BONER
Boner Coin · Robinhood · gru_s2
- token id
- #681
- symbol
- BONER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x98096d17e191b3da1d5f99a6d7b3584351b11e18
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-31
- predictions
- 129
Track record at +1d
assessed
42
of 43 predictions shown
direction hit
59.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1186
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0071
actual -0.0226
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015789 | -1.13% | – | pending | – | – | 3.96 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01561 | 0.015469 | -0.90% | 0.01597 | +2.31% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01363 | 0.013636 | +0.05% | 0.01561 | +14.53% | 0.0832 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01369 | 0.013779 | +0.65% | 0.01363 | -0.44% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01417 | 0.014323 | +1.08% | 0.01369 | -3.39% | 0.0752 | ✗ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.015905 | 0.01611 | +1.29% | 0.01417 | -10.91% | 0.1226 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.02001 | 0.020265 | +1.27% | 0.015905 | -20.51% | 0.2131 | ✗ | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021651 | +1.46% | 0.02001 | -6.23% | 0.1050 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.025135 | 0.025456 | +1.28% | 0.02134 | -15.10% | 0.1062 | ✗ | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02951 | 0.029704 | +0.66% | 0.025135 | -14.83% | 0.2321 | ✗ | 3.95 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.042215 | 0.041798 | -0.99% | 0.02951 | -30.10% | 0.2647 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.03944 | 0.039315 | -0.32% | 0.042215 | +7.04% | 0.0386 | ✗ | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.04343 | 0.043145 | -0.66% | 0.03944 | -9.19% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04313 | 0.0429 | -0.53% | 0.04343 | +0.70% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.048 | 0.047415 | -1.22% | 0.04313 | -10.15% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.05262 | 0.051668 | -1.81% | 0.048 | -8.78% | 0.0221 | ✗ | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0639 | 0.062434 | -2.29% | 0.05262 | -17.65% | 0.1624 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0698 | 0.067971 | -2.62% | 0.0639 | -8.45% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05501 | 0.0536 | -2.56% | 0.0698 | +26.89% | 0.1973 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05456 | 0.053221 | -2.45% | 0.05501 | +0.82% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.04361 | 0.043088 | -1.20% | 0.05456 | +25.11% | 0.2497 | ✗ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.04482 | 0.044289 | -1.18% | 0.04361 | -2.70% | 0.0679 | ✓ | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.04556 | 0.045068 | -1.08% | 0.04482 | -1.62% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.04924 | 0.048659 | -1.18% | 0.04556 | -7.47% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.04375 | 0.043377 | -0.85% | 0.04924 | +12.55% | 0.1387 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.04778 | 0.047354 | -0.89% | 0.04375 | -8.43% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.05802 | 0.057338 | -1.18% | 0.04778 | -17.65% | 0.1862 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.04201 | 0.041773 | -0.56% | 0.05802 | +38.11% | 0.3320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05023 | 0.049864 | -0.73% | 0.04201 | -16.36% | 0.1715 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.051945 | 0.051576 | -0.71% | 0.05023 | -3.30% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04886 | 0.048464 | -0.81% | 0.051945 | +6.31% | 0.0740 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.04936 | 0.048638 | -1.46% | 0.04886 | -1.01% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.04997 | 0.049116 | -1.71% | 0.04936 | -1.22% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05047 | 0.049419 | -2.08% | 0.04997 | -0.99% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05051 | 0.049571 | -1.86% | 0.05047 | -0.08% | 0.0396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04017 | 0.03982 | -0.87% | 0.05051 | +25.74% | 0.2351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.0375 | 0.037328 | -0.46% | 0.04017 | +7.12% | 0.0660 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.047045 | 0.046034 | -2.15% | 0.0375 | -20.29% | 0.1713 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.03198 | 0.032113 | +0.42% | 0.047045 | +47.11% | 0.3641 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03827 | 0.038148 | -0.32% | 0.03198 | -16.44% | 0.1704 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03341 | 0.033667 | +0.77% | 0.03827 | +14.55% | 0.1275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.04592 | 0.045611 | -0.67% | 0.03341 | -27.24% | 0.3200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.04016 | 0.040108 | -0.13% | 0.04592 | +14.34% | 0.1579 | ✗ | 1.00 |