BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s4
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
51.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2742
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0313
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007683 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007625 | -0.71% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007098 | -0.38% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0282 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006674 | -0.24% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0733 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008155 | -1.03% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2280 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009054 | -1.47% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0885 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011514 | -2.40% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1972 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.00824 | -1.97% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3343 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012356 | -2.18% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3287 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.01233 | -2.26% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015825 | -3.58% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.012036 | -2.42% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3009 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011811 | -2.51% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013689 | -5.78% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008545 | -2.33% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5500 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009178 | -3.33% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007887 | -2.73% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1879 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011284 | -9.08% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3217 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003569 | -4.37% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002771 | -4.45% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2951 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004028 | -5.92% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002633 | -4.25% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003829 | -5.85% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003013 | -5.63% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2978 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002735 | -7.11% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.00172 | -1.29% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5372 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001948 | -3.43% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001116 | +0.18% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.5956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001265 | -0.30% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001936 | -1.87% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4011 | ✓ | 1.00 |