%	0.0162	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024121	+0.01%	0.02494	+3.40%	0.0333	✓	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023917	+0.03%	0.02412	+0.88%	0.0057	✓	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.024086	+0.03%	0.02391	-0.71%	0.0056	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023124	+0.08%	0.02408	+4.22%	0.0377	✓	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.023264	+0.10%	0.023105	-0.58%	0.0115	✗	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023924	+0.10%	0.02324	-2.76%	0.0288	✗	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024483	+0.09%	0.0239	-2.29%	0.0294	✗	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.02388	+0.13%	0.02446	+2.56%	0.0244	✓	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.024159	+0.12%	0.02385	-1.16%	0.0010	✓	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.02343	+0.17%	0.02413	+3.16%	0.0237	✓	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.023781	+0.17%	0.02339	-1.47%	0.0169	✗	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022678	+0.25%	0.02374	+4.95%	0.0447	✓	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.025117	+0.15%	0.02262	-9.81%	0.0952	✗	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.026687	+0.10%	0.02508	-5.93%	0.0688	✗	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028706	-0.05%	0.02666	-7.17%	0.0754	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.031258	-0.45%	0.02872	-8.54%	0.0788	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024898	+0.11%	0.0314	+26.26%	0.2401	✓	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025498	+0.07%	0.02487	-2.39%	0.0216	✗	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.024082	+0.22%	0.02548	+6.03%	0.0473	✓	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.02522	+0.20%	0.02403	-4.53%	0.0523	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.025205	+0.26%	0.02517	+0.12%	0.0006	✓	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.02335	+0.47%	0.02514	+8.18%	0.0679	✓	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026667	+0.33%	0.02324	-12.57%	0.1384	✗	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.034265	+0.13%	0.02658	-22.33%	0.2489	✗	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041531	+0.03%	0.03422	-17.58%	0.1922	✗	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.059354	-0.71%	0.04152	-30.55%	0.4026	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.049332	-0.28%	0.05978	+20.84%	0.2209	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.04091	-0.00%	0.04947	+20.92%	0.1906	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.039286	+0.04%	0.04091	+4.18%	0.0472	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037854	+0.09%	0.03927	+3.83%	0.0188	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037602	+0.14%	0.03782	+0.72%	0.0123	✗	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.03996	+0.10%	0.03755	-5.94%	0.0417	✗	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042907	+0.04%	0.03992	-6.92%	0.0597	✗	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.042492	+0.05%	0.04289	+0.99%	0.0017	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.041332	+0.11%	0.04247	+2.87%	0.0181	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.041204	+0.16%	0.041285	+0.35%	0.0085	✗	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.045197	+0.08%	0.04114	-8.90%	0.1153	✗	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.04343	+0.18%	0.04516	+4.18%	0.0073	✓	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.044607	+0.22%	0.04335	-2.61%	0.0615	✗	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.05483	-0.34%	0.04451	-19.10%	0.1768	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.044079	+0.25%	0.05502	+25.13%	0.2105	✓	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039321	+0.59%	0.04397	+12.48%	0.1194	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.041135	+0.55%	0.03909	-4.45%	0.0499	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.041577	+0.60%	0.04091	-1.02%	0.0212	✗	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.045201	+0.38%	0.04133	-8.22%	0.0693	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.050767	+0.09%	0.04503	-11.22%	0.0973	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.056074	-0.09%	0.05072	-9.63%	0.0846	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.057778	-0.11%	0.056125	-2.97%	0.0381	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.05612	-0.05%	0.05784	+3.01%	0.0430	✗	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.058622	-0.06%	0.05615	-4.28%	0.0534	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063636	-0.13%	0.05866	-7.94%	0.0905	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.066106	-0.17%	0.06372	-3.78%	0.0138	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067796	-0.18%	0.06622	-2.50%	0.0070	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.070181	-0.21%	0.06792	-3.43%	0.0237	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.073635	-0.22%	0.07033	-4.70%	0.0542	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072839	-0.19%	0.0738	+1.12%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.073262	-0.19%	0.07298	-0.57%	0.0183	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.069556	-0.12%	0.0734	+5.40%	0.0542	✗	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.063167	+0.11%	0.06964	+10.36%	0.0675	✓	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070579	-0.03%	0.0631	-10.62%	0.1084	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.06983	+0.01%	0.0706	+1.12%	0.0316	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.074326	-0.03%	0.06982	-6.09%	0.0589	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.072305	+0.12%	0.07435	+2.95%	0.0141	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.070179	+0.26%	0.07222	+3.17%	0.0318	✓	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.073759	+0.19%	0.07	-4.92%	0.0092	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.086656	-0.03%	0.07362	-15.07%	0.1592	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.081873	+0.11%	0.08668	+5.99%	0.0971	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.088275	-0.30%	0.08178	-7.63%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.080521	+0.04%	0.08854	+10.00%	0.1261	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.073996	+0.51%	0.08049	+9.33%	0.0868	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.071113	+0.78%	0.07362	+4.34%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.084198	+0.31%	0.07056	-15.94%	0.1747	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.07945	+0.62%	0.08394	+6.31%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.090863	+0.07%	0.07896	-13.04%	0.1203	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.08897	+0.10%	0.0908	+2.16%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.110969	-1.51%	0.08888	-21.11%	0.2255	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.097126	-0.61%	0.11267	+15.30%	0.1442	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.087998	+0.07%	0.09772	+11.12%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.076295	+0.39%	0.08794	+15.71%	0.1696	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.08574	-0.19%	0.076	-11.53%	0.1215	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.110636	-1.16%	0.0859	-23.26%	0.2623	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.149816	-1.57%	0.11193	-26.46%	0.2892	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.153989	-1.70%	0.1522	-2.84%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.140326	-2.06%	0.15665	+9.33%	0.1190	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.170604	-1.84%	0.14328	-17.56%	0.1624	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.203955	-2.15%	0.1738	-16.62%	0.1348	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.17954	-1.94%	0.20844	+13.84%	0.1269	✗	1.00