AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 234
Track record at +1d
assessed
77
of 78 predictions shown
direction hit
51.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0647
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0033
actual -0.0085
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03874 | 0.038544 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.037962 | -0.43% | 0.03874 | +1.61% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037131 | -0.29% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036685 | -0.25% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.03864 | -0.31% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036359 | -0.08% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0644 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040176 | -0.26% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.0967 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.043664 | -0.31% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0828 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.048575 | -0.41% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.0989 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049457 | -0.37% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.054552 | -0.37% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0901 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058204 | -0.40% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0629 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.066225 | -0.50% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.062013 | -0.45% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0689 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.067618 | -0.53% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066848 | -0.57% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062863 | -0.58% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0676 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.054306 | -0.38% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1542 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050887 | -0.32% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051269 | -0.35% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.050863 | -0.34% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054731 | -0.36% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0733 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.053628 | -0.33% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0242 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.052979 | -0.30% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054887 | -0.33% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056928 | -0.34% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.058085 | -0.33% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057533 | -0.32% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.059305 | -0.36% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.064677 | -0.51% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0800 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.05473 | -0.26% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1731 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.053152 | -0.15% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.054873 | -0.18% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0303 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.058302 | -0.31% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.053763 | -0.29% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0884 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047969 | -0.15% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1171 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.049573 | -0.21% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0309 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.051139 | -0.08% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0323 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048393 | -0.08% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0586 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.048708 | -0.01% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0066 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.049335 | -0.00% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0125 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046326 | +0.05% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0643 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.050195 | +0.19% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0864 | ✗ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056954 | +0.06% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1288 | ✗ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.052166 | +0.21% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0854 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.053492 | +0.30% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0310 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.054821 | +0.29% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0260 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.055461 | +0.27% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0141 | ✗ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054558 | +0.36% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.05352 | +0.06% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0314 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057288 | +0.01% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0690 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062665 | +0.02% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0965 | ✗ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057499 | -0.04% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0913 | ✗ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.068002 | -0.17% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1719 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069333 | -0.38% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.06055 | -0.15% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1306 | ✗ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058579 | -0.22% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0395 | ✗ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.055768 | -0.20% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.058544 | -0.16% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.059563 | -0.21% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.066443 | -0.25% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.069327 | -0.18% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.07237 | -0.66% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1114 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081472 | -1.08% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.085401 | -1.06% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.1052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.081369 | -1.00% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.075098 | -0.80% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.07821 | -0.95% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.06468 | -0.69% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.067097 | -0.93% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.054549 | -0.60% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.053721 | -0.57% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053444 | -0.55% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.05408 | -0.66% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.062357 | -1.16% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.052425 | -0.60% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1849 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.058006 | -0.72% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.059991 | -0.81% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |