ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0359

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.180299	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.180411	-0.01%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0001	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183629	+0.02%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0178	✗	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.184423	+0.07%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0045	✗	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.183007	+0.06%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0069	✓	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.17832	+0.09%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0254	✓	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.182255	+0.06%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0226	✗	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184907	+0.02%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0151	✗	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.182119	+0.07%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0146	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180527	+0.02%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0084	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.185058	+0.01%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0253	✗	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.185105	+0.05%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0003	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.182527	+0.05%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0135	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.187405	+0.00%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0269	✗	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.185069	+0.04%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0128	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.190406	+0.04%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0291	✗	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.178224	+0.13%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0658	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193704	+0.05%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0846	✗	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.194621	-0.04%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0051	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.202269	+0.05%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0381	✗	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.198105	+0.08%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0203	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200889	+0.04%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0148	✗	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.198108	+0.15%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0135	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195851	+0.22%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0099	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.203169	+0.28%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0400	✗	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.223281	+0.24%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0971	✗	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.229424	+0.20%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0291	✗	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.234162	+0.20%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0228	✗	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.243539	+0.18%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0413	✗	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.238852	+0.24%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0161	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.248262	+0.17%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0417	✗	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.246672	-0.02%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0142	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.231599	+0.16%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0631	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.232005	+0.16%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0027	✗	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.232815	+0.05%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0033	✓	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.233441	-0.03%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0027	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.242204	-0.02%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0359	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240887	+0.06%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0030	✓	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.240115	+0.00%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0039	✓	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.24047	-0.01%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0020	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.248497	-0.09%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0327	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.250379	-0.12%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0060	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.244524	+0.05%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0234	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.245569	+0.08%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0047	✗	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.243227	+0.15%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0087	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.24538	+0.15%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0115	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.246179	+0.12%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0042	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.253182	+0.08%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0291	✗	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.261741	+0.15%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0359	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255448	+0.13%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0253	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.26519	+0.08%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0388	✗	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.253267	+0.16%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0433	✓	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.259618	+0.01%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0233	✗	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.240485	+0.15%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0749	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.233915	+0.21%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0273	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242598	+0.23%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0465	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.248774	+0.15%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0235	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.246527	+0.10%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0091	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.25173	+0.10%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0236	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253957	+0.12%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0057	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.258848	+0.11%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0181	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.254042	+0.08%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0134	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.248914	+0.05%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0422	✓	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.251676	-0.08%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0058	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256873	-0.25%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0025	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.262321	-0.28%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0174	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.261016	-0.31%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0169	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.262018	-0.30%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0018	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.26828	-0.32%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0204	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264705	-0.27%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0136	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.257179	-0.18%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0317	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.265414	-0.26%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0307	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257877	-0.21%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0288	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257581	-0.20%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0044	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.262117	-0.25%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0159	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257733	-0.26%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0195	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259472	-0.24%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0014	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263324	-0.30%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0153	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.255938	-0.25%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0360	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.266753	-0.35%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0345	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.264989	-0.39%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0099	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.257968	-0.31%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0359	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.26445	-0.37%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0222	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.262387	-0.37%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0024	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.269821	-0.45%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0216	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.269277	-0.39%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0067	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.268976	-0.38%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0055	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.272853	-0.51%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0164	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.283763	-0.55%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0309	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.273023	-0.45%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0448	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.282702	-0.57%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0337	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276693	-0.46%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0236	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.28241	-0.55%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0174	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.286242	-0.61%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0037	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.27272	-0.39%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0563	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.280498	-0.43%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0246	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.283431	-0.50%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0032	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.277076	-0.51%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0281	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.2524	-0.24%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0958	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.267582	-0.31%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0568	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.264884	-0.28%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0211	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.269238	-0.26%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0186	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.277818	-0.31%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0289	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.277332	-0.25%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0036	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273555	-0.22%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0194	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.279287	-0.25%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0158	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289949	-0.32%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0387	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.288488	-0.36%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0059	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.291293	-0.37%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0047	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.290035	-0.35%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0097	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.292438	-0.37%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0030	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.290833	-0.40%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0122	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.272368	-0.35%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0757	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.279661	-0.43%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0184	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246725	-0.35%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1275	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.249099	-0.36%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0055	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249947	-0.37%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0002	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.255579	-0.43%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0186	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.2568	-0.47%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0003	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.262622	-0.68%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0194	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.242053	-0.51%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0879	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.249866	-0.75%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0280	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.250289	-0.58%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.247458	-0.57%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0163	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.244496	-0.50%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0183	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.249476	-0.52%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0150	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.264274	-0.64%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0552	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.268795	-0.73%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0133	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.272857	-0.82%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0094	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.2722	-0.85%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0119	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.271079	-0.82%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0150	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.280337	-0.84%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0246	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.279553	-0.87%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0112	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.262612	-0.77%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0753	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.254684	-0.88%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0379	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.231967	-0.73%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1011	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.216329	-0.68%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0769	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.213083	-0.63%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0224	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.217652	-0.79%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0149	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.228353	-1.37%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0527	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191984	-0.83%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1861	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.180127	-1.02%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0626	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.1636	-0.98%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1239	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167468	-1.22%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0132	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.171935	-1.36%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0141	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175092	-1.46%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.17551	-1.57%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.177153	-1.74%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.160984	-1.87%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1334	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.169349	-2.17%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.170047	-2.33%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.182817	-2.46%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.180733	-2.46%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.176438	-2.68%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0765	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.168378	-2.80%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0730	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.180814	-2.79%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.184648	-2.94%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.170949	-2.97%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1129	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.185279	-4.99%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0413	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.147558	-3.35%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2910	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.114172	-1.71%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3159	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.103007	-1.48%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0978	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.123681	-3.08%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1531	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101304	-1.42%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2462	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.07964	-0.85%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2607	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084715	-0.91%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0722	✓	1.00